nba season picks

[BL]

is that total in Boston whispering anything to you considering they went under 196 a few days ago ?

nothing yet. defensive home/road numbers combine 200,4 ppg. seems to be right on spot.

[BL]

how about the sixers +3.5? they seem to own the bucks

Sixers are the play here with the revengespot. But do you trust the Phillies? Same constellation like against Cleveland few days ago except they are at home today. Not sure though

[kobefanatic]

Sixers are the play here with the revengespot. But do you trust the Phillies? Same constellation like against Cleveland few days ago except they are at home today. Not sure though

i know they are the play but i can't stomach 48minutes of game time praying for the sixers not to shit the bed

[kobefanatic]

you liking warriors?

[BL]

you liking warriors?

Yes but not as much as I like the over that's why I booked the total instead

[BL]

What do you like in Utah? Referees are 0-9 ATS for homefavs from 0,5-4,5

[darkenergy]

Hey BL.
Can you give opinion on these, Okie +7 (b.5, and this is a big play), Wizzard (they own me money from last time), Over GSW, and Cleveland.

I need few solid games from now to weekend bro........Redskin from Monday, and Wizzard from Wed put a big dent on all my accounts. I need a good run before weekend end, otherwise turkey is pretty hard to swallow for me next week . J/k it all good.

[BL]

Hey de!
I am already on the Over you like. I am putting it here one more time because most ppl won't read it on the prior page:

Here you are:

Miami Heat - Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 192,5 (1x)
The defensive numbers for this matchup combine 190,4 ppg. That doesn't scare me off taking the under here.
Miami at home averages 97.4 posessions per game, Bobcats 90.4 on the road. That's really low considering
Bobcats hold their opponents to an average of 43.9% FGpct at home and Miami their opponents at home to
43.3% FGpct. That's #2 shooting defense in the league. Charlotte is leagues worst offensive rebound team
at home, Bobcats not really much better. That's an important thing you look on when betting the UNDER.
I don't have to tell you this total line is inflated after Miami games going over 7 times in a row.


GSW-NY Knicks OVER 221,5 (1x)
This one is a kinda autoplay for me. 249 ppg in their L5 meetings and GSW with 8 unders in their last 10 matches
what's giving us a nice line to work with today. GSW averages 100.5 posessions per game at home this season,
Knicks 101.7 on the road. GSW is #1 in the league in offensive rebounds at home, NY not bad either with 11
offrb per roadgame on average. I expect a lot of 2nd chance points here as both teams have a bad offensive
rebounds allowed ratio. GSW and Knicks both are top in the league in fastbreak points made and allowed (especially
GSW allowing most fastbreakpoints in the league).
I do see well rested Warriors trying to simply outscore the Knicks who are ready for a highscoring clash.

I don't like OKC today. Leaning the square play Boston. Only a lean yet but I don't think I'll change my mind and play OKC. Boston is the better team and I dont see any bigger matchup edges for OKC.
Leave those Wizards alone. They hurt us against Boston but I dont think they will do beter today. Memphis owns them anyways. no need to throw more many on those washington guys.
I do like Cleveland! Maybe sprinkle some on CLE ML

[CarmeLO15]

nothing yet. defensive home/road numbers combine 200,4 ppg. seems to be right on spot.

From where do u get this numbers/statistics bro ?

[darkenergy]

I really think the Okie/Boston game came down to the wire bro for the following reasons.
1. Revenge home loss for Okie here.
2. Boston are 0-2 this season when home favorite between 6.5 - 9, 11-14 in last 3 years.
3. Boston are 4-12 at home in last 3 years when total set between 195 -199.5
4. Okie avg. score overall 104.2, on the road 104.7. Boston overall 102.3, home avg 104.4


Look how Boston perform this year at home, beat Heat by 8 (keep in mind, up until last couple of games, Heat is no body beside a paper tiger), beat NYK by 4, beat Mil by 3.................don't you think Okie are better than those team listed above, and get 6.5. If wasn't because recent hot run, Boston wouldn't/shouldn't give Okie more than 2 buckets.

[darkenergy]

Just double check, Okie are actually did pretty good on the road. Beat Portland and Utah which is the hardest spot to win in NBA for any team (they also got their revenged for Jazz.)

[aireent777]

Spurs will be a good play tonight considering Utah has always owned the Spurs but that's with Boozer. Al Jeff is no Boozer and certainly Duncan/Blair is much much better than Millsap/Al Jeff. Splitter is also a good addition to San Antonio this season. Sloan-less Jazz might also be a factor tonight. All they got is home but if San Antonio plays good basketball here which they are right now, then Utah has no chance in winning this game. Duncan also gunning for Spurs’ all-time NBA scoring leader. Last time Duncan was on the verge of a scoring milestone, Utah was also standing in the way. On Jan. 20, Duncan came into a game against the Jazz at the AT&T Center needing 14 points to reach the 20,000th. He fouled out of a 105-98 defeat unceremoniously stuck on 19,999. I'm sure Timmy will keep that in mind tonight.

[BL]

From where do u get this numbers/statistics bro ?

covers.com matchup f.e. there you can find the defensive stats on the right. click on in depth and you will see it splitted in quarters.
Or try http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat...oints-per-game

Just double check, Okie are actually did pretty good on the road. Beat Portland and Utah which is the hardest spot to win in NBA for any team (they also got their revenged for Jazz.)

If OKC covers it will be because Boston let them. Besides their last homegame which they lost SU to OKC Boston won by 19, 29 and 15 points

[BL]

Spurs will be a good play tonight considering Utah has always owned the Spurs but that's with Boozer. Al Jeff is no Boozer and certainly Duncan/Blair is much much better than Millsap/Al Jeff. Splitter is also a good addition to San Antonio this season. Sloan-less Jazz might also be a factor tonight. All they got is home but if San Antonio plays good basketball here which they are right now, then Utah has no chance in winning this game. Duncan also gunning for Spurs’ all-time NBA scoring leader. Last time Duncan was on the verge of a scoring milestone, Utah was also standing in the way. On Jan. 20, Duncan came into a game against the Jazz at the AT&T Center needing 14 points to reach the 20,000th. He fouled out of a 105-98 defeat unceremoniously stuck on 19,999. I'm sure Timmy will keep that in mind tonight.

I like your statement on the game here! And I remember last year when Dirk N. was in the press every day and he played out of his mind hitting every throw. Same could happen with Parker here.

[BL]

wow Heat under is getting pounded. Line down to 189,5. Glad I booked it early

[nbarlotta3]

I like Miami Under as well. Looks like an easy bet.

[Tedd]

Hi BL,do you have any other leans for late games?

[BL]

hey guys whatsup? Haven't been around

Miami/Charlotte UNDER is a winner

now let's get that warriors over !

[darkenergy]

hey guys whatsup? Haven't been around Miami/Charlotte UNDER is a winner now let's get that warriors over !

Congrats BL.
My Okie cashed as well, but hope you didn't think Boston let them win

[GTS925]

Sweep! NYK - GSW

8:26

102 - 95

Looking GOOD!

[BL]

Miami Heat - Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 192,5 (1x)


GSW-NY Knicks OVER 221,5 (1x)

NBA SEASON 42-23 (64,62%) +13,45 units

[darkenergy]

solid BL

[BL]

Portland/Utah UNDER 191 (2x)
The first thing that caught my eye on todays board is the line for Portland/Utah.
There's so much wiggle room for the under to hit that I cannot pass on this one.
First of all it's always good to take the UNDER when jumpshot teams with solid
defense play each other. If the numbers fit it's even better.
The home/road defensive numbers combine 186,4 points per game.
Portland at home averages 92.6 posessions per game, Utah 96.6 on the road.
That's combined 189 posessions. That's a solid number for the under with Portland
holding their opponents to 43.4% FG% at home and Utah holding their opponents to
42.9% FG% on the road.
The public is betting the over early and the line already went down one point and should
be near 189 before gametime. So better get it early.

[kobefanatic]

what are your thoughts on mavs/hawks 193? i like the under here

[BL]

I do like the under aswell, kobe but there are some things that don't fit my criteria. It looks like a easy winner though. will have a closer look at it, I am interested in where Hilton will have the line some hours after opening.

[kobefanatic]

I do like the under aswell, kobe but there are some things that don't fit my criteria. It looks like a easy winner though. will have a closer look at it, I am interested in where Hilton will have the line some hours after opening.

thanks

[BL]

leaning Portland against Jazz on the back2back to get revenge for their home OT-loss in their last meeting.

[aireent777]

leaning Portland against Jazz on the back2back to get revenge for their home OT-loss in their last meeting.

I don't think revenge factor might be on play here. As I tried to look at this game deeper, I see Utah has an excellent shot at winning SU against the Blazers. Remember, these Jazz team is an excellent road team winning their last four. If this were not a b2b game for Utah then I think Portland may be home dogs here. If you come to think of it, I know Portland is a great home team by defending their home court well, we have seen that last season but I guess without Brandon Roy here is a different story. I see the hard working Jazz team in Millsap on top in this game. Just my 2 cents.

[BL]

Ok guys what sides do you like ? I am still loving the under I already booked. No side booked yet.

[djpremier36]

I'm liking the Nuggets and the CHA/PHO under.

Nuggets catching the Nets off a back to back coming into the mile high altitude. Nets are 1-6 in their last 7 ATS in the Pepsi Center. Public is liking the Nets slightly and the Nets are also playing 3rd game in 4 nights.

Phoenix unders are always risky but I like how the number has dropped from 203 to 199 with the public backing the over. Bobcats like to slow things down and should control the tempo at home.

Call me crazy but the Clipps look like the play being favored tonight. Knicks should be bagged playing 4 in 5.

[Stinger]

Call me crazy but the Clipps look like the play being favored tonight. Knicks should be bagged playing 4 in 5.

I wouldn't bet on the Clippers with someone else's money, let alone mine...

GL though

[djpremier36]

I wouldn't bet on the Clippers with someone else's money, let alone mine... GL though

I'm not just looking at their 1-11 record. Clipps are 6-7 ATS and have beat the Knicks 4 of the last 5 times at home. I never said I was betting it, just trying to see through the lines.

[BL]

you are right, nuggets look good in this spot. I looked at that total and I lean the under. but I won't play it as some numbers favor the over. It should be on spot in my opinion.
Clips are the play for sure. But I won't back them. No need to put my money on them

[djpremier36]

No Steve Nash for the Suns...should help the under???

[BL]

No Steve Nash for the Suns...should help the under???

forget the total, read your sig and take Phoenix!
Last year he missed one game. Phoenix won on the road against OKC and the game went OVER