goat milk's 2010-11 nba theory thread

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  • dvsbmx
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-30-10
    • 320

    #211
    Goat,

    What are your thoughts on the Suns Lakers game? 9 points seems like far to many with the talent and depth of the Phoenix bench. My feeling is PHX is in this for 3.5 quarters before LAL begins to really run away with it. LAL does have a full day more of rest than PHX but I can't see this being a huge factor.
    Comment
    • BankrollBuilding
      Restricted User
      • 04-29-10
      • 91

      #212
      Originally posted by Shifty107
      Fuk George Carl bro. What kind of shit was that. 1 second on the clock and you go for two when the d couldn't give a fuk less about what your doing. I would put my house on a bet that George had money on the game or new someone with money on that game. Glad we pushed but I had a lot of money on the game.

      I had Chi-town winning by at least 5 and that should have been the case. Also stated that Noah would have a big game. Had Rose been able to hit some jumpers and they not missed so many free throws, they would have won by 10.
      and ud be a friggen idiot

      Morons who believe games are fixed, just so friggen dumb these people are
      Comment
      • pack2sb
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-08-10
        • 117

        #213
        Originally posted by dvsbmx
        Goat,

        What are your thoughts on the Suns Lakers game? 9 points seems like far to many with the talent and depth of the Phoenix bench. My feeling is PHX is in this for 3.5 quarters before LAL begins to really run away with it. LAL does have a full day more of rest than PHX but I can't see this being a huge factor.
        1. [Won]$121.73(Play) [Won: $121.73] Parlay (ML): 4 teams. Risking $10.00, to win $121.73. Ticket Id:621018
        • [Win] NBA
          Phoenix +9 -110 on Phoenix - LA Lakers [Sun, Nov 14 9:35PM] [NBA]
        • [Win] NBA
          San Antonio + 125 on San Antonio - Oklahoma City [Sun, Nov 14 7:05PM] [NBA ML]
        • [Win] NBA
          Houston + 130 on Houston - New York [Sun, Nov 14 7:35PM] [NBA ML]
        • [Win] College Basketball
          Indiana U -300 on Wright State - Indiana U [Sun, Nov 14 7:00PM] [NCAA ML]
        Sun, Nov 14 4:25PM
        Comment
        • pack2sb
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-08-10
          • 117

          #214
          Originally posted by dvsbmx
          Goat,

          What are your thoughts on the Suns Lakers game? 9 points seems like far to many with the talent and depth of the Phoenix bench. My feeling is PHX is in this for 3.5 quarters before LAL begins to really run away with it. LAL does have a full day more of rest than PHX but I can't see this being a huge factor.
          Sorry I didn't have this up in time for anyone to tail me, I may be an unknown, but in the last two weeks, I'm up 70% ($1050 on 11/2, and $1742 as of 11 pm last night). I've posted on lakerboy and lyons thread a dozen times or so, posted a few picks, mostly only the parlays with at least one 'dog because the straight bets and all significant favorite parlays are not something anyone should take too much credit for in a handicapping respect. I didn't have the balls to take Phx at the M/L, wish I could just grow a pair sometimes because that's how I was leaning... Anyways, I'll be watching the line movement throughout the day on various sites, and comparing them to the movement on Pinnacle. Should have a few picks posted by early afternoon, and a couple more right before the first game starts.
          My record thus far on the NBA...
          Overall 27-13 (67.5%)
          ATS 7-5 (58.3%)
          Totals (Quarter, Half, and Game) 7-3 (70%)
          M/L Fav. 6-2 (75%)
          M/L Dog 7-3 (70%)
          Comment
          • linedrivr
            SBR MVP
            • 01-04-10
            • 2223

            #215
            Originally posted by pack2sb
            Sorry I didn't have this up in time for anyone to tail me, I may be an unknown, but in the last two weeks, I'm up 70% ($1050 on 11/2, and $1742 as of 11 pm last night). I've posted on lakerboy and lyons thread a dozen times or so, posted a few picks, mostly only the parlays with at least one 'dog because the straight bets and all significant favorite parlays are not something anyone should take too much credit for in a handicapping respect. I didn't have the balls to take Phx at the M/L, wish I could just grow a pair sometimes because that's how I was leaning... Anyways, I'll be watching the line movement throughout the day on various sites, and comparing them to the movement on Pinnacle. Should have a few picks posted by early afternoon, and a couple more right before the first game starts.
            My record thus far on the NBA...
            Overall 27-13 (67.5%)
            ATS 7-5 (58.3%)
            Totals (Quarter, Half, and Game) 7-3 (70%)
            M/L Fav. 6-2 (75%)
            M/L Dog 7-3 (70%)
            good job but why throw this down in Goats thread. If your posting plays, you should start a thread and post them all in there to gain some forum cred...if your winning ways are sustained, they will come.
            Comment
            • pack2sb
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-08-10
              • 117

              #216
              Originally posted by linedrivr
              good job but why throw this down in Goats thread. If your posting plays, you should start a thread and post them all in there to gain some forum cred...if your winning ways are sustained, they will come.
              I'm new to this site, in case you couldn't tell by the number of posts I've had, and I never even thought about starting my own thread. And maybe I'll start posting my picks on various threads, before they're locked, and if I win, well, they will indeed come to my own thread. Thanks!
              Comment
              • pack2sb
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-08-10
                • 117

                #217
                Your ticket id: 621146Parlay 1. Philadelphia -3 -125 on Philadelphia - Washington [Mon, Nov 15 8:35PM] [NFL] 2. Minnesota +9 -110 on Minnesota - Charlotte [Mon, Nov 15 7:05PM] [NBA] 3. Oklahoma City +5½ -110 on Oklahoma City - Utah [Mon, Nov 15 9:05PM] [NBA] 4. Orlando -500 on Memphis - Orlando [Mon, Nov 15 7:05PM] [NBA ML] 5. USC -400 on Santa Clara - USC [Mon, Nov 15 10:30PM] [NCAA ML] 6. Memphis U -300 on Miami Florida - Memphis U [Tue, Nov 16 12:00AM] [NCAA ML] Total risking for this ticket: $10.00
                Total to win for this ticket: $121.21
                Comment
                • Shifty107
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-05-10
                  • 1582

                  #218
                  Hey, go fuk urself pack. Did u even watch the chicago denver game. Did you see Carl smilin after they hit the two pointer with 1 sec on the clock to cover the spread. If you don't think there is match fixing in professional sport then ur a fukin idiot.

                  Love your quote too. "Better to be lucky then good". Lets see how long you last at this champ.

                  By the way. Charlotte are gonna smoke Minni tonight. And I wouldnt feel too confident in that Philli bet either.

                  Oh sorry. I saw you're betting $10. Thought you had money on the game? Never mind.
                  Comment
                  • dvsbmx
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-30-10
                    • 320

                    #219
                    Whats looking good today goat?
                    Comment
                    • tullamore21
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-12-09
                      • 1929

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Shifty107
                      Hey, go fuk urself pack. Did u even watch the chicago denver game. Did you see Carl smilin after they hit the two pointer with 1 sec on the clock to cover the spread. If you don't think there is match fixing in professional sport then ur a fukin idiot.

                      Love your quote too. "Better to be lucky then good". Lets see how long you last at this champ.

                      By the way. Charlotte are gonna smoke Minni tonight. And I wouldnt feel too confident in that Philli bet either.

                      Oh sorry. I saw you're betting $10. Thought you had money on the game? Never mind.
                      good post m8
                      Comment
                      • obamaismyuncle
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-31-08
                        • 17801

                        #221
                        Originally posted by dvsbmx
                        Whats looking good today goat?

                        pretty sure he's been banned for being a jackass, not sure if its permanant.
                        Comment
                        • tullamore21
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-12-09
                          • 1929

                          #222
                          Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                          pretty sure he's been banned for being a jackass, not sure if its permanant.
                          yes you are right
                          Comment
                          • Shifty107
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-05-10
                            • 1582

                            #223
                            Originally posted by tullamore21
                            good post m8
                            Cheers mate. This clown must need attention. Posting his weak parlay in everyone's thread.
                            Comment
                            • pack2sb
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 117

                              #224
                              Originally posted by Shifty107
                              Cheers mate. This clown must need attention. Posting his weak parlay in everyone's thread.
                              3. [Won]$121.21(Play) [Won: $121.21] Parlay (ML): 6 teams. Risking $10.00, to win $121.21. Ticket Id:621146
                              • [Win] NFL - Week 10
                                Philadelphia -3 -125 on Philadelphia - Washington [Mon, Nov 15 8:35PM] [NFL]
                              • [Win] NBA
                                Minnesota +9 -110 on Minnesota - Charlotte [Mon, Nov 15 7:05PM] [NBA]
                              • [Win] NBA
                                Oklahoma City +5½ -110 on Oklahoma City - Utah [Mon, Nov 15 9:05PM] [NBA]
                              • [Win] NBA
                                Orlando -500 on Memphis - Orlando [Mon, Nov 15 7:05PM] [NBA ML]
                              • [Win] College Basketball
                                USC -400 on Santa Clara - USC [Mon, Nov 15 10:30PM] [NCAA ML]
                              • [Win] College Basketball
                                Memphis U -300 on Miami Florida - Memphis U [Tue, Nov 16 12:00AM] [NCAA ML]
                              Mon, Nov 15 2:36PM
                              Comment
                              • pack2sb
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 117

                                #225
                                Is it a weak parlay because it was only $10? Huh? I see all you guys talking all of this nonsense and yet the assertions you make...
                                "By the way. Charlotte are gonna smoke Minni tonight. And I wouldnt feel too confident in that Philli bet either.

                                Oh sorry. I saw you're betting $10. Thought you had money on the game? Never mind. "
                                Would you rather I put a few hundred on any one of those games? How about this: I'd much rather risk a dime to win a bill twenty than lay a few hundred on one of the garbage ass leans you had the audacity to post, and lose. "Thought you had money on the game..."? Well, for your sake, I hope you didn't have a penny on either Charlotte -9, the Deadskins +3. You didn't, did you? Man, that's gotta hurt.
                                Comment
                                • Muggy
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 07-24-10
                                  • 298

                                  #226
                                  Nice hit on your parlay. If you want, you should post up prior and help some folks out. Either way, nice hits.
                                  Comment
                                  • pack2sb
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 117

                                    #227
                                    And for all of you out there who are naive enough to buy into the whole "It's better to be lucky than good" theory, you can bet your ass that, while luck will ALWAYS play a significant role in a person's success as a handicapper, you still have to put in the time and effort to learn the craft, you still have to know when the time is right to make a bet, and no matter how lucky you might get taking one game at a time; ATS, Totals, whatever, when you go 5-2 in 3+ team parlays primarily comprised of NBA and NCAAB, a reasonable man could only conclude that there is more than just luck to attribute it to. Sure, you could go to a roulette table, put your money on black ten spins in a row and win 8, 9, or even all ten, that's luck. But how many people, if they could, would put ten bucks on the proposition of say, six consecutive spins on black? The difference is, even though the first guy chose to let it ride for ten spins, every spin he had the choice to take his money and run. But a parlay? It's all or nothing, and I'll take +1200 bets all day as long as I can find at least 3 solid ATS or Total leans, and a couple confident fav's with a profitable M/L.
                                    Comment
                                    • pack2sb
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 117

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by Muggy
                                      Nice hit on your parlay. If you want, you should post up prior and help some folks out. Either way, nice hits.
                                      I did post it in time for people to tail me, look further up the page, yesterday at 1:45 p.m CST. I've been catching too much shit from haters for only posting my tickets after I've won. Maybe they think I play a hundred parlays a night. I don't. I had a total of $30 in bets last night, three $10 bets, and the one I posted is the only parlay... here are the other two...
                                      1. [Won]$9.09(Play) [Won: $9.09] Straight bet. Risking $10.00, to win $9.09. Ticket Id:621168
                                      • [Win] College Basketball
                                        Total over 142 -110 on St. Johns - Saint Marys CA [Tue, Nov 16 2:00AM] [NCAA]
                                      Mon, Nov 15 3:53PM 2. [Won]$9.09(Play) [Won: $9.09] Straight bet. Risking $10.00, to win $9.09. Ticket Id:621166
                                      • [Win] Pauley Pavilion - Los Angeles, CA
                                        Total over 146½ -110 on Pepperdine - UCLA [Mon, Nov 15 11:00PM] [NCAA]
                                      Mon, Nov 15 3:47PM
                                      Comment
                                      • JR007
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-21-10
                                        • 5279

                                        #229
                                        I think that goatie is on a vacation
                                        Comment
                                        • SoV
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-21-10
                                          • 6420

                                          #230
                                          Fellas, Goat shared with me this play:

                                          Memphis +1 -110 1x

                                          Good luck.
                                          FML

                                          http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...scussions.html
                                          Comment
                                          • tealish
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-02-10
                                            • 3386

                                            #231
                                            Goat, what your thoughts on Miami's final regular season record? same as your preseason prediction?
                                            Comment
                                            • Goat Milk
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-24-10
                                              • 25850

                                              #232
                                              Sixers -3 1.1x
                                              Wizards +13.5 1.1x
                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                              Comment
                                              • Pauulzcappin
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-23-10
                                                • 20295

                                                #233
                                                Good to see you back goat, good luck tonight sir
                                                Comment
                                                • Shifty107
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-05-10
                                                  • 1582

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by pack2sb
                                                  Is it a weak parlay because it was only $10? Huh? I see all you guys talking all of this nonsense and yet the assertions you make...
                                                  "By the way. Charlotte are gonna smoke Minni tonight. And I wouldnt feel too confident in that Philli bet either.

                                                  Oh sorry. I saw you're betting $10. Thought you had money on the game? Never mind. "
                                                  Would you rather I put a few hundred on any one of those games? How about this: I'd much rather risk a dime to win a bill twenty than lay a few hundred on one of the garbage ass leans you had the audacity to post, and lose. "Thought you had money on the game..."? Well, for your sake, I hope you didn't have a penny on either Charlotte -9, the Deadskins +3. You didn't, did you? Man, that's gotta hurt.

                                                  Hey Pack,

                                                  I apologise for the way I spoke to you bro. It was intended to another poster bankroll for a comment he made about me. I made a mistake thinking it was you. My bad bro. No hard feelings and GL.

                                                  Yeah next time drop a hundo on it and you would have made 1200. Yeah I did have money on both games. 200 on Charlotte and 400 on the over 7.5 first qtr for the NFl.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                    • 25850

                                                    #235
                                                    shitty the past week

                                                    Rockets -2 2.2x
                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                    Comment
                                                    • linedrivr
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-04-10
                                                      • 2223

                                                      #236
                                                      welcome back. BOL tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dvsbmx
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 03-30-10
                                                        • 320

                                                        #237
                                                        Any thoughts on todays games?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Goat Milk
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 25850

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                          shitty the past week

                                                          Rockets -2 2.2x
                                                          Loss

                                                          1-9 L10
                                                          Suns 3-0 when richardson scores more than 23
                                                          Heat still win east; Books are hanging Boston +325 to win east; Orlando +450
                                                          Blazers no chance without healthy roy
                                                          update record


                                                          Cavs +5 -110 2.2x


                                                          indy majority when over 23 assists
                                                          spurs best road team in the nba possibly
                                                          orlando will struggle to beat miami without carter. heat affected by drivers.
                                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pauulzcappin
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-23-10
                                                            • 20295

                                                            #239
                                                            Good luck goat
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RogueScholar
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-05-07
                                                              • 5082

                                                              #240
                                                              Where's your overall record, Goat?
                                                              Originally posted by StraitShooter
                                                              90% of the guys dont give a shit about your problems..and the other 10 are glad you have them..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goat Milk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 25850

                                                                #241
                                                                Total: 20-20-5

                                                                Cavs +11 1x
                                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sweetjones55
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                                  • 5257

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk

                                                                  Loss

                                                                  1-9 L10
                                                                  Suns 3-0 when richardson scores more than 23
                                                                  Heat still win east; Books are hanging Boston +325 to win east; Orlando +450
                                                                  Blazers no chance without healthy roy
                                                                  update record


                                                                  Cavs +5 -110 2.2x


                                                                  indy majority when over 23 assists
                                                                  spurs best road team in the nba possibly
                                                                  orlando will struggle to beat miami without carter. heat affected by drivers.
                                                                  Our Heat are not winning the East, it won't even be close.
                                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shari91
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                                    • 32661

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Best of luck goatie.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #244
                                                                      goat - what do you think of darco milic - hot play recently...is he finally coming into his own?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Goat Milk
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                                        • 25850

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by sweetjones55

                                                                        Our Heat are not winning the East, it won't even be close.
                                                                        I can still get Boston +325 to win the east and Orlando +450. look what happened to ray allen's offensive production in the later stage of the la series from having to guard bryant. He had no lift in his legs left. Now you got Pierce and Allen going to have to guard Lebron and Wade. Who's gonna score the points for Boston in games 5 and 6 7? I am not concerned at all. Riley will make a few more moves around the all star break this team is good to go they are winning the east. we'll talk abotu the matchups closer to the playoffs

                                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                        goat - what do you think of darco milic - hot play recently...is he finally coming into his own?
                                                                        who knows hes playing a lot looser lately and with confidence. its been like 8 years though lol


                                                                        Cavs- push
                                                                        Suns- 4-0 when richardson scores more than 24


                                                                        Heat +2.5 5.5x
                                                                        Philly -1 2.2x


                                                                        good look on your A1s dexter
                                                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                        Comment
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