Lucky1’s 2018 NFL Campaign

[Lucky1g]

4-2 +0.6

Updated NFL overall 30-30 50% -5.3units
sides 22-20
totals 8-10
TOP Rated(2unit) 5-5
GOY-very rare(3unit) 0-1

[Lucky1g]

**top rated**Browns+6
**top rated**Bengals+6
Lions+7 (ev)
Jets-7 (ev)
Titans+6
Sunday Night Football
**top rated**Dallas Cowboys+7 (ev)

[fecgp40]

**top rated**Browns+6
**top rated**Bengals+6
Lions+7 (ev)
Jets-7 (ev)
Titans+6
Sunday Night Football
**top rated**Dallas Cowboys+7 (ev)

Wow. Lots of top rated today Lucky. I do like Cincy in this spot. Less sure about Brownies, but it's definitely Cleveland or nothing. How long can the square public plays continue to cash?

[Tigers1230]

I can’t play the Browns ever again

[2Shirts]

Did it - really believe Cleveland wins outright today

I can’t play the Browns ever again

[Lucky1g]

It will be a winning day in here. Love Baker and the brownies today.but then again I’m a capper that went huge on them last week...tha5 didn’t work out but falcons are not the chiefs. Let’s have some Goodluck to help and will see how th8ngs end up. Haven’t ruled out a late afternoon regular play addition yet..

[fecgp40]

Did it - really believe Cleveland wins outright today

Same here. I really hope they do. Went 1.5x on spread and .5x on ML.

[Nuggets77]

Today will be profitable.


Good Luck sir

[Renegades]

Wow. Lots of top rated today Lucky. I do like Cincy in this spot. Less sure about Brownies, but it's definitely Cleveland or nothing. How long can the square public plays continue to cash?

Its a new nfl. Been more square than ever the last 3 yrs. books need to adjust. Teams that used to be -4 10 yrs ago should be -7 now. More points, more offense, uptempo, much harder for the less talented teams to keep up

[fecgp40]

My God... how bad are the Lions. What a dumpster fire. Ugh.

[Lucky1g]

All in on late gms. Add

Dolphins+10.5

oakland+10

Rams-9

[Renegades]

Its a new nfl. The contrarian game is dead until the lines start getting really inflated.

[Renegades]

San Diego could have been -14 today and people still would bet them. The idea that books try to get 50-50 action is a fallacy. The books gamble too. If they didnt gamble they would start pumping the lines up until they get action on the other side. Why did san diego have 80% of the action and the line never moved?

[tailin junkie]

My theory (and I’m losing cuz I can’t budge) is that they are letting the public win cuz it’s legal (trying to get new players). Old players see that the public is winning so they expect a turn (I did, didn’t happen), they are gonna take all our money, hook the newbies and then it’ll get back to normal, cue all the ‘this guy is crazy’

[Lucky1g]

3-3 +.8 and then I decided to jump in on those 3 late afternoon games. 0 and flipping 3. Yesterday 3-6 -2.5. Average Joe been taken the books money for a month now in nfl. The question isn’t will it turn..it’s when will it turn. I’ll just keep treading water until it does. Still month and a half left of regular season to get it going in here. I remain confident. Thank God for the good season I’m having in college foots. Also 4-2 in hoops plays...just this doggone nfl that is trying to mindfukk me. I failed yesterday. Lack of discipline posting those added 3 in afternoon. Dammit all...

Updated NFL overall 33-36 48% -7.8 units
sides 25-26
totals 8-10
TOP Rated(2unit) 7-6
GOY-very rare(3unit) 0-1

[eddycash]

My guess is contrarian mode will kick in during playoffs and the superbowl.

[Lucky1g]

Time to go on a run..starting tonight!

Packers & Seahawks OVER 49

[Smutbucket]

My theory (and I’m losing cuz I can’t budge) is that they are letting the public win cuz it’s legal (trying to get new players). Old players see that the public is winning so they expect a turn (I did, didn’t happen), they are gonna take all our money, hook the newbies and then it’ll get back to normal, cue all the ‘this guy is crazy’

[Lucky1g]

Can’t pass on backing Rodgers tonight. Buckle up, I think 34-27 type game...pack for the win but take the points in case..

Packers+3

[BigDofBA]

No kidding. I laugh every time someone on this forum says that.

The books win no matter what. There is no conspiracy. The last thing a casino or book is going to do is “let” people win.

[BossPicks30]

No kidding. I laugh every time someone on this forum says that.

The books win no matter what. There is no conspiracy. The last thing a casino or book is going to do is “let” people win.

That's funny you say this. I'm up over 20k in the last 3 years with my book, and he keeps coming back for more

[Lucky1g]

Push cancels, picked up unit on the total

Updated NFL overall 34-36 49% -6.8 units
sides 25-26
totals 9-10
TOP Rated(2unit) 7-6
GOY-very rare(3unit) 0-1

[Lucky1g]

Bengals+6.5

Cardinals-5

SNF
Vikings & Bears UNDER 45

[2Shirts]

So take advantage and make money and stop bitching about it if your believe your "theory" to be true

My theory (and I’m losing cuz I can’t budge) is that they are letting the public win cuz it’s legal (trying to get new players). Old players see that the public is winning so they expect a turn (I did, didn’t happen), they are gonna take all our money, hook the newbies and then it’ll get back to normal, cue all the ‘this guy is crazy’

[Lucky1g]

Here we go. Big day for me in here. Best of luck with your action. Jags running game will be the difference today.

3unit***Game of the Year***Jags+4.5

Atlanta-3.5

Colts-1

Redskins+3

[Lucky1g]

Add

Eagles+7

[Lucky1g]

SNF addition

**top rated**Bears-2.5

[tailin junkie]

It turned bro, glad you got the .5, I think we are on the same page

[Lucky1g]

4-3 +2.7 with 3.3 units on SNF pending. Bears & Under!

[Lucky1g]

That total last night was almost a crusher. You could say I was lucky in here today with the jags cashing by the hook and the failed 2pt conv giving me a push on total instead of loss. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. I’d rather be lucky than good any day of the week..especially in NFL where the freakiest wackiest can’t make this stuff up...seems to happen more often then not. Good handicapping and information isn’t enough to win in NFL. Gotta have LUCK! That said, I’m grinding back to plus country. Plenty of season to go for a profitable regular season. updated:
Updated NFL overall 39-39 50% -2.1 units
sides 30-29
totals 9-10
TOP Rated(2unit) 8-6
GOY-very rare(3unit) 1-1

[Renegades]

I dont think the total was a lucky push, that should have been a win. The bears got 2 two pt conversions and minny did nothing offensively until garbage time. Also the bears were gifted the late fg by minny penalty otherwise they would have either run out the clock or punted from midfield with the score 22-14

[Lucky1g]

This should be a great game. 18-2 combined records on MNF? Awesome. Enjoy the game, I gave this one extra attention and research. Let’s see if it pays off. Goodluck! Rams-3 (-120)
**Top Rated**Chiefs & Rams UNDER 64

[Lucky1g]

0-1-1 -2.2 on mnf

thanksgiving total
Redskins & Cowboys OVER 41

[Lucky1g]

Bears & Lions OVER 43

[Lucky1g]

Falcons & Saints UNDER 61