NC playoffs '11

[dude_bg]

As bitter a pill as this game was, to be honest this provides the best actual chance to hedge here for the 10U series bet. The line on Miami at home will be lower than it would be otherwise (I expect -4.5 and -200 ML type odds), so I'm planning on just putting all 10U on the Miami ML to salvage something from this series.

i hope we can get a discussion on the hedging here. Question is can we get the hedge partially.

What is the plan if Mia loses game 5 at home and we have bet 10 units?

[No coincidences]

CHI/ATL under 181 (2U)

[BettingWizard]

CHI/ATL under 181 (2U)

lang's top play tonight

[Broken-Ear Glen]

lang's top play tonight

Once in a while a blind squirrel finds a nut.

[Love The Action]

Glad you cashed as well NC...keep up the good work.

PS.. did you see Toronto ended up beating the red sox. I ended up not playing Toronto as I mentioned and I'm really regretting it...

[jacer333]

Great call Nocoin....as long as we can avoid OT, unders seem to be gold in the playoffs

[face]

I think any 2 team teaser will work tomorrow

[No coincidences]

41-26, +24.2U playoffs

Thanks fellas.Two big games on Wednesday.

[migz]

41-26, +24.2U playoffs

Thanks fellas.Two big games on Wednesday.

What's your take on those 2 games?

[hawley]

Good job NoCoin

Big day tomorrow. are the Celtics getting blown out?

[No coincidences]

Good job NoCoin

Big day tomorrow. are the Celtics getting blown out?

I have a bad feeling they are.

[No coincidences]

MIA/BOS under 182 (Bodog)(3U)

[JamesBrown]

NC - I put a dime on the Heat -7. What's your take on the spread here?

[suicidekings]

MIA/BOS under 182 (Bodog)(3U)

I have a feeling the Heat will go for the jugular tonight and that's why i'm not playing this. They won't be content with a 10 point lead.

[tatddy]

I have a feeling the Heat will go for the jugular tonight and that's why i'm not playing this. They won't be content with a 10 point lead.

The Heat can win by 15 and that doesn't mean the game comes close to 180.

[No coincidences]

NC - I put a dime on the Heat -7. What's your take on the spread here?

I like it on paper. I definitely wouldn't back Boston at this point.

[Jerm3462]

MIA/BOS under 182 (Bodog)(3U)

Using BL's picks much?

[No coincidences]

Using BL's picks much?

What do you mean?

[Jerm3462]

What do you mean?

You are copying BL's picks, you seem to frequent his thread and defend him.

Now you are posting up the same pick as him. Coincidence or No Coincidence?

[No coincidences]

You are copying BL's picks, you seem to frequent his thread and defend him.

Now you are posting up the same pick as him. Coincidence or No Coincidence?

Is BL up 24-plus units in the playoffs?

You know, there are only two ways to go on a game. And there's only one game going on right now. I've always been a big under bettor. Chances are, some people will have the same picks.

[suicidekings]

The Heat can win by 15 and that doesn't mean the game comes close to 180.

But I also don't expect Boston to go quietly.

[Jerm3462]

Is BL up 24-plus units in the playoffs?

You know, there are only two ways to go on a game. And there's only one game going on right now. I've always been a big under bettor. Chances are, some people will have the same picks.

You have a point, BL has been downright awful.

Meet ya in BL's thread after the Mia game

[No coincidences]

I'm hedging this under bet at half if possible.

Nearly every time a 1Q is low-scoring, the game goes over. It's almost an NBA certainty. And of course here we are, 46 points 10 minutes into the 2Q after the low-scoring 1st.

I would've rather had a 30-25 opening quarter like Game 4 as an under backer. Sounds stupid, but that's the NBA for you.

[Love The Action]

They scored over 35 points in the final 5 minutes of the 2q lol....I'm going to stick it out and expect a low scoring 4q...bol.

[tatddy]

I'm hedging this under bet at half if possible.

Nearly every time a 1Q is low-scoring, the game goes over. It's almost an NBA certainty. And of course here we are, 46 points 10 minutes into the 2Q after the low-scoring 1st.

I would've rather had a 30-25 opening quarter like Game 4 as an under backer. Sounds stupid, but that's the NBA for you.

2H total is 90. What now?

[No coincidences]

They scored over 35 points in the final 5 minutes of the 2q lol....I'm going to stick it out and expect a low scoring 4q...bol.

No chance of hedging now.

96 at half -- 2H total is 90. I'm not going to get middled in the 181-186 range. Five points is too much in the NBA.

[No coincidences]

2H total is 90. What now?

Going to have to ride it out and hope for the best, unfortunately.

[tatddy]

Going to have to ride it out and hope for the best, unfortunately.

I have to say, I'm no NBA guy, but the pace still favors the under here. Despite the fact that they went crazy at the end of that 2nd Q they still played relatively slow.

[Love The Action]

We got this one my friend...I have a feeling...

[No coincidences]

I have to say, I'm no NBA guy, but the pace still favors the under here. Despite the fact that they went crazy at the end of that 2nd Q they still played relatively slow.

Depends on how desperate things get at the end for Boston.

If they're close but behind by 5-10 points, expect a lot of fouls.

3Q under may be a good play.

[alamo]

Both teams shooting horribly from outside the arc and the FTs are some of the worst ive seen in a playoff game.Im on the over but still liking my position.

[lurk]

Depends on how desperate things get at the end for Boston.

If they're close but behind by 5-10 points, expect a lot of fouls.

3Q under may be a good play.

I agree, I waited for the half in this game to play the under for the 2nd, but the way these teams are playing I'm gonna stay away from the 90. Best of luck with the under for the game, just seems a little too risky for me, whether its close at the end and they run up the score or if miami's up big and boston starts running it with a good chunk of time left...doesn't seem like miami will slow it down too much. Of course there are plenty of other scenarios that would keep it well under, good luck to those on the under, I'm pulling for you. Maybe miami will go cold again for awhile.

[tatddy]

Depends on how desperate things get at the end for Boston.

If they're close but behind by 5-10 points, expect a lot of fouls.

3Q under may be a good play.

Exactly my thoughts although I don't know if I can pull the string. All I have is a 2 team parlay with BOS/MIA under 181 and OKC -3. Guess I'll just ride it out.

[tatddy]

I'm moving on. I'm done watching this game hoping for stops. 3rd Q starts off with a perfect slow pace and then back-to-back-to-back 3s with an and-1 included and it's all shot. This game will be over by 20 now.

[alamo]

Over is looking good.