WNBA Dating Tips

[MonkeyF0cker]

How is posting plays "putting your money where your mouth is?" LOL.

[cocknocker]

There are plenty of threads devoted to closing numbers and expected value in the Think Tank... right here on SBR. And quite a few of them that I contributed to... I really have no time or motivation for posting plays. I leave that to the wannabe touts.

Uhh. And yeah. I'm almost a redneck. I live in Las Vegas if you need it spelled out for the 30th time...

Okay, so now... kick rocks. Take your ass back over there and involve yourself in lengthy discussions about how to do shit. Over here we'll be doing it. We ain't big on talk on this side chickenshit

[cocknocker]

How is posting plays "putting your money where your mouth is?" LOL.

Easy sucker, start off with a bankroll and keep a running tally of how much money you wager and the results. I thought you think tank f*ckers were smart? You couldn't even figure that out on your own?


I already labeled you as a bad number, but I think I oversestimated you. You're just bad

[MonkeyF0cker]

Okay, so now... kick rocks. Take your ass back over there and involve yourself in lengthy discussions about how to do shit. Over here we'll be doing it. We ain't big on talk on this side chickenshit

You might want to know how to do it before actually doing "shit."

Odds adjustment:

Yes -4400
No +3400

[MonkeyF0cker]

Easy sucker, start off with a bankroll and keep a running tally of how much money you wager and the results. I thought you think tank f*ckers were smart? You couldn't even figure that out on your own?


I already labeled you as a bad number, but I think I oversestimated you. You're just bad

Generally, when you "put your money where your mouth is," there is an investment and a return. I see neither by posting plays, genius.

[arconite]

i'd take the +3400 with 100 unit "lock" play any day.
Before bashing other people's picks, make sure you are better than him by posting and keeping record of your plays.
Confining yourself in a fish tank thinking about unproven theories is very different from stepping out confidently posting your plays to back up your theory.

[Abrcrom12]

I'm on the +3400 for 100 units as well.
Where do I sign??

[Eleven]

i'd take the +3400 with 100 unit "lock" play any day.
Before bashing other people's picks, make sure you are better than him by posting and keeping record of your plays.
Confining yourself in a fish tank thinking about unproven theories is very different from stepping out confidently posting your plays to back up your theory.

Youre absolutely right. You never see the 'Vegas crowd' take that leap where others might see they're wrong and doubt theyre in Vegas etc, all they ever do is navel-gaze about the effing numbers. I dont post a lot on here, but CKs posts are very informative and have taught me some things about gambling that I didnt know about. Keep up the good work CK

[HarleyDavids]

Somehow I think that this guy meows now. Trust me he will act like he hasn't been called out to put his money where his mouth is in front of a national audience. He will go back to the drag tent before he puts his nuts on the table. Go back into hiding, fruitcake

Actually this thread is way beyond the national level. You guys have a global audience , and I would be suprised if anyone dare challenge you cause of the international attention they will be getting.

It takes alot of guts sticking your head out like CK and SexyMits have done. And if anyone is in doubt of their skills Id suggest that they at least wait until the final results are in when the WNBA season has ended before they start crucifying.

[RoagBettor]

Wow, I wake up this morning and it's like a zoo in here (pun intended).

MonkeyF*cker just needs to go away. Not everyone has to agree with CK and SM, but with their track record there's a way to disagree RESPECTFULLY and a way to be a MonkeyA$$hole. Unfortunately he chose the latter.

Too bad he's not up for a challenge, that would be fun to watch.

[MIAMIHURRICANE]

Roag,
i agree..what is going on..wild..monkey...get the f out...these guys have been great. just a reminder...tuesday..seattle is at 3 pm.!

[sweetjones55]

You might want to know how to do it before actually doing "shit."

Odds adjustment:

Yes -4400
No +3400

How much would you be willing to take on the No for this or are you just talking shi* coming up with odds that you wouldn't even take. I would take this at +2000 and give you a lot of value. Let me know.

I find it funny that this guy has over 6,000 posts yet he doesn't have time to go online 10 seconds a day and post a pick.

[oda11]

07/06/2009 Day 28
Day Starting Bankroll - $5676.50

No Plays Today

WNBA Dating Tips Record 23 - 11 - 0

[mariomonte]

It's a number with zero or negative edge. When you bet numbers like +6 and under 167.5 which were the closing numbers, the market has determined that those numbers are fair value (50% chance of hitting either side). If your odds on all of your wagers are 50% or less on vigged coinflips, you're gonna lose in the long run.

Your basic assumption is that WNBA odds are an efficient market. This is (mostly) correct for e.g. NBA, EPL or La Liga.
WNBA markets though are all but efficient, because there is much less information publicly available and large chunks of the money follow external decisions (e.g. this thread or hoopsedge).
So WNBA certainly offers the theoretical chance to systematically make money even from the closing numbers.

That said, e.g. Sunday's tips were debatable, because they were published after hoopsedge moved the line in the wrong direction and thus made them much more expensive.
But everyone here should be old enough to make and live with his own betting choices instead of bashing ck and sexymit after the games.

[RoagBettor]

The Phoenix +6 was the right call. These are the ones that CK and SM continue to nail.

The game went over by about 25 pts, it doesn't matter who touted the under or not. You simply cannot play an under with Phoenix unless the line is super-high (like over 190). Even then I would probably lay off of it.

[sweetjones55]

Your basic assumption is that WNBA odds are an efficient market. This is (mostly) correct for e.g. NBA, EPL or La Liga.
WNBA markets though are all but efficient, because there is much less information publicly available and large chunks of the money follow external decisions (e.g. this thread or hoopsedge).
So WNBA certainly offers the theoretical chance to systematically make money even from the closing numbers.

That said, e.g. Sunday's tips were debatable, because they were published after hoopsedge moved the line in the wrong direction and thus made them much more expensive.
But everyone here should be old enough to make and live with his own betting choices instead of bashing ck and sexymit after the games.

Please delete this and let him believe that he is right so we can all take those ridiculous odds he laid out for CK/SM to hit 0.

[cocknocker]

Don't worry guys I PM'd this dud like an OG getting all up in his face, and trust me, he won't be back with theories and all of that rubbish.

We're out here doing it WAY before the pick services are makng their calls. Hell we're making them 2 days in advance and also projecting correct lines without benefit of a machine. The only thing that I see that we need to improve upon is when we see totals that slip and slide like Phoenix then we probably should lay off of it. Itis really hard to lay off of a game with people tailing you. You don't want to come back in front of people and tell them you aren't playing something after they tailed you. I try not to do it, but it occurs every now and then. The late spike was telling in hindsight.

I called the Connecticut/Detroit, and Atlanta/Fever games totals correctly and the previous group of games I correctly nailed all three totals 2 days prior to the games. That's 5-1 on totals in the last 6 games. One incorrect totlas call is not going to stop efficiency like that. This guy has to lurk all day in a casino to get the correct call. I made the correct call on Phoenix yesterday off of ONE INCORRECT move by the linemaker on the side.

Wherever Einstein came from I don't think that he can do that with 100,000 people watching his every move.

That's why I had to personally clean his clock. Sometimes I do my dirty work myself. I'm not known as a the King of Insults for nothing. I could have made things even worse on him. It looks like apparently he didn't think that i would ride on him. Like I said this ain't that kind of movie.

[RoagBettor]

CK, it reminds me of this scene from Rounders:

Well, you feeling satisfied now, Teddy? 'Cause I can go on busting you up all night.

[SexyMit]

What the hell happened in here? LOL

[muffin_pirate]

I thought you were gonna out cap CK and Mit?

I already said that I was waiving the white flag on that one

They are good. much respect.

[RoagBettor]

I already said that I was waiving the white flag on that one

They are good. much respect.

You've earned my respect also by admitting this. Not many would.

[oda11]

lol, sorry muffin, i didn't see your post! welcome to the dark side

[cocknocker]

What the hell happened in here? LOL

Basically I got into a 74 Cadillac and did donuts on some square's lawn because he attempted to disrespect us. This is what it looks like when I drop bombs. Man I wish that muthaf*cka would start a tracking thread. I hate those scientific f*ckers. The only ones that I know and love is dexter, curious and solobass. F*ck G's Dicks, money f*cker and all of those scientific idiots.

I am not scientific. I am situational. There's a big difference. And just so you'll know, Sexymit, you're situational too. jgbgsox is situational. That's why we kill it! If you would have put one of those scientific guys in the NBA Tournament, they would have been eating dust and been out after the first round too busy making formulas and theories and bullshit while you guys were picking winners with the snap of a finger.

[thegenix]

Wow these people are just ridiculous. CK don't let them get to you man. You are the king in almost every sport.

CK and SexyMit, you guys are doing awesome. Keep it up!

[cocknocker]

Wow these people are just ridiculous. CK don't let them get to you man. You are the king in almost every sport.

CK and SexyMit, you guys are doing awesome. Keep it up!

They didn't get to me. It's apparent that I got to them!

[manong36]

moneyf*cker may be the smartest and the greatest handicapper, but i never learn or earn even a cent from his picks. a gift or talent not shared is just garbage. posting and criticizing after the game is worse than a dog poop in the alley.
maybe, he has good intention, but still wrong approach.
gl, guys and thanks

[cocknocker]

Enough! Stop talking about bullshit here's what we came here for

Opening lines for Tuesday

San Antonio+6.5 Pinnacle
San Antonio+5.5 LVSC

Seattle-6.5 Pinnacle o/u 140
Seattle-5.5 LVSC

Current

San Antonio +5.5 Pinnacle
Seattle-5.5 Pinnacle o/u 142

No change at LVSC yet

Connecticut+1 Pinnacle
Connecticut (PK) LVSC

Atlanta-1 Pinnacle
Atlanta (PK) LVSC o/u 151

Current

No change in line for sides but o/u is now 156.5 ( a 5.5 point movement)

Washington+1.5 Pinnacle
Washington+5.5 LVSC

Minnesota-1.5 Pinnacle
Minnesota-5.5 o/u 161.5 LVSC

Current

Washington+6 Pinnacle
Minnesota-6 o/u 163 Pinnacle

No change LVSC

Chicago+3.5 Pinnacle
Sacramento-3.5 o/u 146 Pinnacle

Current

Chicago+4 Pinnacle
Sacramento-4 o/u 146 Pinnacle

Chicago/Sacramento NL LVSC at this time

So far I have leans on

Chicago+4*
San Antonio/Seattle over 142** (remember the number is 156 that we are comparing)
Atlanta-1 (Connecticut beat Detroit. 'Nuff said)
Washington+6 (A 5 point movement..come on. The public is all over the Lynx)

* My favorites
** Best bet

[SexyMit]

I was just looking at the lines. Why in the hell is Sacramento favored over Chicago in the 1st place? I thought that you were going to stay away from Atlanta? And leaning to San Antonio in that game, and yes the public is going to be all over Minnesota! I haven't looked at everything just yet, but with the numbers you are showing the over in the Seattle game!

[cocknocker]

I was just looking at the lines. Why in the hell is Sacramento favored over Chicago in the 1st place? I thought that you were going to stay away from Atlanta? And leaning to San Antonio in that game, and yes the public is going to be all over Minnesota! I haven't looked at everything just yet, but with the numbers you are showing the over in the Seattle game!

I HATE Atlanta. But the situation calls for me to have either take them or leave the game alone. You did notice that I didn't mark it a one of my favorites, lol!

San Antonio is not a scrub team and the line is way off. That's why it's already going down.

The over in that game is so f*ckin' juicy!

[SexyMit]

I'm looking at the lines, I think Atlanta might be the BB of the day! THey played Conn in Conn with Conn being an 8.5 favorite and they beat them by 14. Atlanta opens up as a fave now of -1 and over 70% has jumped on Conn! The public will continue to pound Conn after beating the by 14 at home and now they are getting points also. So I'm thinking Atlanta as maybe our play of the week!

[cocknocker]

You know that I am definitely gonna have to get in the back seat on that one, but I'll still be in the car with you drinking a 40 ounce. I'll follow your lead on that one..If they lose you owe me a college football play!

[SportsTerminator]

Sacramento almost beat Chicago in Chicago. They had a what 6 point lead slip in the final minutes of the 4th. They were basically leading the whole game surprisingly. But they ended up losing by 2. Now they return home, I can see this as a revenge type game. Homecourt momentum should be a big factor too. And Chicago's Fowles is questionable.

Also Seattle's Jackson is probable...

[RoagBettor]

Sacramento almost beat Chicago in Chicago. They had a what 6 point lead slip in the final minutes of the 4th. They were basically leading the whole game surprisingly. But they ended up losing by 2. Now they return home, I can see this as a revenge type game. Homecourt momentum should be a big factor too. And Chicago's Fowles is questionable.

Also Seattle's Jackson is probable...

You're thinking like "the public" again

[SportsTerminator]

You're thinking like "the public" again

Yea... lol... I'll just let ck and sexymit do their thang lol.

[muffin_pirate]

Ther over for the wash/minn game looks a little enticing.