BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+

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  • Scully
    SBR MVP
    • 09-21-06
    • 1276

    #666
    Who you likin' Andy?
    Or do you have a lean toward the total?
    Comment
    • Dharmonize
      SBR MVP
      • 10-10-10
      • 1991

      #667
      Good day everybody! Let´s hit the Saskatchewan ML hard! Just need a fat, greasy dog to bring home some cash. I don´t trust BC Lions. On the other hand I have no important info, nor a gut feeling about this one. As for the totals, the over looks almost too easy. So I would bet under (as much as I hate betting unders, especially in CFL) or no play. Looking forward to BB´s insightful preview to correct or change my perspective.
      Comment
      • AndyCapper
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-12-10
        • 113

        #668
        Scully leanin' towards Sask +3, but waitin' for BBiz.You got a lean on the game Sculls?
        Light rain in Vancouver. Under??
        Comment
        • Scully
          SBR MVP
          • 09-21-06
          • 1276

          #669
          Dharmonize made a good point in that you never know which Lions team is going to show up from week to week. I would like to think they pull out the victory today at home but knowing Saskatchewan, they would love to play spoiler as well. Andy I think the Riders cover but that the game will come down to a last minute FG, sort of like last night's game in Edmonton, only with a few more points. Maybe a Rider one or two point victory and over? It's a tough call.
          Comment
          • AndyCapper
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-12-10
            • 113

            #670
            Agreed. A month ago I would of said Sask would run away with it but BC has so much to play for, makes it too unpredictable. Might just make a very small play on the under cuz of the rain. $10 on the under!!!! If BBiz has a strong lean, I will go with it. BBiz...where are you??
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #671
              Saskatchewan @ BC -3 O/U 53

              Seasonal Sask Results (most recent first)
              Sask 24 @ Edm 39 O53
              Cal 36 @ Sask 24 O53
              Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U53
              Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U53
              Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O53
              Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O53
              Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U53
              Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U53
              Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U53
              BC 13 @ Sask 37 - U53
              Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O53
              Ham 24 @ Sask 38 - O53
              Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O53
              Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U53
              Sask 38 @ BC 18 - O53
              Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O53

              BC Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
              BC 36 @ Cal 31 O53
              Edm 31 @ BC 28 O53
              BC 35 @ Win 47 O53
              Win 14 @ BC 16 U53
              BC 29 @ Cal 10 U53
              Ham 35 @ BC 31 O53
              Tor 16 @ BC 37 P53
              BC 38 @ Mon 17 O53
              Cal 48 @ BC 35 O53
              BC 13 @ Sask 37 U53
              Cal 27 @ BC 22 -U53
              BC 25 @ Edm 28 - P53
              BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U53
              Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U53
              Sask 37 @ BC 18 - O53
              BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U53

              I know this is game everyone seems to be licking their chops over... but I'm not sure why? this game has trap written on both sides? So many tough questions... Will Durant play beyond Q2? (They say he is starting)... Will BC play like the desperate team they are... Will BC light up a Sask Ground Defense that has given up 568 yards in the past 3 games?

              On the other hand... The Riders, like the Al's the other day.. Are playing with momentum in mind... as AndyCapper said in a previous post... 3-4 weeks ago this is a 6 Point AD for the Riders... But now, with little to play for, and losing 3 straight... what will they come back with?

              Relatively warm but some drizzle seems to be going on in the Pacific Northwest, which may slow down some of the passing attack possibly... But again, nothing I'm reading is tipping me to much more then the current weather situation... They both want to win.. BC NEEDS to win...

              I'm laying VERY low on this game and leaning on the under 53... Otherwise I'm just personally cheering for the Riders so the Eskimos are in the playoffs... Unless someone has a better read on this game, I would lay low as well... Just too many question marks, that for that matter may be worthwhile looking at for the 2nd half...

              Thus

              1.5 Units Under 53
              Comment
              • AndyCapper
                SBR High Roller
                • 08-12-10
                • 113

                #672
                Ok BBiz, you convinced me! $12.50 on the under!!
                Comment
                • Scully
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-21-06
                  • 1276

                  #673
                  Well said BB and I never thought of waiting until the second half but you may definitely have a good point. Monitor the first half and see how the game plays out to start.
                  BOL.
                  Comment
                  • Scully
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-21-06
                    • 1276

                    #674
                    Picked this info up from another website. Can anyone confirm the Saskatchewan receivers sitting this one out today?

                    If last week was any indication, Riders have packed it in for the reg season, I expect them to be missing a couple of key receivers again (rest and injury) and going up against a very hungry team that is playing some of its best fball of the season
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #675
                      Adding... 0.5 Units Sask 1H +1.5

                      if Sask is going to come to play it will be in the first half... But lets really watch and see how this plays out...
                      Comment
                      • AndyCapper
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-12-10
                        • 113

                        #676
                        on it!!
                        Comment
                        • Dharmonize
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-10-10
                          • 1991

                          #677
                          Thanks for the preview, BB! I too somehow feel the Riders could take an early lead. Therefore Sask ML for 2 units (with a possibility to hedge live later on), 1 unit on the under 53 (I hate to do that, always means sweating the games till the end ). GL all!
                          Comment
                          • Scully
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-21-06
                            • 1276

                            #678
                            Bol fellows.
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #679
                              Steam moves the Total to 53.5... and now BC -3 is -110...
                              Comment
                              • BetterBizness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-20-06
                                • 5737

                                #680
                                well 3-0 Riders after 1... right pace anyhow....
                                Comment
                                • SwisherSweet420
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 922

                                  #681
                                  i love it the under. my book doesnt offer half lines
                                  sbr
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #682
                                    DId you hear the comment about Ryan Phillips? The DB for the Lions...

                                    He has 5 INT's vs Durant in his Career...But it seems that Durant has always talked to him before the game.. So to break Superstition Durant stayed away from him today during pregame... What does Phillips do .. Finds him and chases him down to say hello...

                                    9:38 left in the Half.. Durant Driving ... Tosses it away... Tipped... Ryan Phillips... INT!
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #683
                                      Punters are my Favorite players in an under...
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #684
                                        10 Straight for BC... ffs...
                                        Comment
                                        • AndyCapper
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 08-12-10
                                          • 113

                                          #685
                                          13 points by BC in the last 4:56 of the half!
                                          Bad for you 1st half backers and hurting our under a bit. (under still lookin' good)
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #686
                                            hmm.. Bc +0.5 .. But Sask has shown NOTHING... I think I'm going to lay off this...
                                            Comment
                                            • Scully
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-21-06
                                              • 1276

                                              #687
                                              Good story regarding Durant & Phillips BB.
                                              Comment
                                              • tension
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-11-10
                                                • 192

                                                #688
                                                Oh crap I forgot about this game but some1 mentioned yesterday that both the Esk's game and this game were going unders so I placed a bet yesterday for unders. Looking good
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #689
                                                  Under was good... thankfully laid low on Sask... they really played like they didn't care... Lions played Desperate...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AndyCapper
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 08-12-10
                                                    • 113

                                                    #690
                                                    Nice weekend Bbiz, would of been a great weekend if the Eskies offense showed up. Looking forward to next weekend, hopefully we can exploit some of the games with teams that got something/ nothing to play for.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #691
                                                      Originally posted by AndyCapper
                                                      Nice weekend Bbiz, would of been a great weekend if the Eskies offense showed up. Looking forward to next weekend, hopefully we can exploit some of the games with teams that got something/ nothing to play for.
                                                      We were one Holding Call away from a MONSTER weekend Andy...

                                                      Now up to the Esks to figure it out on the road...

                                                      BC Plays first however... they will know what the result is...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tension
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-11-10
                                                        • 192

                                                        #692
                                                        Unders cashed nice one!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dharmonize
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-10-10
                                                          • 1991

                                                          #693
                                                          Well, what a day. I just went from one bad beat to another. Didn´t even have enough strenght to hedge the Riders after that field goal. I took it as a "good sign" and wanted to wait for the half.. and then it was too late. Under helped to relieve the pain a little. Wish you all successful week, see ya nex time!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #694
                                                            Updated Scorecard

                                                            Mon @ Tor = + 4.7
                                                            Ham @ Cal = -0.1 Units
                                                            Win @ Edm = -4.9 Units
                                                            Sask @ BC = +0.9 Units

                                                            Net Week 18 = +0.6 Units

                                                            Overall Week 6-18 Total = +2.75 Units

                                                            It was a 10 unit reversal if not for the donkey call, and the Donkey Play of the Edmonton Eskimos... alas, we somehow still ended up ahead of the curve and continue to grind away positively...

                                                            Looking forward to some interesting "nothing" games next week... Saturday will be exciting as an Eskimo fan anyhow...

                                                            Also nice to see the newcomers, and the oldcomers within the thread... I was checking over 3 pages of banter between us all to tally up my picks. It's a good feeling to know people are coming together to talk, watch and wager on some Canadian Football... It's developed into a nice little thread.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BetterBizness
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-20-06
                                                              • 5737

                                                              #695
                                                              Week 19 Early Lines

                                                              Friday Nov 5
                                                              Calgary -3 @ Winnipeg O/U 53.5

                                                              Saturday Nov 6
                                                              BC -4 @ Hamilton O/U 52
                                                              Edmonton @ Saskatchewan -1 O/U 52


                                                              Sunday Nov 7
                                                              Toronto @ Montreal -7 O/U 49.5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #696
                                                                The only games that Means anything, are on Saturday... But they only mean something to Both BC and Edmonton... With Edmonton holding the Tiebreaking Advantage in the standings...

                                                                Very, very tough week to call barring really knowing late who will and won't play... Technically, EVERYONE wants to go into the playoffs on a winning note... but really, I think they just want to stay relatively injury free... Simple play calling and ground attacks... I definitely would lean on unders with Starting QB's out, or playing just part games...

                                                                The Eskimos game will also need to be looked at alot based on how BC does earlier in the day. 1 point dogs now, but If BC is in the lead, very likely they will put everything they got to win this game, including playing a not 100% Ricky Ray....

                                                                Anyhow... Ii will continue to update the thread as I find information...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #697
                                                                  I am already reading about Calgary's Coach Hufnagal's opinion on the Game in Winnipeg...

                                                                  "If I can get a substitution in there at a position or two to take advantage of the situation, I will do that," he said. "I will not risk a player that is hobbling to play a game because it's not a lose-and-go-home game.

                                                                  "We do have a long break in between that last game and the Western final. I'm concerned about having too much time off for a player. I expect to take everyone that's healthy to Winnipeg and play them. How long? That's a coaches' decision."



                                                                  as 3 point favs... Maybe some strong first half plays if Burris is starting? Winnipeg STILL has no QB...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Ok Ricky Ray WILL be starting for the Esks...

                                                                    Ray declared himself fit on Tuesday, taking most of the first-team reps in practice at Commonwealth Stadium, and admitted this final regular-season game against the Saskatchewan Roughriders was his target all along, after missing two games due to a strained muscle in his throwing shoulder.

                                                                    "Regardless of the situation, I was shooting for this week to get back in and play a bit,"
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • AndyCapper
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-12-10
                                                                      • 113

                                                                      #699
                                                                      Bbiz.. Any leans on the Lions/ ti-cats game since it's do-or-die for BC? Hamilton resting starters?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • playboy_1
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-29-10
                                                                        • 1333

                                                                        #700
                                                                        bro i like winnipeg+3 here under is another options
                                                                        Comment
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