Anyone see the NFL email JM sent out last night?
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that is a bunch of bs....maybe he's trying to build connections? either way still bsComment -
You must be a able to hold out and keep going until your bet wins. That means not having to high of a target. You must be able to cover your future bet during a losing streak. Rest assure that all good professional teams will eventually win and all bad professional teams will eventually lose. Oh, do not use this system during the last 2 or 3 weeks of the season. You must be able to get out of all your bets. You don't want to end the season in a losing streak (no more games to bet on). Regarding the target I would suggest setting it at no more that .5%, thats right one half of a percent of your bankroll. A coach once told me "By the inch, its a chinch, and by the yard, its hard". Keep your target for several week then you can reset your target as your account increases, remembering no more than .5% of your account.
Good luckComment -
whats the bet for tomorrow WNBA?Comment -
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edit: i'm wrong...
phoenix @ new york is a play. ml to win 1.25 units.Last edited by corona; 07-26-09, 10:45 AM.Comment -
thanks for the ideas & research, texan.
what would worry me is a 4 game losing skid from a top team. happened to boston last year...when everyone was healthy, and they were 29-5 (best record in the league).
assuming an average moneyline around -300, you'd lose 1300-1500 if you started with a simple $5 bet on game 1. and then you'd have to bet nearly 5 grand to recoup the $5 on game 5.
though i suppose in regards to boston you could discount their 4th loss and would have skipped over it, because cleveland was the opponent (another top team). but i'm sure there's other examples of good teams losing 4-5 straight times, and terrible teams winning 4 straight. and that's not factoring in the possibility of a good team losing 3 straight at the same time a bad team wins 3 straight (which would tie up perhaps all of a bankroll, starting with a 1/2 a percent)
maybe it'd be best to limit betting to 0.25% (1/4 of a percent) of your account.Last edited by corona; 07-25-09, 10:24 PM.Comment -
That's right, there is no wnba bet for today 26/07/09.Comment -
Actually isn't phoenix a play today?Comment -
That sound like a wise accessment. I don't have a very large target. Around .25%. Most of my winnings come from other strategies e.g. Cartay- mlb, Cartay -wnba, and a service I just started subscribing to. The other service picks your bets and how much based on your bankroll. Back in March I subscibed to them, it was only $10 to start. I did not like their results so I canceled. Well about a month ago I got an email from them ask for me to give them a second chance. They stated that they got a new handiecaper with a much better win rate (June was 70%+), so I gave them another chance. I paper betted it for about a week and was impressed so I jumped in. Well analyzing only their selections in my bets I have made over $7500 in two weeks based on an initial bankroll of $19K. However, I didn't take all of their bets for example yesterdays Yankees v Athletic game, their selection was moneyline on the Yankees for $5500. That selection was way out of line. That seem too unreasonable and I did not make the bet, common sense told me not to. I was right, There was one other instance as well. So anyone interested in using a service DON'T get greedy, you may get by with it sometime but eventually you will get slap down. Oh, the service is $10 for the first month then its $50 per month. You can cancel at anytime however, if you go pass the first month say 31 days they will bill you for the second month. Haven't been there yet, I will probably continue for another month but I must be careful and try to apply some common sense to their selections. Right now their win/loss rate is holding at about 70% wins. If anyone is wants to check it out just send me a PM and I will send you the link. Don't want to sound like I am promoting this service because I am not. It's there if anyone wants to check it out.
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[B]7/26 PHOENIX [A] vs. New York
7/28 PHOENIX vs. Connecticut
7/30 PHOENIX [C] vs. AtlantaComment -
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It won't matter Phoenix will lose the 1st game!If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!Comment -
Somebody knows what WNBA result is in this season???
Thanx!Comment -
lost 2 series...but neither of them we were involved with.
so 12-0 in 3 game chases,Comment -
so how does his system work for this WNBA Phoenix A bet? I don't really understand..its a winner so you have to wait for the next string of 3 game road trips with min 2 cross conference plays?? if phoenix didn't cover tonight, then we would bet their next road game, which would be a B bet? If they lost that game then we would bet their next road game, which would be a C bet? If they lost all three games I guess that would count as a loss under this system? Sorry for all this text..just trying to see if i understand this system and how it works..if you win A, B, or C..then you wait for the next set of 3 road games?? am i missing something or is it that simple?? How do you make money on this system if you lose, a and b..and win the c???Comment -
its that simple.
except we're playing all 3 game road trips (cartytay style), not just cross conference ones (jm style)
and you double up + the target $ if you lose the A bet. if you lose the B bet you bet the A amount + B amount + target $ on the C game. that's why you gotta start out betting a small fraction of your bankroll.
ie.
bet $15 to win $10 to win A bet.
A bet loses...
bet $37.5 to win $25 on B bet
B bet loses...
bet $93.75 to win $62.5 on C bet
i'm playing it a bit different though, still a form of chasing...but theoretically not as risky.Comment -
i realize that. if you read through all the pages here....i've backtested the cartytay (all 3 game roadtrips) version, and it gives you way more plays and is just as profitable.Comment -
so what this whole jm system ideas are about is that a road team playing 3 times is highly unlikely not to cover at least one of those three games?? and i guess it rarely ever happens that the road team won't cover at least one out of the 3 situational bets??? thanks corona for your responses..i am learning!Comment -
the line will reflect that, and people will fade them, and we should get a better line...plus 2-3 points, and its worked out in the past.
sacramento was 1-8 on the road going into a series on july 22nd, and we just won that A bet.
los angeles was 0-5 on the road going into a series on july 9th, and the A bet won.Comment -
This system is pretty good. I think I'll play the next A bet which is August 8th right Indiana?Bet To WinComment -
Changed your tune, huh? No next A game is actually 7/30 and there are two of them. SA and Conn.
But you might want to consider playing LA tonight because it's a B game and you would be cutting down your chase by a game. You won't have to risk as much money as anyone who bet them in the A game.
Ok I just took a look and you might be looking to play only true JM plays and than yes the next one would be Ind. Many of us are playing any team that has 3 road games in a row. Not just out of conference one's.Comment -
two things
1. isn't LA not a play tonight because an impact player is out? Lesile is not playing from what i hear.
2. what line are you playing this game at.. it opened at 4.. and now its at 2.5 .. if you were to play it correctly wouldn't we be playing it at +7.. not 5.5 ? But right now to buy +7 its almost -300... if you call in 5.5 then you can get it at -170 but you can't buy more then 3 over the phone..so you have to do it online at -300Comment
Sorry.