CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Saturday 1/31/09

[Dexter]

Dex-

He said to finish off yesterday's CK thread that he would be back to playing it this morning. Just an FYI

i know, but santa clara doesnt have a full game money line which makes it impossible to come up with his version of the secret first half play. i think he is working on that blowout index play though.

[lambogb]

my college picks for what theyre worth, 1.5 units each

Purdue -12
Notre Dame +12
Louisville -6
Wake Forest -7
Xavier 1H -9

also

New Jersey Nets +8

[solobass]

I believe Carolina is not a play under Solo's system because the line opened up below 15.5. I could be wrong but I thought the minimums were 8.5 for the first half and 15.5 for the game. I will be playing the other two in addition to Gonzaga, Kansas and BYU

that is true, NC was not a system play for me and i am not betting on that one today.

[dbldown]

wake forest -8-110
notre dame +11-110
louisville -6-110
marquette -6½-110
oklahoma st +2½-110
kentucky -9-110

[solobass]

Here are my booked plays so far. I am not sure what to do with Santa Clara because Pepperdine is so bad I might bet the game (-15) and probably the 2nd half instead of the 1st. All those listed are system plays and I will not be going outside of that for today. All 1st half losses will be followed with a 2nd half bet.

Xavier -9 @ 12:00
Tulsa -9.5 @ 3:00
Kansas -12 @ 4:00 (the pure CK special)
BYU -9 @ 6:00
Gonzaga -10.5 @ 6:00

[50lipa]

Got Tulsa at -8.5 like 30mins ago, is it going up? Where is that line from?

[ANDYW15]

Got Tulsa at -8.5 like 30mins ago, is it going up? Where is that line from?

me too but at -115

[bumppinee]

First play wake forest -8

[gameday10]

kansas at -13, still a play?

[BmoreBucco]

Feeling propish early today...

The over/under for points plus assists for Tory Jackson is 17.5. Thay is a tick above his average. That average was inflated against some weak competition early this season. Combine that with the fact that Pittsburgh has a rather stifling, deep D and I'll take my chances on Jackson falling shy of the mark.

Tory Jackson points/assists under 17.5

[ANDYW15]

the pacers will be on a btb and playing their 4th game in 5 nights. revenge angle at play as well for ny.

-knicks
______________
the hornets will be on a btb traveling to san antonio to face a rested spurs team who has just won 2 impressive road games. spurs will be looking to avenge an early season loss at no, and they are 4-0 ats the last 4 at home to no - winning by 15ppg.

-spurs (big)
______________
the bulls will be on a btb traveling to phx facing a suns team who is coming off of a home loss to the spurs. eager to get back in the win column, the suns should have no trouble picking apart a bulls team that they dominate at home. 3-1 ats last 4 winning by an avg of 15ppg in the 3 su wins. the suns will also be looking to avenge an early season loss at chi.

-suns (big)
______________
the jazz will be on a btb (off a blowout win) traveling to portland, facing a rested/hot blazer team playing with double revenge working on their side. the jazz won and covered both games at salt lake, so expect the blazers to go for the kill tomorrow. the blazers are 4-0 su/ats the last 4 in port, but have only won those games by an avg of 8ppg. for this reason, i will not go as big as i had originally planned (5x my norm) - will now likely play this one for 3x my norm.

-blazers (big)
________________

Dex, nice write-ups again. Love all the picks today.

[SamsNCharge99]

Early NCAA play for me is Louisville -6.5

[NYCKEV]

Fighting Irish + 11.5

[ANDYW15]

Just locked in to Wake Forest -7.5 -110

[Dexter]

booked plays-

knicks +3.5
spurs -6 (big)
suns -9 (big)
blazers -9.5 (big)

*of course i am on all ck secret plays, and solosystem plays as well

[peterpan19]

early plays:
xavier -9 1st
buf -8 1st (no ml on pinny, but feeling good on that one)

[jaymac82980]

gameday, if your gonna lock it in, I'd take it before it hits 14. Of course I still see 1st half at 12, so maybe you just got bad lines.

[solobass]

Dex, i imagine you having this big stock board type display in your office with a revenge matrix of some sort. single, double, triple, you are the man on that stuff brother.

[Bezerk15]

damn fellas, i just woke up an hour ago and got to work...long night, don't ask...

Thanks for getting me on those Celtics - pay day!

jaymac or anyone else jump on that Marist and Loyola action last night. Man all 3 of those plays worked out.

Just a last minute sneak...check out Northeastern -5 1h at home against Delaware. Coming off of that big win against VCU giving Northeastern the out right lead in the CAA. They come home after two games on the road and should get out after Delaware early. NU took down Delaware by 20 on their home court. Delaware is yet to win a conference road game losing by an average of 7 points. UD starts slow but has put together strong 2h's.

Taking Northeastern -7.5 1h but don't see them covering the -13.5 for the game.

[Dexter]

Dex, i imagine you having this big stock board type display in your office with a revenge matrix of some sort. single, double, triple, you are the man on that stuff brother.

ha - yeah, double revenge made my eyes light up - i just wish the avg margin was higher in their home wins. portland should still roll.

[Bezerk15]

booked ck's sp and solobass plays - going with hockeytown again tonight (killing the puck card)

dex - Is there any reason to wait on the Suns or Blazers play? You don't forsee those lines dropping do you?

[hockeytown11]

xavier is still asleep,anyways we arent taking gtown today boyz?

[hockeytown11]

ADDED PUCK PLAY

WASHINGTON -115

Wings are just too banged up and the Caps are great at home even with a helathy Wings team it would be tough game but the Wings are missing 4 regulars and 3 others are hurt but trying to play.

[sportsgenius1]

Ck or anyone, what is a double round robin parlay??

[moneygrip]

DAMN i love that ND play! next time being wretchedly hung over causes me to miss a play like that i'm quitting drinking for a week! maybe i'll hammer them second half if pitt. rallies. love the call CK

[Dexter]

booked ck's sp and solobass plays - going with hockeytown again tonight (killing the puck card)

dex - Is there any reason to wait on the Suns or Blazers play? You don't forsee those lines dropping do you?

no - i had both of my lines in those games set at 10 , so i see a little value right now.

plus with the bulls, jazz and hornets on back to back, i doubt the lines drop any - if at all.

[CP Thrizzle]

DAMN i love that ND play! next time being wretchedly hung over causes me to miss a play like that i'm quitting drinking for a week! maybe i'll hammer them second half if pitt. rallies. love the call CK

Yeah... they've dropped 4 straight, I don't see them letting up one bit this game.

[ANDYW15]

ADDED PUCK PLAY

WASHINGTON -115

Wings are just too banged up and the Caps are great at home even with a helathy Wings team it would be tough game but the Wings are missing 4 regulars and 3 others are hurt but trying to play.

with you on this one and the kings/Montreal over. The wings looked sloppy last outing, I see this one going over the 5.5. as well. GL

[peterpan19]

still over 8 min left, go Xavier

[hockeytown11]

sorry but xavier 1st half is toast,they arent covering 9 ,thats the only downfall of these 1st half plays,ur team better be ready for the start of the game cause there aint time to sleepwalk for 12mins and still cover a big number.

[flavo-ice]

DAMN i love that ND play! next time being wretchedly hung over causes me to miss a play like that i'm quitting drinking for a week! maybe i'll hammer them second half if pitt. rallies. love the call CK

Of course you love it, cause it's winning(so far). I'm guessing if ND was getting smoked you would be saying it's divine intervention that you were hung over and missed it.

[flavo-ice]

These 1H plays will eventually swing back the other way as the law of averages and the linesmakers work their magic. 25-5 ATS is just not sustainable.

[gameday10]

sorry but xavier 1st half is toast,they arent covering 9 ,thats the only downfall of these 1st half plays,ur team better be ready for the start of the game cause there aint time to sleepwalk for 12mins and still cover a big number.

still in reach with 6 minutes left and up by 5.

[nonsense48]

GOOD DAY EVERYONE. LET'S GET 'EM. plays for today so far locked as follows:nbaort-9' s.a.-6 nyn+3' cbb:kan-12' 1st 1/2 kan-22 gonz-10' 1st 1/2 gonz-19 GOOD LUCK

[ANDYW15]

xavier beginning to wake up...