Anthony's NBA Picks

[Anthonyg7]

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors under 218.5 sorry for late post, havin trouble logging in with my computer.

WOW cash the under by 0.5 point. I lost hope in this game after seeing a 131 point first half.. the 87 point second half saved me. Just noticed I didn't post units.. it was a 4 unit play. Sorry fellas.

[Anthonyg7]

Jason KIdddddddddddddddddddddddd for Threeeeeeeeeeeeee!

[ChampStateOfMind]

Cash that mavs play..was a close game till the end of the fourth. Got the sweeeeep today going 3-0, cashing the under on the hawks vs cavs, the under on the warriors vs wizards and cashing the Mavs.

[ChampStateOfMind]

+5 units today and +9.4 units for the week. Great week.

[Anthonyg7]

Cash that mavs play..was a close game till the end of the fourth. Got the sweeeeep today going 3-0, cashing the under on the hawks vs cavs, the under on the warriors vs wizards and cashing the Mavs.

Yeah boy.. killed it today wilson way to end the week.

[Anthonyg7]

NBA[708] (ATLANTA vrs CLEVELAND) TOTAL u190-110 (x4) WINNER !

NBA[717] DALLAS MAVERICKS ML -130 (x4) WINNER !

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors under 218.5 (x4) WINNER !

3-0 +12 Units Today !

[Anthonyg7]

Week #21: 6-6 (-2.0 Units)

Documented YTD: 30-27 (+3.2 Units)

Week #22: 9-4 (+1.8 Units)

Documented YTD: 39-31 (+5.0 Units)

[Anthonyg7]

Had a 9-4 week and only profited 1.8 units. Would have been up more more $ but my 10 unit play on New Orleans missed.

[Anthonyg7]

possible play on Bucks/Bobcats Total.. nothing else stands out to me.

[lcscanada]

I decided on CAR and OVER,

[ChampStateOfMind]

I decided on CAR and OVER,

Dang, looks like you pushed on the Cats at -1 and missed on the over.

[Anthonyg7]

NBA[753] HOUSTON -7-110 (x2)

[Anthonyg7]

Houston has won 5 of their last 6 games SU. They covered the spread 4 of their last 6. With only 9 games left for the Rockets, they are going to play every game hard in an attempt to beat Memphis for the 8th seed in the West. They are currently 3 games behind Memphis. Rockets will play tough opponents that include Dallas, Spurs, 76ers, and the Hawks in their remaining games. Rockets need any win they can get to have a shot for the playoffs. Nets on the other hand are already eliminated from the playoffs. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games. They went 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Nets played terrible against the Hawks on Saturday. The Hawks led by as much as 30 points in that game. It seems as if the Nets have already packed it up and ready to end the season. The nets have lost their last 2 home games and also failed to cover. Therefore, I'm not worried about the game being in New Jersey. Rockets shouldn't have a problem covering this number. I'm going be rolling with the Rockets in these next games hoping they make a big run for the playoffs.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Houston line started out at -6. I bought them at that much. When buying fav, it is better to buy early and when buying dogs, it is better to drop it at the last minute to get a higher dogs spread. So I think. LOL

I have the strongest confidence in this houston play tonight. It is the only game that sticks out for me. I see a variance of about 11 in this houston game which I already factoring out the spread into my calculation. With you picking houston, I'm more confident with this houston play. Some of the best cappers out there are also riding on houston.

The only other game that has a higher variance of 15 is GSW. I'm riding on gsw +10 too LOL

[Anthonyg7]

Line opened up at 6.5. I waited to see how sharps responded to it overnight. Line was up to 7 when i woke up.

POINTSPREADS
03/28 12:18 -6½ -105 / +6½ -105
03/28 14:41 -6½ -106 / +6½ -104
03/29 00:49 -6½ -101 / +6½ -109
03/29 00:51 -6½ +104 / +6½ -115
03/29 00:53 -6½ +103 / +6½ -114
03/29 00:56 -6½ +100 / +6½ -110
03/29 01:12 -6½ -105 / +6½ -105
03/29 01:17 -6½ -110 / +6½ +100
03/29 01:32 -6½ -116 / +6½ +105
03/29 01:34 -6½ -114 / +6½ +103
03/29 01:50 -6½ -119 / +6½ +108

MONEYLINES
03/28 13:32 -270 / +239
03/29 00:50 -260 / +231
03/29 00:53 -250 / +222
03/29 01:13 -265 / +235
03/29 01:19 -275 / +244
03/29 01:34 -285 / +252
03/29 01:36 -290 / +256
03/29 01:51 -295 / +260
03/29 02:03 -305 / +269
03/29 08:43 -310 / +273
03/29 11:50 -320 / +281
03/29 12:24 -315 / +277



Money hit both sides overnight. When it hit the Nets the pinny juice was up to -115 but the line never moved. About an hour later money came in on the Rockets moving the line to 7. Pinny also juiced rockets ML.. going with the overnight money and my thoughts behind this game. I feel confident laying it down at 7.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Wow, I like the odds on this one. More bang for the buck

03/29 00:51 -6½ +104 / +6½ -115

[Anthonyg7]

03/30/2011 @ 07:05 PM NBA[523] OKLAHOMA CITY -2-130 (x8)

Grabbed the line early for tomorrow.

[Anthonyg7]

1-0 Tonight +2.0 Units. Big play tomorrow.

DOCUMENTED YTD: 40-31 (56%) (+7.0 UNITS)

[ChampStateOfMind]

03/30/2011 @ 07:05 PM NBA[523] OKLAHOMA CITY -2-130 (x8)

Grabbed the line early for tomorrow.

Suns and OKC both on a back to back and both flying into Phoenix. The suns have given games away in the fourth the last couple of games. The hornets stayed close and took the game in the fourth, so did the mavs and the kings were down all game even in the fourth and outscored them with about 8 or 5 minutes or less to take the game also.

[ChampStateOfMind]

Locked Blazers vs. Hornets over 181.5 x1. The numbers are solid on the over. With David West out Carl Landry has stepped in and scored double digits as a starter. The blazers are holding onto the sixth seed with a one game lead over the hornets. I dont see the hornets as a threat to the blazers for the sixth seed.

[Anthonyg7]

Locked Blazers vs. Hornets over 181.5 x1. The numbers are solid on the over. With David West out Carl Landry has stepped in and scored double digits as a starter. The blazers are holding onto the sixth seed with a one game lead over the hornets. I dont see the hornets as a threat to the blazers for the sixth seed.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Locked Blazers vs. Hornets over 181.5 x1. The numbers are solid on the over. With David West out Carl Landry has stepped in and scored double digits as a starter. The blazers are holding onto the sixth seed with a one game lead over the hornets. I dont see the hornets as a threat to the blazers for the sixth seed.

Did you make a typo or your bookie made the typo? 181? Really?

Edit: My bad. It was I that made the typo. I had it as 191 which makes it a no play for me but now that you point it out at 181, Lets play the over.

[ChampStateOfMind]

Did you make a typo or your bookie made the typo? 181? Really?

Edit: My bad. It was I that made the typo. I had it as 191 which makes it a no play for me but now that you point it out at 181, Lets play the over.

Yeah its low, I capped it and the numbers are way over. Im feeling the Blazers tomorrow as well, looking into the play right now.

[ChampStateOfMind]

Locked Blazers at PK (x2).
I like the blazers and the way they have played as of late. I see aldridge having a solid game tomorrow. Landry nor Okafor can guard this guy. The hornets beat the blazers the last time they played in new orleans but this is a different hornet and blazer team. The addition of wallace has added another dimension to this team, plus the blazers have great momentum right now with their recent road wins, their confidence is high.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Yeah its low, I capped it and the numbers are way over. Im feeling the Blazers tomorrow as well, looking into the play right now.

I'm not playing the blazer so you will have to stand alone on this one. I have it that NO should give blazer +3 for playing at home.

[ChampStateOfMind]

I'm not playing the blazer so you will have to stand alone on this one. I have it that NO should give blazer +3 for playing at home.

If you flip the line from Pk and see it as if this was at Portland the line should be -6 for Portland at home. On the road I dont see why portland would be a road dog against an up and down hornet team. Pk is a good line seeing as other books have it at Portland -1 right now.

[Anthonyg7]

The line is equivalent to about -6 in Portland which i feel they can cover against the Hornets.

[NBA_Brosuf]

If you flip the line from Pk and see it as if this was at Portland the line should be -3 for Portland at home. On the road I dont see why portland would be a road dog against an up and down hornet team. Pk is a good line seeing as other books have it at Portland -1 right now.

Lets put these two teams playing in space for no home team advantage and the spread is PK.

NO is just 1 game behind Portland so this is a title fight. Not only that, NO at home is looking more promising with NO record of 24-11 versus a Portland away record of 17-21. Remember that we are picking at PK.

Just sharing a potential lean since Pk -1 +1 in NBA is all about the same in theory. I don't even remember the last time a team wins by 1 point outside of a normal buzzard beater.

[Anthonyg7]

Portland coming off a big road win against the Spurs.. i don't see NO winning this one..

[ChampStateOfMind]

The way portland plays at home and the home court advantage they have at the rose garden I can see them covering -6 at home against this hornet team.

[ChampStateOfMind]

Lets put these two teams playing in space for no home team advantage and the spread is PK.

NO is just 1 game behind Portland so this is a title fight. Not only that, NO at home is looking more promising with NO record of 24-11 versus a Portland away record of 17-21. Remember that we are picking at PK.

Just sharing a potential lean since Pk -1 +1 in NBA is all about the same in theory. I don't even remember the last time a team wins by 1 point outside of a normal buzzard beater.

My thought process on this play is based on the recent play of the Blazers. History is always good to consider but in this situation im playing the team that is coming in with momentum off a win at the Spurs and are fighting for the sixth seed. I dont see the hornets matching up well with the blazers with aldridge and wallace. I know ariza will probably guard wallace but wallace is bigger and stronger than ariza and as a laker fan I know ariza is a great defender but he does have issues guarding bigger and stronger player like Pierce, etc. Im not comparing wallace to pierce but wallace does have a strong offensive game.

[NBA_Brosuf]

I wouldn't compare portland's game with spurs bench as a measuring tool and if it is then they sure played horrible for a win in San Antonio.

#1 team bench can take on a playoff contender and be competitive? Really?
The variance in this game here is only by 3 so it is like a coin toss to me which can go either way. I'm not impressive with NO at home and who they lose or beat either.

Loss to boston
win phoenix
loss to denver
win sac
win dallas
loss to houston
win clipper
loss to chicago
loss to MN
loss lakers
win washington

So the only win at home that I see as contending is dallas. In NO last 11 games at home, they won 5 and loses 6. NO at home is a hot and cold team. If I go by this standard alone, I'm taking portland.

[ChampStateOfMind]

The over on the blazer vs hornets cashes for 1 unit.

The blazers were leading for 3 quarter and go on to choke in the fourth and let the game get away and end up losing by four. Overall down 1 unit tonight. On to tomorrow and probably will look at a totals play on the laker game.

[Anthonyg7]

The over on the blazer vs hornets cashes for 1 unit.

The blazers were leading for 3 quarter and go on to choke in the fourth and let the game get away and end up losing by four. Overall down 1 unit tonight. On to tomorrow and probably will look at a totals play on the laker game.

Yeah man Blazers choked . Get em tomorrow

[Anthonyg7]

OKC killing it in the 4th !