2010 NFL System - JM and Modified

JW Cash · 10-04-10, 05:37 PM

Good win with Carolina boys....

palmer2712 · 10-04-10, 05:37 PM

Lots of em. Got Blurred last week. New Mexico is C Bet. Buffalo & Duke hit on A Bet. BYU, New Mex St, Georgia are B bets. So far Akron, Colorado St hit on A bets 2 weeks ago and now Buffalo and Duke.

Not sure on A's next week, but sure there are some. Peace

palmer2712 · 10-04-10, 05:41 PM

Another little stat. On Divisional match ups the Dog is 19-4 ATS in NFL thur today. Miami fits this stat. I played them all this week and went 6 and 1 this week. 1 loss being the Bills, Miami/NE same division, Curse

. Panthers, Ravens, Rams, Brownies, Lions, Jaguars. All winners. Good luck if you play tonight. Peace

AtomicGuy · 10-04-10, 08:32 PM

Hey everyone-

Great thread, thanks for keeping up the NFL system plays. I followed chilidogs college system at the end of last year and decided to jump into this year on my own. Since I see some of you all are doing the same or are interested in it, I'd like to get your thoughts on this Saturday's dilemma. According to the lines I've been playing, I have New Mexico on a C bet and New Mexico State on a B bet this weekend. The problem is that they are playing each other. Any thoughts on how to handle this? Treat it as a bye week and resume the chase? Handicap it and pick a side? Any and all ideas are appreciated, let's keep winning.

Also, if anyone is interested I have this system as winning 4 already: Colorado State and Western Kentucky in Week 3, both on A bets & Buffalo and Duke last week.

I have BYU, Georgia, and NM State on a B game.
UNM on a C
and only Eastern Michigan on an A for this week.

chilidog · 10-04-10, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by AtomicGuy

Hey everyone-

Great thread, thanks for keeping up the NFL system plays. I followed chilidogs college system at the end of last year and decided to jump into this year on my own. Since I see some of you all are doing the same or are interested in it, I'd like to get your thoughts on this Saturday's dilemma. According to the lines I've been playing, I have New Mexico on a C bet and New Mexico State on a B bet this weekend. The problem is that they are playing each other. Any thoughts on how to handle this? Treat it as a bye week and resume the chase? Handicap it and pick a side? Any and all ideas are appreciated, let's keep winning.

Also, if anyone is interested I have this system as winning 4 already: Colorado State and Western Kentucky in Week 3, both on A bets & Buffalo and Duke last week.

I have BYU, Georgia, and NM State on a B game.
UNM on a C
and only Eastern Michigan on an A for this week.

I saw that as well with new mexico/new mexico st, and i'd just skip that game (treat it as a bye). i'm personally not playing the college system this year, because it had 3 c losses at the end of the season last year.

dukipl · 10-05-10, 02:37 AM

Originally posted by hagball52

Has anyone heard of James Jones reverse line movement system? He's been trying to sell it to me, claims it's undefeated. It's in college football.

I got his email too. This is some kind of a system but there is only 1 bet. So in the end you get a win or a loose and you move out to the next series. But Im not buying that.

bauerranch · 10-05-10, 07:26 AM

I got it- paid for it and have never received it. Then he writes me again bragging he got 4 more winners over the weekend. I have written him 4 times asking what the deal is and no reply.

All of these cappers only want to sell a system and really don't care after wards.

If and when I get anything I will let you know

doublej95 · 10-05-10, 10:23 AM

Any reason Georgia is -14 against UT. I'm wanting to make the b bet on them but 14 for a 0-4 team that is struggling, geez

CatPulp · 10-05-10, 11:14 AM

Originally posted by bauerranch

I got it- paid for it and have never received it. Then he writes me again bragging he got 4 more winners over the weekend. I have written him 4 times asking what the deal is and no reply. All of these cappers only want to sell a system and really don't care after wards. If and when I get anything I will let you know

Please share with the group, if/when you receive it. Thanks!!

hunter8720 · 10-05-10, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by doublej95

Any reason Georgia is -14 against UT. I'm wanting to make the b bet on them but 14 for a 0-4 team that is struggling, geez

not sure where u got 14, it opened at -10, but i agree with u, the public is betting on UT and the line has moved to -12. It doesnt make any sence, uga is not good

palmer2712 · 10-05-10, 01:12 PM

Sounds right to me. Thanks

hagball52 · 10-05-10, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by bauerranch

I got it- paid for it and have never received it. Then he writes me again bragging he got 4 more winners over the weekend. I have written him 4 times asking what the deal is and no reply.

All of these cappers only want to sell a system and really don't care after wards.

If and when I get anything I will let you know

Thanks for the reply. We gotta share info to keep from getting ripped off by these guys.

bauerranch · 10-05-10, 04:25 PM

I called James since he does give his phone number and I left a nice voice mail to him asking what the deal was. No phone call or email back.

When i get more information I will share

doublej95 · 10-05-10, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by hunter8720

not sure where u got 14, it opened at -10, but i agree with u, the public is betting on UT and the line has moved to -12. It doesnt make any sence, uga is not good

Yeah i don't know where i got 14 from, but the line is 11 to 12 most places. I could see UGA being a small favorite but 11/12 point favorites blows my mind for this game.

dukipl · 10-07-10, 02:09 PM

SO when can we expekt the next play?

on3 · 10-07-10, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by dukipl

SO when can we expekt the next play?

Whenever one of the potential plays loses another game.

hitman2010 · 10-08-10, 01:14 PM

any plays this week yet?

GGPLAYER · 10-08-10, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

I saw that as well with new mexico/new mexico st, and i'd just skip that game (treat it as a bye). i'm personally not playing the college system this year, because it had 3 c losses at the end of the season last year.

Would you say these loses were maybe due the higher volume of college plays vs NFL? Any other filters that may be applied to keep the number of plays down? Just thinking out loud.

By they way I just looked at this N Mex/ N Mex St game....ugly comes to mind. Yeah two teams who have yet to win or win ATS playing each other. N Mex lost 72-0 to Ore and N. Mex St lost 59-0 to Boise St. Hard to say who is worse. But if the system holds up N Mex should cover since it's a C bet.

GGPLAYER · 10-08-10, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by doublej95

Yeah i don't know where i got 14 from, but the line is 11 to 12 most places. I could see UGA being a small favorite but 11/12 point favorites blows my mind for this game.

Now is the play here to buy it down at all. Certainly can't do ML -425. Not risking $4 to win $1 on a team like this.

chilidog · 10-08-10, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by GGPLAYER

Would you say these loses were maybe due the higher volume of college plays vs NFL? Any other filters that may be applied to keep the number of plays down? Just thinking out loud.

By they way I just looked at this N Mex/ N Mex St game....ugly comes to mind. Yeah two teams who have yet to win or win ATS playing each other. N Mex lost 72-0 to Ore and N. Mex St lost 59-0 to Boise St. Hard to say who is worse. But if the system holds up N Mex should cover since it's a C bet.

It's hard to say why the losses happened. In college football, you can have really shitty teams paired up against really good teams (for instance, the 72-0 and 59-0 scores you just posted). I'd love to play the system if it worked, but I'm just not comfortable with 3 losses, considering how large the C bets are.

GGPLAYER · 10-08-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

It's hard to say why the losses happened. In college football, you can have really shitty teams paired up against really good teams (for instance, the 72-0 and 59-0 scores you just posted). I'd love to play the system if it worked, but I'm just not comfortable with 3 losses, considering how large the C bets are.

I hear what your saying. I took my medicine with his NBA plays. Lost a few C bets over the years. I'll do something like this now but wait to jump in on a B or C bet. I also try to apply some sort of common sense to the play. Like you said we have really bad teams going up against some really good ones at times. Thanks

Kev the Brit · 10-08-10, 06:08 PM

Thread drift

Guys, can you please stop discussing college football in this thread? This thread is for the JM NFL System.

Its not difficult to start a new thread on JM's college football system and direct conversations to it.

Many thanks

Regards
Kev (the Grumpy)

doublej95 · 10-08-10, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by Kev the Brit

Guys, can you please stop discussing college football in this thread? This thread is for the JM NFL System.

Its not difficult to start a new thread on JM's college football system and direct conversations to it.

Many thanks

Regards
Kev (the Grumpy)

Chill out, if the creater of this thread does not want college stuff in here its his call

JW Cash · 10-08-10, 09:25 PM

I got Easter Michigan and Louisana-Monroe as A Bets this week.....if I am not screwing up....

Also got BYU as a B Bet.....

Hawk007 · 10-09-10, 03:26 PM

Get lost with your stupid hope to hit college football plays.

If that was a good system don't you think JM would be selling it!?!?

DustyDiamond · 10-10-10, 12:35 PM

Where does everyone look for streaks to see if teams qualify for a play? Can you place a filter on the site so you can see right away if there are any plays? Thanks

on3 · 10-10-10, 04:22 PM

system record: 1-0

system week 6 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

none

system week 7 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Cincinnati
Miami

mod system week 6 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Miami

mod system week 7 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Pittsburgh
Green Bay
Houston
Kansas City
New Orleans

UPDATE: going on the same premise as my mod system -- bet on good teams (at or over .500) who have lost a couple games in a row. i started combing through some numbers for last year. i found that teams who were .500 and better and who lost 2 out of 3 games in a L-W-L fashion (which elimates them from my mod system) went 7-1 in 2009 on a 3 game chase, with 5 games winning on the A game

the winners were:

balt, minn, nyj, nyg, packers, pats, chargers

the loss was the jacksonville jaguars (they lost 4 in a row SU and ATS to end the season)

teams who fit this criteria for next week are the Green Bay Packers and the Houston Texans.

what do you guys think of this? does the theory sound good? is a +.500 team who loses 2 out of 3 any different than that same team losing two in a row?

on3 · 10-10-10, 04:25 PM

tennessee would have met the criteria for the .500 LWL system today.

on3 · 10-10-10, 04:28 PM

the ny giants would have met the criteria for the .500 LWL system today as well. in their case, it was LLW that put that at a .500 record.

the LLW normally makes the team eligible for my mod system, but since this was early in the season, the giants were only 1-2 after their two losses. their win in week 4 would have made them eligible for the new system.

thejanitor · 10-10-10, 08:33 PM

This is helpful. Thanks for the time you're putting into the system and modifications.

JW Cash · 10-10-10, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Hawk007

Get lost with your stupid hope to hit college football plays.

If that was a good system don't you think JM would be selling it!?!?

Are you this intelligent deficit or are you in situation where
whatever you say just comes off as total sludge???

GGPLAYER · 10-11-10, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by palmer2712

Another little stat. On Divisional match ups the Dog is 19-4 ATS in NFL thur today. Miami fits this stat. I played them all this week and went 6 and 1 this week. 1 loss being the Bills, Miami/NE same division, Curse

. Panthers, Ravens, Rams, Brownies, Lions, Jaguars. All winners. Good luck if you play tonight. Peace

Thanks for the nugget. This week Oak covered (and won) over SD.

million2one · 10-11-10, 10:14 AM

Thank on3, this will be big help for followers if you keep up on it

GGPLAYER · 10-11-10, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by JW Cash

I got Easter Michigan and Louisana-Monroe as A Bets this week.....if I am not screwing up....

Also got BYU as a B Bet.....

Just seeing this now. I had E. Mich as the only A bet L-Monroe did not have 3 SU loses. Although if you bet them this week you won. I had B-BYU (win), B-Georgia (win), C-N. Mex (win) B-N Mex St. (loss). AtomicGuy posted them (thanks). I only bet GA and BYU. Skipped N Mex since they were playing N. Mex St. Although it played out like it should. Looking back should have just bet N. Mex.

If someone does move these NCAA plays to a new thread please let me know. Otherwise don't get your panties into bunch.

GGPLAYER · 10-11-10, 10:27 AM

[quote=on3;6798443]system record: 1-0

system week 6 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

none

system week 7 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Cincinnati
Miami

mod system week 6 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Miami

mod system week 7 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Pittsburgh
Green Bay
Houston
Kansas City
New Orleans

Would you add Buffalo to this list? Or don't we play on teams who can't throw, catch, run, stop the other team from scoring, put their jock straps on correctly, tie their shoes, etc.........