Strictly's Season Long NBA Thread

[SexyMit]

Ok everyone there is one game that is shaping up to be a monster play, I reccomend that everyone waits to let the suckers to jump on this and then we make our move late when the line has moved in our favor.
Bulls +4
It is not official yet, but it is already a value of 33, I will make this official at 4oclock. Do not take it before then because there is always the small chance that it will not be a play anymore.

I was just trying to find your thread. I was just looking at Chicago game and was going to mention it to you to see what you thought about it... lol makes me like it even more now.

[strictlywinners]

Be careful, not a play yet, just a very strong early lean, I am still waiting for more data to come in.

[SexyMit]

I haven't played it yet. Was going to see if Public made the line go higher just before game time. Or by this afternoon.

[strictlywinners]

Yes the line should go up, oh and I have used your Experts theory before, it worked good for me for a while then I lost a boat load, be careful, it can turn on you real quick. It is something good to look at though when formulating your pick.

[SexyMit]

I don't go crazy but I have been tracking it and it is doing well right now. Thats not the only reason. RLM is the other one and they all have picked Kansas which makes me like that Nebraska pick even more.

[strictlywinners]

RLM is good too, it is good to see you use alot of factors into coming up with pick. That is the best way, not when one or two things fit criteria but when 5 or 6, thats how you know when a pick is really strong.

[Netrobbery]

Line is currently at -4.5 PHI, the squares are biting...

[Nepaa]

Strictly, How many games r u playing today?
made some $$ with ur pick y'day.
Thanks a lot. Keep the winners coming

[strictlywinners]

Lets make this official
Chicago Bulls +4.5 10k Lets get it, I will update if there are anymore but this one is solid.

[Cheme82]

Line is currently at -4.5 PHI, the squares are biting...

He meant PHO -4.5

YTD
NFL
18-6-1 75.95
TEASERS
0-2 -22
CFB
22-21 -3.85
TEASERS
1-2 -11.5
NBA
2-1 9

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

strictly, i remember reading one of your posts saying you had about 70,000 and you were trying to get to 100,000 to get to vegaz in the last few days Ive seen you bet 8,000 12,000 and 10,000 about 45% of your roll in 3 days?

[strictlywinners]

Yup all true, I lost one play for 8k on Pacers, but every other one has hit, I'm at 95k, if Bulls hit tonight, I'm going to start looking for places. I have learned it is better to go huge on one real strong play then to spread your money around. Chances of you going 1-0 are much greater then 2-0 and a 1-1 night is a losing night.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

well i obviously no that but ill hope you no the risk involved, i wish you luck ill be with you on this one tonight,

[SexyMit]

Kinda liking the Nevada game to night Strict. Sounds like we kinda have the same criteria for games that we bet on. I have seen you have the same games that I have had as of recently. GL tonight as I have Nevada and Bulls right along with you.

[Netrobbery]

I know this is a hoops thread, but you have not started a thread for Nev/Fresno one. I like Nevada, so I was just wondering if you are still laying heavy on Nevada?

[4bidden]

Basketball NBA - 516 Chicago Bulls +5½ -110 for Game

Just went from +4.5 to +5.5. Jumped on it.

[strictlywinners]

I am not laying heavy on Neveda atleast not yet, I liked the reverse line movemnet but my numbers just say its a no play, and I hate that so many posters love it, no offense to anyone.

[strictlywinners]

ON my radar,
Miami +6
Miami Over 190
Not plays yet but they could be.

[sportsguy04]

It appears that about 75 percent if not more handicapper services also like Nevada.

[strictlywinners]

Yea I know, and I hate that, but that explains the line movement. They have large client bases so when that many people are coming in that will move line huge. I'm about 80% sure this will be leave alone game for me.

[sportsguy04]

It was wierd because it seemed like everyone on this site was for Vtech also. That was a winner. But then look at NIU and TCU, lots of people on them also.

I just think Nevada is the play here. Dont see a way they lose this. Win in a high scoring affair.

[strictlywinners]

For anyone that is against me on Bulls and likes Phoenix you can get them cheap on Bodog for -4.

[roasthawg]

ON my radar,
Miami +6
Miami Over 190
Not plays yet but they could be.

I'm on Miami +6, great play imo.

[strictlywinners]

I'm not on it yet, it is almost there, there is much greater possibility that I will be on the over of that game though. That pretty much is a play I'm just waiting to make sure it doesn't fall off. Again nothing is official until, I post official with plays.

[SexyMit]

I was leaning San Antonio. They opened up as 6 point faves and haven't proven to beat anyone yet. And Miami has 2 wins winning by more then 20 each game I think.

[strictlywinners]

Yea I know like I said not a play for me yet, I have to see what late action comes in, I am much more interested in the over, but on bodog I can't go as big on totals and the line accomindation are much less value. With the spread it only moves half point for every increment over the max, but with totals it moves full point and the max is lower. Terrible value in doing that.

[pats3peat]

strictly are you going to continue with your pming system to me?

[SexyMit]

I want to be apart of the pmming system to me also Strict.

[strictlywinners]

Hahaha I had to put an end to pming there was to many asking.
Official
Spurs Over 190 its at 192 now I like it all the way up to 197

[pats3peat]

I want to be apart of the pmming system to me also Strict.

only people who asked initially. its just me and one other person. thank you strict

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

thanks for the Chicago pick

[SexyMit]

I think I have your system kind of anyway. We are almost on the same games from the start. You wait for things to fall into place just like I do, and when they do they are a play. I just want the system I can figure the plays on my own. Or just post some of your plays on here and I will compare just like I did today. But GL on the rest of the game and your picks this weekend. Still liking Nebraska 2 morrow.

[TheLock]

I just made a small play on Chicago +5 for 2nd half.

Was this the worst wager in the history of sports or is it relatively solid?

[SexyMit]

I was kinda leaning that way... But didn't want to push it. I have Chicago BIG for the game

[strictlywinners]

11/7/08 Terrible day
1-1
YTD
15-4
I ended up making 6k today cause I had 10k on bulls and 4k on over and 500 over second half, not bad but could have been much much better. See everyone tommorrow.