CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Saturday 1/31/09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Saturday 1/31/09
    I don't have that much time o do alengthy wrie up as the Missus is getting showered up for a long evening and we are so far up courtesy of the Circus Circus crap table that I am feeling good right now. Tomorrow i will attack the roulette table early. But here's the stuff that you want to know...

    Rutgers-3.5

    Notre Dame+12 (Played online buying a point)

    Kansas-22 (There isn't even a moneyline for the game!)HEAVY

    Santa Clara-15 (There isn't even a moneyline for the game) NO PLAY

    *****Udapte*****

    Santa Clara is no longer a play as it fell underneath the criterion,and it now an assigned moneyline that is incorrect and does not correlate with the spread. So this is now a no play (11:37 am pst)

    I am replacing it with Wisconsin+1


    Kansas-12 1st half (Secret Play) HEAVY

    Gonzaga-10.5 1st half (Secret Play)HEAVY

    Secret Play-O-Meter 25-5 ats


    Added NBA Play: New York Knicks +4.5 (with point buy)

    As a side note, I see the other guy finally spoke. I already said a couple of days ago that the mechanical one was a low bettor ($300.00 maximun per game or so), and that I am a boss of a different nature and a higher stake player than he and nobody believed me when I said it. A good record ain't squat if you ain't makin units, which is what this thing is about in this thing of ours. I prefer money management. If you lose three $300.00 games and win one $3000.00 game, who cares about losing $900.00 when you win $2100.00? That's why a record isn't always the best factor in determining the better person at their craft. Although it's hard to asrgue with the records of some of the subsets I have come up with. But it is a good sign that he finally came out of his shell.

    Maybe the Carjacking experiment is worth it after all. But at any rate, if the automated guy would have accepted the challenge, (or TPowell the Slick cheap shot artist, makes no difference to me, these are $300.00 maximum guys. There's no comparison.) all he would have seen coming from me would be Secret plays and nothing else, and that's word as bond. A nice paypal account funding would be some nice gravy.

    The truth of the matter is that I was going to kick the other guy's behind percentage wise. But it is what it is. Who needs the automated one when you've got a sharp! I actually like the automated guy in some ways, but it is a shame that he couldn't be like JohnMorr08 and just come out and say he is a disciple of a certain service. I mean I gave old boy John Morr speaks about his $200.00 and now I am benefactor from gaining that knowledge. I even said it was wrong to label the artist's music if he wasn't getting full copyright compensation from those who came into knowldge of his activity thereof. And I even said it on our own hread. Whatever..eveything is everything. And what is, is.

    Okay it's Super Bowl Week ladies and gentlemen. It looks like she is FINALLY ready. Gather round fells. Glasses in the air...

    CK Mafia, hold your cups up! Let's get the money and have a good time today! Good clean store bought picks... That ain't our way. We're underground. We cap, we break bread, and then we eat left over take out at our keyboards looking for tomorrow's play early. I will fall asleep in the casino tonight!

    I am going to play roulette today and this is the way I am going to play it....

    Let my money occupy both of the bottoms of the first two rows from left to right and place lid in between the 0/00 every play. And when the dealer switches hands play the 0/00 only $25.00 until it hits. It usually only takes 6 turns until the 0/00 hits when a dealer change is meade. And the payout is sick. When everybody starts running from the table, you'e the only one getting chips. And then you just back to the old one-two with the exception of holding back on you 0/00 play for 4 hands max, then bring that hedge back into the mix.

    Speaking of chips, you guys better get some of that good old Kansas bacon grease money. Teaching versus Automation and a 6 play everyday guy with an avatar of a dude wearing a white suit. Whatever... CK Mafia, The People's Champions. All for one and one for all! Invictus baby!
  • MrMannix
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-15-08
    • 172

    #2
    Me and Peggy have been working some big cases but I will take some time off from the beat to play the Secret Plays on Saturday! Well done CK Mafia.
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #3
      the pacers will be on a btb and playing their 4th game in 5 nights. revenge angle at play as well for ny.

      -knicks
      ______________
      the hornets will be on a btb traveling to san antonio to face a rested spurs team who has just won 2 impressive road games. spurs will be looking to avenge an early season loss at no, and they are 4-0 ats the last 4 at home to no - winning by 15ppg.

      -spurs (big)
      ______________
      the bulls will be on a btb traveling to phx facing a suns team who is coming off of a home loss to the spurs. eager to get back in the win column, the suns should have no trouble picking apart a bulls team that they dominate at home. 3-1 ats last 4 winning by an avg of 15ppg in the 3 su wins. the suns will also be looking to avenge an early season loss at chi.

      -suns (big)
      ______________
      the jazz will be on a btb (off a blowout win) traveling to portland, facing a rested/hot blazer team playing with double revenge working on their side. the jazz won and covered both games at salt lake, so expect the blazers to go for the kill tonight. the blazers are 4-0 su/ats the last 4 in port, but have only won those games by an avg of 8ppg. for this reason, i will not go as big as i had originally planned (5x my norm) - will now likely play this one for 3x my norm.

      -blazers (big)
      ________________
      Comment
      • YoungProfit
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-26-09
        • 36

        #4
        ck. isnt your Gonzaga line for the 1H?
        Comment
        • gameday10
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-16-09
          • 601

          #5
          5dimes doesnt even have half's up yet. Anyone know when they usually put them up?
          Comment
          • cocknocker
            Restricted User
            • 11-06-08
            • 8001

            #6
            Correction made, Young Profit! Thank you for reminding me of that oversight
            Comment
            • gameday10
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-16-09
              • 601

              #7
              I see you have kansas -22 and santa clara -15. Is there anything special about not having a moneyline?
              Comment
              • cheesehead004
                Restricted User
                • 12-24-08
                • 715

                #8
                Circus Circus eh? Dont go too wild up here in Vegas now
                Comment
                • hockeytown11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 1102

                  #9
                  Pucks for today

                  Montreal over 5.5
                  Florida -150
                  Dallas under 5.5
                  Philly over 5.5
                  Phoenix -120
                  Comment
                  • 50lipa
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-18-09
                    • 409

                    #10
                    Originally posted by hockeytown11
                    Pucks for today

                    Montreal over 5.5
                    Florida -150
                    Dallas under 5.5
                    Philly over 5.5
                    Phoenix -120
                    I'm guessing you've seen it but man what a freakin letdown yesterday for the perfect score, less then 30 seconds before the end. Keep up the good work!
                    Comment
                    • hockeytown11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-04-09
                      • 1102

                      #11
                      cant complain about 10-1 last 11 but ya that game left a mark
                      Comment
                      • 50lipa
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-18-09
                        • 409

                        #12
                        Dexter your picks are often before the lines come out, so how do you adjust when they do, or does it even matter once you are going strong for one side, you go for it no matter the spread?
                        Comment
                        • showtime2000
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-09-08
                          • 1054

                          #13
                          Nice run hockeytown, going to add the following early NHL play....will check in later with others for tonight.
                          Detroit/Washigton Over
                          -detroit has scored 22 goals their last 6 games on the road. Theodore is 1-9-0 with a 3.68 GAA in 10 career starts against Detroit. If Osgood starts he is 0-2-1 with a 5.08 GAA in his last three starts and his 3.29 GAA this season. With this being a prime time game, there should be lots of goals.

                          Card for this afternoon,
                          Detroit/Washington Over
                          Los Angeles/Montreal Over(hockeytown)
                          Notre dame(CK)
                          Kansas(secret play)
                          Kansas at the half(secret play)
                          Comment
                          • hockeytown11
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 1102

                            #14
                            i dont have a line on wings game yet,i was liking over too
                            Comment
                            • peetlui
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 469

                              #15
                              Originally posted by hockeytown11
                              Pucks for today

                              Montreal over 5.5
                              Florida -150
                              Dallas under 5.5
                              Philly over 5.5
                              Phoenix -120
                              Helluva record hockey. Gotta tail you on this. Know it'll play out well, but good luck anyway. You have your own thread by any chance?
                              Comment
                              • hockeytown11
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 1102

                                #16
                                no,i just post here
                                Comment
                                • showtime2000
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-09-08
                                  • 1054

                                  #17
                                  Over seems like the choice(det avg 3.5 goals on the road versus was avg 3.4 at home)......and depending on the line i am leaning towards Det too.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hanger
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-25-09
                                    • 2115

                                    #18
                                    Anyone else liking WF to cover?

                                    I am liking ND to cover Pitt, as both disappointed last game.
                                    Comment
                                    • hockeytown11
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 1102

                                      #19
                                      i cant reccomend a play on wings game,if anything id take washington,holmstrom out,zdetterberg doubtful,datsyuk,franzen,lidstrom all playing injured
                                      Comment
                                      • showtime2000
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-09-08
                                        • 1054

                                        #20
                                        Thanks for reminding me about holmstrom and co.being hurt! Slipped my mind.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hanger
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-25-09
                                          • 2115

                                          #21
                                          Using the system we used yesterday on the Butler loss....

                                          I have Xavier 1H as a play at 30%
                                          Tulsa 1H Barely as a play 31.8%
                                          NC 1H as a play at 30%

                                          Now I know they are not too convincing at the % and the fact that Butler didn't come through, but anyone else going with these picks?
                                          Comment
                                          • hockeytown11
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 1102

                                            #22
                                            zsetterberg is now out and hudler is ?
                                            Comment
                                            • showtime2000
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-09-08
                                              • 1054

                                              #23
                                              Thanks for the headup hockeytown. I am off of Detroit. Still playing the Over. Prime time game, NHL wants goals! goals! goals!
                                              Comment
                                              • 50lipa
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-18-09
                                                • 409

                                                #24
                                                @Hanger Xavier Tulsa and BYU fit the model perfectly, i'm personally leaning towards NC and Santa Clara aswell, and i'm sure SoloBass is too.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hanger
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-25-09
                                                  • 2115

                                                  #25
                                                  50lipa-

                                                  Yes I wasnt sure. Ran the model but didn't hear anyone talking about it today. I am in on Xavier, Tulsa, and maybe NC following the model.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • esz04
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-13-08
                                                    • 117

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Hanger
                                                    Using the system we used yesterday on the Butler loss....

                                                    I have Xavier 1H as a play at 30%
                                                    Tulsa 1H Barely as a play 31.8%
                                                    NC 1H as a play at 30%

                                                    Now I know they are not too convincing at the % and the fact that Butler didn't come through, but anyone else going with these picks?
                                                    I believe Carolina is not a play under Solo's system because the line opened up below 15.5. I could be wrong but I thought the minimums were 8.5 for the first half and 15.5 for the game. I will be playing the other two in addition to Gonzaga, Kansas and BYU
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by cheesehead004
                                                      Circus Circus eh? Dont go too wild up here in Vegas now
                                                      seriously CK - Bellagio, Wynn - cmon now! haha
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hanger
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-25-09
                                                        • 2115

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by esz04
                                                        I believe Carolina is not a play under Solo's system because the line opened up below 15.5. I could be wrong but I thought the minimums were 8.5 for the first half and 15.5 for the game. I will be playing the other two in addition to Gonzaga, Kansas and BYU

                                                        When I spoke with him, he was not clear on opening lines or current lines. From what I understood from our conversation is that you need to be consistent with the time at which you draw your numbers so that there isn't a big variation across your games. Hopefully he will chime in here, but this is how I understood it.

                                                        The way I am doing it, is I have a spreadsheet at which I am recording opening lines, and tip off lines to see if there is a relationship.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by 50lipa
                                                          Dexter your picks are often before the lines come out, so how do you adjust when they do, or does it even matter once you are going strong for one side, you go for it no matter the spread?
                                                          i always set my own lines the night before, and pretty much have a good idea of where they will land (i'm usually within 3 pts of the line). what i do then is basically adjust the size of my play if i think there is an error in the real line as opposed to mine. or sometimes i will look further into a game and realize my line was off. there have been a few situations where the actual line that came out scared me off a play. the few times i let them scare me, i would have won. so i pretty much will always stay with my initial lean, and will instead just adjust the number of units i play.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hanger
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-25-09
                                                            • 2115

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by esz04
                                                            I believe Carolina is not a play under Solo's system because the line opened up below 15.5. I could be wrong but I thought the minimums were 8.5 for the first half and 15.5 for the game. I will be playing the other two in addition to Gonzaga, Kansas and BYU

                                                            With what I said above, I probably will lay off the NC game. Waiting to see what the lines do.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ANDYW15
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-28-08
                                                              • 1254

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Dexter
                                                              seriously CK - Bellagio, Wynn - cmon now! haha
                                                              He's living it up in Reno guys
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #32
                                                                solo - are you playing santa clara first half or game?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hanger
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-25-09
                                                                  • 2115

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                  solo - are you playing santa clara first half or game?

                                                                  Dex-

                                                                  He said to finish off yesterday's CK thread that he would be back to playing it this morning. Just an FYI
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cgars1
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-18-09
                                                                    • 657

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Hanger
                                                                    Using the system we used yesterday on the Butler loss....

                                                                    I have Xavier 1H as a play at 30%
                                                                    Tulsa 1H Barely as a play 31.8%
                                                                    NC 1H as a play at 30%

                                                                    Now I know they are not too convincing at the % and the fact that Butler didn't come through, but anyone else going with these picks?

                                                                    I'm leaning toward UNC1h

                                                                    How about Coll of Char1h?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by esz04
                                                                      I believe Carolina is not a play under Solo's system because the line opened up below 15.5. I could be wrong but I thought the minimums were 8.5 for the first half and 15.5 for the game. I will be playing the other two in addition to Gonzaga, Kansas and BYU
                                                                      it fits the model perfectly now - he'll be out soon to confirm.

                                                                      hanger - butler was NOT any system play. solobass mentioned that yesterday.
                                                                      Comment
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