John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

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  • knugen
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-09
    • 2612

    #141
    Celtic bet looks reaaly good
    Comment
    • J.M. Disciple
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-16-10
      • 5154

      #142
      Whats the Over under on whistles this 4th quarter?
      Comment
      • J.M. Disciple
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-16-10
        • 5154

        #143
        A) bet win with out buying points.

        Season is now 1-0

        Chi -1 pending
        Comment
        • thelimit0310
          SBR MVP
          • 01-24-11
          • 1233

          #144
          JM Disciple if thats the way the record was kept in last years thread, then I'll skip the ML filter. No doubt -6 on the spread will be better value than the ML, but it may cost more series losses. If you can confirm we did this last season I'll roll with it.

          I have not chosen a definitive way to run my labby yet. Usually my labby is on 2 lines, single line averaging. A/C on 1 B on 2. However I may just run 1 line this season and play A B and C on just 1 line. I'm also experimenting with the 3 line aggressive. 1 line each for A B and C, adding losses to the end but not adding new numbers. Just testing it to see which is more efficient before January. Do you have a proven method for this system? From the looks of it your just using 1 line?
          Last edited by thelimit0310; 12-25-11, 03:47 PM.
          Comment
          • J.M. Disciple
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-16-10
            • 5154

            #145
            yes, I just use 1 line because i believe it is faster. Also i play all v1 - v3 plays on the same line. Labby system does not need that high of a win rate to clear lines, so shouldn't really matter if you use 1 line or 3 lines. I just like to make my money back faster.

            If you check out On3 NHL, i know i seen you in there, he uses 3 line progressive method as well, but he swaps his #s around. He doesnt really have a set strategy for it, just kinda what he feels comfortable with.

            I don't really want to waste too much time going through last years thread but i remember we played only buying 3points. We kept a record of JM with his rules, but we all agreed we would ignore the rule. I forgot who else was keeping track of it.

            If you link me to last year thread ill take a look, but im just saying ML only caused 1 or 2 more losses and i think wilba did the back test on it and found it was a BS rule.

            --JMD
            Comment
            • J.M. Disciple
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-16-10
              • 5154

              #146
              Bulls line moved from -4.5 to -4 but bynum and kobe is out for this game. Kobe is questionable, but still with his right wrist hurt, it wont matter too much.

              A) chi -4 i think i had it at and going to play chi -2 1st half as well.

              Good luck and Happy Holidays All

              --JMD

              PS what other systems are you following Limit? Im going to be on JM, chase110, and On3 NHL. Then a couple of my own plays once in a great while when i want to gamble some. I think 3 systems are good, but if you know any others let me know.
              Comment
              • Maxi_EV
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-11-10
                • 535

                #147
                Can Somebody clarify the forum rule vs JM rule regarding teams favorite by more than 3 please?
                Thanks in advance
                Comment
                • J.M. Disciple
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-16-10
                  • 5154

                  #148
                  I can confirm that it is a rule, but it is a BS rule used to cover up a loss in a Houston series in previous years. If you want to follow all the rules be my guest. There are also series where JM loses A and B then covers up series loss with Injury filter and says not to bet C.

                  If you want to stomach the -400 juice at times and chase, then be my guest. The orginal system worked fine just buying 3 points. I will personally not be buying points and just labbying the plays. Seems like it will win just fine with correct labby strategy.

                  There are upsets even with double digit favorites, so i would not be wagering ML with -3 or more favorites.
                  Comment
                  • pm9964
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 06-05-09
                    • 222

                    #149
                    Let's do it
                    Comment
                    • J.M. Disciple
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-16-10
                      • 5154

                      #150
                      chi (B) 12/26 vs GSW
                      Comment
                      • Win89
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-06-11
                        • 157

                        #151
                        Didn't get an email from JM on these plays either, maybe he is skipping the opening series that most of us thought we should. Oh well let's cash Bulls tomorrow.
                        Comment
                        • J.M. Disciple
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-16-10
                          • 5154

                          #152
                          There are different ways to interpret the bulls series. Some people had spread at -2.5 and lost, some had ML, some had -1 and pushed. If you took ML the following the strict JM rules then the series is finished. I am personally going to bet on them vs Warriors tomorrow with regular spread. Bulls are too good of a team not to labby them especially vs the warriors.

                          JM NBA road System
                          Since 12/25/2011
                          Add 1 unit to the line if its cleared buying 3 points
                          Unit size $10
                          Record:1-1 [ATS]
                          Profit: -$1
                          Labby Line:
                          5 5 5 5
                          5 5 x x (-11) [Todays action 12/25]

                          Bos +5 $11 to win $10 w
                          Chi -4 $11 to win $10 L

                          New Line
                          $7 / $7 / $7

                          Chi Bulls [insert spread] (B) to win $14 vs Goldenstate Warriors 12/26/11
                          Comment
                          • J.M. Disciple
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-16-10
                            • 5154

                            #153
                            d
                            Originally posted by Win89
                            Didn't get an email from JM on these plays either, maybe he is skipping the opening series that most of us thought we should. Oh well let's cash Bulls tomorrow.
                            We get this every year. Do you really need JM to email you the plays? System is based on 3 game road trip and clearly Boston and Bulls both had 3 game road trips to open the season.

                            JM is shady bussiness you shouldn't let him hold your hand while you cross the street. He will lead you down a dark alley and booty rape you for all you got.

                            Stick with the Honest people in this forum and you will do much better then listening to JM>

                            --JMD
                            Comment
                            • thelimit0310
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-24-11
                              • 1233

                              #154
                              Okay guys I will record it without using the ML filter. All plays will be recorded as on the spread with 3 points bought.


                              December 25

                              V3 BOSTON +8 @ NY Knicks (A) WIN
                              V1 CHICAGO ML @ LA Lakers (A) LOSE Unsure how to count this series. My book had a line of -1 after buying points which would have pushed it. I'm counting it as an A bet loss for now.

                              JM 2011-12 Record

                              Version 1
                              A: 0-1
                              B: 0-0
                              C: 0-0

                              Version 2
                              A: 0-0
                              B: 0-0
                              C: 0-0

                              Version 3
                              A: 1-0
                              B: 0-0
                              C: 0-0

                              Totals
                              A: 1-1
                              B: 0-0
                              C: 0-0
                              Last edited by thelimit0310; 12-25-11, 10:47 PM.
                              Comment
                              • knugen
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-09
                                • 2612

                                #155
                                76ers is a play today
                                Comment
                                • Maxi_EV
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-11-10
                                  • 535

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                  I can confirm that it is a rule, but it is a BS rule used to cover up a loss in a Houston series in previous years. If you want to follow all the rules be my guest. There are also series where JM loses A and B then covers up series loss with Injury filter and says not to bet C.

                                  If you want to stomach the -400 juice at times and chase, then be my guest. The orginal system worked fine just buying 3 points. I will personally not be buying points and just labbying the plays. Seems like it will win just fine with correct labby strategy.

                                  There are upsets even with double digit favorites, so i would not be wagering ML with -3 or more favorites.
                                  What will you do with those -3 or more favorites? You will still buy 3 pts? Is that what the original system recommended?
                                  Comment
                                  • Win89
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-06-11
                                    • 157

                                    #157
                                    JM is guiding no one in here I was just acknowledging the fact that no emails were sent. I've seen the BS he pulls and I can assure you that getting the plays on your own is a piece of cake and the way to go. I've had my calendars compilled for all versions weeks ago. Now let's make some cash.
                                    Comment
                                    • DollarBill10
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 05-06-11
                                      • 449

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                      There are different ways to interpret the bulls series. Some people had spread at -2.5 and lost, some had ML, some had -1 and pushed. If you took ML the following the strict JM rules then the series is finished. I am personally going to bet on them vs Warriors tomorrow with regular spread. Bulls are too good of a team not to labby them especially vs the warriors.

                                      JM NBA road System
                                      Since 12/25/2011
                                      Add 1 unit to the line if its cleared buying 3 points
                                      Unit size $10
                                      Record:1-1 [ATS]
                                      Profit: -$1
                                      Labby Line:
                                      5 5 5 5
                                      5 5 x x (-11) [Todays action 12/25]

                                      Bos +5 $11 to win $10 w
                                      Chi -4 $11 to win $10 L

                                      New Line
                                      $7 / $7 / $7

                                      Chi Bulls [insert spread] (B) to win $14 vs Goldenstate Warriors 12/26/11
                                      So, JM...what would be the amount you would wager on the (A) Philadelphia bet today? I am just trying to follow along with you. :-)
                                      Comment
                                      • Win89
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-06-11
                                        • 157

                                        #159
                                        Bulls currently at -6.5
                                        Comment
                                        • DustyDiamond
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-19-09
                                          • 772

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by knugen
                                          76ers is a play today
                                          which version?
                                          Comment
                                          • Win89
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-06-11
                                            • 157

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by DustyDiamond
                                            which version?
                                            V1. They got Portland, Phoenix, and Utah.
                                            Comment
                                            • jcygts6
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-05-09
                                              • 3316

                                              #162
                                              Yes philadephia is a v1 Play indeed
                                              DO WORK + KROW OD
                                              do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                              od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                              Comment
                                              • thelimit0310
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-24-11
                                                • 1233

                                                #163
                                                December 26

                                                V1 PHILADELPHIA +7.5 @ Portland (A)
                                                V1 CHICAGO -3.5 @ Golden State Warriors (B)

                                                NOTE: The Bulls series is only a B play depending on the line you took last night, the official record will be counting it as a play today.

                                                Spreads posted here already include 3 points bought. ML will not be taken on favs greater than -3.
                                                Comment
                                                • lawalahmed
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-13-10
                                                  • 1237

                                                  #164
                                                  @JM Displine, last yr, we count with buying 3 points not moneyline....
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lawalahmed
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-13-10
                                                    • 1237

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by thelimit0310
                                                    December 26

                                                    V1 PHILADELPHIA +7.5 @ Portland (A)
                                                    V1 CHICAGO -3.5 @ Golden State Warriors (B)

                                                    NOTE: The Bulls series is only a B play depending on the line you took last night, the official record will be counting it as a play today.

                                                    Spreads posted here already include 3 points bought. ML will not be taken on favs greater than -3.
                                                    To get accurate result u have to base ur result on one sport book close line. Last yr i thk d other guy base it on cover close line or so..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Maxi_EV
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 05-11-10
                                                      • 535

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                      Back testing has proved that you should not play the A Bet. You should only play the B and C Bets, betting to win 3 units (3 x what you would have tried to win with the A Bet).

                                                      Good luck everyone
                                                      Is that only for v1?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • J.M. Disciple
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-16-10
                                                        • 5154

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by lawalahmed
                                                        @JM Displine, last yr, we count with buying 3 points not moneyline....

                                                        Thats what ive been saying....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • J.M. Disciple
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-16-10
                                                          • 5154

                                                          #168
                                                          JM NBA road System
                                                          Since 12/25/2011
                                                          Add 1 unit to the line if its cleared buying 3 points
                                                          Unit size $10
                                                          Record:1-1 [ATS]
                                                          Profit: -$1
                                                          Units cleared: 1
                                                          Units in play: 2.1
                                                          Total Series: 3 (2Pending)


                                                          Labby Line:
                                                          5 5 (-$11)

                                                          Bos +5 $11 to win $10 (A) Win
                                                          Chi -4 $11 to win $10 (A) Loss

                                                          New Line
                                                          $7 / $7 / $7

                                                          12/26/2011 10:05 PM NBA Basketball 721 Philadelphia 76ers* +5 -110 vs Portland Trailblazers
                                                          Risking $11.55 To Win $10.50 (A)
                                                          12/26/2011 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 723 Chicago Bulls* -6½ -110 vs Golden State Warriors
                                                          Risking $11.55 To Win $10.50 (B)

                                                          *If I lose both bets I will add 2 #s to my line and average out the #s. If I win 1 bet and lose the other I will take the $10.5 + $11.55 and divide by 2 still crossing off 1 # in the process. If I win both then obviously cross off all 3 numbers.

                                                          *I am not buying points, I am not chasing martingale style, just a simple 2 strike labby approach.

                                                          Good Luck
                                                          JMD
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stevex
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-02-10
                                                            • 5122

                                                            #169
                                                            Funded my account and am ready to rock and roll. Implementing the labby and using SBP's 2 NBA systems and JM's 3 Versions not buying any points...(love that -110)

                                                            Lets make that money tonight!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wallco99
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-01-11
                                                              • 7261

                                                              #170
                                                              I see there at least two different versions of JM system being posted already, can someone please post it by the actual JM rules, the way it was done last season, and can just one person do it? Perhaps the same guy who did it last year, krzychu78. It was very neat and organized updates, which were clear and very easy to read. No rules were changed, this is the way that it should be. It's day 2 of NBA and there are already too many hands in the pot. One guy not buying points, another guy not playing M/L. Just post the plays the way they were intended and let each person decide for themselves how to play it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wallco99
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-01-11
                                                                • 7261

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by stevex
                                                                Funded my account and am ready to rock and roll. Implementing the labby and using SBP's 2 NBA systems and JM's 3 Versions not buying any points...(love that -110)

                                                                Lets make that money tonight!
                                                                Welcome back, are you also playing the -110 on favorites, or just the dog teams? I forget what I did last year.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevex
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-02-10
                                                                  • 5122

                                                                  #172
                                                                  I've always not bought the points and just played -110 and when using the labby it works perfect.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wallco99
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-01-11
                                                                    • 7261

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by stevex
                                                                    I've always not bought the points and just played -110 and when using the labby it works perfect.
                                                                    So you're not playing M/L on favorites, you are giving up points at -110 on them too?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pimike
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-23-08
                                                                      • 37139

                                                                      #174





                                                                      Some people.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • thelimit0310
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-24-11
                                                                        • 1233

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                        I see there at least two different versions of JM system being posted already, can someone please post it by the actual JM rules, the way it was done last season, and can just one person do it? Perhaps the same guy who did it last year, krzychu78. It was very neat and organized updates, which were clear and very easy to read. No rules were changed, this is the way that it should be. It's day 2 of NBA and there are already too many hands in the pot. One guy not buying points, another guy not playing M/L. Just post the plays the way they were intended and let each person decide for themselves how to play it.
                                                                        Wallco
                                                                        From what I've been told and my experience last year the plays were recorded the same way I am recording them. A perfect example is if you look at krzychu78's list of losses for V1 last year, you will see Phoenix. Phoenix was not official to JM because Nash was out with an injury, yet we played it anyway. I am recording it the way he did. The only dispute is the ML, whatever the consensus is here, I'll record it accordingly.

                                                                        I am the only one posting a record. I am posting plays with 3 points bought as per rule, and JM Disciple is posting plays with a labby.

                                                                        Seems concise to me, but you started the thread, I can hand over the reigns and I'm sure everyone would be fine with just following your post. I've put up the schedule on pg 3 so it only takes minimal effort to follow to begin with.
                                                                        Last edited by thelimit0310; 12-26-11, 07:53 PM.
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