Updated NFL overall 41-41 50% -3.4 units sides 30-29 totals 11-11 TOP Rated(2unit) 8-7 GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-1
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TiredPro
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-12
672
#177
Appreciate the posting of plays Lucky. 1 play from a sweep yesterday.
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#178
Your welcome TP. Appreciate the msg. I see I have a lot of eyes on my threads and I just try to bring consistency and winners to forum without drama and bs. It’s been 8 yrs here at sbr! Wow. As far as nfl season, 50/50 ball is getting old but I really don’t feel as though I’ve been on a run yet..I know I’m due for a good one..confident nfl betting this year will turn profitable! Cheers and all the best
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TiredPro
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-12
672
#179
Like a horse race......fast at the end is profitable. Trust your process.
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#180
Figured I’d track my big play success this year! Seems like I’ve always hit 60% range with top rated type wagers.I'm obviously selective with them.
Top Rated & Game of Year Plays 2018 YTD
nflx 1-0
nfl 9-8
ncaaf 8-2
ncaab 0-1
nba 4-1 OVERALL 22-12 65%
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#181
49ers ML+110
Bills & Jags UNDER 37
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#182
Allow me to explain my crazy and absurd take on this one. GOY Lucky, the Jets, Really???
Yes Really. 3 units. Let’s do this.
NE has only won by DD twice at Jets past 10 years. Losing SU 4 times. Jets always give them trouble. Just ask the patriots. The players know this will likely be competitive. I’ve read and listened to players and coaches comments this week about this game. Now Mcnown looked bad last week and jets were humiliated at home. He WILL NEED to play better today and I’m banking on the fact that he will..he’s a cagey veteran and it’s not like this Pats defense is elite. The pats have shown vulnerability this year..Line is inflated similar to what happened last night in Southern Cal with Notre Dame spread rising and rising and money pouring in on fighting Irish. Guys, this is a ballsy call but anyone’s that said followed me over the years won’t be suprised. All I can say is EVERY and I mean EVERY JOE SCHMOE that gambles on nfl today will have pats in a teaser or parlay and probably ATS too...you know how I feel about that as it falls into contrarian football system of mine. This is the only game today where the consensus is Pats will crush em, no contest...I say not so fast..J E T S jets jets jets
***Game of the Year***NY Jets+13
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#183
Panther-3
Patriots & Jets UNDER 47
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hotcross
SBR Hall of Famer
08-04-17
7934
#184
I'm also playing the Jets +13 as my one and only pick today
GL
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DLucky1
SBR Hustler
11-07-13
70
#185
Originally posted by Lucky1g
Allow me to explain my crazy and absurd take on this one. GOY Lucky, the Jets, Really???
Yes Really. 3 units. Let’s do this.
NE has only won by DD twice at Jets past 10 years. Losing SU 4 times. Jets always give them trouble. Just ask the patriots. The players know this will likely be competitive. I’ve read and listened to players and coaches comments this week about this game. Now Mcnown looked bad last week and jets were humiliated at home. He WILL NEED to play better today and I’m banking on the fact that he will..he’s a cagey veteran and it’s not like this Pats defense is elite. The pats have shown vulnerability this year..Line is inflated similar to what happened last night in Southern Cal with Notre Dame spread rising and rising and money pouring in on fighting Irish. Guys, this is a ballsy call but anyone’s that said followed me over the years won’t be suprised. All I can say is EVERY and I mean EVERY JOE SCHMOE that gambles on nfl today will have pats in a teaser or parlay and probably ATS too...you know how I feel about that as it falls into contrarian football system of mine. This is the only game today where the consensus is Pats will crush em, no contest...I say not so fast..J E T S jets jets jets
***Game of the Year***NY Jets+13
Tailed ya, Lucky! Let’s get it
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#186
**Top Rated**Broncos+3
Cardinals+14
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hotcross
SBR Hall of Famer
08-04-17
7934
#187
3rd and 2 at 4 yard line. I expected a run
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#188
Wow
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fecgp40
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-11
5750
#189
Originally posted by hotcross
3rd and 2 at 4 yard line. I expected a run
Same here. And then they drop the TD pass on 4th down.
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#190
Hard to stomach losses like that on 1 unit plays...let alone 3. Got crushed on early games and it sucks. Dropped TD pass...yeah of course he would drop it, why didn’t I factor that into my handicapping...
snf strong lean to vikings. Like a play on the total here. Maybe salvage the week late if broncos and cards come through. Another Tough one in nfl today. Just haven’t been able to string em together yet this year..unlucky or whatever but a loss is a loss.
packers & vikings UNDER 48
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hotcross
SBR Hall of Famer
08-04-17
7934
#191
Originally posted by Lucky1g
**Top Rated**Broncos+3
atta boy !
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#192
I just played the vikings for a unit
Vikings-3.5
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#193
4-5 -2.6 yesterday.
Jermaine Kearse has worst WR hands in the league dropping TD pass that would’ve secured cover on my 3 unit play... yesterday’s results would have been really good if it wasn’t for that bonehead. Yes I salvaged the day but yes I am bitter over that one. Will be back in here later with MNF winner
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TiredPro
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-12
672
#194
All of these games come down to about 1-3 plays. Jets were the right side.
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#195
Exactly right TP. Seems NFL more then any other sport..crazy stuff. Tonight is easy for me. The only question I have is weather I will see value in upgrading one of these to a 2 unit play. If I do I will get it posted within at least 15 min before kickoff. They say betting a side and total is usually the recipe for dissapointment. But I’ve got reasons why I like both of these and I’m in it to win it tonight. Let’s sweep em..
Titans+4
Titans & Texans UNDER 43
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#196
Upgrade. Really like this to stay under.
**top rated**Titans & Texans UNDER 43
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#197
A really bad week last week puts me in murky waters YTD for the season. Nothing more to say. I’ve sucked this year at picking winners in here. Pissed my big games haven’t come through and just overall scratching my head at this “new look” nfl were offense dominates and the “easiest” plays on the board win with regularity.
Updated NFL overall 45-48 48% -9.2 units sides 32-35 totals 13-13 TOP Rated(2unit) 9-8 GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-2
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#198
Well if easy plays been winning with regularity, everything points to Dallas fading in Brees & Co fumes.
Saints 34-cowboys 13
if saints don’t cover easily like Philly game couple wks ago...that means Dallas really came to play. Even so, the level we’ve seen saints playing at is as hot and as focused as ever. Reminds me of the years of Brady Belicheck dominance. The Pats would always be a heavy public favorite and they would just kill contrarians like me that would try to be sharp and bet against em...Sean Payton and Drew Brees with the weapons they have and a vastly improved run defense and pass rush...good night. I just think even if it’s close late in game saints will still have great shot at a late cover. Why would you bet against Brees here..the contrarian in me knows why..but the contrarian nfl picks this year have been fools gold and I’ve paid the price. No I’m not abandoning my capping style, but tonight is an obvious exception. High probability winner here. I’ll take that saints offense and look at picking a spot to fade them in weeks to come. They keep it rollin tonight
**Top Rated**Saints-7
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thecutter
SBR Wise Guy
02-28-14
991
#199
Say it ain’t so man...I just jumped over from your Austin peay play to check on you cause I knew you had to be on Dallas tonight
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#200
Dude my nfl is a mess right now. Good thing Austin Peay was winner or I’d be considering a hiatus. You know I knew after each teams first drive last night I made the wrong call. I liked the under a lot last night too but didn’t play it. I don’t know what to say. Glad you cashed w Dallas buddy
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#201
Banner year in college ball up almost 22 units. Pro ball kickin my butt...but today is a new day. Back later...
Updated NFL overall 45-49 47% -11.4 units sides 32-36 totals 13-13 TOP Rated(2unit) 9-9 GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-2
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Hman
SBR Posting Legend
11-04-17
21429
#202
GL today Lucky
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#203
**Top Rated**Jags+4
Giants+4.5
oakland & Kansas City UNDER 54
Steelers-3
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#204
Lions+10
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Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#205
Unreal for detroit to blow that. 2 failed onside kicks
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#206
Big win on Jags. Really tough loss on Lions, and then Big Ben and Co only play the first half last night...my nfl season has just been lousy. Yesterday 2-3 -0.3
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#207
MNF
Redskins & Eagles UNDER 45
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#208
This is an upgrade. Will be a dogfight. Lean points with skins but philly is due for cover and going up agagainst turnover prone McCoy will probably be the difference. I could easily see philly with a statement game and just shut down the run make colt beat them...yeah, I don’t think that’s gonna happen. Wentz is better qb and even tho his Oline is terrible and he doesn’t have great weapons, I can see him making enough plays to win. McCoy wasn’t able to hit anything downfield last week. Bad outing. I don’t expect him to come out playing any different then last week. Short pass plays lots of AP...eat clock and play good defense. UNDER IS THE ONLY WAY TO GO IN MY OPINION. HIT IT HARD
UPGRADE
**top rated**Redskins & Eagles UNDER 45
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#209
Updated NFL overall 48-52 48% -9.7 units sides 34-38 totals 14-14 TOP Rated(2unit) 11-9 GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-2
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#210
Passing on TNF. I don’t like the game at all. No clue how to bet it. Goodluck with your action. Back sunday