CK/wangichu's Think Tank

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #1226
    Game 5 - lakers -6 (3x)
    ____________________

    Game 5 - cavs -7.5 (3x)
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #1227
      Originally posted by SmackdownV
      Denver +6 is the play.....

      The "Lakeshow" has not covered 6 this series.......what the Nuggets are just going to roll over and die tonight????

      Give me the Nuggets +6 and the OVER 209.5......

      You are all forgetting that the Nuggets figured out how to beat the Lakers....and that is to RUN RUN RUN.....like they did in game 4 WITHOUT MELO........

      Your Welcome! Meet you at the cage to cash this winning biatch!
      nuggets wont cover and it wont go over i will remind of you this post tonite at midnite
      Comment
      • gambit718
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-04-09
        • 443

        #1228
        Originally posted by BigMoneyMan
        Where all the Cavs backers tonight. Asking there mommas for money to go all in on LA -6?

        LA wins (maybe) and Denver covers.

        What do you think about the total?
        Comment
        • Abrcrom12
          SBR Sharp
          • 04-14-09
          • 345

          #1229
          LA 1Q -2 (2x), 1H (1x), ATS -4 (bought 2, 2x)


          Let's cash this!!!!!
          If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
          -- Valentino Rossi
          Comment
          • SlicWilly3
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-05-08
            • 607

            #1230
            I"ll buy the Nuggets to +6 1/2 tonight and Orlando to +8 1/2 tomo night....

            If you take the points in both these series you will be way ahead.... If it ain't broke....Don't fix it gentleman...Take the points, they are a gift
            "Success doesn't just happen, it happens for those that take action"
            -Donald J. Trump
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #1231
              Lakers-4 2nd half HEAVY Game 5
              Comment
              • sweetjones55
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-07-09
                • 5257

                #1232
                CK neverr hits his in game picks.
                Scared money don't make money

                182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                Comment
                • cockblocker
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-26-09
                  • 1268

                  #1233
                  Ck still betting against the Nuggets I see.
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #1234
                    Cavs-4.5 1st half Game 5 HEAVY
                    Comment
                    • SexyMit
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-06
                      • 6139

                      #1235
                      Originally posted by cocknocker
                      Lakers-4 2nd half HEAVY Game 5
                      Man wish I would have seen this before hand. I have them for the game though so hope they can hold on.
                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #1236
                        Game 6: Nuggets (amount TBD)
                        Comment
                        • sweetjones55
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-07-09
                          • 5257

                          #1237
                          Originally posted by sweetjones55
                          CK neverr hits his in game picks.
                          Successful Jynxxxx. Cashed out my Lakers -4 -133 and 2nd half -4.
                          Scared money don't make money

                          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #1238
                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                            Cavs-4.5 1st half Game 5 HEAVY
                            prob the smarter play - heck, cavs 1st qtr is prob legit as well.

                            i'll bank on them not letting the magic back into this one.
                            Comment
                            • sweetjones55
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-07-09
                              • 5257

                              #1239
                              Originally posted by Dexter
                              prob the smarter play - heck, cavs 1st qtr is prob legit as well.

                              i'll bank on them not letting the magic back into this one.
                              Cavs 1st quarter is very legit. They are the best 1st quarter team in the NBA. They won the 1st quarter in both games @ home vs orl by 14. They slowed down dramatically in the 2nd quarter in both losing by 2 and winning by 1. The Cavs have won and covered every 1st quarter line @ home so far in the playoffs. I like Cavs 1st quarter -2 and 1st half -4 (buying them both down).
                              Scared money don't make money

                              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                              Comment
                              • X-Rated
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-23-09
                                • 232

                                #1240
                                Congrats to Lakers backers. Tonight I lost Lakers -3.5 1st half but won Lakers -6 for game and Lakers -4 2nd half.
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #1241
                                  Lakers Game 6 if the line is anything over 5.5. It will be a nail biter with Denver winning it. I'll take the Lakers +8.5 or more with a 3 point buy in a game that I expect to be close at the end.
                                  Comment
                                  • suckatmyjob
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-12-09
                                    • 785

                                    #1242
                                    I believe Denver is -4.5 to -5
                                    Comment
                                    • cocknocker
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-06-08
                                      • 8001

                                      #1243
                                      I will wait to play Cleveland 1st half. With consensus numbers like this I may even get it at -4
                                      Comment
                                      • sweetjones55
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-07-09
                                        • 5257

                                        #1244
                                        CK, Is there any reasoning behind why you never play the 1st quarter lines? I remember you saying to take the home team in the 1st quarter when switching cities but have never seen you post a 1st quarter pick.
                                        Scared money don't make money

                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                        Comment
                                        • lakerboy
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-02-09
                                          • 94379

                                          #1245
                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                          nuggets wont cover and it wont go over i will remind of you this post tonite at midnite
                                          hey smackdown bro remember this post
                                          Comment
                                          • cnleaf
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-08-08
                                            • 346

                                            #1246
                                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                                            I will wait to play Cleveland 1st half. With consensus numbers like this I may even get it at -4
                                            It is -4 at betus and thegreek.
                                            Comment
                                            • Flyers09
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-13-09
                                              • 3666

                                              #1247
                                              over 190 looks good for the cavs game....should see a lot of baskets this game
                                              Comment
                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 30566

                                                #1248
                                                I dont think Cavs shooters play well tomorrow, since they havent even show signs w/in this series. Refs will play major role, b/c both teams have physical superstars. High scoring game = Orlando advantage
                                                Rolling with Orlando ML/190Over
                                                Advise you fellas to not tail. My ML underdog record preceeds me. HAHAHAHA
                                                Comment
                                                • Flyers09
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-13-09
                                                  • 3666

                                                  #1249
                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                  I dont think Cavs shooters play well tomorrow, since they havent even show signs w/in this series. Refs will play major role, b/c both teams have physical superstars. High scoring game = Orlando advantage
                                                  Rolling with Orlando ML/190Over
                                                  Advise you fellas to not tail. My ML underdog record preceeds me. HAHAHAHA
                                                  you are pretty much saying, orlando will carry the game to go over 190?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cs11787
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-26-08
                                                    • 1088

                                                    #1250
                                                    I think the same thing thats been happening will happen in this game. Cleveland will dominate 1H and slowly slip away in the 2H. Id say Cleveland wins but not sure if they can cover the big 7.5 they were assigned. They were assigned 8.5 and 9 in the previous home games so the books are adjusting accordingly as Magic have dominated ATS. I think Cleveland 1Q and 1H are the safest bets.
                                                    1Q Cle -2.5
                                                    1H Cle -4
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #1251
                                                      Originally posted by Flyers09
                                                      you are pretty much saying, orlando will carry the game to go over 190?
                                                      Game 5 will be just like the other cleveland home games. Cleveland fast start--> lose lead in 3Qtr, b/c of poor outside shooting overall-->Orlando making plays down the stretch.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • melincrea
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 02-20-09
                                                        • 276

                                                        #1252
                                                        Originally posted by cs11787
                                                        I think the same thing thats been happening will happen in this game. Cleveland will dominate 1H and slowly slip away in the 2H. Id say Cleveland wins but not sure if they can cover the big 7.5 they were assigned. They were assigned 8.5 and 9 in the previous home games so the books are adjusting accordingly as Magic have dominated ATS. I think Cleveland 1Q and 1H are the safest bets.
                                                        1Q Cle -2.5
                                                        1H Cle -4

                                                        As much as I'd like to say ... I will not.

                                                        Sadly, all the money in my account is currently pending on series wagers ($800 from $2600)...

                                                        I must say that Cle -2.5 1st Q will definitely be the best bet of the day tomorrow. I would love to bet on this because:

                                                        -when returning home from a loss after being given a day of rest or more, Cleveland dominates the 1st quarter (trend this season is 5-1 I believe)

                                                        ... and that's the only trend I need.

                                                        Would also like to factor in the fact that they need to play their best ball for this game because I'm sure their intentions will be nothing close to losing this game.


                                                        So, sum it up. Cleveland dominates 1st Q coming off of a loss + days rest.

                                                        Cle 1q -2.5... that is all
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HoulihansTX
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-12-09
                                                          • 30566

                                                          #1253
                                                          Originally posted by Dexter
                                                          Game 6: Nuggets (amount TBD)
                                                          Give that 208Over some attention.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jcygts6
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-05-09
                                                            • 3316

                                                            #1254
                                                            Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA) - May 28, 2009 8:35 PM EDT
                                                            Play: Total: 190/-112 Over Pick Title: Craig's Free Play NBA play Great day yesterday for Craig going 3-0 yesterday. Top 5 star plays were 2-0 for his MLB plays. Today Craig has huge Underdog 5 star Winner that will win guaranteed! Today's free play will win just as easy as yesterdays NBA free play. Lets look at the trends and the winning pick for today! Betting Trends
                                                            -Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
                                                            -Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.
                                                            -Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Finals games.
                                                            -Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Central.
                                                            This series has been very one sided with ORL out scoring CLE in every game but one. ORL is up 3-1 and the over is also 3-1. The only under game was under by one point. Also these teams are averaging over 100 pts each in the series. ORL is shooting lights out from the three point line. CLE must shoot better if they are going to have a chance. CLE can't stop ORL and tonight they will outscore them. The surprising ORL Magic will continue to play well and really push CLE in a close game. OVER will be TOO EASY HERE!!Score CLE 102 - ORL 98
                                                            DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                            do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                            od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mriswith
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 03-20-09
                                                              • 76

                                                              #1255
                                                              ORL @ CLE : CLE -2.5 1st QTR & LBJ prop OVER a gazillion

                                                              ORL ist 13-1 ATS vs CLE over the last 3 seasons
                                                              ORL ist 10-4 SU vs CLE over the last 3 seasons
                                                              ORL ist 7-0 ATS vs CLE @ CLE
                                                              ORL ist 4-3 SU vs CLE @ CLE
                                                              ORL ist 4-0 ATS this series...

                                                              ORL is the way better team, CLE's shooting horrible und LBJ is battling 1 vs 5 so far. HCA, must win, LBJ, zebras, ( at least ) one other cash-bringing game, the most wanted final matchup LAL vs CLE and the Kobe / LBJ commercials point to a Cavs' win - but I don't see any or only very slim value in CLE ML.

                                                              CLE avoided the sweep only by 1 sec and a miracle 3FG ( that btw busted my Under ), came not even close to covering the first 2 home games, lost both in ORL - and the line comes out @ -7.5 / -8. Whooohooo !! Free chicken dinner @ ORL +7.5. It's a lock !!! - says Joe Public.

                                                              Too good to be true - 75% backing ORL ATS and no line movement - RED ALERT!!! says Cpt. Jean-Luc PickSmart ( Uhura ist hawt btw ! ) - fade the public and jump off the Magic train...

                                                              Best betting this game imho :
                                                              Pick CLE -7.5 pregame & hedge in 2. QTR / halftime with ORL + double digits, IF Howard gets < 3 fouls 1st QTR. Then enjoy the obligatory Cavs 3rd QTR meltdown and double cash hitting the so created scoring window.

                                                              CLE -2.5 1st QTR - nuff said

                                                              LBJ prop bet ( pts / assts / boards ) OVER nething
                                                              Contrary to CLE the Magic are aware that while one player will win the occasional game, he won't be enough to win a series. So they mostly allow the King to perform und abuse the Cavs' def by raining the wide open 3s allowed by CLE trying to control Superman.

                                                              bol,
                                                              Mris
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BL
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-11-09
                                                                • 4070

                                                                #1256
                                                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                I will wait to play Cleveland 1st half. With consensus numbers like this I may even get it at -4
                                                                Hey, CK !
                                                                You got a reason for picking 1H and not 1Q ?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • coolmil
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 12-11-08
                                                                  • 33

                                                                  #1257
                                                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                  Game 5 - lakers -6 (3x)
                                                                  ____________________

                                                                  Game 5 - cavs -7.5 (3x)
                                                                  LeBron factor has made lines great to bet Orlando.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cocknocker
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                                    • 8001

                                                                    #1258
                                                                    All of the sharps that I know of have their money on the Cavs. I personally am only taking them for the 1st half but that's the word. I'm also hearing that they are buying series prices for the Cavs right now as well with a huge + number.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sweetjones55
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-07-09
                                                                      • 5257

                                                                      #1259
                                                                      This was part of the CK/BIG MONEYMAN/LT Playoff Rundown sheet.

                                                                      Me: Take the 1st quarter of any team that is down by any margin in a series when the teams shift to another city. - (Cleveland 1st quarter)

                                                                      Me: Fade any overtime winner in the following game. (Cleveland game)
                                                                      Scared money don't make money

                                                                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cocknocker
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                                        • 8001

                                                                        #1260
                                                                        Originally posted by BL
                                                                        Hey, CK !
                                                                        You got a reason for picking 1H and not 1Q ?
                                                                        The Cavs do what they have to do in the 1st halves at home. With the kind of money that I am putting up on the 1st half it wouldn't make economical sense to take the Cavs for the 1st quarter and confuse my money out of greed.
                                                                        Comment
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