goat milk's 2010-11 nba theory thread

sweetjones55 · 10-30-10, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Honestly I don't know if the pistons can cover this but last night when i got back home i just glanced at the spreads and I felt that number was off. Ben Gordan started heating up yesterday and he is a streaky player he has bunches of great games then bunches of shit games and he should have another big night.

Fair enough, I kind of felt the same way. I just saw ten and thought that might be like 2 points off.

Goat Milk · 10-30-10, 04:33 PM

Teaser (4 points)

Bucks -1.5
Philly +9.5
$30

Monday/Tuesday
1. increase unit size
2. look for overachieving teams
3. determine if there should be any auto plays for the season

Goat Milk · 10-30-10, 04:58 PM

Total: 10-2
Live Bets: 0-0-0
+200 Dogs or more- 0-0-0
-150 MLS or more- 0-0-0

Bucks -220 $220

h3da · 10-30-10, 05:04 PM

whats your main reasoning on bucks goat milk? i mean both teams are both desperate for a win so it will be pretty close right? I was considering taking first half line or full game line

shari91 · 10-30-10, 05:05 PM

Great job so far Goatie! I've been doing well with the halves but haven't really tried many of the MLs yet so I'll ride along with you. Best of luck!

cashil · 10-30-10, 06:15 PM

BOL Goat

tullamore21 · 10-30-10, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by h3da

whats your main reasoning on bucks goat milk? i mean both teams are both desperate for a win so it will be pretty close right? I was considering taking first half line or full game line

why do you think Bucks will cover 1Half?
based on statistics, your instict or somethin else?

nj6 · 10-31-10, 03:37 AM

Still think D Rose isn't a superstar?

Goat Milk · 10-31-10, 05:11 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Teaser (4 points) Bucks -1.5 Philly +9.5 $30

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Bucks -220 $220
Pistons +10 -110 $50

1-1-1

No rose is not a superstar there are less than 10 superstars in this league and rose is not one of them. superstars can win 1 playoff series with shit players some years.

Goat Milk · 11-01-10, 04:45 PM

Total: 11-3-1 W-L-P
Live Bets: 0-0-0
ML of -150 or more: 1-0
Dogs of +200 or more: 0-0

Notes
1. OKC not as good as hype. CONFIRMED.
2. Fade any team that beats the Heat/LA. CONFIRMED.
3. Pistons ATS if they win B2B games. Do not take Pistons ATS if 2 or more straight losses. CONFIRMED.
4. 76ers ATS to .500 teams or better. CONFIRMED.

Pauulzcappin · 11-01-10, 05:17 PM

goat phila was a backdoor cover on that game by half point. not sure if you can make that conclusion just yet... just my take on it.

hawley · 11-01-10, 05:20 PM

this early in the season can you reach any conclusions?

no team has even beaten the lakers yet?

just my 2c

TylerDurden · 11-01-10, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

goat phila was a backdoor cover on that game by half point. not sure if you can make that conclusion just yet... just my take on it.

exactly. they were dominated the entire game, and atl had a meltdown not to mention joe johnson missed 2-4 ft's in the last minute for a bd cover by the hook...that's enough for confirmation?

I agree on some of your trends, but not sure I'd be confirming any of them yet like 3 games into an 80+ game season.

cashil · 11-01-10, 06:11 PM

Seems really early for confirmations... But youve been doing this a while so...

EDDIE MONEY LINE · 11-02-10, 10:01 AM

whats the picks 2day? knicks and hawks???

Goat Milk · 11-02-10, 05:44 PM

Sixers +130 $100

Goat Milk · 11-02-10, 09:13 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Sixers +130 $100

Total: 11-4-1.

Unreal loss, sixers up 3 with 4 secs to go, washington ties it to go into ot and iguadala misses the game winning jumper

dvsbmx · 11-02-10, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Sixers +130 $100

Brutal loss.

Goat Milk · 11-03-10, 05:36 PM

Sixers +120 1x

darkenergy · 11-03-10, 05:38 PM

I have 76ers, and thinking about throwing some on this ML.
GL on this play GM

docvinny · 11-03-10, 05:41 PM

gl on your picks goat

sneakerhead · 11-03-10, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Sixers +120 1x

Goat, 1x for you is $100 or $50?

Goat Milk · 11-03-10, 05:49 PM

$100

justwinthisone · 11-03-10, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Sixers +120 1x

i will follow blind but taking +2.5

sneakerhead · 11-03-10, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

$100

Thanks, BOL

sweetjones55 · 11-03-10, 06:09 PM

Good luck on your plays tonight.

Goat Milk · 11-03-10, 06:41 PM

Rockets -5 (local line) $75

should the spurs be a $300 play?

domz248 · 11-03-10, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Rockets -5 (local line) $75

should the spurs be a $300 play?

i have been looking at spurs all day ... i think duncan dominates with no stat out there ...

justwinthisone · 11-03-10, 06:51 PM

rockets look good but SA seems like a coin flip to me?

rallymonkey · 11-03-10, 07:03 PM

hey goat, 6ers off to a nice start. are you looking at sac tonight?

anyway, best of luck tonight and this season

shaggy3000 · 11-03-10, 07:11 PM

i thinking of taking the rockets later and the lakers again. the like on the rockets game makes me want to sucker up and take them since they havent won why would the be such big favorites? thats why i want them. and lets be honest for a minute. the lakers are still the best out the espn specials or not ( like the heat ) and they are def not tired after last nights game. lakers always start off super hot and they want to prove they are the best this year.
what do you think?

Lyricallyset · 11-03-10, 08:05 PM

Thanks for the NBA picks thus far, Goatmilk, BOL

justwinthisone · 11-03-10, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Rockets -5 (local line) $75

should the spurs be a $300 play?

goat you taking the spurs? if so for how much?

Goat Milk · 11-03-10, 09:06 PM

no play on spurs

itsthegoods · 11-03-10, 09:17 PM

goat what you like on the thunder @ clippers game? the line seems real low and baron davis is out