John Morrison 2010 NBA

[J.M. Disciple]

EL Captain: only has v2
SBP original : none
SBP updated: Boston Celtics -2.5*
John Morrison:
unofficial Dallas [b] vs Denver
Lakers [A] vs boston

TPS: none
Chase110: none

SBP updated vs JM tonight.

[J.M. Disciple]

Scratch that LA is not a system play for JM. It was listed on the spread sheet, but I see that they have already played two road games covering both spreads.

[J.M. Disciple]

I'm staying away from the bets tonight. Experts have a heavy lean on Dallas tonight at +3 at 85%. However I remember back to Stanely's rule which i dont think anyone is following any more. Dallas had a series on 2/2/11 which they covered the spread on all 3 road games. I am not sure if they can do that again.

BOL to everyone who has bets tonight. im just going to wait until tomorrow.

[Wallco99]

i got dallas at -2.5 so it was a lose for me...I really dont like the rest of the series as he clamed it a win so ill chalk up my lose and wait for tmo

I don't know how anyone could have lost this game. The system clearly says to play M/L on favorites over 3 points. Unless something in v3 changed from the other versions to buy points on favorites now that I am unaware of. If it did, then that is a bad change. Never give up points, the golden rule. I won on Dallas (-0), and of course he would call it a win, why wouldn't he, it was a win.

[atari5200]

it's true, at -205 it wasn't that steep to take the ML. I took it but also took the spread as well. My bet evened out and I'm in for the next game here against the nuggets.

[J.M. Disciple]

Glad I took night off... probably should of faded the system lol.

[SkivChef]

Glad I took night off... probably should of faded the system lol.

Sarcasim?

[Kev the Brit]

Very important info

If anyone out there is still betting on the A Bets, there is irrefutable evidence that you're doing it wrong.

This (regular) season so far, there have been 98 completed series (all 3 versions) and 4 have lost, so we will disregard the losses for the comparison. Just in case you want to know why we disregard the losses its because a lost series will lose the same money if you bet the A, B & C or if you just bet the B & C (stakes are raised by 3 when you start at the B bet (check the math at odds of 1.82).

So, we are comparing income from 94 winning series.

Betting from the A bet, risking to win 1 unit from each series, you would have won 94 units, of which 53 units would have come from the A bets alone.

Betting from the B bet, risking to win 3 units per series (same overall risk per series), you would have won 123 units. This is because you would have bet on 41 series from the B bet and won 3 units per series.

This represents 29 units increased income, when starting the series at the B Bet risking to win 3 units.

Additionally, remember the Phoenix series that was stopped after the A bet due to an injury? The A bettors lost 1.82 units if they stopped there (that included me at the time). The BC bettors lost nought, because they didn't bet on the A. So we can add another 1 unit to the 29 unit difference and get 30 units.

Please feel free to openly discuss this matter if you don't understand the BC concept, or you simply disagree with it. Sometimes, as a BC bettor, when you see the A bets winning on streaks, you think you are missing out on the action. It can be frustrating and it needs a lot of self-discipline to ignore JFM's A bet e-mails and the talk on this board, but I've been converted to the concept and it works. Fact.

Regards

Kev the Converted

[jphil]

If anyone out there is still betting on the A Bets, there is irrefutable evidence that you're doing it wrong.

This (regular) season so far, there have been 98 completed series (all 3 versions) and 4 have lost, so we will disregard the losses for the comparison. Just in case you want to know why we disregard the losses its because a lost series will lose the same money if you bet the A, B & C or if you just bet the B & C (stakes are raised by 3 when you start at the B bet (check the math at odds of 1.82).

So, we are comparing income from 94 winning series.

Betting from the A bet, risking to win 1 unit from each series, you would have won 94 units, of which 53 units would have come from the A bets alone.

Betting from the B bet, risking to win 3 units per series (same overall risk per series), you would have won 123 units. This is because you would have bet on 41 series from the B bet and won 3 units per series.

This represents 29 units increased income, when starting the series at the B Bet risking to win 3 units.

Additionally, remember the Phoenix series that was stopped after the A bet due to an injury? The A bettors lost 1.82 units if they stopped there (that included me at the time). The BC bettors lost nought, because they didn't bet on the A. So we can add another 1 unit to the 29 unit difference and get 30 units.

Please feel free to openly discuss this matter if you don't understand the BC concept, or you simply disagree with it. Sometimes, as a BC bettor, when you see the A bets winning on streaks, you think you are missing out on the action. It can be frustrating and it needs a lot of self-discipline to ignore JFM's A bet e-mails and the talk on this board, but I've been converted to the concept and it works. Fact.

Regards

Kev the Converted

i agree. join in w/ the rest of the b/c bettor clique. alot of card games goin on during wait times.


good stats.


hope we don't get LABBIED out on our a's.


playin his nhl the same way?



jphil

the introverted.

[shermanator]

any plays for tomorrow?

[isg2010]

I'm showing these for today:

2/11/2011 Portland @Toronto - V2
2/11/2011 Miami @Detroit - V3

[masticore]

I have done a big back test... no points buy:

result
A: ATS 1125-1157-46 (-0.2) avg line 3.3 49.30%
B: ATS 739-661-25 (+0.5) avg line 4.8 52.79%
C: ATS 466-432-18 (+0.2) avg line 5.8 51.89%

and with a oods of -110 you need 52.38% to break even
so the best bet if not buying points is B-bet

its querry to databas...so the result is maybe not exact..but you can probly see some tendece because of the big bas (11-13 years)

BOL
mikke

[Newbie1825]

YEAH! Dallas and LA covered yesterday two more wins

[masticore]

The bas results parametrar only considers 3 road game

I'm not a master in SQDL so with querries with buying points must I have long time to find out.

If anyone know the exact querries to do that give me them and I will test out

[Newbie1825]

I'm showing these for today:

2/11/2011 Portland @Toronto - V2
2/11/2011 Miami @Detroit - V3

I think Miami would be ML bet

[krzychu78]

JM's NBA system:
02/10/2011 Dallas @ Denver - V3, B bet - WIN

V1record so far (finished series): 38-3
(A): 19-22
(B): 15-7
(C): 4-3
Lost series:
PHO 11/17-20
DET 12/07-10
UTA 01/17-21

V2 record so far (finished series): 17-1
(A): 12-6
(B): 2-4
(C): 3-1
Lost series:
MIN 10/30-11/03

V3 record so far (finished series): 39-2
(A): 20-20-1 (W-L-P)
(B): 17-3-1 (W-L-P)
(C): 2-1-1 (W-L-P)
Lost series:
CLE 12/04-07
TOR 01/29-02/02 (B bet and C bet were pushes according to covers.com)

Next JM's plays:
02/11/2011 Portland @ Toronto - V2, A bet
02/11/2011 Miami @ Detroit - V3, A bet

[J.M. Disciple]

EL Captain:
V1 New York Rangers (C) ML -101 (3.24 to win 3.21)
V1 Pittsburgh Penguins (A) ML -121 (1.21 to win 1)
V1 Pittsburgh Penguins (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.21 to win 1)
The Official JM play would be PITS ML [A]
The C bet for NYR looks good as well. ML Cbets are 10-5 I believe this year for V1.

*Big D bet tomorrow on the senators (02/12/11)

John Morrison:
Next JM's plays:
02/11/2011 Portland @ Toronto - V2, A bet *ML is cheaper at -155
02/11/2011 Miami @ Detroit - V3, A bet -4.5

Chase 110
NOH +9 [A] vs ORL

[GGPLAYER]

If anyone out there is still betting on the A Bets, there is irrefutable evidence that you're doing it wrong.

This (regular) season so far, there have been 98 completed series (all 3 versions) and 4 have lost, so we will disregard the losses for the comparison. Just in case you want to know why we disregard the losses its because a lost series will lose the same money if you bet the A, B & C or if you just bet the B & C (stakes are raised by 3 when you start at the B bet (check the math at odds of 1.82).

So, we are comparing income from 94 winning series.

Betting from the A bet, risking to win 1 unit from each series, you would have won 94 units, of which 53 units would have come from the A bets alone.

Betting from the B bet, risking to win 3 units per series (same overall risk per series), you would have won 123 units. This is because you would have bet on 41 series from the B bet and won 3 units per series.

This represents 29 units increased income, when starting the series at the B Bet risking to win 3 units.

Additionally, remember the Phoenix series that was stopped after the A bet due to an injury? The A bettors lost 1.82 units if they stopped there (that included me at the time). The BC bettors lost nought, because they didn't bet on the A. So we can add another 1 unit to the 29 unit difference and get 30 units.

Please feel free to openly discuss this matter if you don't understand the BC concept, or you simply disagree with it. Sometimes, as a BC bettor, when you see the A bets winning on streaks, you think you are missing out on the action. It can be frustrating and it needs a lot of self-discipline to ignore JFM's A bet e-mails and the talk on this board, but I've been converted to the concept and it works. Fact.

Regards

Kev the Converted

Most won't listen but this way is so much better and less risky than starting off with the traditional A bet. Nice write up. Oh yeah and it does suck to see a bunch of A bets win but one of B bets equals 3 A wins anyways. Sorry guys but I find myself pulling for the other teams when a series starts. Hey it's all about dolla billz nothing personal.

[GGPLAYER]

I think Miami would be ML bet

NO!! You should not bet ML on teams anything over -200 and that is even risky IMO. -350 or higher on a team?? Not smart. I know this has been stated 1,000 times but the only reason that "JM Filter" even is out there was to cover up a ugly series lost last year.

[COYLO]

is there another site that gives results and pointspreads of previous games that match up with nba.coms results, tried sbrodds but they dont match. i may have stumbled upon another system lol

[venture]

Regular lurker hear, just want to say thanks to all the guys putting in the time and work. You guys are doing a great job, this thread is very easy to sort through and find the plays. Thanks again.

[Newbie1825]

NO!! You should not bet ML on teams anything over -200 and that is even risky IMO. -350 or higher on a team?? Not smart. I know this has been stated 1,000 times but the only reason that "JM Filter" even is out there was to cover up a ugly series lost last year.

Ah I see thank you very much

[J.M. Disciple]

sbp LAC -3.5
sbp updated: Detroit +8 [b]

[Wallco99]

Chase 110 - Plays for 2/11/11
2010-11 System to date: 53-0
System Rules can be found in post #4475

New Orleans +9 @ Orlando (A)

[atari5200]

the a bets are doing great. there must be some reasoning here that you could bet to win at least half a unit on a bets. even if it's small profits, you deserve to pick up something out of it. Don't blast me for this suggestion. A bets should not be completely ignored.

[hagball52]

I've been cleaning up on the [A] bets lately. Even recovering some earlier losses. To each his own. GL

[ITSNOT]

This is my first year betting. Just started following your system today wallco. Good day to start.
As far as the A bets, going back to when I started, had I bet only B's I'd actually be up right now, by a lot.
So thanks to everyone here with the picks and tips and what not.
One question though do you skip A bets with the JM MLB system also?

[ITSNOT]

This is my first year betting. Just started following your system today wallco. Good day to start.
As far as the A bets, going back to when I started, had I bet only B's I'd actually be up right now, by a lot.
So thanks to everyone here with the picks and tips and what not.
One question though do you skip A bets with the JM MLB system also?

[JW Cash]

If anyone out there is still betting on the A Bets, there is irrefutable evidence that you're doing it wrong.

This (regular) season so far, there have been 98 completed series (all 3 versions) and 4 have lost, so we will disregard the losses for the comparison. Just in case you want to know why we disregard the losses its because a lost series will lose the same money if you bet the A, B & C or if you just bet the B & C (stakes are raised by 3 when you start at the B bet (check the math at odds of 1.82).

So, we are comparing income from 94 winning series.

Betting from the A bet, risking to win 1 unit from each series, you would have won 94 units, of which 53 units would have come from the A bets alone.

Betting from the B bet, risking to win 3 units per series (same overall risk per series), you would have won 123 units. This is because you would have bet on 41 series from the B bet and won 3 units per series.

This represents 29 units increased income, when starting the series at the B Bet risking to win 3 units.

Additionally, remember the Phoenix series that was stopped after the A bet due to an injury? The A bettors lost 1.82 units if they stopped there (that included me at the time). The BC bettors lost nought, because they didn't bet on the A. So we can add another 1 unit to the 29 unit difference and get 30 units.

Please feel free to openly discuss this matter if you don't understand the BC concept, or you simply disagree with it. Sometimes, as a BC bettor, when you see the A bets winning on streaks, you think you are missing out on the action. It can be frustrating and it needs a lot of self-discipline to ignore JFM's A bet e-mails and the talk on this board, but I've been converted to the concept and it works. Fact.

Regards

Kev the Converted

There seems to be agreement that the B and C bets are such great
moneymakers that good folks are starting from the B bet to win 3 UNITS...

OK....but what about this.........


Go ahead and bet the A bet and if it wins you got yourself a unit...

Now if it loses...you lost a Unit......

So in this case....what about just doing a re-start.....

You guys are saying that the B and C bets are hitting with such great
percentages, that you are betting from the B bet to win 3 units...

Now..when a A bet loses......seeing B and C's are SOLID....why not just
put the lost A unit on to Bet B and go for 4 Units.....that way..you recover
the lost A bet and get your 3 regular units from B and C.....

Its the best of both worlds...

You pocket the all the A bets that you normally would not get and
you could even split a lost A bet between the B and C bet...

You win the A when it wins......and recover a lost A with the super-fantastic
B and C winners................


I like it...........


But not as much as I would like laying on a warm Santorini beach
massaging cute European MILF's while sipping the best Chianti.....

[J.M. Disciple]

02/12/11
JM NHL V1: Ottawa Senators +1.5 [D] vs Edmonton

JM NBA: Philly [A] vs MIN

[J.M. Disciple]

SBP original will be "B" tomorrow
SBP updated will be "C" tomorrow.

[J.M. Disciple]

A B C & D bets tomorrow, going to be big day hopefully! Get that bankroll back where it should be. I do not see anything for chase110 tomorrow or TPS. Ill be back on tomorrow though with updates of all the picks. Hopefully everything wins and wont have to drop any unit sizes tomorrow.

[krzychu78]

JM's NBA system:
02/11/2011 Portland @ Toronto - V2, A bet - WIN
02/11/2011 Miami @ Detroit - V3, A bet - WIN

V1record so far (finished series): 38-3
(A): 19-22
(B): 15-7
(C): 4-3
Lost series:
PHO 11/17-20
DET 12/07-10
UTA 01/17-21

V2 record so far (finished series): 18-1
(A): 13-6
(B): 2-4
(C): 3-1
Lost series:
MIN 10/30-11/03

V3 record so far (finished series): 40-2
(A): 21-20-1 (W-L-P)
(B): 17-3-1 (W-L-P)
(C): 2-1-1 (W-L-P)
Lost series:
CLE 12/04-07
TOR 01/29-02/02 (B bet and C bet were pushes according to covers.com)

Next JM's plays:
02/12/2011 Philadelphia @ Minnesota - V1, A bet
02/13/2011 Denver @ Memphis - V3, A bet
02/13/2011 Sacramento @ Phoenix - V3, A bet

[jphil]

ottowa a D? might wanna put OPTIONAL next to that pick. the series is long gone.

[shermanator]

Philidelphia [A] bet tomorrow.