Anthony's NBA Picks

**NBA_Brosuf** · 03-22-11, 01:58 AM

Originally posted by ChampStateOfMind

Locked bulls -3.5...I hate that the line dropped from 4 to 3.5 when the bulls are the favorites, but the hawks suck.

I like bull because the spread is so small.

For some odd reasoning through a formula that I developed (not yet tested

), I have Bulls giving something funky like -12.5 spread.

**JR007** · 03-22-11, 09:09 AM

keep an eye peeled to bolekblues..thread...I like what he is doing over there

**JR007** · 03-22-11, 09:22 AM

handicapping these games means nothing...it is about finding your edge.....and knowing it's value......the "right"...play does not always win though.....

**Anthonyg7** · 03-22-11, 09:39 AM

Cant seem to pull the trigger on Chicago..

**JR007** · 03-22-11, 09:47 AM

laying points on the road...a tricky proposition......with game ending fouling ...trying to "lenthin" the game....same ncaab...look at how many lines around 5.5

**Dexter** · 03-22-11, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

Week #21: 6-6 (-2.0 Units)

Documented YTD: 30-27 (+3.2 Units)

i didnt even know you had a thread...nice work anthony

**Anthonyg7** · 03-22-11, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i didnt even know you had a thread...nice work anthony

Thanks Dex, I decided to start one after the ASB.. congrats on your 2 A1 hits yesterday

Good luck tonight.

**Anthonyg7** · 03-22-11, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

Cant seem to pull the trigger on Chicago..

i know the game isn't over yet.. but i shoulda unloaded on Chi

**Anthonyg7** · 03-22-11, 08:36 PM

I like Denver, and Memphis tomorrow.. Memphis is getting 7 points..

**Anthonyg7** · 03-22-11, 10:04 PM

NBA Wed 3/22

Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 3U

Memphis is 10-4 ATS when given 6 or more points. Celtics are 8-11 ATS when being an overall favorite between 6 and 8 points and 4-6 ATS at home between the same range.

**Anthonyg7** · 03-23-11, 03:50 AM

Waiting for Toronto line to post on my book.. pregame showing it as +9 against the suns.

**NBA_Brosuf** · 03-23-11, 04:01 AM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

Waiting for Toronto line to post on my book.. pregame showing it as +9 against the suns.

I'm riding on TO too. Lines already out at +9 but maybe the line will go to double figures later or they realize that Suns is playing tired or what not and lose a point.

I dunno. I already bought them at +9.

A tired Suns will be about neck to neck +/- 3 points with TO. With the spread, who knows.....

I used the same formula for the Suns and Lakers game and it shows that Suns getting point is a good value for a backdoor cover.

**JR007** · 03-23-11, 06:11 AM

under might be a play as well

**Anthonyg7** · 03-23-11, 09:51 AM

03/23/2011 @ 07:05 PM NBA[769] TORONTO +7½-110 2U

Fading the Suns here. They went to triple OT at the staples center yesterday.

**Anthonyg7** · 03-23-11, 09:53 AM

Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf

I'm riding on TO too. Lines already out at +9 but maybe the line will go to double figures later or they realize that Suns is playing tired or what not and lose a point.

I dunno. I already bought them at +9.

A tired Suns will be about neck to neck +/- 3 points with TO. With the spread, who knows.....

I used the same formula for the Suns and Lakers game and it shows that Suns getting point is a good value for a backdoor cover.

My book opened it at 9, then closed it sometime during the laker game, now it's back open at 7.5

**JR007** · 03-23-11, 10:48 AM

don't like the idea the total has stayed the same

**NBA_Brosuf** · 03-23-11, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by JR007

under might be a play as well

Just bought under myself.

Tailing Jr.

**Anthonyg7** · 03-23-11, 08:59 PM

Cash that Grizz Play

**Anthonyg7** · 03-23-11, 11:43 PM

Raptors blew it.. tough hit... another reason why beating the closer is important..

**Anthonyg7** · 03-23-11, 11:43 PM

1-1 (+0.8) Units Tonight...

DOCUMENTED YTD: 33-28 (+8 UNITS)

**Anthonyg7** · 03-24-11, 10:53 AM

Was gonna go big on Hornets but my book didn't release the opening line at -1.. instead it was at -3 this morning and now its up to -4.5. Can't go bigon a 3.5pt swing.. going to wait for a better spot. May play it for some change.

**JR007** · 03-24-11, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

Raptors blew it.. tough hit... another reason why beating the closer is important..

yes...a classic example of it

**Anthonyg7** · 03-24-11, 11:38 AM

03/24/2011 @ 06:05 PM NBA[1803] 1H NEW ORLEANS -2½-110 10U

Hornets are well rested (4days) and Jazz are b2b. Jazz are 8-10 SU and 6-12 ATS on b2b. Jazz were a good back to back team earlier the season.. but have struggled lately. The Jazz have played 9 back to back games this year (2011) and are 2-7 SU and 2-7 ATS. They have lost their last 5 b2b games to the Thunder, Warriors, Pistons, Bulls, and Grizzlies. Utah has lost their last 3 first halves. Jazz average 1H Scoring Margin:Season: -2.5, Last 3: -8.3. They are ranked 24th in 1H scoring margins. The Hornets are ranked 11th in 1H scoring margins.

Last 5 Back to Back Games:

2/05/11 1H Jazz (57) - Thunder (62)
2/16/11 1H Jazz (48) - Warriors (48)
2/26/11 1H Jazz (53) - Pistons (58)
3/12/11 1H Jazz (41) - Bulls (68)
3/21/11 1H Jazz (42) - Grizzlies (54)

They went 0-4-1. Average 1H scoring margin is -9.8. Hornets outscored the Celtics 51-40 their last game.

Hornets are in a good spot here so I'm taking my chances.

**Anthonyg7** · 03-24-11, 08:46 PM

Jazz keep sinking those threes..

**NBA_Brosuf** · 03-24-11, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

03/24/2011 @ 06:05 PM NBA[1803] 1H NEW ORLEANS -2½-110 10U

Hornets are well rested (4days) and Jazz are b2b. Jazz are 8-10 SU and 6-12 ATS on b2b. Jazz were a good back to back team earlier the season.. but have struggled lately. The Jazz have played 9 back to back games this year (2011) and are 2-7 SU and 2-7 ATS. They have lost their last 5 b2b games to the Thunder, Warriors, Pistons, Bulls, and Grizzlies. Utah has lost their last 3 first halves. Jazz average 1H Scoring Margin:Season: -2.5, Last 3: -8.3. They are ranked 24th in 1H scoring margins. The Hornets are ranked 11th in 1H scoring margins.

Last 5 Back to Back Games:

2/05/11 1H Jazz (57) - Thunder (62)
2/16/11 1H Jazz (48) - Warriors (48)
2/26/11 1H Jazz (53) - Pistons (58)
3/12/11 1H Jazz (41) - Bulls (68)
3/21/11 1H Jazz (42) - Grizzlies (54)

They went 0-4-1. Average 1H scoring margin is -9.8. Hornets outscored the Celtics 51-40 their last game.

Hornets are in a good spot here so I'm taking my chances.

big play for you here ant. Getting close with a comeback by NO. Hope you get it for 10U play.

Maybe someday when I see something nice, I'll drop a 10U down but not now. Rooting for you ant.

**NBA_Brosuf** · 03-24-11, 09:07 PM

sux ant...half point... 30 something seconds left and teams be playing to wind that clock down.

half point..man, that's sux.

**Anthonyg7** · 03-24-11, 09:08 PM

wow.. ariza missed a freethrow.. they couldn't make a shot in the last seconds.. half a point..

**Anthonyg7** · 03-24-11, 09:17 PM

03/25/2011 @ 05:05 PM NBA[865] MEMPHIS +8½-110 (x2)

03/25/2011 @ 04:05 PM NBA[854] (SACRAMENTO vrs INDIANA) TOTAL u211½-110 (x1)

03/25/2011 @ 06:05 PM NBA[868] (WASHINGTON vrs DENVER) TOTAL u214-110 (x2)

**Anthonyg7** · 03-24-11, 10:27 PM

unbelievable

**Anthonyg7** · 03-25-11, 08:57 PM

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -4 -115 (x4)

**Anthonyg7** · 03-25-11, 10:56 PM

16-4 run..

**Anthonyg7** · 03-26-11, 12:33 AM

3-1 small profit tonight.. i was feeling too confident with the blazers covering 4.

**ChampStateOfMind** · 03-26-11, 01:39 AM

Small card tomorrow, gonna cap totals and research some games...gonna try to increase my profit for the week.

**ChampStateOfMind** · 03-26-11, 01:43 AM

Locked Bulls -6 X1

**NBA_Brosuf** · 03-26-11, 02:30 AM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

03/25/2011 @ 05:05 PM NBA[865] MEMPHIS +8½-110 (x2)

03/25/2011 @ 04:05 PM NBA[854] (SACRAMENTO vrs INDIANA) TOTAL u211½-110 (x1)

03/25/2011 @ 06:05 PM NBA[868] (WASHINGTON vrs DENVER) TOTAL u214-110 (x2)

I see what you did here. More of these please.

Sweeper

Game to look at tomorrow is the over for Chicago. 177.5 is a tad small. Do research on it because I smell a freebie here. I see it going over 200 total unless I'm missing something like injuries and key players are going to rest up and bench.