nba season picks

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  • BL
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-09
    • 4070

    #526
    I do like the over in that one at first glance, Timofey! will cap the board in a few hours
    Comment
    • darkenergy
      SBR MVP
      • 01-08-09
      • 4013

      #527
      Nice work yesterday BL, congrats man
      Comment
      • kobefanatic
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-19-10
        • 9013

        #528
        bl how about the clippers 5.5 at home? they are worse than the kings yet getting the same spread
        Comment
        • BL
          SBR MVP
          • 05-11-09
          • 4070

          #529
          Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets OVER 212 (1x)
          The defensive home/road numbers combine 212 points for this matchup. Suns are averaging 96.7 posessions per game on the road, Rockets 99.3 posessions per game at home. Talk about raining posessions! Suns and Rockets both average more than 16 fastbreakpoints per game and count to the worse teams in defending fastbreak points.
          A very important thing when betting the over is that you'll be happy with teams that score a lot of 2nd chance points. Great thing that Suns and rockets are worst in the league in offensive rebounds allowed. Besides that Suns are last in the league in opponent shooting %. They allow an average of 50.7% on the road this season.
          The fact Nash is still missing is good news for the over aswell. He is no defensive savior, but he could at least lead by example with effort.
          Comment
          • GTS925
            Restricted User
            • 11-06-10
            • 1158

            #530
            Hey man, any thoughts on Spurs and OVER?
            Comment
            • BL
              SBR MVP
              • 05-11-09
              • 4070

              #531
              Originally posted by GTS925
              Hey man, any thoughts on Spurs and OVER?
              leaning the under personally in that one. but haven't looked into all numbers yet
              Comment
              • Tedd
                Restricted User
                • 06-21-10
                • 789

                #532
                Originally posted by BL
                Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets OVER 212 (1x)
                The defensive home/road numbers combine 212 points for this matchup. Suns are averaging 96.7 posessions per game on the road, Rockets 99.3 posessions per game at home. Talk about raining posessions! Suns and Rockets both average more than 16 fastbreakpoints per game and count to the worse teams in defending fastbreak points.
                A very important thing when betting the over is that you'll be happy with teams that score a lot of 2nd chance points. Great thing that Suns and rockets are worst in the league in offensive rebounds allowed. Besides that Suns are last in the league in opponent shooting %. They allow an average of 50.7% on the road this season.
                The fact Nash is still missing is good news for the over aswell. He is no defensive savior, but he could at least lead by example with effort.
                Hi BL,the overs are now at 213.5 is this still good to get?Thanks
                Comment
                • BL
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-11-09
                  • 4070

                  #533
                  I recommend to play it as long its not higher than 214
                  Comment
                  • BL
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-09
                    • 4070

                    #534
                    1H Miami Heat -6 (2x)
                    Nobrainer here. 12 point edge in defensive numbers for the first half. Heat already
                    owned the pacers in first halves the last years. Don't think it over. It will get worse this year
                    Comment
                    • BL
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-11-09
                      • 4070

                      #535
                      ..and YES I do know Wade most likely wont play. I dont care
                      Comment
                      • BL
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-11-09
                        • 4070

                        #536
                        wade is playing
                        Comment
                        • BL
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-11-09
                          • 4070

                          #537
                          2H Suns/Rockets OVER 109 +100 (1x)
                          2nd half is where the points will rain! 113,9 points in defensive numbers.
                          Comment
                          • Soderman
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 09-29-10
                            • 33

                            #538
                            Nice BL!
                            Comment
                            • BL
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-11-09
                              • 4070

                              #539
                              ok. 2-1 yesterday with the heat losing su to the pacers. time to get some big winners today

                              thanks a lot Soderman !
                              Comment
                              • BL
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-11-09
                                • 4070

                                #540
                                had a mistake in the record. corrected now

                                NBA SEASON 47-25 (65,28%) +14,05 units
                                Comment
                                • Tedd
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-21-10
                                  • 789

                                  #541
                                  Hi BL,you nailed the overs pretty well!Thank you for that!
                                  Comment
                                  • jim844
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 02-27-10
                                    • 67

                                    #542
                                    bol tonight
                                    any leans?
                                    Comment
                                    • BL
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-11-09
                                      • 4070

                                      #543
                                      So far I am looking at Charlotte 1H and DET/DAL under. Did not cap the whole board yet. will come up with some plays soon.
                                      what do you like?
                                      Comment
                                      • Tennispro
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-13-09
                                        • 512

                                        #544
                                        I liked Charlotte yesterday at +3 but might as well stay away from that one and take the revange team tomorrow if the line is k
                                        Took Hawks -2.5 and Pistons +10 for today gl bl.
                                        Comment
                                        • BL
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-09
                                          • 4070

                                          #545
                                          1H Charlotte +1.5 (2x)
                                          Charlotte and NY are playing each other in a home/home today and tomorrow. It will start in New York
                                          today where the Knicks are favored by 2,5 points. I am rolling with the roaddog in the first half here
                                          because the situation couldn't be any better for this play. Knicks off a tough roadtrip with a lot of travelling
                                          through different timezones are always a good spot for a fade. The Knicks have serious problems with the
                                          defensive style bocats likes to play against them, being 1-5 ATS against the Cats.
                                          It's exactly that style that lead the Cats into the playoff spots last year. In defensive numbers the Cats have a 4,6
                                          point edge. Enough wiggle room for a confident 2x bet !
                                          Comment
                                          • goompirsin
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 07-19-10
                                            • 237

                                            #546
                                            impressive record: congrats
                                            Comment
                                            • djpremier36
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-11-08
                                              • 3479

                                              #547
                                              Hey bl...just wanted your thoughts on the NJ/ATL under 189.5. Opened up at 191.5 with public support for the over it has dropped to 189.5. Also the lowest opening total between the two in many years?

                                              I like the Bobbies as well tonight...curious as to why you chose the first half over the full game?
                                              Comment
                                              • BL
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-11-09
                                                • 4070

                                                #548
                                                Originally posted by djpremier36
                                                Hey bl...just wanted your thoughts on the NJ/ATL under 189.5. Opened up at 191.5 with public support for the over it has dropped to 189.5. Also the lowest opening total between the two in many years?

                                                I like the Bobbies as well tonight...curious as to why you chose the first half over the full game?
                                                I do think the line is right on spot. No wiggle room if your looking at the defensive numbers and no statistical data favoring the Under here so I'm gonna leave that alone. Linemovement favors the under, that's right.

                                                I took the first half because the situational edge against the knicks coming off a roadtrip has better numbers for the 1H. I like Bobcats ML though.
                                                Comment
                                                • BL
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-11-09
                                                  • 4070

                                                  #549
                                                  Charlotte didn't get it done in the first half. Leaning them again in the second but won't make a play. There are way better bets on tomorrows board !

                                                  NBA SEASON 47-26 (64,38%) +11,85 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jgbgsox
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-16-09
                                                    • 5774

                                                    #550
                                                    Originally posted by BL
                                                    Charlotte didn't get it done in the first half. Leaning them again in the second but won't make a play. There are way better bets on tomorrows board !

                                                    NBA SEASON 47-26 (64,38%) +11,85 units
                                                    keep up the good work
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BL
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-11-09
                                                      • 4070

                                                      #551
                                                      thanks jgbsox


                                                      Wednesday NBA! That's where the money is made !
                                                      Comment
                                                      • darkenergy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-08-09
                                                        • 4013

                                                        #552
                                                        Originally posted by BL
                                                        thanks jgbsox Wednesday NBA! That's where the money is made !
                                                        Why Wed. is better for bettors BL?
                                                        I thought today gonna be pretty hard to predict as most of them want to get the game over with so they can go home to celebrate with their family........................oh wait you are not from U.S just kidding my man.
                                                        What's your take on Orlando game.....................Orlando are appear to be a lock here

                                                        I also like Charlotte, Philly/Toronto 1q OVER (remember they still owned us money last time).
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kobefanatic
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-19-10
                                                          • 9013

                                                          #553
                                                          you like the mavs @ thunder under 197.5?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BL
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-11-09
                                                            • 4070

                                                            #554
                                                            1H Charlotte Bobcats -3 (3x)
                                                            I lost htis one for 2x yesterday and will play it again today. This team
                                                            needs to pay me today. That's it. Charlotte won't let the Knicks come
                                                            into this match like yesterday again.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BL
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-11-09
                                                              • 4070

                                                              #555
                                                              Utah Jazz -3,5 (2x)
                                                              Talk about a mismatch! Hornets are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings with Utah. The Jazz won 6 of their
                                                              last 7 homegames against the hornets by an average of 16,5 points! Those numbers don't lie! These
                                                              are exactly the situations you take a team no matter how well the hornets did perform so far this season.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tennispro
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-13-09
                                                                • 512

                                                                #556
                                                                What you think about the bucks today bl ?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BL
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-11-09
                                                                  • 4070

                                                                  #557
                                                                  TP I won't pick a side in that one. I am rolling with the over instead:

                                                                  1H Cavs/Bucks OVER 95 (1x)
                                                                  The defensive numbers combine 101,2 points for both teams in the first half.
                                                                  That means 6 points of wiggle room for the over to hit!
                                                                  The referees are combined 8-3 for the over when the total is set between 185-194.5.
                                                                  Nothing more to add. booked!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BL
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-11-09
                                                                    • 4070

                                                                    #558
                                                                    ok, and for my homie wang I will throw 1 unit on Jazz 1H aswell:

                                                                    1H Utah Jazz -2 (1x)
                                                                    The hornets haven't kept it closer than 7 in the last 5 visits in Utah after 24 minutes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tennispro
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-13-09
                                                                      • 512

                                                                      #559
                                                                      bl can you mssg me where ck and wang are now ?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BL
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-11-09
                                                                        • 4070

                                                                        #560
                                                                        u got a message TP. Ok I really like my card today. Anything you want me to look at ?
                                                                        Comment
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