Anthony's NBA Picks

[dude_bg]

i think it is going under , b2b, trends support the under and the total has been like 175 in the previous 3
but to me seems the line is moving up, so i will wait and hope to lock it about 178 or 178.5

[CallMeChip]

Locked Bulls -6 X1

Ditto. As well as Knicks/Bobcats u199.5. Anyone have an opinion on Nets +10 @ Pacers?

[Anthonyg7]

I don't like playing over/unders with Bucks.. they can slow a game down like no other. They are ranked dead last in points per game (91.6 PPG). They put up 102 points on the Knicks today. I may just avoid the total and play Chicago. Champ I like Chicago a lot more after talking to you about it earlier. Chicago is determined to get first seed in eastern conference. With 11 games left, they will be hitting every game hard making sure Boston doesn't catch up. If chicago gets home court, you will see them in the finals.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Ditto. As well as Knicks/Bobcats u199.5. Anyone have an opinion on Nets +10 @ Pacers?

you got me confused there.

Net at atlanta right? I'm playing net +10.

[Anthonyg7]

Ditto. As well as Knicks/Bobcats u199.5. Anyone have an opinion on Nets +10 @ Pacers?

I didn't take much time lookin at this game before i decided not to play the nets here. The Nets are 0-6 ATS their last 6 back to back games. The nets can easily get beat by double digits. They are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS their last 6 games. Recent double digit losses: Bulls by 11, bucks by 15, and magic by 10. Hawks have been struggling at home but that's due to playing good teams: nuggets, bulls, lakers, and thunder. Atlanta needs to start winning some games here to comfortably make it to the playoffs . They are 3-8 their last 11 games.

[CallMeChip]

you got me confused there.

Net at atlanta right? I'm playing net +10.

Yeah my bad Brosuf, I meant Nets +10 @ Hawks. Too many pages of simulations, need sleepy

[Anthonyg7]

I kinda like Knicks tomorrow too. They are in losing funk right now having won only 1 game their last 9 games. They are currently sitting with 35 wins 2 games behind Philly. As of now, if they Knicks keep losing, Indiana will catch up to and possibly cause the Knicks to qualify as the 8th seed. The bobcats just broke their 5 game losing streak yesterday beating the Celtics by a bucket. Correct me if i'm wrong, but i think the Bobcats are the worst back to back team in the NBA, 4-15 SU and 7-11 ATS. They are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS their last 6 back to back games.

[NBA_Brosuf]

I don't like playing over/unders with Bucks.. they can slow a game down like no other. They are ranked dead last in points per game (91.6 PPG). They put up 102 points on the Knicks today. I may just avoid the total and play Chicago. Champ I like Chicago a lot more after talking to you about it earlier. Chicago is determined to get first seed in eastern conference. With 11 games left, they will be hitting every game hard making sure Boston doesn't catch up. If chicago gets home court, you will see them in the finals.

Hey ant. IF bucks average 91 points per game and the total is at 177

177-91 will give chicago about 86 points. Will chicago get 86 points? Oh you betcha thus why I'm playing the over 177 marker.

Just a hunch.

[Anthonyg7]

Hey ant. IF bucks average 91 points per game and the total is at 177

177-91 will give chicago about 86 points. Will chicago get 86 points? Oh you betcha thus why I'm playing the over 177 marker.

Just a hunch.

Found this interesting, Bucks are 27(over) - 43 (under) this season. Bucks hold their opponents to 92.7 ppg on average. The total has gone under their last 5 meetings.

[NBA_Brosuf]

If you can pull up their last 5 meetings and the o/u spread and compare it with the 177 marker, you will get a better score.

I'm sure all of their previous meetings, the o/u spread was not at 177. Lets say the last time they played, it was under but the spread was set at something funky like 200. Sure it is under for the game but it will be an over game for the game tomorrow evening.

Just a hunch

[Anthonyg7]

Their last 3 totals were 182, 178, and 179 (This years). Pretty close to the current 177 line. A line like this is always attractive. 93% of action is already on the over. Pinny's line has gone up half a point already.

Line 182 :Bulls 83 - Bucks 75 (game total= 158)
Line 178: Bulls 92 - Bucks 83 (game total= 175)
Line 179: Bulls 90 - Bucks77 (game total=167)

Their last 3 totals are under the current market at 177. Bulls Defense holds up against the bucks. Chicago averages 98.5 PPG and doesn't hit the average against the Bucks.. The bucks can slow a game down making teams not hit their average PPG.

Brosuf, i just noticed you locked in on the over.. I'm not intending to make you doubt your play, it's all nba discussion here. much respect for you GL man.

[CallMeChip]

I see the bucks putting up no more than 82-85pts here and on a game favoring the Bulls by 6, this o/u will be very close (Within 175.3 - 180.8). I'm assuming lightning won't strike twice for B.Jennings especially against Rose and Bulls D. Their 102 tonight against Knicks was not a testament to their O but how bad the Knicks D is. I too am avoiding the total here, Bulls -6 seems to be the safer play. Of course the Bulls may make it a blowout like their last couple, but I'd think not against a #3 Defense and on a b2b on the road. I think the defining factor is whether Rose has a 22-23pt game or a 30pt game.

[Anthonyg7]

I see the bucks putting up no more than 82-85pts here and on a game favoring the Bulls by 6, this o/u will be very close (Within 175.3 - 180.8). I'm assuming lightning won't strike twice for B.Jennings especially against Rose and Bulls D. Their 102 tonight against Knicks was not a testament to their O but how bad the Knicks D is. I too am avoiding the total here, Bulls -6 seems to be the safer play. Of course the Bulls may make it a blowout like their last couple, but I'd think not against a #3 Defense and on a b2b on the road. I think the defining factor is whether Rose has a 22-23pt game or a 30pt game.

I agree with you here bud. The bucks shot over 50% against the Knicks. I don't see them shooting well against the Bulls here. Bulls won't allow more than 80 points from the Bucks.

Chicago -6 looks like the play here.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Weird how the public is on the over when the stats and figures are showing that they have gone under way too many times.

Don't the public play stats anymore? LOL

One more angle I'm looking at is this.

Bull last 4 games, they went over 100 points. Well one game was 99 but close enough.

Bucks last 4 games, 3 of them went over 100 points.

This indicator shows me that both teams can score. I should have just shoot for 1U play but my silly butt got greedy and went for the whole chalupa. LOL

I'm not asking for 100 from each team. How about 90? How about even lower? 89 by both teams for and over score. Just me and my wishful dreaming. Kakakakakka

[dude_bg]

game offline at pinnacle? this is what it showed?
any ideas?

[Anthonyg7]

Detroit was hit overnight, moving line to 2.5. Indy is a terrible back to back team, and Detroit is 0-3 btb when being a favorite. Detroit has nothing to play for, Indiana needs these next games to secure their spot in the playoffs. This team will most likely be 8th seed but they need to win some games to secure that spot. Bucks and Charlotte are 3 games behind Indy.

POINTSPREADS
03/25 14:29 PK -105 / PK -105
03/25 15:12 PK +100 / PK -110
03/25 15:55 +1 -105 / -1 -105
03/26 02:08 +1 +100 / -1 -110
03/26 02:11 +1 +103 / -1 -114
03/26 02:27 +1 +108 / -1 -119
03/26 02:29 +1 +106 / -1 -117
03/26 02:31 +1½ +101 / -1½ -111
03/26 02:46 +1½ +106 / -1½ -117
03/26 02:47 +2 -103 / -2 -107
03/26 03:03 +2 -106 / -2 -104
03/26 03:04 +2 -105 / -2 -105
03/26 04:07 +2 +100 / -2 -110
03/26 04:08 +2 -102 / -2 -108
03/26 04:15 +2 +103 / -2 -114
03/26 04:17 +2 +101 / -2 -111
03/26 04:25 +2 +100 / -2 -110
03/26 04:27 +2 +105 / -2 -116
03/26 04:31 +2 +102 / -2 -113
03/26 04:54 +2½ -102 / -2½ -108
03/26 04:59 +2½ +100 / -2½ -110
03/26 05:00 +2½ -103 / -2½ -107
03/26 07:16 +2½ -105 / -2½ -105
03/26 07:53 +2½ -103 / -2½ -107
03/26 07:54 +2½ -101 / -2½ -109
03/26 07:56 +2½ +100 / -2½ -110
03/26 08:28 +2½ -102 / -2½ -108
03/26 09:18 +2½ -104 / -2½ -106
03/26 09:24 +2½ -102 / -2½ -108
03/26 09:26 +2½ -105 / -2½ -105

MONEYLINES
03/26 04:57 +140 / -155
03/26 05:00 +137 / -151
03/26 05:02 +135 / -149
03/26 05:08 +131 / -145
03/26 05:44 +128 / -141
03/26 07:56 +135 / -149
03/26 08:04 +132 / -146
03/26 08:53 +129 / -143
03/26 09:17 +127 / -140

Pregame shows 3k bets so far: 60% on Indy points, and 95% on the Indy ML. More money is being dropped on Detroit shown by the movement above. 95% of bets on Indy ML causing line to drop from +140 to +127 encouraging more ML action on Detroit.

I just don't like this stat: Indy 5-15 ATS on btb and 2-11 ATS on btb being a dog.

[Anthonyg7]

INDIANA PACERS +2.5 -110 (x4)

Been thinking about this game all morning and leaning Pacers.. giving credit to SJ for helping me pull the trigger..

[NBA_Brosuf]

INDIANA PACERS +2.5 -110 (x4)

Been thinking about this game all morning and leaning Pacers.. giving credit to SJ for helping me pull the trigger..

Good confidence on the indy play. I see Indy win by 3 straight up and with the points, that's bonus.

[Anthonyg7]

Indiana comes out flat second half.. On to tomorrow.

[NBA_Brosuf]

I didn't play on the indy game. I played the o/u and I think I won on it.

I say indy by 3 plus 2.5 will give my variance about 5.5. I only shoot at a variance of 9 or more thus why I didn't play the indy game for indy to win.

Get them strong tomorrow ant.

[Anthonyg7]

Dallas looks good.. They are 12-4 SU and 11-4 ATS on back to back. They had a btb game against the Suns on 2/17/11 in Phoenix and Dallas was favored by -1. Dallas won SU 112-106. May do a ML play here on Dallas

[NEOHsports4life]

Anthonyg7, how you feel about hawks play today??? -5

[Anthonyg7]

I didn't play on the indy game. I played the o/u and I think I won on it.

I say indy by 3 plus 2.5 will give my variance about 5.5. I only shoot at a variance of 9 or more thus why I didn't play the indy game for indy to win.

Get them strong tomorrow ant.

my big plays arn't hitting..

[Anthonyg7]

Anthonyg7, how you feel about hawks play today??? -5

I don't like it man based on line movement. I havn't looked into the injuries, but I see a reverse line movement here. There is 86% of bets on spread and 91% on the ML on ATL but yet the books are encouraging more action on the hawks. Something is fishy here.

POINTSPREADS
03/26 13:06 -6 -105 / +6 -105
03/26 18:32 -6 -103 / +6 -107
03/27 08:03 -4½ -105 / +4½ -105
03/27 08:05 -4½ +100 / +4½ -110
03/27 08:23 -4½ -103 / +4½ -107
03/27 09:03 -4½ -105 / +4½ -105
03/27 09:23 -4½ -102 / +4½ -108

[NEOHsports4life]

Joe Johnson more than likely to sit, Hawks in playoffs,B2B game for them, think they just foldup tent today??? I have Hawks +1.5 on a 6 pt teaser with 76ers today...

[Anthonyg7]

Good luck NEO

[ChampStateOfMind]

Dallas looks good.. They are 12-4 SU and 11-4 ATS on back to back. They had a btb game against the Suns on 2/17/11 in Phoenix and Dallas was favored by -1. Dallas won SU 112-106. May do a ML play here on Dallas

Based on the line movement, dallas play looks solid. Plus they own the suns and its in the heads of the coaching staff and most of the suns players that were there when the suns were a solid team but could never get over san antonio or dallas in the playoffs.

[ChampStateOfMind]

Check out the hawks/Cavs Pinny line movement

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
03/26 16:06 193 -105 / 193 -105
03/27 11:03 190½ -105 / 190½ -105
03/27 11:38 190½ +100 / 190½ -110
03/27 12:30 190½ -102 / 190½ -108
03/27 12:37 190½ -104 / 190½ -106
03/27 12:38 190½ -106 / 190½ -104
03/27 13:09 190½ -109 / 190½ -101
03/27 13:42 190½ -104 / 190½ -106
03/27 13:44 190½ -101 / 190½ -109
03/27 13:46 190 +105 / 190 -116
03/27 13:52 190 +104 / 190 -115
03/27 14:04 190 +110 / 190 -121
03/27 14:07 189 +102 / 189 -113
03/27 14:08 189 -101 / 189 -109

[ChampStateOfMind]

Locked dallas ML x2.

[Anthonyg7]

NBA[708] (ATLANTA vrs CLEVELAND) TOTAL u190-110 (x4)

I been doing pretty well with totals 18-9(67%) so far on this documented thread. SJ posted this play a little while ago and decided to look into it myself and capped it using my spreadsheet. Based on the way i cap totals, I got 188 for this game. Usually I won't play an over/under with this small of a margin, but I took Joe Johnson being out into consideration. Johnson averages 18.5 PPG at home and away. He has averaged 19 PPG against the Cavs. The cavs average 94.9 PPG this season. They averaged 92.3 PPG their last 3 games. Hawks average 95.3 PPG for the season, and 93 PPG their last 3 games. The total of Cavs last 7 games has gone under 6 times. They last played in December where the game went under the 191 line. Cavs put up 97 points on Detroit, 94 on New Jersey, 86 on Orlando, 92 on Clippers, and 70 on Portland. These stats are calling for the under and therefore looks like a solid play. SJ tweeted his play and the lines were at 190.5. Within minutes the line dropped to 189.

Will probably have 1 more play. Leaning Dallas ML.

[Anthonyg7]

Dallas looks good.. They are 12-4 SU and 11-4 ATS on back to back. They had a btb game against the Suns on 2/17/11 in Phoenix and Dallas was favored by -1. Dallas won SU 112-106. May do a ML play here on Dallas

NBA[717] DALLAS MAVERICKS ML -130 (x4)

[ChampStateOfMind]

Locked Warriors vs. Wizards under 219.5 x1...also added another unit on Dallas money line. Lets get it.

[Anthonyg7]

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors under 218.5

sorry for late post, havin trouble logging in with my computer.

[NEOHsports4life]

2nd half of THUNDER under 96! Get it in now & thank me later

[Anthonyg7]

61% and 52% shooting in first quarter... not looking to good..