Lucky1’s 2018 NFL Campaign

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  • Lucky1g
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-10-10
    • 5973

    #176
    Updated NFL overall 41-41 50% -3.4 units
    sides 30-29
    totals 11-11
    TOP Rated(2unit) 8-7
    GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-1
    Comment
    • TiredPro
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-17-12
      • 672

      #177
      Appreciate the posting of plays Lucky. 1 play from a sweep yesterday.
      Comment
      • Lucky1g
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-10-10
        • 5973

        #178
        Your welcome TP. Appreciate the msg. I see I have a lot of eyes on my threads and I just try to bring consistency and winners to forum without drama and bs. It’s been 8 yrs here at sbr! Wow. As far as nfl season, 50/50 ball is getting old but I really don’t feel as though I’ve been on a run yet..I know I’m due for a good one..confident nfl betting this year will turn profitable! Cheers and all the best
        Comment
        • TiredPro
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-17-12
          • 672

          #179
          Like a horse race......fast at the end is profitable. Trust your process.
          Comment
          • Lucky1g
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-10-10
            • 5973

            #180
            Figured I’d track my big play success this year! Seems like I’ve always hit 60% range with top rated type wagers.I'm obviously selective with them.


            Top Rated & Game of Year Plays 2018 YTD

            nflx 1-0
            nfl 9-8
            ncaaf 8-2
            ncaab 0-1
            nba 4-1
            OVERALL 22-12 65%
            Comment
            • Lucky1g
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-10-10
              • 5973

              #181

              49ers ML+110

              Bills & Jags UNDER 37


              Comment
              • Lucky1g
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-10-10
                • 5973

                #182
                Allow me to explain my crazy and absurd take on this one. GOY Lucky, the Jets, Really???

                Yes Really. 3 units. Let’s do this.

                NE has only won by DD twice at Jets past 10 years. Losing SU 4 times. Jets always give them trouble. Just ask the patriots. The players know this will likely be competitive. I’ve read and listened to players and coaches comments this week about this game. Now Mcnown looked bad last week and jets were humiliated at home. He WILL NEED to play better today and I’m banking on the fact that he will..he’s a cagey veteran and it’s not like this Pats defense is elite. The pats have shown vulnerability this year..Line is inflated similar to what happened last night in Southern Cal with Notre Dame spread rising and rising and money pouring in on fighting Irish. Guys, this is a ballsy call but anyone’s that said followed me over the years won’t be suprised. All I can say is EVERY and I mean EVERY JOE SCHMOE that gambles on nfl today will have pats in a teaser or parlay and probably ATS too...you know how I feel about that as it falls into contrarian football system of mine. This is the only game today where the consensus is Pats will crush em, no contest...I say not so fast..J E T S jets jets jets

                ***Game of the Year***NY Jets+13
                Comment
                • Lucky1g
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-10-10
                  • 5973

                  #183
                  Panther-3

                  Patriots & Jets UNDER 47
                  Comment
                  • hotcross
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-04-17
                    • 7934

                    #184
                    I'm also playing the Jets +13 as my one and only pick today

                    GL
                    Comment
                    • DLucky1
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 11-07-13
                      • 70

                      #185
                      Originally posted by Lucky1g
                      Allow me to explain my crazy and absurd take on this one. GOY Lucky, the Jets, Really???

                      Yes Really. 3 units. Let’s do this.

                      NE has only won by DD twice at Jets past 10 years. Losing SU 4 times. Jets always give them trouble. Just ask the patriots. The players know this will likely be competitive. I’ve read and listened to players and coaches comments this week about this game. Now Mcnown looked bad last week and jets were humiliated at home. He WILL NEED to play better today and I’m banking on the fact that he will..he’s a cagey veteran and it’s not like this Pats defense is elite. The pats have shown vulnerability this year..Line is inflated similar to what happened last night in Southern Cal with Notre Dame spread rising and rising and money pouring in on fighting Irish. Guys, this is a ballsy call but anyone’s that said followed me over the years won’t be suprised. All I can say is EVERY and I mean EVERY JOE SCHMOE that gambles on nfl today will have pats in a teaser or parlay and probably ATS too...you know how I feel about that as it falls into contrarian football system of mine. This is the only game today where the consensus is Pats will crush em, no contest...I say not so fast..J E T S jets jets jets

                      ***Game of the Year***NY Jets+13
                      Tailed ya, Lucky! Let’s get it
                      Comment
                      • Lucky1g
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-10-10
                        • 5973

                        #186
                        **Top Rated**Broncos+3

                        Cardinals+14
                        Comment
                        • hotcross
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-04-17
                          • 7934

                          #187
                          3rd and 2 at 4 yard line. I expected a run
                          Comment
                          • Heandog
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-30-09
                            • 1634

                            #188
                            Wow
                            Comment
                            • fecgp40
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-01-11
                              • 5750

                              #189
                              Originally posted by hotcross
                              3rd and 2 at 4 yard line. I expected a run
                              Same here. And then they drop the TD pass on 4th down.
                              Comment
                              • Lucky1g
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-10-10
                                • 5973

                                #190
                                Hard to stomach losses like that on 1 unit plays...let alone 3. Got crushed on early games and it sucks. Dropped TD pass...yeah of course he would drop it, why didn’t I factor that into my handicapping...

                                snf strong lean to vikings. Like a play on the total here. Maybe salvage the week late if broncos and cards come through. Another Tough one in nfl today. Just haven’t been able to string em together yet this year..unlucky or whatever but a loss is a loss.


                                packers & vikings UNDER 48
                                Comment
                                • hotcross
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-04-17
                                  • 7934

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by Lucky1g
                                  **Top Rated**Broncos+3

                                  atta boy !
                                  Comment
                                  • Lucky1g
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-10-10
                                    • 5973

                                    #192
                                    I just played the vikings for a unit

                                    Vikings-3.5
                                    Comment
                                    • Lucky1g
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-10-10
                                      • 5973

                                      #193
                                      4-5 -2.6 yesterday.

                                      Jermaine Kearse has worst WR hands in the league dropping TD pass that would’ve secured cover on my 3 unit play... yesterday’s results would have been really good if it wasn’t for that bonehead. Yes I salvaged the day but yes I am bitter over that one. Will be back in here later with MNF winner
                                      Comment
                                      • TiredPro
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-17-12
                                        • 672

                                        #194
                                        All of these games come down to about 1-3 plays. Jets were the right side.
                                        Comment
                                        • Lucky1g
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-10-10
                                          • 5973

                                          #195
                                          Exactly right TP. Seems NFL more then any other sport..crazy stuff. Tonight is easy for me. The only question I have is weather I will see value in upgrading one of these to a 2 unit play. If I do I will get it posted within at least 15 min before kickoff. They say betting a side and total is usually the recipe for dissapointment. But I’ve got reasons why I like both of these and I’m in it to win it tonight. Let’s sweep em..

                                          Titans+4

                                          Titans & Texans UNDER 43
                                          Comment
                                          • Lucky1g
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-10-10
                                            • 5973

                                            #196
                                            Upgrade. Really like this to stay under.

                                            **top rated**Titans & Texans UNDER 43
                                            Comment
                                            • Lucky1g
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-10-10
                                              • 5973

                                              #197
                                              A really bad week last week puts me in murky waters YTD for the season. Nothing more to say. I’ve sucked this year at picking winners in here. Pissed my big games haven’t come through and just overall scratching my head at this “new look” nfl were offense dominates and the “easiest” plays on the board win with regularity.

                                              Updated NFL overall 45-48 48% -9.2 units

                                              sides 32-35
                                              totals 13-13
                                              TOP Rated(2unit) 9-8
                                              GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-2
                                              Comment
                                              • Lucky1g
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-10-10
                                                • 5973

                                                #198
                                                Well if easy plays been winning with regularity, everything points to Dallas fading in Brees & Co fumes.

                                                Saints 34-cowboys 13

                                                if saints don’t cover easily like Philly game couple wks ago...that means Dallas really came to play. Even so, the level we’ve seen saints playing at is as hot and as focused as ever. Reminds me of the years of Brady Belicheck dominance. The Pats would always be a heavy public favorite and they would just kill contrarians like me that would try to be sharp and bet against em...Sean Payton and Drew Brees with the weapons they have and a vastly improved run defense and pass rush...good night. I just think even if it’s close late in game saints will still have great shot at a late cover. Why would you bet against Brees here..the contrarian in me knows why..but the contrarian nfl picks this year have been fools gold and I’ve paid the price. No I’m not abandoning my capping style, but tonight is an obvious exception. High probability winner here. I’ll take that saints offense and look at picking a spot to fade them in weeks to come. They keep it rollin tonight

                                                **Top Rated**Saints-7
                                                Comment
                                                • thecutter
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-28-14
                                                  • 991

                                                  #199
                                                  Say it ain’t so man...I just jumped over from your Austin peay play to check on you cause I knew you had to be on Dallas tonight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Lucky1g
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-10-10
                                                    • 5973

                                                    #200
                                                    Dude my nfl is a mess right now. Good thing Austin Peay was winner or I’d be considering a hiatus. You know I knew after each teams first drive last night I made the wrong call. I liked the under a lot last night too but didn’t play it. I don’t know what to say. Glad you cashed w Dallas buddy
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                      • 5973

                                                      #201
                                                      Banner year in college ball up almost 22 units. Pro ball kickin my butt...but today is a new day. Back later...

                                                      Updated NFL overall 45-49 47% -11.4 units
                                                      sides 32-36
                                                      totals 13-13
                                                      TOP Rated(2unit) 9-9
                                                      GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-2
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hman
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-04-17
                                                        • 21429

                                                        #202
                                                        GL today Lucky
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Lucky1g
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-10-10
                                                          • 5973

                                                          #203
                                                          **Top Rated**Jags+4

                                                          Giants+4.5

                                                          oakland & Kansas City UNDER 54

                                                          Steelers-3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Lucky1g
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-10-10
                                                            • 5973

                                                            #204
                                                            ​Lions+10
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Renegades
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-12-11
                                                              • 5290

                                                              #205
                                                              Unreal for detroit to blow that. 2 failed onside kicks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Lucky1g
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-10-10
                                                                • 5973

                                                                #206
                                                                Big win on Jags. Really tough loss on Lions, and then Big Ben and Co only play the first half last night...my nfl season has just been lousy. Yesterday 2-3 -0.3
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lucky1g
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-10-10
                                                                  • 5973

                                                                  #207
                                                                  MNF

                                                                  Redskins & Eagles UNDER 45
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Lucky1g
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-10-10
                                                                    • 5973

                                                                    #208
                                                                    This is an upgrade. Will be a dogfight. Lean points with skins but philly is due for cover and going up agagainst turnover prone McCoy will probably be the difference. I could easily see philly with a statement game and just shut down the run make colt beat them...yeah, I don’t think that’s gonna happen. Wentz is better qb and even tho his Oline is terrible and he doesn’t have great weapons, I can see him making enough plays to win. McCoy wasn’t able to hit anything downfield last week. Bad outing. I don’t expect him to come out playing any different then last week. Short pass plays lots of AP...eat clock and play good defense. UNDER IS THE ONLY WAY TO GO IN MY OPINION. HIT IT HARD

                                                                    UPGRADE
                                                                    **top rated**Redskins & Eagles UNDER 45
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                                      • 5973

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Updated NFL overall 48-52 48% -9.7 units
                                                                      sides 34-38
                                                                      totals 14-14
                                                                      TOP Rated(2unit) 11-9
                                                                      GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-2
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Lucky1g
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-10-10
                                                                        • 5973

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Passing on TNF. I don’t like the game at all. No clue how to bet it. Goodluck with your action. Back sunday
                                                                        Comment
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