nba season picks

BL · 11-26-10, 11:18 AM

Indiana/Oklahoma UNDER 206 (2x)
It's always a good idea to bet the under when 2 jumpshooting teams with shotblockers in their lineup meet each other. The defensive home/road numbers combine only 192,8 points. Todays referees combine for an average score of 193,5 points. That's a big statistical edge for the under. Pacers defend well this season and should be able to hold the jumpshooting OKC to a low shooting%. This would be a bigger play for me if not the last 7 Pacer games went under the total.
With Indiana having the better defensive shooting% numbers I do think Indiana will get the win. So I am also rolling with

Indiana Pacers +1,5 (1x)

Phoenix Suns -9 (3x)
Heya.. Clippers won 2 in a row! Who thought of that? Back to reality today... Phoenix Suns are coming off a unlucky OT-loss and are looking to bounce back big against a Clippers team they simply own.Suns are 8-0 SU against the Clippers, winning the last 4 meetings at home by an average of 23 points. This spread is way to low! Nothing more to add.

jim844 · 11-26-10, 11:25 AM

can i hear your thoughts on why indiana?
they've been playing well recently yes but i think on the road against a okc team that just lost it would be a hard spot to take them in
the line is fishy tho at only -1.5
any insight would be appreciated
thanks!
bol tonight!

BL · 11-26-10, 11:34 AM

Hey jim! Indiana is 4-1 at home against OKC and the only loss came at the buzzer. They are playing OKC tough every time they meet. Both teams are jumpshooting teams (over 70%) and Indiana defends better in this case than OKC. Pacers are holding their opponents to a lower shooting& than OKC plus Indiana is #2 in the league in blocks per game. Indiana should get the win again tonight but I feel more comfortable with the 1.5 just in case they get killed at the buzzer again ;-)

sweetjones55 · 11-26-10, 11:38 AM

BL, if the public is pounding OKC and it's not even 6PM ET when the public normally bets why not wait to get a better number with Indy? If the line was going to go in reverse it would have already done so. This line is going to +2 no doubt in my mind.

jim844 · 11-26-10, 11:44 AM

oh my apologies i had thought okc was at home
good stuff

BL · 11-26-10, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

BL, if the public is pounding OKC and it's not even 6PM ET when the public normally bets why not wait to get a better number with Indy? If the line was going to go in reverse it would have already done so. This line is going to +2 no doubt in my mind.

you may be right SJ! I didnt even look at linemovements and public betting today. For any reason lines do different things on Fridays so I stopped looking at those this day of the week. I booked all at my local today and I don't want to go there later because I will be in bed again... hang over at its best

I don't even want to think about beer today lol. giuuu... way too much yesterday

BL · 11-26-10, 06:42 PM

thinking of adding a late play on POR but don't like the fact Roy is back. POR with Roy mixing minutes....

BL · 11-26-10, 10:32 PM

lol @ Indiana ! Overtime will kill the under

BL · 11-26-10, 10:52 PM

bad beat day! Pacers meltdown plus overtime. LOL

BL · 11-27-10, 07:33 AM

Wow! Pacers leading the entire game and go down in OT what kills the under aswell. Suns are treating the Clippers like in training but only win by 8 in the end. Bad beats at its best

NBA SEASON 49-32 (60,49%%) +1,85 units

jim844 · 11-27-10, 11:53 AM

Hey BL any leans for today?

BL · 11-27-10, 05:39 PM

GSW/MIN OVER 219 (2x) ! bol, no time today

BL · 11-27-10, 05:44 PM

add bucks -3 (2x) -120

sweetjones55 · 11-27-10, 06:27 PM

Good luck on your plays tonight.

BL · 11-28-10, 04:37 AM

This weekend is killing me, not at home a single minute

Raptors +1,5 (4x)

Spurs +1,5 (5x)

big units but I LOVE em !

BL · 11-28-10, 04:39 AM

LAL -3 1Q (1x) thanks to my man wang

BL · 11-28-10, 05:29 AM

Ok guys not much time today but here's why I booked them that big:

Toronto at home are playing totally different than on the road. They play with real defensive effort and won their last 3 at home. Atlanta coming b2b from New York with only a few hours rest. They are already looking for the 2 days rest they will get after this match. Raptors opened as a 1,5 point fav with Evans sidelined... all you need to know!

The Spurs pick should be clear. Making Spurs an underdog in a revenge game is bad idea. period. Hornets in a bad spot coming off a successful roadtrip with only 1 day rest. Spurs will keep clean sheets on the road after today.

coilinsud9 · 11-28-10, 08:44 AM

I'll follow you on Toronto write up, ty

CarmeLO15 · 11-28-10, 04:18 PM

Yo BL what u think abou OKC - HOU ? I lean OKC to cover

BL · 11-28-10, 05:25 PM

thank u spurs! will have a 7pm play

BL · 11-28-10, 05:26 PM

carmelo I will be on rockets most likely

BL · 11-28-10, 05:43 PM

raptors lost, Spurs won, Lakers 1Q pending

adding
Rockets +2,5 (2x)
Come on... Rockets aren't that bad! they are 4-0 SU at home against OKC. make it 5....

BL · 11-28-10, 09:26 PM

Rockets win

Now let's get that smaller Lakers 1Q bet aswell

BL · 11-28-10, 10:15 PM

NBA SEASON 51-34 (60,00%) +2,25 units

Ca$hfloW · 11-29-10, 05:04 PM

Any plays for today, I know you said you had two on twitter but haven't sent them yet

BL · 11-29-10, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by Ca$hfloW

Any plays for today, I know you said you had two on twitter but haven't sent them yet

it's the over in miami (o197) and hornets +4(hookbuy) 2x each

Morocco Mole · 11-29-10, 08:00 PM

BOL buddy!

Love the over!

BL · 11-29-10, 09:47 PM

Tuesday

Boston -6,5 (1x)

BL · 11-30-10, 07:34 AM

Eurocup Tuesday

Hapoel Gilboa - Azovmash
OVER 164 (1x)

In this match two really good offensive teams are meeting each other. The good thing is that
Gilboa is playing a even more offensive style at home while Azovmash plays less defense on
the road. The defensive numbers combine 167,5 points.

Unics Kazan - Le Mans
UNDER 147 (1x)

Defensive numbers combine 131 points and both teams. I expect nothing but a defensive minded
game here today.

Those games start early (17:00 CET and 18:00 CET) so right when u are having breakfast over there in the US ;-)

Dwell · 11-30-10, 12:28 PM

Missed the euro plays...how can anybody play basketball that early anyway? Seems taxing...

aireent777 · 11-30-10, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by BL

Tuesday

Boston -6,5 (1x)

r4z0r1199 · 11-30-10, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by Dwell

Missed the euro plays...how can anybody play basketball that early anyway? Seems taxing...

lol.... its not early, its is night here!!

... just different time zones..

As for your plays BL you are good tipster! That shows yours 60% but... You should reconsider your staking.. I think that you should have flat stake, and invest 2-3% of your bank because you are solid tipster and definetly wont bankrupt like this. So lets say you staked 2 units on each play you would have +26 units! Going up and down with stakes I think isnt good in any sports, this flat staking showed me much more profit and proabably to you would also.

Gl in future and today!

BL · 11-30-10, 01:44 PM

Hapoel Gilboa - Azovmash
OVER 164 (1x) WIN

Unics Kazan - Le Mans
UNDER 147 (1x) WIN

2-0 today. 5-0 in totals overall

Eurohoopz: 7-2

aunty jack · 11-30-10, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by BL

Hapoel Gilboa - Azovmash
OVER 164 (1x) WIN

Unics Kazan - Le Mans
UNDER 147 (1x) WIN

2-0 today. 5-0 in totals overall

Eurohoopz: 7-2

once again, damn fine selections in euro totals.

i suspect that kermit bought his bmw 1-series by following your tips!

cheers.

Soderman · 11-30-10, 03:15 PM

Nice work there BL