Wnba system 5-0 this year

[corona]

+5 loses. +6 would've pushed.

next play will be tuesday. indiana @ washington.

if i was to really jm it, i'm sure at some book you could've got it at +3.5 and bought to +6.5 and therefore considered it a win....but imho indiana's too good to lose 3 straight road games, so i'll keep playing this series and consider that a loss.

[brandon m]

So betjam is letting people buy points in wnba, I was there earlier a few weeks ago and it was no point buying wnba.

[GGPLAYER]

So close on Sunday but that 3rd Q was too much to overcome I guess. Hey I'm looking at the line right now and Ind is -2.......might be the first time we have a fav. I'm thinking I might just buy 1.5 point since they would need to win for me. I'm on BookMaker and can only buy 2 points. I don't know if I want to wait to see if the line moves not in our favor. Any thoughts on this?

[peterpan19]

GGplayer

well I already played IND+1 -140 on my book early on... I dont want to wait... I think Ind is a good road team and the public should be heavy on them... so if the line moves to -3 or even more I would be pretty happy... if not I am a bit worried... but I would play them on the ML or +1 right now... I either think they will blow them away or get blown away...so it probably wont matter if you have em -1 or +1 or on the ML anyway... even at -2 I like them...

GL

[corona]

So close on Sunday but that 3rd Q was too much to overcome I guess. Hey I'm looking at the line right now and Ind is -2.......might be the first time we have a fav. I'm thinking I might just buy 1.5 point since they would need to win for me. I'm on BookMaker and can only buy 2 points. I don't know if I want to wait to see if the line moves not in our favor. Any thoughts on this?

per bookmaker, its cheaper to play the moneyline.

-140 if you buy it from -2 to -0.5
-130 if you play the ml

Tuesday July 21st
Indiana ML over Washington - 3 units to win 2 units (or if you get it at -130, you can do 2.6 units to win 2 units)

[GGPLAYER]

per bookmaker, its cheaper to play the moneyline.

-140 if you buy it from -2 to -0.5
-130 if you play the ml

Tuesday July 21st
Indiana ML over Washington - 3 units to win 2 units (or if you get it at -130, you can do 2.6 units to win 2 units)

Good call...I'll ride the ML at -130. Thanks

[cgsalameh]

Has Anyone got a hold of the JM nba v2 system that he sent out a couple weeks ago?

[corona]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/202082-new-jm-wnba-system.html

[kmarinouofm]

another system win.. that a baby

[corona]

noice.

two plays tomorrow. fortunately they're 3 hours apart, so we can bet the second depending on the outcome of the first.

gonna wait till late afternoon on the sacramento line. sun are on a 3 game win streak (including just beating indiana), monarchs are on a 5 game losing skid. gotta believe the public will be on connecticut, and the line will keep going up to +10 for us.

late game will be sparks over storm. if monarchs win ats, it'll be for 0.75 units to win 0.5 units. if monarchs lose, it'll be for 3 units to win 2 units.

[cs11787]

Hey what's up guys. Just thought Id come in here and maybe give a little input. I used this system last year in the NBA and it worked out flawlessly for me because I put a twist to it. I know for those of you who followed it to the bone maybe lost one or a couple of series. Well anyways what I did was when a series came up that required a horrible team (like Sacramento tonight) to be played, I went the other way around and bet on one of the 3 home teams to cover. Considering Sacramento is SU 3-13 (1-8 on the road), and ATS 4-12 (2-7 on the road) I think going the other way may be better. Sac also hasnt covered in their last 5 games. What you guys think?

[peterpan19]

cs11787
mhhh...looks interesting...but what I usually do is bet less on the bad teams... or even dont chase at all in the 2nd and 3rd game and just try to win back my losses from game 1 or game 1 and 2...

but it sounds like a nice option too... do you have some data or stats from last season ?

GL

[cs11787]

No I didnt keep any of my information sorry. I know I was just too scared to bet on the horrible teams so I went the other way around and it worked. This strategy has been working for me in the MLB system too. Like the Angels/Royals series for instance. I bet the Angels so it kept me from betting Royals all the way to game C.

[peterpan19]

cs11787
yeah I played LAA game 1 too...I actually wanted to play KC in game 2 but couldnt get the play in in time with my BB... good thing I didnt... hell I even like the Angels today too...

[cs11787]

Ya when there is a series I try not to play any games after a win. I thought LAA would sweep them but the line movement on the game is making me think KC may pull this one off. As for the WNBA system. Tonight on the Sacramento series I will be doing the system in reverse. I played Connecticut -5.5. I think either way you go it will win by Game B because I think if Sac gets blown out here they may cover against Liberty. If they cover tonight I think they will get blown out tomorrow. I just cant bet on the Monarchs when they are doing so horribly. GL to everyone whichever way you go.

[cs11787]

Peterpan,
In the MLB system we got Los Angeles Angels and San Diego Padres comin up. I will be betting on the Angels ML throughout the series but I WILL NOT bet against the phillies right now. I may take Phillies RL -1.5 throughout the series. They will win one of their games by at least 2 runs. I took this RL approach with the Yankees in their Baltimore series and it ended up covering in Game B.

[GGPLAYER]

noice.

two plays tomorrow. fortunately they're 3 hours apart, so we can bet the second depending on the outcome of the first.

gonna wait till late afternoon on the sacramento line. sun are on a 3 game win streak (including just beating indiana), monarchs are on a 5 game losing skid. gotta believe the public will be on connecticut, and the line will keep going up to +10 for us.

late game will be sparks over storm. if monarchs win ats, it'll be for 0.75 units to win 0.5 units. if monarchs lose, it'll be for 3 units to win 2 units.

Sac line is holding steady at +8 pretty much all day. Not sure if line will improve but I'm going to wait until just before game time to place my bet. LA has gone from 6.5 to 5.5 back up to 6. Don't know if that one will improve anymore either.

[cs11787]

How is LA a play when Lisa Leslie is out? I thought you werent supposed to play it if an impact player was out?

[corona]

we found that filter isn't really worthy here. the series losses come in the first week and last two weeks of the season....not because players are injured. with the exception of LA earlier this season (which would have been a no-play-in-first-week filter)...i can't find a series loss that would have been avoided by not playing because of injury.

i do like the idea of playing the really bad teams in reverse though (betting on the home team to cover one game of the terrible teams trip).

sac off to a decent start. hope they keep it up.

edit: con's gotta beat them by 22 in the second half to lose this A bet. theoretically that should be tough to do. jinx? but this is sacramento.

[GGPLAYER]

Yeah this why I don't like to mess with the system. My only regret is I only put half a unit on Sac. Did the same thing not too long ago with Det and they went onto win the A game.

[corona]

13-33 second half so far.

nice work monarchs. way to compete.

i was seriously thinking about hedging that at the half too.....conn -8. fuuuuuuuuuu

[corona]

woot!

got it.

second play will be...
los angeles +7.5 over seattle - 0.75 units to win 0.5 units

[GGPLAYER]

Holy hell that was close. What a joke. Glad that series is over for us. Go Sparks.

[GGPLAYER]

Holy hell that was close. What a joke. Glad that series is over for us. Go Sparks.... Crap I just realized the line dropped back to 5.5.

[Samson15]

Wow. 3 points are a must! Congrats everyone!! JM + Us = $$$$$$

[corona]

lose by 11 in triple overtime.

wow.

next play will be sparks @ lynx on tuesday july 28th. 1.5 units to win 1 unit.

[kmarinouofm]

How is LA a play when Lisa Leslie is out? I thought you werent supposed to play it if an impact player was out?

wish i would have saw that

[greenrolls]

Man that was a pisser!

[GGPLAYER]

WTF do any of these teams know how to hold a half-time lead? I mean we were even getting points on top of it. Sac almost blew it and LA did. Pretty frustrating for sure.

[texan]

You might want to consider this.

I hope this will help you in your betting. Please don't dismiss it outright. If you don't like it just ignore it and understand that I wish you the best.

http://www.sendspace.com/file/n1h5h2

pdf of the of the paper trades of the 3 Up & 3 Down System which I base my above modification.

http://www.sendspace.com/file/xc8330

Both file are free of any malware. If in doubt just run you anti virus/spyware against it.

[SKiLLsSoLoN]

I hope this will help you in your betting. Please don't dismiss it outright. If you don't like it just ignore it and understand that I wish you the best.

http://www.sendspace.com/file/n1h5h2

pdf of the of the paper trades of the 3 Up & 3 Down System which I base my above modification.

http://www.sendspace.com/file/xc8330

Both file are free of any malware. If in doubt just run you anti virus/spyware against it.

So you have to judge the best/worst team?

Or did you go by a ranking system off a website??

[BroncoBlue]

So you have to judge the best/worst team?

Or did you go by a ranking system off a website??

That was going to be my question, but seeing that you're a JM believer I'm assuming you're going off of the RPI rankings which is what the entire foundation of the JM MLB system is based on anyway. If you went off of best records you might get the same results but the records can often fluctuate so if a team goes from having the 3rd best record to the 4th best record overnight, that would eliminate them from any future bets based on your criteria. This would be a difficult pill to swallow especially if you've already started chasing that team with bets. So I'll assume this is based on RPI.

[texan]

Regarding the selection of the three best and worst teams, I look at the RPI, the Army Index, and the standings. I try to find a consenus. Also, I look at this about once a week to see if any changes need to be made. If a change needs to be made, I wait until the team that is being dropped off finishes its series (until it wins if its one of the best or until it loses if it one of the worst). This has not happen but once this season.

For the WNBA, I look at only the standings since there is no other index that I am aware of. I also look at the winning/losing streaks. Note the worst teams don't have any winning streaks.

Hope this helps
Texan

[texan]

Here is the actual spreadsheet use in my paper trading the 3 Up & 3 Down system. I must admit that I did not come up with this with by myself. I learned of it by reading a simular system betting on soccer. I really think you can apply it to any sport. I would not use it as it is for leagues that have only a few team e.g. WNBA. That why I modified it to be used with the other WNBA systems. I think it will work with the NBA because there are 26 teams in the NBA.

http://www.sendspace.com/file/qdw39e

If you want to use the spreadsheet, go ahead. Please note that I have written several UDF's (user defined functions) to handle some calculations. Don't worry there is no malware here however, for anything you get off the net you may want to check it against your anti virus/spyware. This is why I post it on a server, no one can get to it and add anything to it e.g. malware. If you get from there, you will know that it is clean. Oh, you can not use OpenOffice because it does not support udf's and some of the other functionally that is used here, so use Excel and you should be good to go.

Now the basic instuction to use the spreadsheet:

On the sheet called "worksheet"
Cell I6 contains a variable called "Init_Balance" - just enter your initial balance here.

On the sheet called "defaults"
Cell F1 contains a variable called "Target" - just enter your target here.

Columns M and higher contain rollover values. These are the amounts of losses that must be used to calculate the next bet. You don't need to change anything here. The re-calc should handle that.

The spreadsheet should re-calc so you can see what your results would be.

Good luck

[BroncoBlue]

Here is the actual spreadsheet use in my paper trading the 3 Up & 3 Down system. I must admit that I did not come up with this with by myself. I learned of it by reading a simular system betting on soccer. I really think you can apply it to any sport. I would not use it as it is for leagues that have only a few team e.g. WNBA. That why I modified it to be used with the other WNBA systems. I think it will work with the NBA because there are 26 teams in the NBA.

http://www.sendspace.com/file/qdw39e

If you want to use the spreadsheet, go ahead. Please note that I have written several UDF's (user defined functions) to handle some calculations. Don't worry there is no malware here however, for anything you get off the net you may want to check it against your anti virus/spyware. This is why I post it on a server, no one can get to it and add anything to it e.g. malware. If you get from there, you will know that it is clean. Oh, you can not use OpenOffice because it does not support udf's and some of the other functionally that is used here, so use Excel and you should be good to go.

Now the basic instuction to use the spreadsheet:

On the sheet called "worksheet"
Cell I6 contains a variable called "Init_Balance" - just enter your initial balance here.

On the sheet called "defaults"
Cell F1 contains a variable called "Target" - just enter your target here.

Columns M and higher contain rollover values. These are the amounts of losses that must be used to calculate the next bet. You don't need to change anything here. The re-calc should handle that.

The spreadsheet should re-calc so you can see what your results would be.

Good luck

It's pretty impressive work, Texan. Looking at your spreadsheet on baseball I was thinking about how gutsy you were to keep going with it after your 6/20 results...losing over 7k in your bank roll, but you made up for it nicely on 6/21 and recovered very well.

I'd have enough confidence in this to start with some low bets, maybe a target win of $20 a game, and see how far I can roll with it the rest of the season.