Bankers throwing darts at the NFL all season (again)...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1121
    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
    Thanks for your thoughts brotha. I booked both. Line move says you're right on Jets, i just don't see it. BOL, we can both win on that one.

    With respect to KC/Bills weather, agree that KC isn't type of team to be much affected by snow. I more meant that relative to most NFL teams, Bills actually have a decent home field advantage. I was there for a Browns game in the snow and the place was crazy, like terrordome or something. i was bleeding out of my ear when i walked out, that place is rough. i don't have numbers to bear out any particular adjustment, just know i respect Bills HFA in snow i guess heh heh. Anyway, i think Alex Smith struggles today. BOL Bank.
    yea i think bills the right side and qb really isnt that much of a difference.. im getting close to playing the ml as +200 seems excessive...
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #1122
      Originally posted by killersweet
      thanks bank. I liked Over in the dallas and wash games. I am liking the under in the jets game. so let's see if I can do a fun parlay with just the totals
      jets/saints total was pretty close for me..just saw more value with the jets but i been wrong before.. gl brother..
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #1123
        Originally posted by 2daBank



        all the ones with a unit value in that i drag into the post are official..as of now it

        pit+7 -120(1.5x)
        bal-1.5 (1.5x)
        jets+7 -130 (1x)
        ten/stl 1st half un 20 -105 (1x)

        2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)

        panthers-1.5
        titans/lambs un 45.5
        Originally posted by 2daBank

        superchargers tt ov 24.5 (1x)
        think that the full card (unless im missing something)...ill say again how much i dont condone these and i know they a crapshoot but what the fuk been hitting them when i post them so here the 6 team teaser for today im playing, had to make it 6.5 points so was only 5.5 to 1..

        Football - 402 Carolina Panthers -3 for Game
        Football - 404 Dallas Cowboys -2½ for Game
        Football - 410 Buffalo Bills +11½ for Game
        Football - 411 San Diego Chargers +8 for Game
        Football - 419 Pittsburgh Steelers/New England Patriots under 49 for Game
        Football - 422 Houston Texans +7½ for Game
        only other thing i may be playing is the sunday night gm or halftimes/live bets... gl everyone..
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #1124
          skins/sd ov 40.5 live..
          Comment
          • Bet10Heinekens
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-10-13
            • 10567

            #1125
            good cash on the 1st half under Banker, GL on the rest of your plays
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #1126
              min/dal 2nd half ov 24
              Comment
              • Madison
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-16-11
                • 6468

                #1127
                NFL officially sux. They've ruined a great sport. League is now ruled by the zebras.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #1128
                  Chargers come through big at the last minute for you Bank.

                  Congrats.
                  Comment
                  • unitedlad
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-10-12
                    • 845

                    #1129
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    Chargers come through big at the last minute for you Bank.

                    Congrats.
                    Why you congratulating? You were obviously on the under...

                    Edit: My bad, thought you were congratulating him on the TT.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #1130
                      Originally posted by unitedlad
                      Why you congratulating? You were obviously on the under...

                      Edit: My bad, thought you were congratulating him on the TT.
                      I saw a touchdown, then a reversal. That sucks.
                      Comment
                      • imarkp
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-05-12
                        • 233

                        #1131
                        anyone thoughts on 2nd half phi/oak oak 1-.5 or seattle -11.5 ?
                        Comment
                        • dymd3z
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-01-12
                          • 1923

                          #1132
                          Both.. Y Fukkn not
                          Comment
                          • imarkp
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-05-12
                            • 233

                            #1133
                            yeah had oak. not looking to good. thought about trying to save some of the bet. guess i'll just suck it up. thx
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #1134
                              I'm on Pitt too Banker.

                              Their D is fvcking atrocious.
                              Comment
                              • Cause-I-Need-It
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-24-13
                                • 285

                                #1135
                                Originally posted by Cause-I-Need-It
                                C'mon it's been a rough week

                                Panthers -1½ for Game
                                Falcons/Panthers Over 42
                                Cowboys -3½ for Game
                                Comment
                                • legend210
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 10-13-13
                                  • 43

                                  #1136
                                  Originally posted by Cause-I-Need-It
                                  Well done sir!!!

                                  Comment
                                  • imarkp
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-05-12
                                    • 233

                                    #1137
                                    not thinking very clearly right now. should have been thinking philly would continue playing well in 2nd half and gone that way. at least didn't bet. foles pretty impressive today. think the vick era is over in philly. need to find out if they need to draft a qb in first round next year. leaning toward hou tonight. not sure why line dropped?
                                    Comment
                                    • imarkp
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-05-12
                                      • 233

                                      #1138
                                      can answer my own question. more money bet on hou. real question is does any one here like hou . why or why not? banker you still leaning that way?
                                      Comment
                                      • mikeya2k
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-12-13
                                        • 2719

                                        #1139
                                        gl banker

                                        indy is toooo easy here man dont over think this
                                        Comment
                                        • ghetto1
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-13-09
                                          • 174

                                          #1140
                                          what your pick on MNF bank?
                                          Comment
                                          • LolsMcwinsey
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-08-10
                                            • 2660

                                            #1141
                                            Hes hiding
                                            Comment
                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 22670

                                              #1142
                                              Right now, I'm trying to figure out which SBR poster is Richie Incognito.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #1143
                                                Originally posted by LolsMcwinsey
                                                Hes hiding
                                                i never hide bitch..
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #1144
                                                  what can i say guys, sorry not a real good week for me.. had the jets pegged and pretty proud of myself the way we waited on those sd/skins and dal/minny totals and got much better numbers that hit easy in-gm (especially after screwing up and not getting dal at 47 think really played that well to make up for it).. that was the good..

                                                  obviously the bad was the steelers were atrocious and you guys that tried to talk me off balty i give you props, i dont know wtf wrong with that team, i did have marlon brown to be a big deal pegged, i was way fukkin wrong about them fixing the run gm, no idea what going on there? kills me cause when rice was hurt i traded djax for him as im stacked at wr but clearly rice isnt my 2 rb answer.. had another 2nd half total hit with pit/pats over but my phoned died and couldnt post it, of coarse that the gm that cost us our 3rd 6 team teaser, looking back no idea why i teased that total to the under instead of balty/cle? bad mistake, i honestly thought that gm would have far more rushing and not so many blown assignments in the secodary, prob missed that gm worse than any gm all year, lol..

                                                  hopefully can get back on track after suffering 3rd losing week this season, even tho the damage was very minimal with thu night and the live and halftime bets still no fun to drop any money and i apologize and will try and right the ship this week..

                                                  2marro night i will bang out as much of the card as i can as im gonna be pretty busy thu and fri...

                                                  clearly minny/skins not the type of gm where the thu night 1st half under real appealing, i will say at least we getting a pretty high number to work with so i will consider but it will be based off capping not a auto-play..

                                                  as always feel free to start posting what you like or gms you wanna discuss and those be the 1st gms i get after 2marro..promised the wifey a night out but i promise not gonna lolly gag on this card and will have plenty up 2marro night, prob wont finish but will have a really good start and at least a few plays im sure..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Twiz
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-22-13
                                                    • 442

                                                    #1145
                                                    Your thread is the only thread I really "follow" on here (followed before I even joined the site). I'm less of a capper and more of a "situational" type of better so I always like to see what games we match on because those are usually solid bets. I got buried on Pittsburgh as well you honestly can't predict a game like that.

                                                    I like Arizona a lot this week...just a little scared because who wouldn't. Think SD probably second best play on the board if their D shows up. Leaning Cinci but I know you won't like them because Ravens off that divisional loss...prolly a trend against that(especially in afc north)...Also like Atlanta but more because I think Seattle ('s offense) is grossly overrated as opposed to Atlanta being half decent. Would like to see your opinions on those games. Think there's a lot of value in the primetime games this week too but I usually wait until last minute to bet those.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SmittyZ28
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-04-12
                                                      • 1469

                                                      #1146
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      what can i say guys, sorry not a real good week for me.. had the jets pegged and pretty proud of myself the way we waited on those sd/skins and dal/minny totals and got much better numbers that hit easy in-gm (especially after screwing up and not getting dal at 47 think really played that well to make up for it).. that was the good..

                                                      obviously the bad was the steelers were atrocious and you guys that tried to talk me off balty i give you props, i dont know wtf wrong with that team, i did have marlon brown to be a big deal pegged, i was way fukkin wrong about them fixing the run gm, no idea what going on there? kills me cause when rice was hurt i traded djax for him as im stacked at wr but clearly rice isnt my 2 rb answer.. had another 2nd half total hit with pit/pats over but my phoned died and couldnt post it, of coarse that the gm that cost us our 3rd 6 team teaser, looking back no idea why i teased that total to the under instead of balty/cle? bad mistake, i honestly thought that gm would have far more rushing and not so many blown assignments in the secodary, prob missed that gm worse than any gm all year, lol..

                                                      hopefully can get back on track after suffering 3rd losing week this season, even tho the damage was very minimal with thu night and the live and halftime bets still no fun to drop any money and i apologize and will try and right the ship this week..

                                                      2marro night i will bang out as much of the card as i can as im gonna be pretty busy thu and fri...

                                                      clearly minny/skins not the type of gm where the thu night 1st half under real appealing, i will say at least we getting a pretty high number to work with so i will consider but it will be based off capping not a auto-play..

                                                      as always feel free to start posting what you like or gms you wanna discuss and those be the 1st gms i get after 2marro..promised the wifey a night out but i promise not gonna lolly gag on this card and will have plenty up 2marro night, prob wont finish but will have a really good start and at least a few plays im sure..
                                                      Don't apologize for your plays Bank, you are honest and include write ups for all of them. Everyone here can pick them as they see fit. I pick my own games but you are one that I pay attention to and your write ups have pushed me in and out on plays in the past. Keep up the good work kid
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TexasJayhawk
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-02-13
                                                        • 181

                                                        #1147
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                        what can i say guys, sorry not a real good week for me.. had the jets pegged and pretty proud of myself the way we waited on those sd/skins and dal/minny totals and got much better numbers that hit easy in-gm (especially after screwing up and not getting dal at 47 think really played that well to make up for it).. that was the good..

                                                        obviously the bad was the steelers were atrocious and you guys that tried to talk me off balty i give you props, i dont know wtf wrong with that team, i did have marlon brown to be a big deal pegged, i was way fukkin wrong about them fixing the run gm, no idea what going on there? kills me cause when rice was hurt i traded djax for him as im stacked at wr but clearly rice isnt my 2 rb answer.. had another 2nd half total hit with pit/pats over but my phoned died and couldnt post it, of coarse that the gm that cost us our 3rd 6 team teaser, looking back no idea why i teased that total to the under instead of balty/cle? bad mistake, i honestly thought that gm would have far more rushing and not so many blown assignments in the secodary, prob missed that gm worse than any gm all year, lol..

                                                        hopefully can get back on track after suffering 3rd losing week this season, even tho the damage was very minimal with thu night and the live and halftime bets still no fun to drop any money and i apologize and will try and right the ship this week..

                                                        2marro night i will bang out as much of the card as i can as im gonna be pretty busy thu and fri...

                                                        clearly minny/skins not the type of gm where the thu night 1st half under real appealing, i will say at least we getting a pretty high number to work with so i will consider but it will be based off capping not a auto-play..

                                                        as always feel free to start posting what you like or gms you wanna discuss and those be the 1st gms i get after 2marro..promised the wifey a night out but i promise not gonna lolly gag on this card and will have plenty up 2marro night, prob wont finish but will have a really good start and at least a few plays im sure..
                                                        All good Bank. Like comments above, your NFL thread is only one I really pay attention to. All's I know is I've won some nice $ playing the Panthers. Had them and the over (Car/Atl) on a 6 pt tease. Wanted to take that Tenn/Stl as my second pick on the teaser but I couldn't get past the fact Locker was playing.
                                                        As far as Houston is concerned (took them +1)...don't think anyone could have predicted the events that transpired in the second half...being a Houstonian that was a stinging loss.

                                                        Moving on..what are your thoughts on Car/SF, Hou/AZ, Chi/Det, and Den/SD?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #1148
                                                          Originally posted by Twiz
                                                          Your thread is the only thread I really "follow" on here (followed before I even joined the site). I'm less of a capper and more of a "situational" type of better so I always like to see what games we match on because those are usually solid bets. I got buried on Pittsburgh as well you honestly can't predict a game like that.

                                                          I like Arizona a lot this week...just a little scared because who wouldn't. Think SD probably second best play on the board if their D shows up. Leaning Cinci but I know you won't like them because Ravens off that divisional loss...prolly a trend against that(especially in afc north)...Also like Atlanta but more because I think Seattle ('s offense) is grossly overrated as opposed to Atlanta being half decent. Would like to see your opinions on those games. Think there's a lot of value in the primetime games this week too but I usually wait until last minute to bet those.
                                                          my problem with zona is i really worry bout Palmer whenever he gets pressured and hou can def bring the heat against that oline.. i do think that this will be young keenum's worse gm to date as cards secondary is legit.. like i said i wont have time to actually do numbers on these till tonight but my biggest concern is hou pass rush vs cars oline..

                                                          far as sd i can see it but think it prob one of those situations where if we think the dog can hang with den almost makes more sense to bet the over .. ill have better answer later but still dont buy sd defense but i do like their O..

                                                          i wanna say balty is dead to me! if ya wanna take cincy im not gonna stop you..however i would cation that cincy d was already a little beat up and the loss of atkins is a really big deal..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #1149
                                                            Originally posted by TexasJayhawk
                                                            All good Bank. Like comments above, your NFL thread is only one I really pay attention to. All's I know is I've won some nice $ playing the Panthers. Had them and the over (Car/Atl) on a 6 pt tease. Wanted to take that Tenn/Stl as my second pick on the teaser but I couldn't get past the fact Locker was playing.
                                                            As far as Houston is concerned (took them +1)...don't think anyone could have predicted the events that transpired in the second half...being a Houstonian that was a stinging loss.

                                                            Moving on..what are your thoughts on Car/SF, Hou/AZ, Chi/Det, and Den/SD?
                                                            yea coach keeling over at halftime sure made a pretty big difference in that one.. on the bright side if you a hou fan i think you finally have a qb that could actually lead ya'll to playoff success down the road...

                                                            all just initial reactions as wont be able to actually cap the card till tonight and have much better answer and actual plays but will give ya my 1st thoughts to get the discussion going a little..

                                                            i really doubt i can play any side but panthers in that gm, not sure i will but that a lot of points for a team i admittedly really like. i know it easy to look at who panthers have beat and dismiss them a little which i suppose is fair but they also had sea beat before they lost their tackles, should have won in buf before their qb was hurt.. clearly they lost those gms but they had them both and screwed up so i dont buy that panthers winning simply a product of playing bad teams..i know 1 thing, sf has proven they have to run to be successful and gore gonna have some tough sledding against that front 7. seems like a gm where points be at a premium and will end up who doesnt make mistakes and who can make a few plays between sCam and keap as i dont think either run gm be real successful.. so 1st lean is take the points or under, i see that total rising which i understand but certain plays into my fav as w/o crunching the numbers i gonna go out on a limb and guess that i come up with a lowish number, not sure if it be lower than theirs or not?

                                                            i addressed hou/zona above a little, think this one really tough. think this a gm keenum may struggle a little as i really like that zona secondary.. on the other hand im always scared of backing cards against teams with a strong pass rush as palmer a statue and his line isnt very good. tough gm but one that interest me a ton so i will put a lot of time into it tonight and see if i can come up with a set of numbers im comfortable with.. over may be a decent play here..

                                                            only line ive seen on det/chi is bears +2.5 but i only see it on the sbr page, it says that BOL line but when i went to bol last night it wasnt on the board.. i guess we waiting on cutler news but i have no problem with McCown as like i been saying all yr i like tressman and clearly he got dude ready to play.. if that the line no matter the qb i think you tease bears up and be done with it, only total ive seen was 50 but again only on sbr page as i couldnt find at BOl but strange they open it higher than in det (where of coarse that over was stealing), when typically they play higher scoring gms in the dome.. chi defense is so shot but to me the pass rush and secondary seem to be getting right, clearly you can expose their decimated middle with the run but not like det is all about running between the tackles, not that they wont but they much rather pass. like forte against det run d, and as always im incredibly skeptical of det on the road.. think it be a pretty close gm, initially id lean bears (especially at plus money) but if that is in fact the number teasing them seems like obvious choice..

                                                            den/sd i think just square it up and play the over.. havnt made a number yet but will fall back on what i said last week, i buy chargers offense and not their d. if they gonna hang in this gm which i think they can that means they gonna have to score at least 28, my guess is my number will be in the low 60's but just guessing (obviously getting little easier to guess at my number this far into season but still prefer to wait and actually make it before i bet unless i think im gonna lose out on a number that moving, pretty confident it high enough it not gonna jump on me during the day today, hopefully)..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #1150
                                                              appreciate the kind words from all you guys... gotta get to the gym and do some running around but as promised dedicating tonight to banging a lot of this card out so will have plenty more up to talk about later on..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Twiz
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-22-13
                                                                • 442

                                                                #1151
                                                                I think you might be wrong on this DEN/SD over (hard to say as DEN ain't missed yet)...but I think the key here is looking at SDs defense AT HOME so far this year. Shut down the colts, held the cowboys to 14 (their 3rd TD was a pick 6 i think)...I mean Houston put up 31 first game of the season but we can take that for what it is being first game in all...SDs defense is a pile of shit but so far at home they've played their best 2 games against the best 2 offenses they've played...SD loses a heartbreaker last week...this is a GREAT spot.

                                                                I think if you bet SD and under there's NO way you go 0-2(Public clearly banging the opp side of both)...worst case 1-1 eat a lil juice an move on...best case you're sharp as penetrate...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • killersweet
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-02-08
                                                                  • 1483

                                                                  #1152
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                  what can i say guys, sorry not a real good week for me.. had the jets pegged and pretty proud of myself the way we waited on those sd/skins and dal/minny totals and got much better numbers that hit easy in-gm (especially after screwing up and not getting dal at 47 think really played that well to make up for it).. that was the good..

                                                                  obviously the bad was the steelers were atrocious and you guys that tried to talk me off balty i give you props, i dont know wtf wrong with that team, i did have marlon brown to be a big deal pegged, i was way fukkin wrong about them fixing the run gm, no idea what going on there? kills me cause when rice was hurt i traded djax for him as im stacked at wr but clearly rice isnt my 2 rb answer.. had another 2nd half total hit with pit/pats over but my phoned died and couldnt post it, of coarse that the gm that cost us our 3rd 6 team teaser, looking back no idea why i teased that total to the under instead of balty/cle? bad mistake, i honestly thought that gm would have far more rushing and not so many blown assignments in the secodary, prob missed that gm worse than any gm all year, lol..

                                                                  hopefully can get back on track after suffering 3rd losing week this season, even tho the damage was very minimal with thu night and the live and halftime bets still no fun to drop any money and i apologize and will try and right the ship this week..

                                                                  2marro night i will bang out as much of the card as i can as im gonna be pretty busy thu and fri...

                                                                  clearly minny/skins not the type of gm where the thu night 1st half under real appealing, i will say at least we getting a pretty high number to work with so i will consider but it will be based off capping not a auto-play..

                                                                  as always feel free to start posting what you like or gms you wanna discuss and those be the 1st gms i get after 2marro..promised the wifey a night out but i promise not gonna lolly gag on this card and will have plenty up 2marro night, prob wont finish but will have a really good start and at least a few plays im sure..
                                                                  Steelers are horrible man. That was simply embarrassing. Balit just sucked balls after a bye week. That was terrible. Other than that, you were on about the totals. The card last weekend wasn't great. We knew that. Now let's get back to this week and get back to the winning ways.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TexasJayhawk
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 10-02-13
                                                                    • 181

                                                                    #1153
                                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                    yea coach keeling over at halftime sure made a pretty big difference in that one.. on the bright side if you a hou fan i think you finally have a qb that could actually lead ya'll to playoff success down the road...

                                                                    all just initial reactions as wont be able to actually cap the card till tonight and have much better answer and actual plays but will give ya my 1st thoughts to get the discussion going a little..

                                                                    i really doubt i can play any side but panthers in that gm, not sure i will but that a lot of points for a team i admittedly really like. i know it easy to look at who panthers have beat and dismiss them a little which i suppose is fair but they also had sea beat before they lost their tackles, should have won in buf before their qb was hurt.. clearly they lost those gms but they had them both and screwed up so i dont buy that panthers winning simply a product of playing bad teams..i know 1 thing, sf has proven they have to run to be successful and gore gonna have some tough sledding against that front 7. seems like a gm where points be at a premium and will end up who doesnt make mistakes and who can make a few plays between sCam and keap as i dont think either run gm be real successful.. so 1st lean is take the points or under, i see that total rising which i understand but certain plays into my fav as w/o crunching the numbers i gonna go out on a limb and guess that i come up with a lowish number, not sure if it be lower than theirs or not?

                                                                    i addressed hou/zona above a little, think this one really tough. think this a gm keenum may struggle a little as i really like that zona secondary.. on the other hand im always scared of backing cards against teams with a strong pass rush as palmer a statue and his line isnt very good. tough gm but one that interest me a ton so i will put a lot of time into it tonight and see if i can come up with a set of numbers im comfortable with.. over may be a decent play here..

                                                                    only line ive seen on det/chi is bears +2.5 but i only see it on the sbr page, it says that BOL line but when i went to bol last night it wasnt on the board.. i guess we waiting on cutler news but i have no problem with McCown as like i been saying all yr i like tressman and clearly he got dude ready to play.. if that the line no matter the qb i think you tease bears up and be done with it, only total ive seen was 50 but again only on sbr page as i couldnt find at BOl but strange they open it higher than in det (where of coarse that over was stealing), when typically they play higher scoring gms in the dome.. chi defense is so shot but to me the pass rush and secondary seem to be getting right, clearly you can expose their decimated middle with the run but not like det is all about running between the tackles, not that they wont but they much rather pass. like forte against det run d, and as always im incredibly skeptical of det on the road.. think it be a pretty close gm, initially id lean bears (especially at plus money) but if that is in fact the number teasing them seems like obvious choice..

                                                                    den/sd i think just square it up and play the over.. havnt made a number yet but will fall back on what i said last week, i buy chargers offense and not their d. if they gonna hang in this gm which i think they can that means they gonna have to score at least 28, my guess is my number will be in the low 60's but just guessing (obviously getting little easier to guess at my number this far into season but still prefer to wait and actually make it before i bet unless i think im gonna lose out on a number that moving, pretty confident it high enough it not gonna jump on me during the day today, hopefully)..
                                                                    Appreciate that Bank. Forgot to mention my sentiments about Baltimore earlier....same as yours. Screw that team. I put 2u on Balt (-1.5) vs. Cle last week. For the weirdest reason I had a bad feeling about them an hour before that game started. Said to myself yeh Baltimore has won 17 or 18 in a row vs. Cle (think it was from 2007) but that was when the Ravens hadn't recently won a Super Bowl...beginning to see/understand why teams do so poorly the year after winning a ring. Sucks the energy/drive right out of them.
                                                                    Anyways, F Baltimore and especially F Flacccco
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #1154
                                                                      Originally posted by Twiz
                                                                      I think you might be wrong on this DEN/SD over (hard to say as DEN ain't missed yet)...but I think the key here is looking at SDs defense AT HOME so far this year. Shut down the colts, held the cowboys to 14 (their 3rd TD was a pick 6 i think)...I mean Houston put up 31 first game of the season but we can take that for what it is being first game in all...SDs defense is a pile of shit but so far at home they've played their best 2 games against the best 2 offenses they've played...SD loses a heartbreaker last week...this is a GREAT spot.

                                                                      I think if you bet SD and under there's NO way you go 0-2(Public clearly banging the opp side of both)...worst case 1-1 eat a lil juice an move on...best case you're sharp as penetrate...
                                                                      dont the masses always bang peyton and the over and usually win? i know we been all bout the over side of that deal and just not sure now the time to get off..

                                                                      far as sd best 2 defensive performances, w/o trying to take away too much from them lets be fair about dal, they have a tendency to stop themselves on offense, not 1st time this yr they laid a egg as the offense was basically a no show against the lions as well...far as indy not sure how much more i can call into question the OC of that team but really the best defense in both those gms was chargers ability to control the time of possession, almost doubling indy up and damn near running twice the plays, and besting dal by over 10 minutes i believe..

                                                                      that all well and good and sd totals are a little more tricky based on the fact they do go on long time consuming drives, however we talking about a team that allows a league worst 6.4 yards per play facing a den offense that coincidentally is a league best avg 6.4 ypp, chargers ranked 27th in the league at getting off the field on 3rd downs and once again den offense is 1st, chargers allow opposing qbs to complete 68% of their passes which im sure is again right near the bottom of the league and well peyton again is right at the top (right behind rivers amazingly enough).. now im not saying this to say that chargers cant play with den cause i believe they can, their offense has impressed me plenty avg 6.2 yards per play and i believe they avg more minutes per drive than anyone, they 2nd right behind den in 3rd down conversion percentage and while den is a little stingier with opponents completion percentage they have played some inaccurate qbs and they also allow a league worst 12.4 yards per completion.

                                                                      what im getting at here is while i have no doubts that chargers can possess the ball and play a little bit of keep away, den is still gonna get what at least 8-9 cracks with the ball in a perfect world for chargers? prob more likely 10 at least and you telling me peyton and co efficient asses not gonna put up 5tds and a fg at least with those tries against a defense allowing that kind of clip on 3rd down and that many yards per play? i dunno, i gotta say i see den scoring 34 minimum and id lean more towards 38-41 unless chargers can just really play keep away and while that can be done they certainly cant risk sacrificing points to accomplish this if they wanna hang and will have to take some shots to keenan allen....

                                                                      im not real hip on the whole "sharp/square" thing and certainly not looking to play chargers and under thinking one "has to hit", cause for 1 in the grand scheme of things whether or not den or their overs continue to be "square" cash cows it not killing books bottom line as ppl will just give it back on another gm.. secondly like i said if chargers are to cover which i believe they can, i feel pretty strongly that it gonna take 28 minimum for them to accomplish it...i could be wrong (certainly happens) but gonna stick to my story with den that playing the over i got 2 ways to win that doesnt involve fading peyton who loves to take my money, if chargers win or cover i strongly believe it cruises over, den jumps on them and i still have good shot at over as chargers turn into another team trying to catch up..simply math to me, 2 ways to win vs 1 by backing sd. so far it has worked, clearly it wont forever but i cant put this total any lower than 62, my range little spaced on this gm but 62-68 is where im at so square as it may be ive seen more value in some of these den totals than i ever have on a total in my life simply cause books obviously not trying to line nfl gms in the 60s even tho that where ive put a bunch of them..

                                                                      you are certainly correct tho. i may be wrong. im wrong plenty, that said im less worried about this over than i was the skins/den total...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Twiz
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 10-22-13
                                                                        • 442

                                                                        #1155
                                                                        I just can't stop going back to that indy game. SD ran pretty well and I could argue that colts D at least similar to Denvers (maybe not statistically because no one been in a game yet with den so no one been able to run...). Gotta remember too that Chargers settled for 3 redzone fieldgoals and 1 right outside the redzone...that game easily could have been a lot uglier(while still going UNDER). DEN and indy both big games for chargers, both at home, underdogs in both, both following a SD road loss, both games "supposed" to be high scoring, both have an ABSURD amount of public money on road fav and over, both road favs with a look ahead game...see what I'm saying?

                                                                        I for one haven't been riding this DEN over train but for the last 3 games I been looking for a spot to go under and I think situationally this easily the best one. Obv either of us could be wrong that's the beauty of betting sports i guess...

                                                                        How do you feel about that PHI/GB game? I'm thinking GB D stands up and they get an easy win. People high on Foles and low on GB after that shit performance from seneca but give this dude a week to prepare as opposed to tossing him in the middle of a primetime divisional match and he can prolly complete some passes. Might not even need to if GB runs up and down the field on them...Just hard to believe GB could go from a 9.5 fav to a slightly juiced pick'em...
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...