BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+

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  • Dharmonize
    SBR MVP
    • 10-10-10
    • 1991

    #701
    Hi guys! I like the exact opposite of playboy_1, at first sight Calgary - 3 and possibly over, or no play on the total. But haven´t decided yet what to play tonight. Looking forward to any leans or opinions. gl
    Comment
    • Masu485
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-14-08
      • 7700

      #702
      i'll be on calgary as well
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #703
        My lean is definitely Calgary, but only in the first half... I'm not trusting Drew Tate for any of my $.... Preview will be up soon...
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #704
          Calgary -3 @ Winnipeg O/U 53.5

          Cal Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
          Ham 24 @ Cal 55 O53.5
          BC 36 @ Cal 31 O53.5
          Cal 19 @ Mon 46 O53.5
          Mon 21 @ Cal 46 O53.5
          BC 29 @ Cal 10 U53.5
          Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O53.5
          Cal 36 @ Edm 20 O53.5
          Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O53.5
          Cal 48 @ BC 35 O53.5
          Edm 15 @ Cal 56 O53.5
          Calgary 27 @ BC 22 - U53.5
          Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U53.5
          Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O53.5
          Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - U53.5
          Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U53.5
          Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U53.5

          Winnipeg Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
          Win 13 @ Edm 16 U53.5
          Tor 27 @ Win 8 U53.5
          Win 19 @ Mon 22 U53.5
          BC 35 @ Win 47 O53.5
          Win 14 @ BC 16 U53.5
          Mon 44 @ Win 40 O53.5
          Win 13 @ Tor 17 U53.5
          Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U53.5
          Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U53.5
          Win 17 @ Mon 39 - O53.5
          Ham 39 @ Win 28 - O53.5
          Win 22 @ Ham 29 - O53.5
          Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U53.5
          Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O53.5
          Win 6 @ Ham 28 - U53.5
          Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O53.5
          Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O53.5

          What's to like about trying to cap this game with QB Burris taking limited snaps and wonderboy Backup Drew Tate in... Well the first Q for starters... If the Stamps do ANYTHING in this game, it will likely be when all the starters try and do what the Eskimos didn't last week and ATTACK Win QB Joey Elliott... I think 0.5 may be a small gift to be given to us based on that fact alone... Elliott did NOTHING last week except throw dump passes all night and hand the ball of to RB Reid...

          Winnipeg D Line is nasty and wants to Hit Burris every chance they get, and I think this is another reason why the play calling will be limited if he starts getting hit...

          I think this whole game reeks Under, and the sooner (After the 1Q of course) Drew tate comes in the better... You saw what Winnipeg did last week to Edmonton.. Their Defense is still playing with alot of pride... Wouldn't be surprised at all if THEY are the ones that win the game by themselves...

          small bet tonight...

          0.5 Units Cal -0.5 1Q +118
          2 Units Under 53.5
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #705
            Notice how Pinny is holding the line for winnipeg at -130 for the +0.5 .. they absolutely don't want to give it a pickem... I just reduced the 1Q bet to a half unit... Pinny is one of the sharpest lines in the biz and I don't want to get burnt too much here... Yet I don't want to pay the juice on the tie either... In the 1Q that Pickem is a deadly thing... although I think there is clear value to play small on the +118...
            Comment
            • Dharmonize
              SBR MVP
              • 10-10-10
              • 1991

              #706
              Thanks for the preview, BB! The more I look at it, the less value I see in this game. I don´t like playing quarters much as it is close to guessing, so I´ll just go with Calgary -3 for the game, 1 unit. GL all!
              Comment
              • Hawk007
                SBR MVP
                • 01-26-09
                • 2492

                #707
                Lets cash that under BB.....
                NCAA Basketball
                '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                WNBA
                '10 (45-29) 64%
                CFL
                '10 (20-18)
                NCAAF
                '10 (16-7)
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #708
                  Originally posted by Dharmonize
                  Thanks for the preview, BB! The more I look at it, the less value I see in this game. I don´t like playing quarters much as it is close to guessing, so I´ll just go with Calgary -3 for the game, 1 unit. GL all!
                  Well I hope you get it Dharm, but I don't think that play has much value from a capping perspective.. I at least know that Burris is going to start the game... play a few series... A full game play here now is putting faith in the Backups, who may/may not do well...

                  I'm very happy to put my faith in 15 minutes and lose on the right play then guess over 60...
                  Comment
                  • tension
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-11-10
                    • 192

                    #709
                    I've gone Calgary -3 for the game, no Q1 or HT markets at my bookie for CFL.
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #710
                      Cal 7-0.. good for everyone...
                      Comment
                      • BetterBizness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-20-06
                        • 5737

                        #711
                        wow... Kickoff Rouge... This plays HUGE into 1Q
                        Comment
                        • BetterBizness
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-20-06
                          • 5737

                          #712
                          Tate is in.. Under is getting killed..
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #713
                            Tate is in.. We can still win 50-3...
                            Comment
                            • tension
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-11-10
                              • 192

                              #714
                              The unders look in big danger. Come on Stamps don't let them kick anymore FG's!
                              Comment
                              • purecut
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 10-12-10
                                • 76

                                #715
                                Hey Guys I Have A Free Picks For Sunday Football.
                                Minnesota's Game Under 41 And Buy 2 Points (A Bet)
                                N.Y. Jets Spread -4.5 And Buy 2 Points (A Bet)
                                N.Y. Jets Game Under 42 And Buy 2 Points (A Bet)
                                Dallas Spread +7.5 And Buy 2 Points (A Bet)
                                Dallas Game Under 45.5 And Buy 2 Points (A Bet)
                                If You Loos Chase This Teams All The Way To (B Bet And C Bet) OK DON'T FORGET


                                AND DON'T FORGET TO BUY 2 POINTS


                                Overall Record So Far 4-0


                                P.S. MONDAY NIGHT TAKE CINCINNATI BENGALS +5 AND BUY 2 POINTS


                                GOOD LUCK
                                BY Pure Picks
                                Comment
                                • tension
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-11-10
                                  • 192

                                  #716
                                  Lol Rambo's TD celebration
                                  Comment
                                  • tension
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-11-10
                                    • 192

                                    #717
                                    God i hate Calgary they always fk'en lose me money.
                                    Comment
                                    • Masu485
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-14-08
                                      • 7700

                                      #718
                                      fukk man, calgary was running the show
                                      Comment
                                      • Masu485
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-14-08
                                        • 7700

                                        #719
                                        this looks like either a loss or a push
                                        Comment
                                        • Masu485
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-14-08
                                          • 7700

                                          #720
                                          c'mon let's get 1pt here and just end the game
                                          Comment
                                          • raiders510
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-05-10
                                            • 1038

                                            #721
                                            stamps>>>>>>>>>>







                                            caglary native here.....oh and i got the bombers in this one (no money on the line though)
                                            Comment
                                            • Masu485
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-14-08
                                              • 7700

                                              #722
                                              i really hate how that was a push!
                                              Comment
                                              • tension
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-11-10
                                                • 192

                                                #723
                                                I guess a Push is better than a loss, but f\*\*k the Stamps had that
                                                Comment
                                                • Dharmonize
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-10-10
                                                  • 1991

                                                  #724
                                                  I really have no clue how after the 1Q like this I get a bloody push for the game At least should have played the over, I felt it coming, but couldn´t pull the trigger. Congrats on the 1Q BB and everyone! You were right, words of a prophet. I just don´t play quarters. It might be a good idea to change one´s habits from time to time .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Masu485
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-14-08
                                                    • 7700

                                                    #725
                                                    what are people's thoughts on tomorrow's games?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AndyCapper
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 08-12-10
                                                      • 113

                                                      #726
                                                      BC playin' for their lives. Interesting.....
                                                      BC -4 at Hamilton.... wowzers!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tension
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-11-10
                                                        • 192

                                                        #727
                                                        I'm still seeing BC -3.5 but @ Hamilton really favourites? Its starts for me about 5am local time so many I should just give it a miss.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BetterBizness
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-20-06
                                                          • 5737

                                                          #728
                                                          Got home late but was checking the scores throughout the night.... EF U Calgary for f'n me like they do every week...

                                                          You can't beat on Joey Elliott in his second Career Start.... Then you can't even win the game.... Thankfully we don't have to see you for 2 weeks now...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #729
                                                            BIG BIG Day in the Canadian Football League Boys and Girls!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • xraygord
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-18-09
                                                              • 2599

                                                              #730
                                                              Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                              BIG BIG Day in the Canadian Football League Boys and Girls!!!

                                                              Lets get it on!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dharmonize
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-10-10
                                                                • 1991

                                                                #731
                                                                Ok, so lets win big! Don´t know if it is the case of my first pick today, but I decided to keep fading BC. Hamilton ML, 1 unit. I really don´t care too much for this game, if it loses, I will definititely heal on the later one. GL all!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #732
                                                                  BC -4 @ Hamilton O/U 52

                                                                  BC Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                                                  Sask 17 @ BC 23 U52
                                                                  BC 36 @ Cal 31 O52
                                                                  Edm 31 @ BC 28 O52
                                                                  BC 35 @ Win 47 O52
                                                                  Win 14 @ BC 16 U52
                                                                  BC 29 @ Cal 10 U52
                                                                  Ham 35 @ BC 31 O52
                                                                  Tor 16 @ BC 37 O52
                                                                  BC 38 @ Mon 17 O52
                                                                  Cal 48 @ BC 35 O52
                                                                  BC 13 @ Sask 37 U52
                                                                  Cal 27 @ BC 22 -U52
                                                                  BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O52
                                                                  BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U52
                                                                  Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U52
                                                                  Sask 37 @ BC 18 - O52
                                                                  BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U52

                                                                  Hamilton Seasonal Results (Most Recent first)
                                                                  Ham 24 @ Cal 55 O52
                                                                  Mon 3 @ Ham 40 U52
                                                                  Ham 30 @ Tor 3 U52
                                                                  Edm 11 @ Ham 36 U52
                                                                  Ham 35 @ Edm 37 O52
                                                                  Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O52
                                                                  Ham 35 @ BC 31 O52
                                                                  Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U52
                                                                  Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U52
                                                                  Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U52
                                                                  Ham 39 @ Win 17 - O52
                                                                  Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U52
                                                                  Ham 24 @ Sask 37 - O52
                                                                  Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U52
                                                                  Win 7 @ Ham 28 - U52
                                                                  Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U52
                                                                  Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O52

                                                                  Its hard for me to see ANYTHING other then the obvious in this game... Which is BC is going to Pounce on Hamilton... Hamilton coaching staff seems to be saying the right things... But they definitely don't seem to be acting on it... In fact, last night, they didn't even go through the day before walk through... They chose to have team meetings instead...

                                                                  Ham Coach Bellefeuille basically has WR Arlond Bruce III is a game time decision despite the hamstring... Which may be true, but when you are playing in 7 days and have a nothing game int he midddle, do you really think, even if he plays, it will be significant... Maybe a couple of reps for conditioning, but comon...

                                                                  Not to mention, but let's talk about Hamilton Backup QB Quinton Porter out of Boston College who has thrown just 21 passes this year...Although, the only hope there is that he has significant CFL experience, last year he threw 167 completions of 261 pass attempts (64%) ... in his 3 years in the CFL he has thrown 17 TD's to 14 INTs... So if you're looking for ANY hope that Hamilton may stay competitive... At least he's not making his first CFL start...

                                                                  I was reading that the game could have some messed up weather, but looking at the forecast, 4 Deg (C), 37 Deg (F) but no rain in sight... Just chilly with a slight wind... Nothing that should play a factor at any rate...

                                                                  Another telling factor is that Edmonton, who needs to win AFTER BC wins... Has alredy declared banged up QB Ricky Ray will Start... Of course they tell you that his playing time will depend on how BC does... But we know... He will be playing for the Eskimo Season is what it will come down to... Conspiracy Theory also says that if Hamilton plays tough, and even wins... WHO will watch the Eskimos Later on in the day... It all adds up as far as I'm concerned...

                                                                  I think the play, Eskimo fan or not, is BC -4 ... We have to be nuts to not think they are going to win this game by at LEAST that much... Sure Hamilton doesn't want to get blown out 2 straight games... But they really don't care.. and will Play that way....

                                                                  3 Units BC -4

                                                                  Maybe the easiest money we'll make all year....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Line has jumped to BC -4.5 .. I don't think that deters us in the least... If anything the steam is going in the right direction...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • xraygord
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-18-09
                                                                      • 2599

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                                                      Line has jumped to BC -4.5 .. I don't think that deters us in the least... If anything the steam is going in the right direction...
                                                                      Yup, not worried, I already had BC at -4, but just threw down another couple units at -4.5.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                                                        Congrats on the 1Q BB and everyone! You were right, words of a prophet.
                                                                        Not a prophet... Just a guy who likes Profit... Take what is given to you... Way too many question marks on the 2nd half...
                                                                        Comment
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