2015/16 NBA Thread

Seto · 01-29-16, 09:30 PM

I knew the Magic were bad but I didn't know they were going to go 20-62.

Need the Hornets bad now otherwise last night's work is ruined

Seto · 01-29-16, 11:41 PM

NBA teams seriously have to start fining players for fouling 3 point shooters. I'd fine them $100k every time they do it.

Seto · 01-30-16, 12:21 AM

The Hornets play should've read 2.29x to win 2x, not 2.28x, not that it matters immensely.

Today: 0-4, -5.5x
Total: 56-83-4, -18.83x

Just a shitty day. At least I didn't compound it by taking Detroit as well. I do like the Pistons quite a bit tomorrow though.

Seto · 01-30-16, 01:22 PM

Pistons+7.5 -110 (paddy power) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Pistons ml +285 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 2.85x)

italianbandit · 01-30-16, 02:47 PM

Good luck. I have a small play on Philly +18.

italianbandit · 01-30-16, 02:49 PM

I'll be closely watching this Warriors road trip, there will be some good prices either live or before.

Seto · 01-30-16, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Good luck. I have a small play on Philly +18.

Thanks. Hope you win that, I honestly have no opinion. Looking at the Pacers and Cavs a bit.

Seto · 01-30-16, 03:52 PM

Pacers-7.5 -114 (sportingbet) (risking 2.29x to win 2x)

KRIT · 01-30-16, 04:56 PM

Interesting that Cavs are +2 after being +6 two weeks ago in SA. And this time no Duncan. Line says Spurs but Cavs are desperate for that statement win after losing to GS and SA this month.

Seto · 01-30-16, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Interesting that Cavs are +2 after being +6 two weeks ago in SA. And this time no Duncan. Line says Spurs but Cavs are desperate for that statement win after losing to GS and SA this month.

True especially considering how both teams dominate at home you would think there'd be more of a difference. But let's also remember the Cavs played last night.

I think the Cavs get that win tonight but it'll probably be a close game. If I do play it it won't be a big play, I can say that much.

KegKosmo · 01-30-16, 05:06 PM

really liking the cavs plus 2 tonight!

Seto · 01-30-16, 05:34 PM

Pelicans-7.5 -114 (sportingbet) (risking 2.29x to win 2x)

KRIT · 01-30-16, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by Seto

True especially considering how both teams dominate at home you would think there'd be more of a difference. But let's also remember the Cavs played last night.

I think the Cavs get that win tonight but it'll probably be a close game. If I do play it it won't be a big play, I can say that much.

Yeah I get the feeling Lue and the Cavs get that statement win tonight. Line has me a bit hesitant to pull the trigger. I do prefer Cavs as a short dog than a short favorite.

We've talked about Boston lines before, but what are with Memphis lines. They get zero respect. Only -3.5 against the Kings? I know they Kings are better, but they are still the Kings. Memphis is one of the hottest teams and books keep making them short home favorites against mediocre/bad teams. This year more than ever seems like books have been over-valuing and under-valuing teams.

Seto · 01-30-16, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Yeah I get the feeling Lue and the Cavs get that statement win tonight. Line has me a bit hesitant to pull the trigger. I do prefer Cavs as a short dog than a short favorite.

We've talked about Boston lines before, but what are with Memphis lines. They get zero respect. Only -3.5 against the Kings? I know they Kings are better, but they are still the Kings. Memphis is one of the hottest teams and books keep making them short home favorites against mediocre/bad teams. This year more than ever seems like books have been over-valuing and under-valuing teams.

Yeah books haven't yet adapted to the fact that the Grizzlies appear to have turned the corner. They really did look like total shit a few weeks ago though.

Seto · 01-30-16, 07:17 PM

The Pistons are 2 for 10 from the line. 20%. Only 4 of those are Drummond too.

Seto · 01-30-16, 09:45 PM

Today: 1-3, -3.58x
Total: 57-86-4, -22.41x

Thankfully saved my night with the Pelicans live play. Very lucky not to go 0-4, Pistons were probably my worst play of the night and the only one that cashed.

Looks like I should've taken Cleveland but it wouldn't have been for more than 1 or 2 units so I won't lose sleep over it when I just nearly had a 2 grand swing on a halfcourt shot.

NBA Maniac · 02-01-16, 02:45 PM

I have not been watching NBA, sometimes a check a few replays.
And i saw the game winning shot by pelicans, he almost lost the ball with a sloppy drible.

Pacers just hate L. James.
And i think i can't pass Pacers getting points at home. And will also try ML.
Any toughts ?

Seto · 02-01-16, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

I have not been watching NBA, sometimes a check a few replays.
And i saw the game winning shot by pelicans, he almost lost the ball with a sloppy drible.

Pacers just hate L. James.
And i think i can't pass Pacers getting points at home. And will also try ML.
Any toughts ?

Yeah that Pelicans game was a joke. They should've pulled away when they built a 7 point lead with the Nets on a back to back but they let them back into it several times. Oh well. At least that halfcourt shot didn't go in.

Lol I just posted seconds ago in lakerboy's thread James has a long losing streak in Indy dating back to his Miami days. Something like 9 in a row. I honestly have no opinion there. The Pacers are still a tad too inconsistent for my liking. Their rotations still need some work and they're trying to incorporate a rookie into a major role which is always going to induce some ups and downs.

Will George play at his best tonight? If he does they might win. I'm just not sure there.

Seto · 02-01-16, 02:54 PM

I was gonna take Milwaukee against the biggest joke in the NBA but they aren't getting enough points for my liking. Probably if Cousins ends up playng the line will come up to 6 or so.

Conqueror · 02-01-16, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I was gonna take Milwaukee against the biggest joke in the NBA but they aren't getting enough points for my liking. Probably if Cousins ends up playng the line will come up to 6 or so.

MIL is one of the plays I considered but you never know which MIL show up. Fading SAC as a home favorite is normally a wise investment.

NBA Maniac · 02-01-16, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I was gonna take Milwaukee against the biggest joke in the NBA but they aren't getting enough points for my liking. Probably if Cousins ends up playng the line will come up to 6 or so.

He is out

Seto · 02-02-16, 12:17 AM

Probably taking New York tomorrow. Fukk the Celtics. No way they should be laying points there.

Disclaimer: I just tallied it up and I'm 6-11 fading them this season. 3-1 when taking them.

It's 0-6 when fading them at home and 6-5 fading them on the road though so I guess I've done okay on road games. Getting murdered fading them at the Garden though. Which is weird because they've struggled at home.

DOM-Ganador · 02-02-16, 12:11 PM

Seto, I grew up in Boston. Still go there every summer to hang with friends & family.

I have noticed you have a high level of disdain for my hometown boys. Actually wished you luck anytime you faded them as I have
zero interest in getting 6,7,8 seeds and getting smoked in the playoffs year after year.

I think they are in a decent position with the loads of upcoming drafts picks and not many shitty contracts.
I love the coach, but feel it is time to make some moves, and get at least one stud.
Why not the Celts in 3 years?

Seto · 02-02-16, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Seto, I grew up in Boston. Still go there every summer to hang with friends & family.

I have noticed you have a high level of disdain for my hometown boys. Actually wished you luck anytime you faded them as I have
zero interest in getting 6,7,8 seeds and getting smoked in the playoffs year after year.

I think they are in a decent position with the loads of upcoming drafts picks and not many shitty contracts.
I love the coach, but feel it is time to make some moves, and get at least one stud.
Why not the Celts in 3 years?

Have no hate for the franchise at all. I really liked the Pierce/Allen/Garnett Celtics. I was bummed when Rondo got hurt and they didn't get a chance to make one more run at Miami in 2013.

If you've followed my threads you know starless teams that do well frustrate me. I don't think I said THAT much about Hawks last year until the playoffs but I called them frauds every chance I got from then on and faded them like every game in the playoffs practically (and made quite a bit of coin doing it). It has nothing to do with the franchise.

That said my only goal here is to make money. I've taken them a few times this season too. Just not really sure why they're laying 4 (or laying anything for that matter) tonight.

KRIT · 02-02-16, 02:02 PM

Who knows why Boston is laying 4. Surprised they aren't favored by 8 with the lines they get.

What do you think about Houston tonight Seto? They need a win bad after losing the last 3.

Seto · 02-02-16, 02:02 PM

Wonder if the coach angle is playable on the Suns tonight. The thing is that team is such fukking trash it's hard to even know whether they truly quit on Hornacek or not. Toronto might be in a decent spot to fade though, they're a pretty hot and cold team so having had their streak snapped yesterday I wouldn't be surprised if they struggled again tonight.

Seto · 02-02-16, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Who knows why Boston is laying 4. Surprised they aren't favored by 8 with the lines they get.

What do you think about Houston tonight Seto? They need a win bad after losing the last 3.

The Rockets are just a hard team to bet man. I've said on this board they remind me of Chelsea, dunno if you follow soccer at all. Basically what I mean is even though there have been no personnel changes and it makes no sense that they'd go from a 2 seed to a .500 team, it doesn't mean they'll ever get back to being what they were.

That said I would lean their way tonight. The thing is Miami does well in close games and often makes comebacks.

Either Houston blows them out early and never looks back, or they let them hang around and I'm not sure if they'll be able to beat this Heat team down the stretch of a close game, let alone cover the 4/5.

Seto · 02-02-16, 02:09 PM

If Houston loses tonight (or whenever they lose next) they'll match their losses from all of last year. In all likelihood this will happen before the all star break.

Crazy.

NBA Maniac · 02-02-16, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Who knows why Boston is laying 4. Surprised they aren't favored by 8 with the lines they get.

What do you think about Houston tonight Seto? They need a win bad after losing the last 3.

Man i want to bet Knicks !!!

Originally posted by Seto

Wonder if the coach angle is playable on the Suns tonight. The thing is that team is such fukking trash it's hard to even know whether they truly quit on Hornacek or not. Toronto might be in a decent spot to fade though, they're a pretty hot and cold team so having had their streak snapped yesterday I wouldn't be surprised if they struggled again tonight.

penetrate Suns, i'm on Craptors.

Seto · 02-02-16, 05:27 PM

Knicks+4.5 -114 (sportingbet) (risking 2.29x to win 2x)

Seto · 02-02-16, 05:48 PM

I'm taking a risk playing this now without knowing what will happen in tonight's game, but I'm getting a favourable line so fukk it.

PISTONS/CELTICS TOMORROW

Celtics-3.5 -111 (betvictor) (risking 6.67x to win 6x)

Pistons have been shit lately, don't know why they're getting respect like this. This is the same line the Knicks are getting today AT HOME. Boston's depth allows them to play pretty well on back to backs so I doubt that will be an issue. Also their home/road splits which made no sense earlier in the season and slowly shifting back to normal with them starting to lose on the road more and win at home more.

t-wizzle · 02-02-16, 06:55 PM

Kind of like Boston tonight but might pass. As we know they've been hot lately.

Seto · 02-02-16, 11:45 PM

Today: 0-1, -2.29x
Total: 57-87-4, -24.70x

Total no show by the Knicks tonight. Didn't expect that against a team they're chasing. Oh well. Hopefully Boston stays hot tomorrow.

In unrelated news I took the Suns+11.5 and +6.5 live and lost another bet by 0.5 points. There has to be some kind of a conspiracy to piss me off this year. Never lost this many bets by such small margins on a whole season let alone a half season.

Seto · 02-03-16, 06:55 PM

Sixers+8.5 -114 (sportingbet) (risking 1.71x to win 1.5x)
Sixers ml +295 (paddy power) (risking 0.5x to win 1.48x)

Celtics-12.5 +350 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 3.5x)

Can't believe I'm backing this stupid Sixers team after what they did to me last week but the Hawks are a bit of a mess and they've already beat the Sixers twice by 20+ this season, probably a closer game tonight. Actually have the Pacers-6 for 2 units as well, but that line isn't available anymore so I won't make it an "official" play.

Seto · 02-03-16, 06:56 PM

By the way, for those who like the 21+ HT and FT plays, I wanted to take them on Boston but I can't because William Hill don't seem to be very keen on taking my action anymore. I would've taken them if I could though. The +650 on bet365 for FT is just not quite high enough for me.