BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+

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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #526
    Gebusss... Now I WANT Hamilton to score and he loses it at the one... Please make it stop!
    Comment
    • Dharmonize
      SBR MVP
      • 10-10-10
      • 1991

      #527
      Disgusting performance by MTL . No offers on the halves, so I guess I´ll just stick with the over 55 for the second game. Too weak to fade myself today. I know it is no argument, but if the first game stays under, then I believe at least one game today could go over. So I´m gonna wait a few more minutes. GL with the Calgary!
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #528
        1 unit Calgary 1Q -3 (+116)
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #529
          Originally posted by Dharmonize
          Disgusting performance by MTL . No offers on the halves, so I guess I´ll just stick with the over 55 for the second game. Too weak to fade myself today. I know it is no argument, but if the first game stays under, then I believe at least one game today could go over. So I´m gonna wait a few more minutes. GL with the Calgary!
          well... Like I said.. Anyone that thinks Hamilton is a "Good" team is sadly mistaken... If Montreal scores even a FG when Baggs got that return.. The entire game is different... but it wasn't... I'm moving on...
          Comment
          • Masu485
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-14-08
            • 7700

            #530
            yeah hamilton! just got back home and liking what i'm seeing. really needed this to put me in the black for the week.
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #531
              OK..we officially move to the in game Calgary BC thread...
              Comment
              • Dharmonize
                SBR MVP
                • 10-10-10
                • 1991

                #532
                Yeah, lets move on. I just put a 0.5 unit on a BC ml, as there is something masochistic in me after the games like that one in Hamilton Another little loss is not gonna kill me after this one. I´m gonna try enjoy the game.
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #533
                  Here we go...
                  Comment
                  • Masu485
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-14-08
                    • 7700

                    #534
                    hope you all win the next one! it's a no play for me
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #535
                      First place from SCrimmiage 65 yards BC... ok I may just shut this one off...
                      Comment
                      • tension
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-11-10
                        • 192

                        #536
                        Wow by the sounds of things I'm lucky I missed the early game. I'm on Calgary -8.5 though.
                        Comment
                        • tension
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-11-10
                          • 192

                          #537
                          wow f me, why did i get bet on calgary again.... they seem to lose me a ton more money than they win for me.
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #538
                            calgary is done... goodnight everyone... I'm obviously a clear fade right now... I doubt I'll watch any more...
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #539
                              This is like watching the replay of Montreal... 1st and goal.. Fumble... next drive to midfield.. Fumble return for TD...

                              whatever... such bs... not chasing anything else...
                              Comment
                              • Dharmonize
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-10-10
                                • 1991

                                #540
                                Calgary came back from a 0-20 deficit! Just hope the over´s gonna hit to save my arse tonight
                                Comment
                                • BetterBizness
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-20-06
                                  • 5737

                                  #541
                                  so if you told me before the game, Calgary is going to score 28 points at the HALF... but I'm NOT going to win my 1H bet... I would laugh pretty hard...
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #542
                                    ok I'm chasing... I don't advise you to do the same.. Maybe I'm worth fading in fact right now..

                                    3 Units Calgary 2H -7
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #543
                                      in a game like this I like Calgary getting the ball first in the second half...
                                      Comment
                                      • BetterBizness
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-20-06
                                        • 5737

                                        #544
                                        well... only one call would have been worse today which was betting the Under 55...

                                        Which was hit at HALF!
                                        Comment
                                        • Dharmonize
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-10-10
                                          • 1991

                                          #545
                                          Well, I guess BC are unprecedented kings of losing well-started games . You should be ok with Calgary second half I´m gonna get some sleep, I´ve already had my deal of pain for today. gn and looking forward to seeing the results in the morning
                                          Comment
                                          • Dharmonize
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-10-10
                                            • 1991

                                            #546
                                            When I looked at the odds for the match, I thought for a while that the safest bet would be BC under 23
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #547
                                              after everything I touched today turned into Sheit... I may just take tomorrow off...

                                              For fading purposes, I'm leaning on Toronto and Edmonton... So go make some money on Winnipeg and Sask...
                                              Comment
                                              • Masu485
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-14-08
                                                • 7700

                                                #548
                                                Under in the Toronto game
                                                Comment
                                                • Dharmonize
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-10-10
                                                  • 1991

                                                  #549
                                                  Wow, BC ml hit??! What a festival of unexpected events that game was Sorry for your losses, BB, there are just days like yesterday! Today I like Toronto at first sight, but will wait and see, still plenty of time to meditate upon the game. C u later!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #550
                                                    Sheity Day and all...

                                                    Still Previewing Todays card..
                                                    Toronto @ Winnipeg -6 O/U 49

                                                    Toronto Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                                    Ham 3 @ Tor 30 U49
                                                    Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U49
                                                    Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U49
                                                    Edm 24 @ Tor 6 U49
                                                    Win 13 @ Tor 17 U49
                                                    Tor 16 @ BC 37 O49
                                                    Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U49
                                                    Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U49
                                                    Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O49
                                                    Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O49
                                                    Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - O49
                                                    BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U49
                                                    Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - O49
                                                    Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O49
                                                    Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U49

                                                    Winnipeg Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
                                                    Win 19 @ Mon 22 U49
                                                    BC 35 @ Win 47 O49
                                                    Win 14 @ BC 16 U49
                                                    Mon 44 @ Win 40 O49
                                                    Win 13 @ Tor 17 U49
                                                    Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U49
                                                    Win 23 @ Sask 27 - O49
                                                    Win 17 @ Mon 39 - U49
                                                    Ham 39 @ Win 28 - O49
                                                    Win 22 @ Ham 29 - O49
                                                    Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U49
                                                    Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O49
                                                    Win 6 @ Ham 28 - U49
                                                    Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O49
                                                    Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O49

                                                    Toronto's last 5 are Under... Winnipeg's last 4 of 6 are under... and the number is small.. particularly dictating to Toronto inept Offense vs their great Defense...

                                                    However, with that said.. Playing @ Winnipeg - 6 of 7 have gone over the mark... Something about playing there that opens up offenses, and well, if you are Toronto... You'll need to worry about Offense.....

                                                    We also know this... Toronto is 3-2 in the past 5 meetings with Winnipeg... and 4 of those games were all 5 points or less.. Only one game early last year had Toronto winning by 14...

                                                    Toronto has little to play for however, as they are locked in 3rd place and will stay there... Essentially they have 3 weeks "off" to figure things out ... they will be playing a Winnipeg team that is desperate and still Mathematically alive... This doesn't bode well for the Argos... Back to guessing if they will even show up...

                                                    This is probably a game to generally stay away from ... If it was an NFL Sunday part of a 10 game morning, I'd probably just let this one slide...

                                                    I'm probably leaning on The over.. Because, as mentioned, Toronto has NOTHING to play for.. But Cleo Lemon has EVERYTHING to play for.. including his job... Coach Barker will definitely experiment with his backup Bell when the time is right.. It's a contrarian play, combined with some illogic... And I'm probably fade material at the moment...

                                                    But I'm also going with Toronto... For no reason but needing the win against a bad team to motivate themselves...

                                                    2 Units Toronto ML +200
                                                    1 Unit Over 49
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #551
                                                      Saskatchewan -2.5 @ Edmonton O/U 50.5

                                                      Seasonal Sask Results (most recent first)
                                                      Cal 36 @ Sask 24 O50.5
                                                      Tor 24 @ Sask 19 U50.5
                                                      Sask 27 @ Tor 16 U50.5
                                                      Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O50.5
                                                      Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O50.5
                                                      Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U50.5
                                                      Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U50.5
                                                      Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U50.5
                                                      BC 13 @ Sask 37 - U50.5
                                                      Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O50.5
                                                      Ham 24 @ Sask 38 - O50.5
                                                      Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O50.5
                                                      Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U50.5
                                                      Sask 38 @ BC 18 - O50.5
                                                      Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O50.5

                                                      Edmonton Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                                                      Edm 31 @ BC 28 O50.5
                                                      Edm 11 @ Ham 36 U50.5
                                                      Ham 35 @ Edm 37 O50.5
                                                      Edm 24 @ Tor 6 U50.5
                                                      Edm 14 @ Mon 31 U50.5
                                                      Cal 36 @ Edm 20 O50.5
                                                      Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O50.5
                                                      Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U50.5
                                                      Edm 15 @ Cal 56 - O50.5
                                                      Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O50.5
                                                      BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O50.5
                                                      Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O50.5
                                                      Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U50.5
                                                      Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O50.5
                                                      BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U50.5

                                                      Especially as an Esks fan, I am really struggling to see ways for them to win here... Calgary's loss last night opens the door for the Riders, who have lost 2 in a row, to take their last shot at first place... But in reality.. With just 2 games left, they would have to sweep the table vs Edmonton (2x) and BC... and Calgary would have to lose to BOTH Hamilton & Winnipeg... So lets put that to rest.. Either of these scenarios could happen, but BOTH... would be pretty long.. But for the sake of capping, and coaching... The Riders still believe that they can get there... That's probably all the reason they need... along with the fact that 20,000 Rider fans will be in Commonwealth to make it feel like a home game....

                                                      The big thing here is that Edmonton is coming on that HUGE high in BC, and to match that intensity is probably asking for alot... But with BC's win last night... Edmonton AGAIN feels the pressure, and lately, have responded to it well...

                                                      Edmonton's Running Attack has been rejuvenated with of all People, 3rd Stringer Daniel Porter from Louisiana Tech, and ... Not a typo... QB Ricky Ray...

                                                      Edmonton's GM Tillman has been making moves all over the place the past couple of weeks to solidify holes, but as of late, also finding people that can Catch the ball, as the Esk Receiving Core has been diminishing by the game ...

                                                      So is this game more about the Esks winning, or the Riders losing?

                                                      Maybe neither.. as Just staying healthy may be the #1 priority for both of these teams... Esks lost WR Campbell, and WR Peterson... While Sask WR Bagg, and Doubtful WR Dressler and K Congi are out...

                                                      Lean is to be a homer, and so I will be... But I'll still take the points, if you can find +3 right now, on Pinny for example... If you like Sask you can find -2.5 all over the place... With all the injuries I'm going to also take a shot at the under and think it's gonna be an ugly game in what's turning into a bit of a cold snap....

                                                      1 Unit Edm +3 (-120 Pinny)
                                                      2 Units Under 51 (Pinny)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dharmonize
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-10-10
                                                        • 1991

                                                        #552
                                                        Good preview on the Toronto game! However, after reading it, I´m not sure if I really want to bet Toronto anymore I guess I´m gonna play it just for one unit, for the fun of it. Just about anyone can win, so why miss + odds against such crappy team? As you mentioned, there are too few CFL games to miss one. No stronger opinion on the totals of today´s games (Edm x Sask could possibly go over despite their last two meetings staying under). In the second game I really like Saskatchewan on the ML, but it might be the same case as Montreal yesterday. Edmonton can be really tough at home and use the home field advantage. Really dunno... will wait for the preview
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BetterBizness
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-20-06
                                                          • 5737

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                                          Good preview on the Toronto game! However, after reading it, I´m not sure if I really want to bet Toronto anymore I guess I´m gonna play it just for one unit, for the fun of it. Just about anyone can win, so why miss + odds against such crappy team? As you mentioned, there are too few CFL games to miss one. No opinion on the totals of today´s games. In the second game I really like Saskatchewan on the ML, but it might be the same case as Montreal yesterday. Edmonton can be really tough at home and use the advantage of a homefield. Really dunno... will wait for the preview
                                                          Ya but this "home" game is full of Emerald Green War Paint and Watermelon Helmets ... It will be a great atmosphere... just not a great game I don't think.. could be wrong.. have been alot lately...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • djpremier36
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-11-08
                                                            • 3479

                                                            #554
                                                            I'm liking Edmonton +3 as well...problem for me is that my local has +2.5...oh well I'll pay the juice to Pinnacle.

                                                            GL!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dharmonize
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-10-10
                                                              • 1991

                                                              #555
                                                              Ok, I´ll stick with Toronto for one unit, although I´m starting to have a really bad feeling about Winnipeg. Even though they have no quality to be favored by a touchdown, I think. As for the late game, there´s still plenty of time left to see the line movement and decide. GL!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #556
                                                                Originally posted by djpremier36
                                                                I'm liking Edmonton +3 as well...problem for me is that my local has +2.5...oh well I'll pay the juice to Pinnacle.

                                                                GL!
                                                                In a game like this it would be silly to not pay the pennies to take the 3... although 3 isn't the number it typically is in the NFL, it's still obviously valuable... the under was a half point higher as well...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Dharmon... I like our start... 17-5 @ half with Win QB Gyles out for the game... Big return by Owens at the end of the half..

                                                                  Let's hope "Brink" puts Winnipeg on it...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Originally posted by djpremier36
                                                                    I'm liking Edmonton +3 as well...problem for me is that my local has +2.5...oh well I'll pay the juice to Pinnacle.

                                                                    GL!
                                                                    BTW thanks for coming to the thread DJ.. Nice to have you in the CFL thread...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                                                      Ok, I´ll stick with Toronto for one unit, although I´m starting to have a really bad feeling about Winnipeg. Even though they have no quality to be favored by a touchdown, I think. As for the late game, there´s still plenty of time left to see the line movement and decide. GL!
                                                                      By the way Dharmonize, nice of you to join SBR, and thanks for contributing to the thread... nearly 5000 views... for the CFL that's pretty good...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #560
                                                                        3rd string in for Win .. Tor up 20-6... lose the over... Happy with ML...
                                                                        Comment
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