Leans for Sunday 3/15/09

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 10:40 AM

dexter I am with you on all 3, but I got orl at -5.5

also taking Det -8 (bought the half point)
so two early ones in Det -8 and ATL -4
and two late ones in Orl -5.5 and GS -3

plus 1st qtr bets (only small):
Phi -2
Bos -1.5
Orl -1.5

I think thats enough NBA action for now ... Phi -7.5 for the game ? a bit higher than I thought, so no play, other 4 are better

CBB: tenn -5.5 (nba like wager here)
still not sure whether I take Duke or Florida State, I could make a strong case for both of them, maybe one team is behind big at the half, so that would be a nice bet

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 10:42 AM

Getting rid of Portland, and playing only

Duke-6 (Point buy)Heavy
Orlando-5.5
Orlando -1.5 1st quarter
Philly-6 (Point buy) Heavy
Philly-2 1st quarter

I also teased the three with the JM play as well,and played the JM HEAVY too. Time to make up for a week's worth of fun bets with some REAL wagers.

TheLemonDropKid · 03-15-09, 10:48 AM

Well the BLING BLING SYSTEM went 2-0 last night bringing the overall total to 11-6.

I haven't capped the later games yet, so I might be adding to these if any of the late ones fit the system....but for now....

SUNDAY'S

PLAYS

IND PACERS +3.5
POR BLAZERS +4
MIL BUCKS +6
DAL MAVS +8.5
CLE CAVS -10
UTAH JAZZ +5.5

Possibly more to come for the later games.....good luck!

Dexter · 03-15-09, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Getting rid of Portland, and playing only

Duke-6 (Point buy)Heavy
Orlando-5.5
Orlando -1.5 1st quarter
Philly-6 (Point buy) Heavy
Philly-2 1st quarter

I also teased the three with the JM play as well,and played the JM HEAVY too. Time to make up for a week's worth of fun bets with some REAL wagers.

nice - now i feel even more confident in atl.

was just going to say how there is a RLM on Duke with the line going from 5.5 to 7 and just 40% of the public on them.

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 11:10 AM

Laters guys. I'll be checking y'all out in the early afternoon. Headed to the Farmers' Market

shoebox · 03-15-09, 11:12 AM

Booked
purdue -6 5X
(pretty much a home game here, plus OSU overachieved and will get slapped in the face with the talent of purdue kind of like the orangeman were brought back down to earth by the cards)
I got this game capped as a 12pt vic.............they have split the pair of meetings, however losing in ot on the road after being up at half....handled OSU at home no problem and I dont see anything changing here.......

GL

showtime2000 · 03-15-09, 11:12 AM

Early NHL plays,

NY Rangers -120
-Flyers are 5-12 in their last 17 in the second game of a home-and-home situation
-Flyers are 6-14 in their last 20 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation
-Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation
-Rangers are 11-5 in their last 16 in the second game of a home-and-home situation

suckatmyjob · 03-15-09, 11:21 AM

Best of luck to everyone going to have some bloody mary see everyone later in the afternoon for some good games

ger25pic25 · 03-15-09, 11:25 AM

Is Danny Granger playing?I think he is upgraded to probable,if so i'm with indiana

mkchung · 03-15-09, 11:25 AM

i know ck likes duke but i'm leaning towards fsu.

ATS Records:

FSU: 18-8 ATS overall 11-4 away ATS

Duke: 15-15 ATS overall 8-7 away ATS

Jimbo42 · 03-15-09, 11:26 AM

What up!

I'm with you guys this morning on the Sixers.... Nothing to add really to what everyone has said about this game.
Philly -7

SoonerGreg · 03-15-09, 11:28 AM

Booked:
Magic -5.5
Hawks -4

Any thoughts on Duke / Florida St.? I'm leaning heavy on Duke but the size of FSU is a little scary. Then again, Duke has already beat them twice this year. But....some people say it's hard to beat a good team 3 times in a row. Sell me on Duke or no play.

mkchung · 03-15-09, 11:30 AM

soonergreg, i'm leaning towards fsu and here's why:

Recent Betting Trends:

Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.

Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

Seminoles are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.

Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Blue Devils are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 neutral site games as a favorite.

Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

CP Thrizzle · 03-15-09, 11:30 AM

Duke beat Maryland for the 3rd time this year yesterday... but yes, FSU does scare me a bit more than Maryland. Toney Douglas is lights out.

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by showtime2000

Early NHL plays,

NY Rangers -120
-Flyers are 5-12 in their last 17 in the second game of a home-and-home situation
-Flyers are 6-14 in their last 20 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation
-Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation
-Rangers are 11-5 in their last 16 in the second game of a home-and-home situation

Alright, showtime,

I am gonna try my hand at this hockey sh*t, and take Anaheim+105 tonight.

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 11:33 AM

SoonerGreg
well after further consideration I think Duke will make a statement game out of it, they played two close games already and I expect them to dominate this game today and show everyone that they are still duke and more than capable of winning the ACC easily... i am not going heavy like ck, but I think I will put some more money on it compared to the nba games I have early on (atl and Det)

SoonerGreg · 03-15-09, 11:47 AM

mkchung,
That is good info. I really appreciate it. I think I'm gonna play Duke ML -290 to win and make a smaller play on FSU +7 and hope for a nice middle.

TheLemonDropKid · 03-15-09, 11:51 AM

UPDATE

ADDED PLAYS TO THE ORIGINAL POST

CLE CAVS -10
UTAH JAZZ +5.5

Heading out to go have lunch with the wifey poo and my little princess on the beach......beautiful day.....let's go have fun and let our money work for us while we are away......I'll catch up with you fools this evening.

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 11:56 AM

beach ? are you kidding me .... only thing I have close to a beach is well nothing ... its raining like shit here and its cold as hell ... anyway I will be around here for some nice 2H wagers...

btw
Wallace is out for Det today... lets hope they still cover the 8 points ... but I am confident they will...

GL

peetlui · 03-15-09, 12:00 PM

Booked:
Boston ML
Detroit ML
LAL ML
parlay:
Atlanta -4
Philly ML
Boston ML
Detroit ML
LAL ML

GL

SoonerGreg · 03-15-09, 12:04 PM

It's official:
Duke -280
FSU +7

Rooting for a huge middle payday!

W0lfy · 03-15-09, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by MVFC182

I'm a NBA rookie and need some advice.

Do we fade Boston and Lakers now that they have clinched their divisions or do the teams usually continue strong?

Noticed no one answered you. No do not fade either of them. Lakers want home court throughout the playoffs and finals not just the west playoffs. Boston is trying to keep up with Cleveland and avoid Orlando passing them for the #2 spot. GL

mkchung · 03-15-09, 12:13 PM

GL soonergreg. hope you get that middle ground. and GL to everyone else

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 01:04 PM

well duke looking good so far.... no 2H play for me on that one
Phi and Bos 1st qtr cashed....
Tenn not so much... taking tenn -4 2nd half

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 01:12 PM

also taking Phi -3.5 2H, Mia will go down in the 2nd half for sure... Phi is just too good

and Det -whatever

mkchung · 03-15-09, 01:13 PM

what was the game spread on tenn/miss st?

solobass · 03-15-09, 01:13 PM

added cavs-10 and nets-2. Bet blazers 2nd h +1 but just fun money on that one.

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 01:14 PM

mkchung
I got them at -5

Det -9.5 2H
phi -3.5 2H
tenn -4 2H

GL

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 01:17 PM

Taking the Bucks+4 2nd half

repski · 03-15-09, 01:32 PM

Mavs +8.5

-The Lakers are 29-4 at home this season, but just 16-17 ATS.

-Lakers have dominated this rivalry lately, winning five straight (2-3 ATS)

-The visitor is on a 6-0-1 ATS run in this series

-the Mavs are 4-0 ATS in their last four visits to the Staples Center.

-Dallas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 after a non-cover and 4-1 ATS in its last five against Pacific Division

-The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 01:34 PM

Tenn is toast....

now lets come on duke and phi turn it around

repski · 03-15-09, 01:36 PM

sixers suck...gonna take a miracle

O'neal just abused Speights...Dalembert in foul trouble

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 01:36 PM

Wow, the Pistons are getting their cans kicked at home by the Grizzlies.

RoagBettor · 03-15-09, 01:38 PM

It's obvious the refs want Duke to win this game.

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 01:44 PM

If the Pistons lose this game, I will never bet them again. With or without Iverson, this team blows. Letting the Grizzlies come into your home and beat you by double digits is outrageous.