Lucky1’s 2018 NFL Campaign

[Lucky1g]

Ouch 47 points scored. Missed another one..not by much but a loss is a loss. Dang it all. I’ll try to do better. Totals have been OFF this year, pro and college

[Lucky1g]

Steelers & Bengals UNDER 49.5

Broncos+7

[Lucky1g]

Redskins+1.5

**Top Rated**Bucs+3

[Tigers1230]

Damn, missed these

[Lucky1g]

3-1 but missed big one. Bucs was tough loss, 57 yd FG and then a potential game winning drive aborted in the red zone as time expired. That one hurt. All things considered I’m +0.8 units today. Jumping into tonight with side and total.

Patriots-3.5

KC/NE OVER 58

[Lucky1g]

Updated NFL overall 19-18 51% +0.1units
sides 14-10
totals 5-8
TOP Rated(2unit) 4-3
GOY-very rare(3unit) 0-0

[Lucky1g]

Been a grind in here. Losing by the hook last night..one of those moments you ask yourself why you didn’t buy down the half for a push...long term buying points is a benefit to the book so I try not to and in most cases the extra vig won’t come into play. Looking at tonight..back to post if I play

[BayArea888]

Grind is the most accurate word for it...I’m in a similar situation at about even. Could have been a great night if Pats covered. On to the next one, good luck buddy.

[Lucky1g]

Thx bro.

MNF
49ers+9
49ers & packers UNDER 46.5
Goodluck

[Lucky1g]

MNF split
Updated NFL overall 20-19 51% even units
sides 15-10
totals 5-9
TOP Rated(2unit) 4-3
GOY-very rare(3unit) 0-0

ill tell you what, I like this weeks card. Will see what becomes plays and for how much. Possible GOY. Will be back Sunday morning

[Lucky1g]

Let’s go ahead and make this a play to start. Back in the noon hour with final card

Titans+6.5

[Lucky1g]

Bills & Colts UNDER 44

[Renegades]

I fell for tenn too. Garbage team. Cant make enough plays on offense. They are headed to 6-10

[Renegades]

Int before half was a killer. Of course the announcers had to keep mentioning that Mariotta never threw a redzone interception

[eddycash]

Int before half was a killer. Of course the announcers had to keep mentioning that Mariotta never threw a redzone interception

Who is this guy and why is he speaking so soon??

[fecgp40]

Thank Vrabel for going for 2. No risk of losing the the cover in OT.

[Renegades]

Eddy! Nice cover! Garbage team.

[eddycash]

+6.5 is no risk to lose in OT..c'mon man!

[Letsgovols22]

Thank Vrabel for going for 2. No risk of losing the the cover in OT.

Couldn't lose in ot anyway. Good win lucky. Renegades doesn't get it

[Renegades]

Thank Vrabel for going for 2. No risk of losing the the cover in OT.

Why would he go for two there? With that play nonetheless. They should have tied. Going for two is bush league

[BigDofBA]

That was really dumb to go for two....especially the playcall.

You have the ball at the 1 yard line after the penalty and you throw a slant 7 yards deep in the end zone.

The Titans were dominating the second half and had all the momentum. You take the game to overtime

They let the Chargers off the hook. Total meat head call there. As a result, they lost the game.

[fecgp40]

+6.5 is no risk to lose in OT..c'mon man!

Yup. Cmon man is right. Not awake yet. LOL.

[Letsgovols22]

Eddy! Nice cover! Garbage team.

Garbage team dominated the game.

[Human12]

Not true. If SD got the ball first, kicked a FG, then picked off a pass or picked up a fumble and ran for a TD, they win by 10. I’ve lost a college game in OT when I was getting 10 points in the same kind of fashion. It could have happened.

[Human12]

I do think that Tenn should have tied the game and went to OT though.

[Lucky1g]

Bally’s call by Vrabel. Because of my titans bet I 100% completely agree with the call lol...

1-0 to start

**Top Rated**Bears ML+110

[BigDofBA]

Not true. If SD got the ball first, kicked a FG, then picked off a pass or picked up a fumble and ran for a TD, they win by 10. I’ve lost a college game in OT when I was getting 10 points in the same kind of fashion. It could have happened.

I’m not sure I believe that because in that scenario they don’t kick the extra point so the most the other team can win by is 9

Very unlikely but possible.

I think I lost one time like that when someone got sacked and fumbled in the end zone, other team recovered and won by 9.

[fecgp40]

Not true. If SD got the ball first, kicked a FG, then picked off a pass or picked up a fumble and ran for a TD, they win by 10. I’ve lost a college game in OT when I was getting 10 points in the same kind of fashion. It could have happened.

Well, win by 9. Pretty damn unlikely but you're right. It is possible.

[eddycash]

Not true. If SD got the ball first, kicked a FG, then picked off a pass or picked up a fumble and ran for a TD, they win by 10. I’ve lost a college game in OT when I was getting 10 points in the same kind of fashion. It could have happened.

Ur right bro..my bad

[Lucky1g]

49ers+9.5

Snf
**top rated**Bengals+6.5

Mnf
Giants+4

[BigDofBA]

Two years ago the success rate of going for two was 47.9%.

So you dominate the second half of the game and have all the momentum....but you gamble essentially like your playing roulette and he House has a 2% edge.

Sad

[Human12]

Lucky1, NBA lines been out for a week and already on life support. Know you can help. Human

[nflguru2018]

Back for another year. NFL was been my strong suite. I may be the most transparent poster at sbr with all my plays tracked and tallied week in and week out. Nothing to hide here, even when I’m losing. Quick thoughts, while excited for football I have to say I’m not a fan of the newest set of rules. the nfl game has certainly changed in last few years..too many replays slow the game down, too many rule changes.. I wonder how many bets will be won/lost this year because of 50/50 Calls by the referees that completely change the outcome of the game. 15yard penalty automatic 1st down...gonna be awfully tough rule for players to adjust to in the heat of battle. We’ll see...that said I’m hoping to be a steady producer and a resource to guys that want to tail or just compare plays with my own handicapping. Expect I will have 4-8 preseason wagers in weeks ahead.

All the best guys and Goodluck all-Lucky1G

All posted in threads here at SBR

2017
80-63 56% +17.7 units

2016
84-87 49% -11.3 units

2015
75-61 55% +13.6 units

2014
92-67 58% +18.3 units

2013
36-27 58% +6.3 units

will have 1 unit plays as regular and like in years past, more selective top rated 2 unit plays

Were you around here during 2011?

[nflguru2018]

+6.5 is no risk to lose in OT..c'mon man!

Not a guarantee at +6.5 in OT. Scenario: Opposing team scores a FG your team get the ball on ensuing kickoff and gets intercepted and returned for a Td. result = loss by 9 points. Unusual but yes it can happen.

[Lucky1g]

Human, just posted 2nd play of nba season earlier in nba thread. Wont play much nba but I’ll have spot plays that I really love. Should be able to post when I play them..

Guru, I was on sbr in 2010 but I didn’t begin posting regularly until I decided to track myself in 2012..now it’s just a habit. When I win I feel good like I’m helping guys on here. Of course losing streaks brings out the opposite feelings about posting..I felt like a jack wagon yesterday with top play call on the Bungals. That’s as bad as it gets BUT, happens to everyone and whether your pick loses by 30+pts or by the hook on last play of the game..a wins a win, loss a loss.. It’s really just a understanding of the ebbs and flows. I trust myself, my ability to grind and my ability to win more then I lose. Hardest part is controlling impulse plays and poor money management which is why I adopt flat betting. Pick my spots with 2 unit plays..1-0 preseason, 4-4 reg season, 4-0 college..9-4, selective winners if I’m running right.