Strictly's Season Long NBA Thread

[roasthawg]

You are pretty sharp my friend, I hope they stay plays for me as well. Next time I would like to see you wait to put them in though. There is no doubt in my mind that these lines are going to get better by atleast a half a point a piece.

Well I got Minn at +5...I got a bad line on OK City at only +8.5 but hopefully it doesn't make a difference.

[strictlywinners]

Lets make this official. Going to wait to take this but it is officially a play.
Pacers +3.5 for 4k
Pacers +140 2k

I am hoping I get a better number on both these plays but I will be taking them no matter what.

[Salcas]

Lets make this official. Going to wait to take this but it is officially a play.
Pacers +3.5 for 4k
Pacers +140 2k

I am hoping I get a better number on both these plays but I will be taking them no matter what.

Got Suns on the ML tonight...BOL

[strictlywinners]

No luck involved, win or lose, I know I'm on the right side.

[Salcas]

^Haha lets not get too cocky now

BTW Nesterovic is out tonight..look for Amare & Shaq to dominate the boards

[strictlywinners]

You are absolutely right, I shouldn't be cocky and I didn't mean to come off that way. Just by my #'s which have treated me very good this is not only a good play but a great play. It worked out to something like 73% chance of winning. SO there is still a chance of loss but I like my odds.

[Salcas]

You are absolutely right, I shouldn't be cocky and I didn't mean to come off that way. Just by my #'s which have treated me very good this is not only a good play but a great play. It worked out to something like 73% chance of winning. SO there is still a chance of loss but I like my odds.

Np..and yeah you have been doing a great job which is why I said BOL even though I'm on the opposing side lol..I've been doing very nicely myself in baskets this year so far...14-4

[jsnone1]

not 4k and 2k but.....:

Date placed:
Nov 05, 2008 5:25pSingle #126856344 Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
(504) Indiana Pacers +145 Wed@7:05p
Competitor503) Phoenix Suns Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 14.50
Date placed:
Nov 05, 2008 5:25pSingle #126856343 Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(504) Indiana Pacers +4 (-115) Wed@7:05p
Competitor503) Phoenix Suns Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 17.39

[Salcas]

Nov 05 07:05 PM
INTERNET / -1Nov 05 12:18 PM
NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[503] SUNS (PHX) -150
RISK/WIN
116 / 77

[strictlywinners]

Like I said don't get caught up in how much you have on game, you have what you can afford to have and thats all good. I do reccomend in the future though of going half on moneyline of what you have on spread.

[bmw530i]

Bro, I hope your Pacers are like $$...like a Saturday afternoon back in the day at Fun N Games....and walking around the Willowbrook mall for some guidettes...haha

[Salcas]

^BMW how far away from Staten Island are you...I live there and go to school is Jersey

[strictlywinners]

Yup those were the good old days, times have really changed its not the same anymore. Are you sure I don't know you? I'm sure my juice head friends fought you and your Juice head friends a bunch of times.

[infamousdx]

lots of tri staters in here... live in NNJ and work in woodbridge.

strictly... on your 1/2u ML and 1u spread, for example....... does this only apply to ML's that are underdogs ?

[jsnone1]

Like I said don't get caught up in how much you have on game, you have what you can afford to have and thats all good. I do reccomend in the future though of going half on moneyline of what you have on spread.

thats what I did 20 ats and 10 on ml

[bmw530i]

I run up to Picone Blvd in Farmingdale once every 2 weeks, to run some sales appts, that takes me about an 1hr and a half.

[bmw530i]

Nice to meet you Infamous....you'll make alot of cash here...

[strictlywinners]

thats what I did 20 ats and 10 on ml

You kind of did it but on the spread it should be to win 20 so risking 22. Not a big deal just so you know in the future.

[jsnone1]

You kind of did it but on the spread it should be to win 20 so risking 22. Not a big deal just so you know in the future.

ah...gotcha!! thanks

[sportsguy04]

wha do you think about detroit toronto over 180?

[bmw530i]

Yup those were the good old days, times have really changed its not the same anymore. Are you sure I don't know you? I'm sure my juice head friends fought you and your Juice head friends a bunch of times.

hahahaha....probably....I obv. can't say on here but you said your bro recently graduated a few years ago from C.G. my cousin did also...100% he knows her, but I hope not in that way...haha...she is a real cutie...

[strictlywinners]

wha do you think about detroit toronto over 180?

No opinion doesn't fit my numbers at all. If you want a personal opinion, I think Detroit will struggle to score due to lineup changes. That is really the best I can give you on this game, I will not be touching it.

[TWEETS]

Did the T Wolves and the Thunder plays fall thru or are you still gathering the info?

[strictlywinners]

Oh he definitely knows her and I don't mind saying his name either. His name is Joe Pellegrino, he is a stud, he learned from the master.

[sportsguy04]

No opinion doesn't fit my numbers at all. If you want a personal opinion, I think Detroit will struggle to score due to lineup changes. That is really the best I can give you on this game, I will not be touching it.

They put up 101 without Billups last night, but it was against Charlotte so Im not sure. oh well going to play this. 180 is not muc to make up so we will see. Toronto can also score. We shall see.

[strictlywinners]

Still collecting data if you want to have some more action they are not bad plays but just not good enough for me to tell anyone else to take. I am here to help you make money not to tell you what is almost a play. PACERS is solid.

[strictlywinners]

They put up 101 without Billups last night, but it was against Charlotte so Im not sure. oh well going to play this. 180 is not muc to make up so we will see. Toronto can also score. We shall see.

Assk yourself this question then, if they both have no problems scoring then why is the Total only 180 tonight. Like I said it is a no play for me but I don't think the Pistons will score over 85 tonight.

[jsnone1]

o/u on pacers game?

[sportsguy04]

Assk yourself this question then, if they both have no problems scoring then why is the Total only 180 tonight. Like I said it is a no play for me but I don't think the Pistons will score over 85 tonight.

True. I think both teams are capable of scoring in the 90's. But you make a valid point.

[strictlywinners]

No play. Everyone please try to limit questions on games that I have not mentioned as I have said before, if I do not post it it means that game does not fit my numbers and I am not taking it. I could give you my opinion but that is meaningless no matter how good a justification I can give you for taking one thing. I can give you just as good a justification for taking the other side. It is for this reason that writeups are overrated.

[jsnone1]

No play. Everyone please try to limit questions on games that I have not mentioned as I have said before, if I do not post it it means that game does not fit my numbers and I am not taking it. I could give you my opinion but that is meaningless no matter how good a justification I can give you for taking one thing. I can give you just as good a justification for taking the other side. It is for this reason that writeups are overrated.

write on...if you dont post it you dont like it!!! thanks!!!!

[strictlywinners]

Exactly, its not so much that I don't like it, but the beauty of what I have come up with is that it takes all the subjectivity out of capping there is no feeling or emotion connected to any of the picks, it is not based on any biases or thoughts I might have on a game, it is a raw value and makes the pick completely objective. This is key to winning long term.

[jtnguyen79]

and one more impt thing dont be greedy 1 good play a day is a SOLID week

keep it up

[sportsguy04]

Pacers was at +4 and dropped to +3 within 15 minutes. Glad I grabbed it at 4.

[strictlywinners]

Exactly, couldn't have said it better myself, lots of people don't realize that going 1-0 is better then going 2-1 or 3-2. The less juice you need to give up the better. Don't get me wrong I love the action just as much as the next guy, I just don't have any other plays to give everyone right now. If you want other action take the 3 others I posted before too, but take them small they are all between 10-12 on my value system which makes them a play but they could become not a play anytime thats why I would rather everyone stay away from them.