BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+
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djpremier36SBR MVP
- 12-11-08
- 3479
#561Comment -
DharmonizeSBR MVP
- 10-10-10
- 1991
#562Toronto cashed, great! Congrats all who played it!!I overslept, so will have to try to play the second game live, if there is some value to be found in the odds. GL!
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DharmonizeSBR MVP
- 10-10-10
- 1991
#563. I just love CFL, as there are not many teams in the league and it seems very intimate to me. Being rough and familiar in the same time, this league resembles Canada itself in a way, it is very close to my heart. Gee, sorry for being pathetic
GL on whatever you play (have to find out on the previous page)!
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DharmonizeSBR MVP
- 10-10-10
- 1991
#564Oh, what a shame it did not stay under in the last 2 minutes. Nice hit with the Edm, thoughI only had Sask + 10.5 live, with the way it was going did not dare to buy + 15.5 (17.5 or even 19.5) later on, should have. Well, still in green this week in CFL. See you next week (don´t know exactly when the playoffs start, I guess it should be in two weeks). I might visit your NHL thread, BB, but I noticed it is kinda dead. Do you bet NHL on regular basis?
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BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#565Oh, what a shame it did not stay under in the last 2 minutes. Nice hit with the Edm, thoughI only had Sask + 10.5 live, with the way it was going did not dare to buy + 15.5 (17.5 or even 19.5) later on, should have. Well, still in green this week in CFL. See you next week (don´t know exactly when the playoffs start, I guess it should be in two weeks). I might visit your NHL thread, BB, but I noticed it is kinda dead. Do you bet NHL on regular basis?
Ended up with a winning day... But had this Edmonton Play, and put another unit on the under when I found out Zebransky was in just before game time....as well as the Northwestern Play vs Mich St. that screwed me large (review it on your own if you don't know... But I had NW +4.5, up 6 with the ball with just over 2 min left and lost)... Alas... no need to dwell... we get some of those and lose some of those...
Look forward to next week anyhow...Comment -
DharmonizeSBR MVP
- 10-10-10
- 1991
#566You were at that game?! Hey, even though the loss must have been more painful because of that, I still have to say: lucky you! Lucky you for being able to attend the game and feel the atmosphere there!
Alright, hopefully see you next week, gl with your bets!Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#567Updated Scorecard:
Mon @ Ham = -5.5 Units (4 Units FT + 1.5 Units 2nd Half)
BC @ Cal = -8 Units
Tor @ Win = +2.9 Units
Sask @ Edm = +0.8 Units
Net Week 17 = -9.8 Units
Overall Week 6-17 Total = +2.15 Units
Unfortunately I tilted on the second halfs of Both the Friday Games, and just those alone cost me 5 units...
The Eskimo game's late Pick 6 etc cost another 2 units... But I did get the Esks... and thankfully, the one thing I got right in this mess was Toronto ML... I personally had put another couple of units late to save a horrible week from just being a bad week...
I need to stop tilting... take my lumps and reduce losses... One more lesson in the great big lessons of life...
Onward to next week where the guessing games really begin with 2 weeks left....Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#568Boys and girls... already on 5 Units on the Eskimo game at -6.5 ...
No dancing locks... No play of the century... Just a Good old fashion, hopefully solid pick...
Edm QB Zebransky in which is pulling DOWN the line, who just came off of beating Saskatchewan and we know is a VERY good QB... Moreso the fact that Winnipeg is down to their 4th String QB.. playing in Edmonton... Where if they win they clinch... Winnipeg is completely out of the playoffs, and not playing for anything but pride, which is always dangerous... If Gyles is in, I never make this play this strong... But without him, I've seen what Winnipeg can do with Brink... and that is not much...Now they are going down to Elliot out of Purdue... Not saying that Joey Elliott can't play the game of his life.. But his first start in Edmonton... What can I say...
Hope for the best...
5 Units Edmonton -6.5Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#569Edmonton is already being attacked on Pinny as it's up to -7.5... Intertops still has it at -6.5 ... 7 isn't the number it is in the CFL, but it's still obviously a wiser move to grab it as low as possible... the fact that it's crossed over the line already says to me it will likely get to 8, even 9 in the end...Comment -
ssk13809SBR MVP
- 08-25-10
- 2595
#570Wow who bets on CFL
LameComment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#573And now.. Back to our regularly scheduled Handicapping...
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BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#574Montreal -4.5 @ Toronto O/U 48
Montreal Season Results (Most recent first)
Mon 3 @ Ham 40 U48
Win 19 @ Mon 22 U48
Cal 19 @ Mon 46 O48
Mon 21 @ Cal 46 O48
Mon 44 @ Win 40 O48
Edm 14 @ Mon 31 U48
Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U48
BC 38 @ Mon 17 O48
Win 17 @ Mon 38 O48
Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O48
Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O48
Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - O48
Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - O48
Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U48
Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O48
Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O48
Toronto Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
Tor 27 @ Win 8 U48
Ham 3 @ Tor 30 U48
Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U48
Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U48
Edm 24 @ Tor 6 U48
Win 13 @ Tor 17 U48
Tor 16 @ BC 37 O48
Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U48
Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U48
Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O48
Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O48
Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - O48
BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U48
Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - O48
Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O48
Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U48
In these nothing type games, Its really hard to commit to a side... Leaning sort of Montreal to bounce back off of some sloppy starts... Particularly last week when Mon QB A. Cavillo goes back to back 1st and Goals, and ends up with MINUS 7 points... Clearly that will likely NEVER happen again... despite the score, the Als WANTED to win that game, and moved the ball well .. Calvillo in essentially 35 minutes was 18 of 26 for 258 yards passing...More then what some QB's get in a full game in the CFL...
But the lean isn't so much the Als, which they are publicly proclaiming that they are going to start their starters, and play to win, because they are really playing poorly... They lean is this Rock Bottom Total of 48 ... WOW... FOURTY EIGHT... clearly that comes from the Toronto end where their last 6 have been under that number... 8 of 9 as well ...
I'm will put a good bet on this Over because I believe after last week, that it's no so much "Toronto will put it all together"... as much as... Both of them want to get back into form ... I believe this is the type of no pressure type game that will allow both offenses to just play football... and the luxury of this bet is the fact that I believe this score will be in the 50's... Yet they are giving us a number in the 40's...
Adding to it all Mon WR Watkins is back, as is Kicker Duval... and Even if things get dicey for Montreal at QB... I have full faith in his Backup MacPherson to come in and lead... although I think I will attempt to make a bit of a diversification play for the first half...
No play on the Spread... Just...
1.5 Units Over 1H 24.5
3 Units Over 48Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#575That Edmonton Number is now at 8.5 in most places... I'm still liking it, but we are crossing all sorts of rough numbers now... we've crossed the 7, the 8, and maybe even the 9...
Still think Esks win by 10+ but... the longer you wait, the worse this game will get...Comment -
purecutSBR Hustler
- 10-12-10
- 76
#576Hey guys i have a free picks for sunday football.
Green Bay +6.5 and buy 2 Points.
Jets VS Packers Game Take Under and buy 2 Points.
Good Luck
By PurePicksComment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
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BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#578If You are going over on the Toronto Game, you can find 47.5 on Pinny right now at -105...Comment -
xraygordSBR MVP
- 09-18-09
- 2599
#581Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on the HAM CAL game BB.
BOL tonight.Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#582
I'm done with him and the buffer of entertainment that he provided between the Monday Night game and this coming weekend of Football (CFL), Football (NCAA), and More Football (NFL) ... with some NBA, MLB, and NHL sprinkled in...
WOW I love October...
BOL this weekend to us all...Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#583Guys if you're going to Grab the Eskimo Game at ANY point... I would start grabbing it now cuz it's getting scarier... I've now almost 7 Units on the play but at 6.5 and 7... But it's climbing, and now it's gone from -6.5 to -8.5 (-115) and already 9 in some places... I'm just saying this is now territory for backdoor covers and the rest of it... We know how The Giants Second Half, Northwestern, and The Eskimo Under went last weekend .... Despite ALL reasons for things NOT to happen.. They Just happen... so get the best price you can... Hopefully the Esks can dominate this game and win by 21 and make everyone happy, but we know how that goes...
Also noticed Win QB Elliot is noted as completing 8-16 passes... What decieving was that most of those completions were with Toronto already up 3 TD's and in the last couple of drives... All mostly Dink and Dunks... I'm telling you this game has possibilities of getting ugly sooner than later...
With that I will give you my opinion later on the "fix" of the Roughriders in BC...Comment -
DharmonizeSBR MVP
- 10-10-10
- 1991
#584Hello! I can´t really read any of today´s matches. I would parlay Montreal and Calgary ML, but these are two dumb moves at once. Firstly I almost don´t do parlays, secondly parlaying two square plays could just burn me as it happened many time before. I will just tail BB on the totals of game one, and decide later what with the second game. Hamilton plays Calgary tough, their last two games were as close as they could (1 point I believe). I kinda like Hamilton ML, but probably will wait for the game and bet it live. Now I talked myself into it. Montreal - 4.5, 2 units. God, I hate missing home dogs at + money, but just can´t help myself. I am innerly forced to take favs last two weeks. BOL to all!Comment -
memo99SBR MVP
- 01-08-10
- 2368
#585i think there will be a lot of turnovers in that game edmonton and winnipeg will both be using the running game as wpg would be crazy to let their #4 starting Qb air it out and also daniel porter has been a very good weapon for the esks since the injury to whitlock esks should win by at least 10Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#586i think there will be a lot of turnovers in that game edmonton and winnipeg will both be using the running game as wpg would be crazy to let their #4 starting Qb air it out and also daniel porter has been a very good weapon for the esks since the injury to whitlock esks should win by at least 10Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#587Adding 1.5 Units 1Q Over 10 ...(+100)Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#589K we have 12 minutes to get 2 points for the 24.5 half (17-6) ... Lets get it...Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#590Chad Owens is the best thing in the league since Rocket Ismail / Gizmo Williams...Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#59217-16 Montreal at half... Very much debating the +3 on Toronto the way they are interested in this game...Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#593FFS sakes... O Toronto how I hate thee...
Add 1 Unit Toronto +3 2H (-110)Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#594Hamilton Seasonal Results (Most Recent first)
Mon 3 @ Ham 40 U53.5
Ham 30 @ Tor 3 U53.5
Edm 11 @ Ham 36 U53.5
Ham 35 @ Edm 37 O53.5
Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O53.5
Ham 35 @ BC 31 O53.5
Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U53.5
Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U53.5
Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U53.5
Ham 39 @ Win 17 - O53.5
Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U53.5
Ham 24 @ Sask 37 - O53.5
Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U53.5
Win 7 @ Ham 28 - U53.5
Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U53.5
Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O53.5
Cal Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
BC 36 @ Cal 31 O53.5
Cal 19 @ Mon 46 O53.5
Mon 21 @ Cal 46 O53.5
BC 29 @ Cal 10 U53.57
Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O53.5
Cal 36 @ Edm 20 O53.5
Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O53.5
Cal 48 @ BC 35 O53.5
Edm 15 @ Cal 56 O53.5
Calgary 27 @ BC 22 - U53.5
Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U53.5
Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O53.5
Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - U53.5
Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U53.5
Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U53.5
My opinion is simply this.. Yes Hamilton has won 3 of their last games by no less than 25...
But in My opinion... Is these were not DOMINANT performances.. These were just the good fortune of some positive momentum... This is NOT saying Hamilton is a BAD team... But they are NOT #1 in the TSN power rankings over Calgary and Montreal.. comon... LB Baggs is however, da, shiznit... and he is a player.. But again, some VERY good fortune from the Defense as a whole... When do you think the next time Mon QB A. Cavillo will end up MINUS 7 points with 2 back to back possessions 1st and goal....
Ok enough trashing of the Overrated Tiger Cats... The bottom line is Calgary is shaking right now... They can't do ANYTHING right... Last week, they basically BEAT UP BC, (but for the 21 point edge to start)... They are VERY vulnerable deep as well... Clearly something that needs to be patched up...
Unlike the Toronto/Montreal game though, I also believe this is a game that the DEFENSE needs to be worked on... Patching up the deep ball particularly for the Stamps... This game has alot more likelyhood of an under then an over...
I will thus go...
2 Units Calgary -5
Cal/Ham Under 53.5Comment -
DharmonizeSBR MVP
- 10-10-10
- 1991
#595Congrats on the 1 half!Very close game so far. Just anyone can win it, even in the last minute. I was just about to hedge my Montreal bet live, but the overs would pay for the loss, so I´ll leave it as it is.
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