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awesome information and thanks for everything LTA.
I consider you and JR my professors as I have incorporated and using your capping styles into my own funky capping styles and the results are in the pudding.
Thunder game over eh? Small play right?
since it is a small play, I too will do a small play but I'll do it with a twist. I have not even look into the total capping in such game but I have been tracking a potential fading character here. This person is not a member on sbr but another website. He too is on the over. He doesn't post his public plays much but when he does, it's a failure and I have been tracking him.
I'll share it with you later. LOLComment -
Mlb 5/23/11
White Sox ML (+145) 1x (locked)
Sox are hot and Danks is too good to have gone this long without a win. We are getting great odds with Texas going with Ogando, despite his success so far this season. Danks should pitch well. Bol...Comment -
Mlb 5/23/11
Seattle ML (-105) 1x (locked)
Pavano is not pitching very well and the twins have not been hitting. On the other hand, Vargas has been dealing and the Mariners are hitting with Smoak leading the way. Despite the festivities for Killebrew tonight, I still think the mariners get it done. Gl..Comment -
Mlb 5/23/11
Indians ML (+ 108) 1x (locked)
I like the Indians to stay got tonight. Boston had to travel last night, while Cleveland remains at home for another series. I like Masterson and Bucholtz has struggled a bit this year. I think the indians get it done. Gl...Comment -
Mlb 5/23/11
Nats/Brewers under (7.5) (+ 100) 1x (locked)
Public fade here. Gorzellany has been pitching well and the Brewers have been hitting unders lately. With Gallardo pitching for the brewers, I like this one to stay under 7. Gl...Comment -
Mlb 5/23/11
TB/Det over (8)(-115) 1x (locked)
Both teams 5-0 in favor of the over in each of these pitchers last 5 starts. Coke = over. Need I say more. Bol...Comment -
damn over all the way up to 197 (-105)Comment -
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(2.5x)Over 5.5 on Lightning/BruinsComment -
Matchbook being generous here 196 +102 if taking the under.Comment -
80% of public on over in some spots. This is one ugly over play. It makes my teeth hurt betting with the public like this. Hence, why I am only on this for one unit. I don't know though, this one is more of a gut play. As I mentioned, I have this capped at 194-195, so I expect it to be in the 190 range. With a few extra foul calls from Crawford or a bit of quicker pace to start, I just think this one squeaks over.
However, I would not at all be shocked to see the under hit. Tomorrow, I will have a 5x play on the under. I just locked it in and got luck to get 179 at one of my locals. That was the number I was shooting for, so I jumped on it. Good luck tonight.Comment -
damn saw it like an hour ago at 179(-115) just locked it in for 5x at 178(-105)Comment -
NBA 5/24/11
Bulls/Heat Under (179) 5x (Locked)
I like a classic defensive battle to ensue tomorrow and was lucky to get this number from one of my locals. All the major books still at 178 or 178.5. Nevertheless, I expect the number to go up eventually everywhere soon. Good luck. Writeup to come later.Comment -
Man I have no action on the NBA game tonight o/u is at 197Comment -
good luck...like your analysis of the games win or lose............
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live line up to 203.5Comment -
got it at 202 still pretty goodComment -
Playing the under here....still feeling confident-that quarter felt like a lot more than 53 points. Pace slowed down towards the end and should be much slower the rest of the way.Comment -
Just got done making dinner for the wife, sat back down to watch the game and was pleasantly surprised.Comment -
Scratch that...both teams are scoring at will right nowComment -
The scoring in this series confuses me.Comment -
Never know. If you got a good number...say 197 or higher, the under could still hit with a slow 2h.
With that said, however, the early scoring is why I took the over at the lowest number, rather than wait out the under at a higher number. Early scoring and late fouling in the playoffs, generally leads to a game that squeaks over. Good luck. Hopefully it hits 196 and we can both cash.
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It's not that surprising. You had to figure OKC would come out running fast in order to atone for their previous horrible shooting game. Brooks said as much in numerous interviews. The question was whether Dallas would withstand that pace and be able to slow it down, or if they would just start running too. In this case, it looks as though we are going to see a track meet in the 1h. I would expect the 2h to slow down, but it may be too late.Comment -
Anyone else like the Padres tonight?Comment -
wow jus turned the game on this is redic im worried for my 202 lineComment -
I did get 197 at the last minute, which convinced me to book the under-otherwise I probably wouldn't have played the total.
Yes NC, these swings are nuts. Also played the under hoping to see a trend toward lower scoring as the series pushes on, but it looks like we are back to game 1 type bball tonight.Comment -
Agreed. When I took the over, I did not expect this much scoring. However, when both these teams get hot, they hit everything. Moreover, when OKC starts hitting like this, defense becomes secondary to them and all they want to do is run. At the start of the series, I said to take the over if the number was set 195 or below and take the under if it was set at 198 or above. It seems that theory has rung true to date.
So far in this series, when it's been the over, it's been way over and when it's the under, it goes way under. Something to keep in mind for game 5 in Dallas. Being in Dallas, you would think over. However, if this game continues to be this high scoring and Dallas loses, we could see a repeat of game 3. Plus, the books would open at that 200 range number and that would give us a big play on the under because of the value.
Keep your eye out for the opening number if the aforementioned situation plays out and pound the under if you can get 200 or above.Comment
