2012-13 NCAA hoop picks

**No coincidences** · 03-20-13, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by YouHave2outs

A tough way to lose $44.80.

Better than losing $440.80 on the same play, eh stalker?

**No coincidences** · 03-20-13, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by Hockey33

Nocoin what do you think of Hawaii -3 hosting Air Force?

I try not to get involved with Hawaii games in any way, shape or form.

Air Force doesn't interest me at all in this type of game.

If you want to play a late game, look at High Point. Might add them myself.

**2daBank** · 03-20-13, 08:23 PM

love how the big ballers love to talk about what you bet a gm like it really matters..

**No coincidences** · 03-20-13, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

love how the big ballers love to talk about what you bet a gm like it really matters..

I'm used to it. Funny (and sad) thing is, while I bet $20 a unit, I've made almost 600 plays this year. So I've probably had more $$$ in action than most guys betting $100 a unit who are more selective with plays.

I love the action too much to make one or two plays a day. Big reason why I have a hard time staying in the black, and also a big reason why I do better in sports that have less games (like football) to bet on.

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-20-13, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

love how the big ballers love to talk about what you bet a gm like it really matters..

Yeah people on here put wy too much emphasis on the the $ amount OTHER people are betting....

**Speedy88** · 03-20-13, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'm used to it. Funny (and sad) thing is, while I bet $20 a unit, I've made almost 600 plays this year. So I've probably had more $$$ in action than most guys betting $100 a unit who are more selective with plays.

I love the action too much to make one or two plays a day. Big reason why I have a hard time staying in the black, and also a big reason why I do better in sports that have less games (like football) to bet on.

Who cares how much people bet. I got friends who bet $100-1K a game and loses a ton. My good friend bets about $40-$80 a game and makes bank off it.

**YouHave2outs** · 03-20-13, 09:08 PM

i love whilst exchanging worthless information, you are all so defensive and tight-knit that it's not even a consideration I'm being semi serious. i don't bet huge whatsoever; could not care less the amount someone else wagers.

however, no coin is one of the most amusing people that posts in this forum.

**No coincidences** · 03-20-13, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by YouHave2outs

i love whilst exchanging worthless information

I love Engrish.

**No coincidences** · 03-20-13, 09:18 PM

High Point +8.5 (2.2U to win 2)

**No coincidences** · 03-20-13, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

High Point +8.5 (2.2U to win 2)

Son of a rooster-smoking whore slut bitch.

**rim rocker** · 03-20-13, 11:34 PM

brutal

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:06 AM

3-4, -3.84U tonight
314-287, -39.06U thread

Lost High Point by the hook, LIU 1H by a point and North Dakota State by a point in OT.

I'd like to say that's an unusual string of bad luck, but it's become par for the course in this thread basically all season long.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:24 AM

Thursday's leans:

Missouri -2.5 vs. Colorado State
Davidson +3.5 vs. Marquette
St. Mary's +1 vs. Memphis
Arizona -4 vs. Belmont
Valpo +10.5 vs. Michigan State
Bucknell +3.5 vs. Butler
Cal +3 vs. UNLV
New Mexico State +9.5 vs. St. Louis
Montana +12.5 vs. Syracuse
Akron +7.5 vs. VCU

As of now, I like the top two the most. Next two are right behind.

**texhooper** · 03-21-13, 12:29 AM

the next two are right behind...it's like i have to beat you memphis haters off with a stick. for once in your life you're not questioning a 2.5 point line shift in that game?

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by texhooper

the next two are right behind...it's like i have to beat you memphis haters off with a stick. for once in your life you're not questioning a 2.5 point line shift in that game?

A move from +1.5 to -1 isn't nearly as relevant as a move from +9 to +6.5. Combine that with the fact that I'm sure the public is on Memphis and this is a 6/11 game -- sorry bro. I'll likely be taking the Fighting Delevadovas (which is probably a good thing for you).

**2daBank** · 03-21-13, 12:36 AM

wont be around for the early gms, friend of mine pressured me into helping him finish a retaining wall job he needs to get done to get paid and like the sucker i am i agreed

glad i got montana early, feel good with 14, actually think they can hang around 10ish..saw some trend about favs in the 11-14 point range have a pretty bad ats track record in the tourney as well..

u know im with you on mizzou...your gonna convince me to bet zona cause i really like them anyway but figure ill be double disappointed if i lose a bet on them and also have my sleeper team going out in round 1..

lean davidson and bucknell as well but not sure if i play them or just let them ride in my bracket cause if they win bracket be off to a nice start..

akron tempting just cause everyone so low on them/high on vcu but scares me they turn it over 30 times..

i know you hate totals but im gonna tell you 1 more time i really like that valpo/msu over,, also on sdst/mich ov 140, and under 124.5 in pit (obviously that number gone and wouldnt play at 119..

gl with all your plays brother and enjoy the early part of the day for me..

**2daBank** · 03-21-13, 12:37 AM

Originally posted by texhooper

the next two are right behind...it's like i have to beat you memphis haters off with a stick. for once in your life you're not questioning a 2.5 point line shift in that game?

im not betting st mary's tex! bracket is it for me in that 1..

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:39 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

wont be around for the early gms, friend of mine pressured me into helping him finish a retaining wall job he needs to get done to get paid and like the sucker i am i agreed

glad i got montana early, feel good with 14, actually think they can hang around 10ish..saw some trend about favs in the 11-14 point range have a pretty bad ats track record in the tourney as well..

u know im with you on mizzou...your gonna convince me to bet zona cause i really like them anyway but figure ill be double disappointed if i lose a bet on them and also have my sleeper team going out in round 1..

lean davidson and bucknell as well but not sure if i play them or just let them ride in my bracket cause if they win bracket be off to a nice start..

akron tempting just cause everyone so low on them/high on vcu but scares me they turn it over 30 times..

i know you hate totals but im gonna tell you 1 more time i really like that valpo/msu over,, also on sdst/mich ov 140, and under 124.5 in pit (obviously that number gone and wouldnt play at 119..

gl with all your plays brother and enjoy the early part of the day for me..

Thanks Bank. Good luck to you too my friend. Keep checking in when you get the chance.

**Ron29301** · 03-21-13, 12:40 AM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Who cares how much people bet. I got friends who bet $100-1K a game and loses a ton. My good friend bets about $40-$80 a game and makes bank off it.

Sometimes its about having patience. Many of us want that quick money but end up giving the books all of our money quick.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:41 AM

Originally posted by Ron29301

Sometimes its about having patience. Many of us want that quick money but end up giving the books all of our money quick.

Yep. Been there, done that.

**texhooper** · 03-21-13, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

A move from +1.5 to -1 isn't nearly as relevant as a move from +9 to +6.5. Combine that with the fact that I'm sure the public is on Memphis and this is a 6/11 game -- sorry bro. I'll likely be taking the Fighting Delevadovas (which is probably a good thing for you).

actually you are right, and i knew this before i posted, i just wanted to rib you on the line move thing. the 'public' appears to be on memphis heavy, and when a dog becomes a fave that the public is on, it's not usually a great thing. however, i can't imagine in the tournament we're dealing with a lot of public action having any affect on lines.

i just want memphis to win this goddamn game. this is like, the biggest game for the program since the kansas game.

**texhooper** · 03-21-13, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

im not betting st mary's tex! bracket is it for me in that 1..

bank i love it man...i actually took memphis in this game in my bracket, switched at the last minute, but have them losing to michigan state. i know i threatened to strategically take them to lose so i would have a pick none of my office pool would have but i can't do it. i won't be betting the game though, so we're even there.

**texhooper** · 03-21-13, 12:47 AM

and while i'm here, unit size shmunit size...like no coin says, it's all about how you bet. i remember a long time ago reading nicky santoro saying that the name of the game is to not go broke, and that is some of the best advice i have read on this forum.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by texhooper

actually you are right, and i knew this before i posted, i just wanted to rib you on the line move thing. the 'public' appears to be on memphis heavy, and when a dog becomes a fave that the public is on, it's not usually a great thing. however, i can't imagine in the tournament we're dealing with a lot of public action having any affect on lines.

i just want memphis to win this goddamn game. this is like, the biggest game for the program since the kansas game.

Good luck with it Tex. FTR, I'm never right backing/fading either team -- so I'll probably pass for that reason alone.

**sarasmith** · 03-21-13, 06:21 AM

Coin looking into a huge play on Mizzou -2.5. What do you see? I have to admit I really haven't watched CSU this year but have watched lots of Mizzou games. On paper the talent discrepancy looks huge. CSU have Ivorsen but a the tigers starting 5 is legit if their PG doesn't turn it over too much.

They have been great at home, good on neutral and brutal away from home. This game is over twice as close to Columbia as it is Ft Collins and Missouri is a much bigger school than CSU so you would have to think it would be much closer to a home game for the tigers.

Both teams excellent at rebounding so that may cancel out but I think Mizzou has the better outside shooters. I know they choked first round last year as 27 point faves but if anything that should make the players and coaching staff extra focussed on not fukking up again this year.

Also may or may not be a factor but gotta think the NCAA would rather have a Louisville v Mizzou match up in the next round than Louisville v CSU.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by sarasmith

Coin looking into a huge play on Mizzou -2.5. What do you see? I have to admit I really haven't watched CSU this year but have watched lots of Mizzou games. On paper the talent discrepancy looks huge. CSU have Ivorsen but a the tigers starting 5 is legit if their PG doesn't turn it over too much.

They have been great at home, good on neutral and brutal away from home. This game is over twice as close to Columbia as it is Ft Collins and Missouri is a much bigger school than CSU so you would have to think it would be much closer to a home game for the tigers.

Both teams excellent at rebounding so that may cancel out but I think Mizzou has the better outside shooters. I know they choked first round last year as 27 point faves but if anything that should make the players and coaching staff extra focussed on not fukking up again this year.

Also may or may not be a factor but gotta think the NCAA would rather have a Louisville v Mizzou match up in the next round than Louisville v CSU.

I'm in the same boat as you re: Mizzou. Just wondering why the line hasn't done much.

A little worried about the CSU coaching advantage.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 10:43 AM

Davidson +3.5 (5.25U to win 5)
Bucknell +4 (3.3U to win 3)
New Mexico State +9.5 (2.2U to win 2)
Valpo +11 (2.2U to win 2)
Wichita State +4.5 (1.15U to win 1)

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 11:06 AM

Oklahoma State -125 (2.5U to win 2)

**detroitlionsfan** · 03-21-13, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Davidson +3.5 (5.25U to win 5)
Bucknell +4 (3.3U to win 3)
New Mexico State +9.5 (2.2U to win 2)
Valpo +11 (2.2U to win 2)
Wichita State +4.5 (1.15U to win 1)

i like davidson and valpo

good luck bro

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by detroitlionsfan

i like davidson and valpo

good luck bro

Good luck. I'd add to Valpo, but the +11 is long gone now. ML dropping like a rock. I'm worried about MSU.

**Speedy88** · 03-21-13, 11:14 AM

I like Valpo to start it off with a bang. Most likely going to be on Davidson, but I'm starting to think that pick is almost too trendy. Haven't seen one person on Marquette. Every bracket I look at has Davidson moving on like they are the #3 seed.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 11:58 AM

Same old story -- kill the closer on a losing play.

If there's anything in gambling more overrated than BTCL, I'd like to see it.

**CanuckG** · 03-21-13, 12:00 PM

Like Wichita St. GL.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Like Wichita St. GL.

Thanks Canuck. You too.

**No coincidences** · 03-21-13, 12:14 PM

Izzo taking Bryce Drew to school in this game.

MSU players know what Valpo is going to do before they even do it.