BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+

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  • Masu485
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-14-08
    • 7700

    #771
    ugh, i'm so glad they scored, at least i can go 1-1 on this now
    Comment
    • Dharmonize
      SBR MVP
      • 10-10-10
      • 1991

      #772
      Originally posted by Masu485
      i've been having really bad days too recently. i have good 6 days of the week winning 1 or 2 u each day, then saturday comes and i lose 10u each saturday. it's making me sick.
      Wouldn´t it be good to just leave out saturday betting, then? Many people lose their hard earned money from a whole week on NFL, sunday after sunday. This is why football is my "fun sport". I work hard all week on hockey just to have fun watching football and bet it for a couple of units that I am willing to write off. Try it this way, don´t get crazy just because it´s weekend and many games are played. And don´t worry, there´ll be sunshine again
      Comment
      • Dharmonize
        SBR MVP
        • 10-10-10
        • 1991

        #773
        And by the way, congrats on the over! You were quite lucky to eventually get it . I´m sorry you got burned by Edmonton, not a good "sides" day . Lets bring it on tomorrow. Have a positive rest of the night!
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #774
          Good on whoever had the Riders today... Wasn't in the mood to post after the game as not only did I have the Esks , but as a fan its not a good feeling when your team is out... I didn't like many of the calls in the second half by Richie Hall either, I thought they went way to conservative early in the 2nd half... And the fact that down 15 points they are trying field goals instead of going for it... ugh!...

          I also had about 200 on the Esks at 100-1 about 2 months ago to win the Grey cup when they were down and out... So as you see, there is vested interest... and there is VESTED interest... Alas..

          I may take a pass on tomorrows game.. I'm not sure yet.. I mean I thought todays games were guesses... What in the world are we betting on tomorrow when there is absolutely nothing on the line for anyone...
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #775
            I think I may make one small play on Mon Tomorrow... In case I don't preview..

            1 Unit Mon/Tor Under 49.5
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #776
              For once this weekend it seems that a team MAY actually rest their bench.. Toronto looks to be benching a whole buncha people sooner than later... especially since they are nursing tweaks and injuries... I also like Montreal Backup QB MacPherson running the show.. I think they cover 6... Not going to post the raw stats for this one because it just doesn't seem to apply...

              Add 1 Unit Montreal -6
              Comment
              • playboy_1
                SBR MVP
                • 03-29-10
                • 1333

                #777
                heyy bro i dont know did you relize ore not but in cfl %90 of the time in a week 2 game finished under 2 game finished over.specialy last 6 week .so far this week 2 over 1 under
                high posibilty game may go under today im with you on this one big...
                Comment
                • Dharmonize
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-10-10
                  • 1991

                  #778
                  Sorry for Edmonton, BB! I agree that under might be the only playable possibility. Was thinking about Toronto ml for 0.5-1 unit, as there could be some value in the odds. I am not betting anything, though, just gonna enjoy the game and possibly pick something live. GL!
                  Comment
                  • AndyCapper
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-12-10
                    • 113

                    #779
                    Too bad about dem' Eskies, so hot comin' into that game and they just couldn't pull it off
                    Can't wait for your plays in the playoffs, should be interesting
                    Let's finish this season with a bang BBiz!!
                    Comment
                    • Dharmonize
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-10-10
                      • 1991

                      #780
                      Somehow I am really glad this weekend is finally behind us. Although I won more than I lost, all four games felt so "weird". It is almost impossible to cap such games. I am looking forward to the playoffs. Have a positive week, guys!
                      Comment
                      • BetterBizness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-20-06
                        • 5737

                        #781
                        Sunday, November 14

                        Toronto @ Hamilton -7 O/U 48
                        BC @ Saskatchewan -4.5 (Opened @ 5.5) O/U 52
                        Comment
                        • AndyCapper
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-12-10
                          • 113

                          #782
                          Originally posted by BetterBizness
                          Sunday, November 14

                          Toronto @ Hamilton -7 O/U 48
                          BC @ Saskatchewan -4.5 (Opened @ 5.5) O/U 52
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #783
                            Updated Scorecard

                            Cal @ Win = -1.4 Units
                            BC @ Ham = -2.1 Units
                            Edm @ Sask = -3.1 Units
                            Tor @ Mon = -0.1 Units

                            Net Week 18 = -6.7 Units

                            Overall Week 6-18 Total = -3.95 Units

                            Well... Started 6 weeks in, was up almost 20 Units at one point, and ended up down down 4... with a horrible Final Week...

                            Anyhow.. thanks for all that have come to the thread, winning and losing, ups and downs... we have 3 more weeks left... Lets get back into the Plus...
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #784
                              Already leaning on small Upset Parlay ML special... Tor+BC = 8.5:1 ...
                              Comment
                              • Scully
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-21-06
                                • 1276

                                #785
                                BB I was coming in to your thread to ask your opinion of Saskatchewan over BC this weekend and now I see your small ml parlay of BC & Toronto. Do you not think the Riders may be back in sync after their victory last weekend? I am thinking Lulay may get knocked out of this contest in the first half as the Rider defense will have him on the run early and often. It's very tough to beat Saskatchewan at home as well.
                                Comment
                                • BetterBizness
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-20-06
                                  • 5737

                                  #786
                                  I'm mostly just going to put a half unit backup on the play I think... All the early money is on BC so far... They have a deadly receiving core, and in my opinion Lulay who I ridiculed early on, is clearly turning into a bonified starter before our eyes... As far as BC goes, they could have easily packed up the tent after losing to Edmonton, and yet they won their last 3 games... Can't get much hotter... I think Sask has ALOT more problems then winning one game against Edmonton can solve... They played well, but also lost possibly their key DL in Baron Simpson... who will at worst be hobbled... Lion RB robertson can definately take advantage of that... Look what Edm RB Porter did to that D... It's just the Eskimos stopped passing... BC won't have that problem, it's what wins them ball games...
                                  Comment
                                  • memo99
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-08-10
                                    • 2368

                                    #787
                                    i'm just gonna put money on both underdogs this weekend one of them will for sure win
                                    Comment
                                    • Scully
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-21-06
                                      • 1276

                                      #788
                                      So with that said, I will assume you'll be taking BC at around +5 or so BB?
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #789
                                        Originally posted by Scully
                                        So with that said, I will assume you'll be taking BC at around +5 or so BB?
                                        I think that's a safe bet... I want to see the Status of LB Simpson first... But Defiantly think both dogs are the play to some level...
                                        Comment
                                        • AndyCapper
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 08-12-10
                                          • 113

                                          #790
                                          I'm with you on the doggies this weekend BBiz!
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #791
                                            K boys... we ready for some CFL PLAYOFFS!!!!

                                            Previews in motion!
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #792
                                              Toronto @ Hamilton -6.5 O/U 47.5

                                              Toronto Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                              Tor 30 @ Mon 4 U47.5
                                              Mon 37 @ Tor 30 O47.5
                                              Tor 27 @ Win 8 U47.5
                                              Ham 30 @ Tor 3 U47.5
                                              Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U47.5
                                              Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U47.5
                                              Edm 24 @ Tor 6 U47.5
                                              Win 13 @ Tor 17 U47.5
                                              Tor 16 @ BC 37 O47.5
                                              Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U47.5
                                              Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U47.5
                                              Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O47.5
                                              Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O47.5
                                              Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - O47.5
                                              BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U47.5
                                              Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - O47.5
                                              Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O47.5
                                              Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U47.5

                                              Hamilton Seasonal Results (Most Recent first)
                                              BC 23 @ Ham 21 U47.5
                                              Ham 24 @ Cal 55 O47.5
                                              Mon 3 @ Ham 40 U47.5
                                              Ham 30 @ Tor 3 U47.5
                                              Edm 11 @ Ham 36 U47.5
                                              Ham 35 @ Edm 37 O47.5
                                              Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O47.5
                                              Ham 35 @ BC 31 O47.5
                                              Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U47.5
                                              Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U47.5
                                              Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U47.5
                                              Ham 39 @ Win 17 - O47.5
                                              Win 22 @ Ham 29 - O47.5
                                              Ham 24 @ Sask 37 - O47.5
                                              Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - O47.5
                                              Win 7 @ Ham 28 - U47.5
                                              Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U47.5
                                              Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O47.5

                                              If you've followed this thread... You're probably familiar with the bias I have against the Ti-Cats... Nothing personal.. I just think they are overrated... Sure, they make their own bounces and all that goodness... But eventually, what happens, like last week, when the ball STOPS bouncing their way... I know most people will make it sound like last week was a NOTHING game... but in fact, the fact that they TRIED to win, and didn't.. says to me that the REAL Ti-Cats are now 0-2 in the 2 last games of the season... albeit without their top receiver in Arland Bruce III... (although total props to Hamilton for still trying to get Edmonton into the playoffs)...

                                              That said...

                                              Funny thing about when you are ACTUALLY playing your backups and treating the last week as a practice... As we learned Toronto has a pretty good Bench, that beat Montreal's bench... but the week before, they were in a dogfight on the strangest Against the Spread Cover maybe ever in the CFL... Toronto is very much loose and on their game, and I expect this to be very close... clearly leaning on taking the 6.5 given to us...

                                              I also expect it to be mucky and possibly rainy in Hamilton.. it's going to be 50 degrees and overcast... In Hamilton, that tends to translate into Unders... as there are no "good" conditions in Ivor Wynn Stadium... Just "ok" and "ugh"... makes balls do some crazy things.... which is probably why Hamilton at home is 7-2 UNDER 47.5 this year... Now the playoffs play HEAVY into the equation and really, Add the Argo's last THREE road games are also under the mark....

                                              So Can Toronto win? 3 straight Road wins say Yes... Ok the Montreal game was a bit of a throw away, but on the road Toronto also has FIVE wins... one less then the ENTIRE last 2 SEASONS - OVERALL... To say Toronto came from humble beginnings the last few years is pretty much understating it...

                                              But then we chew on the fact that Toronto has LOST all three games this year to Hamilton... That's hard to do... so without saying they're due.... I'm saying that IF the same Toronto Team that showed up to those last 3 shows up today... then Jim Barker has clearly been outcoached, because like anything with strategy, in a talent pool that for the sake of argument is very similar as a whole, adjustments are made to STOP dominance ... and this Toronto team the past 5 weeks (except for 4 weeks ago vs Hamilton) is completely different than the first 13 weeks...

                                              Finally.... Hamilton has 2 wins in their last 5 at home... the 4th Q surge vs the Eskimos... and the 40-3 Trouncing of Montreal... Remember.. the One where Mon QB Calvillo came up with -7 points in back to back 1st N Goal possessions...

                                              'Nuff said...

                                              4 Units Under 47.5
                                              2 Units Tor +6.5
                                              1 Unit Tor ML +230
                                              Comment
                                              • BetterBizness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-20-06
                                                • 5737

                                                #793
                                                BC @ Saskatchewan -4 O/U 52

                                                BC Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                                BC 23 @ Ham 21 U52
                                                BC 36 @ Cal 31 O52
                                                Edm 31 @ BC 28 O52
                                                BC 35 @ Win 47 O52
                                                Win 14 @ BC 16 U52
                                                BC 29 @ Cal 10 U52
                                                Ham 35 @ BC 31 O52
                                                Tor 16 @ BC 37 O52
                                                BC 38 @ Mon 17 O52
                                                Cal 48 @ BC 35 O52
                                                BC 13 @ Sask 37 U52
                                                Cal 27 @ BC 22 -U52
                                                BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O52
                                                BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U52
                                                Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U52
                                                Sask 37 @ BC 18 - O52
                                                BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U52

                                                Seasonal Sask Results (most recent first)
                                                Edm 23 @ Sask 31 O52
                                                Sask 24 @ Edm 39 O52
                                                Cal 36 @ Sask 24 O52
                                                Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U52
                                                Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U52
                                                Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O52
                                                Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O52
                                                Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U52
                                                Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U52
                                                Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U52
                                                BC 13 @ Sask 37 - U52
                                                Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O52
                                                Ham 24 @ Sask 38 - O52
                                                Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O52
                                                Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U52
                                                Sask 38 @ BC 18 - O52
                                                Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O52

                                                Preview coming....
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #794
                                                  Adding

                                                  0.5 Unit Parlay - Tor(+235)+BC(+165)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dharmonize
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-10-10
                                                    • 1991

                                                    #795
                                                    I´m so glad you are on Toronto! Got absolutely killed in hockey this week. So I really hope at least one of the dogs hits! Good luck with your parlay too. I´m just gonna put 1 unit on Argos ML and 1.5 units on the spread and postpone the BC game till later. Good luck!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #796
                                                      Adding 0.5 Unit Parlay Tor +6.5 + Under 47.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                        • 5737

                                                        #797
                                                        Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                                        I´m so glad you are on Toronto! Got absolutely killed in hockey this week. So I really hope at least one of the dogs hits! Good luck with your parlay too. I´m just gonna put 1 unit on Argos ML and 1.5 units on the spread and postpone the BC game till later. Good luck!!
                                                        I have to go out until about half time so I'm hoping its' 10-3 Toronto when I get back ... I'm sure 31-7 Hamilton isn't out of the rhelm of a fade anyhow... Lets get it done Dharm!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dharmonize
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-10-10
                                                          • 1991

                                                          #798
                                                          I´m so glad you are on Toronto! Got absolutely killed in hockey this week. So I really hope at least one of the dogs hits! Good luck with your parlay too. I put 1 unit on Argos ML and 1.5 units on the spread and postpone the BC game till later. Good luck!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dharmonize
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-10-10
                                                            • 1991

                                                            #799
                                                            I could not post earlier, there was some database error I guess the NFL Sunday is too much to take for SBR from time to time.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dharmonize
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-10-10
                                                              • 1991

                                                              #800
                                                              Ha, now I see I actually posted and it seemed to have failed. So I´ll try to erase the later one. Sorry!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dharmonize
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-10-10
                                                                • 1991

                                                                #801
                                                                It does not seem to work, I´m sorry again for messing this thread! It was not on purpose...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dharmonize
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-10-10
                                                                  • 1991

                                                                  #802
                                                                  I totally missed on the big under play! I really have to wake up much earlier, oh gosh! Best of luck with that, I´ll try to get that live!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Scully
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-21-06
                                                                    • 1276

                                                                    #803
                                                                    BB you really think BC is a solid play this afternoon at +5.5 pts.?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #804
                                                                      K boys.. back... and we seem to be in the right area code ....13-6 after 3...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #805
                                                                        BC @ Saskatchewan -4 O/U 52

                                                                        BC Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                                                        BC 23 @ Ham 21 U52
                                                                        BC 36 @ Cal 31 O52
                                                                        Edm 31 @ BC 28 O52
                                                                        BC 35 @ Win 47 O52
                                                                        Win 14 @ BC 16 U52
                                                                        BC 29 @ Cal 10 U52
                                                                        Ham 35 @ BC 31 O52
                                                                        Tor 16 @ BC 37 O52
                                                                        BC 38 @ Mon 17 O52
                                                                        Cal 48 @ BC 35 O52
                                                                        BC 13 @ Sask 37 U52
                                                                        Cal 27 @ BC 22 -U52
                                                                        BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O52
                                                                        BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U52
                                                                        Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U52
                                                                        Sask 37 @ BC 18 - O52
                                                                        BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U52

                                                                        Seasonal Sask Results (most recent first)
                                                                        Edm 23 @ Sask 31 O52
                                                                        Sask 24 @ Edm 39 O52
                                                                        Cal 36 @ Sask 24 O52
                                                                        Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U52
                                                                        Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U52
                                                                        Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O52
                                                                        Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O52
                                                                        Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U52
                                                                        Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U52
                                                                        Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U52
                                                                        BC 13 @ Sask 37 - U52
                                                                        Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O52
                                                                        Ham 24 @ Sask 38 - O52
                                                                        Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O52
                                                                        Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U52
                                                                        Sask 38 @ BC 18 - O52
                                                                        Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O52

                                                                        Big thing noted in this game is Can the Lions get through the Planes Trains and Automobiles road trip to Regina... Due to fog it was a nightmare getting there, but you know what... This is just in Addition to ALL the other factors that they've had to go through to get here.. all the tough games etc...

                                                                        Rider beat Edmonton... or Edmonton beat themselves, not really sure... One things for sure, they lost 4 games before they figured it out... now they are world beaters?

                                                                        If Toronto holds on, that means TWO upsets in the first round?

                                                                        Can't happen right?

                                                                        BC 2 Units +4.5
                                                                        BC 1 Unit ML +185
                                                                        2 Units Over 52
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