Leans for Sunday 3/15/09

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

what about that sac team ??? i have em +9 in a teaser, so a half time hedge bet will be in order if that sloppy play continues...

peter, Washington will not shoot 60% for the game. Sacramento is shooting just under 40% so you'd have to think the game will get closer as the percentages even out. Wizards have no Butler so I like the Kings chances better.

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 05:58 PM

Everything is dropping for Washington. I doubt that continues in the 2H. A play on the Kings might be good for the 2H depending on the line.

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

peter, Washington will not shoot 60% for the game. Sacramento is shooting just under 40% so you'd have to think the game will get closer as the percentages even out. Wizards have no Butler so I like the Kings chances better.

thats what I am counting on too... and thats also how I make a lot of my 2H wagers ... I mean I hate to hedge anyway... so go SAC !!!

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 06:08 PM

Going with Kings -2 for the 2H. Washington will cool off.

Jimbo42 · 03-15-09, 06:09 PM

Added:
Sacramento -1 1/2 2nd Half

Karayilan9 · 03-15-09, 06:10 PM

I was thinking the same for the Suns under but they have had matching with 260 scored and GS are famous for their high scoring games aswell. 244 sounds high but with these two teams we could end up with 300

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 06:11 PM

New York+200 moneyline 2nd half
Sacramento-1.5 2nd half

repski · 03-15-09, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by repski

Mavs +8.5

-The Lakers are 29-4 at home this season, but just 16-17 ATS.

-Lakers have dominated this rivalry lately, winning five straight (2-3 ATS)

-The visitor is on a 6-0-1 ATS run in this series

-the Mavs are 4-0 ATS in their last four visits to the Staples Center.

-Dallas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 after a non-cover and 4-1 ATS in its last five against Pacific Division

-The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

New York+200 moneyline 2nd half

CK, do you think the Knicks have a chance to win outright? I was thinking about taking the +3.5.

Madetowin · 03-15-09, 06:14 PM

Under 106 for the second half for the Kings game

what you guys think ?

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 06:14 PM

hell I wont make a play on the 2H on that game, I mean I will just let it ride and hope that Sac +9 hits, even if Was +2 would be a perfect hedge bet, but I dont trust Washington enough to continue shooting like this all night long ... but I also cant play Sac, here, hell I already made 4 2H bets today and went 3-1 so thats enough for one day I guess...

GL the_kid and jimbo and ck with your plays, you know I will be on your side, SAC +9, lets go

pho3nix32 · 03-15-09, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by pho3nix32

I'm back....let's try this again...

line: **@dp 183.5
pick: 183.5 under

Under trends:

- The under for Memphis is 29-20 as dogs this season.
- The under for Memphis is 4-0 on Sundays this season.
- The under for Memphis is 29-20 on revenge games this season.
- The under for Detroit is 8-4 on Sundays this season.
- The under for Detroit is 15-9 against the west this season.
- Head to head, the under is 4-1 for the last 3 seasons.
- Head to head, the under is 2-0 on games played in Motown for the last 3 seasons.

Early game, no sufficient sleep from partying last night. Bricks bricks bricks baby!!!

winner!

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

CK, do you think the Knicks have a chance to win outright? I was thinking about taking the +3.5.

I think that the Knicks will be in it until the finish and one other thing is that Cleveland is up by 7 and the 2nd half line is only 3.5 which adds up to exactly the game spread instead of over. Then the moneyline players at the half drove the moneyline for Cleveland up. I think that New York can keep the marging within 6 by the end of the game. I mean before the game started, I liked the Knicks in this matchup anyway with this being Cleveland's first home game off of the west coast trip

pho3nix32 · 03-15-09, 06:23 PM

goodluck peet!

peetlui · 03-15-09, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by pho3nix32

goodluck peet!

Thanks Pho3nix!

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by pho3nix32

winner!

Good call, pho3nix. I was debating whether to play that one or not but ended up passing. Should have used this play instead of my Lakers/Mavs OVER.

Originally posted by cocknocker

I think that the Knicks will be in it until the finish and one other thing is that Cleveland is up by 7 and the 2nd half line is only 3.5 which adds up to exactly the game spread instead of over. Then the moneyline players at the half drove the moneyline for Cleveland up. I think that New York can keep the marging within 6 by the end of the game. I mean before the game started, I liked the Knicks in this matchup anyway with this being Cleveland's first home game off of the west coast trip

Didn't pull the trigger but I did notice that New York is shooting horrible from the field and yet they are still in the game. Hope New York can cover but Cleveland wins as I do have the Cavs in a ML parlay.

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 06:44 PM

man Sac looking good in the second half right now... and Orl too... looks like it will be a golden night... but what the hell is Cle doing today ? didnt they watch the Celtics early on ?

ck
what do you think about GS -1.5 tonight ?

suckatmyjob · 03-15-09, 06:51 PM

well that line for the GS/PHO...both team dont really have anything to play for and now its still going up so kind of crazy

showtime2000 · 03-15-09, 06:53 PM

St.Lois is looking good right now up 4-1. May have to carjack your Anaheim pick Ck! I Like it, but i'm liking the over more. I know all trends support the under in this head to head matchup but look at the 2 starting goalies tonight, Boucher vs Giggy, and it has over all over it. Boucher's last 6 starts he's given up 21 goals, avg 3.5 per game, and Giggy has given up 24 goals in 8 games.
I think the over might be a play.

repski · 03-15-09, 06:53 PM

wow..the east is tough..
Pitt
Duke
Villanova
Tennesee
Okla St
Fla St.
UCLA
Texas

tough bracket...my Fav was Pitt..now I'm not sure

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by repski

wow..the east is tough..
Pitt
Duke
Villanova
Tennesee
Okla St
Fla St.
UCLA
Texas

VCU is beating UCLA in the 1st round. Eric Maynor is going to put on a show.

suckatmyjob · 03-15-09, 06:59 PM

man now this blows my mine local bookie has line for GS/PHO at 240 when online it's 244.5

am i missing something??

showtime2000 · 03-15-09, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by showtime2000

St.Lois is looking good right now up 4-1. May have to carjack your Anaheim pick Ck! I Like it, but i'm liking the over more. I know all trends support the under in this head to head matchup but look at the 2 starting goalies tonight, Boucher vs Giggy, and it has over all over it. Boucher's last 6 starts he's given up 21 goals, avg 3.5 per game, and Giggy has given up 24 goals in 8 games.
I think the over might be a play.

The over is no longer a play as Nabokov and Hiller are in net. Going with Anaheim instead. Let's getem CK!

danrman · 03-15-09, 07:03 PM

lac-gs parlay baaaaabay or reverse it.. the final 2 games will be 1 fav. and 1 dog.. why???... how bout maybe 26 yrs. experiance

camel · 03-15-09, 07:07 PM

Man... i'm the biggest douche... i can't believe i bet on Jazz instead of fading them after last night's 3 OT.

Stupid.

suckatmyjob · 03-15-09, 07:08 PM

Danrman,

I was thinking the same however what if it turns out to be Phoenix and NJ????

danrman · 03-15-09, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by suckatmyjob

man now this blows my mine local bookie has line for GS/PHO at 240 when online it's 244.5

am i missing something??

people are probably playing the 4 1/2 point teaser on it and he's got tooooo much action that way

peterpan19 · 03-15-09, 07:10 PM

hell.... what the hell is Sac doing in the 4th here ??? come on pull it together just need Sac+9 to hit here....

danrman · 03-15-09, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by suckatmyjob

Danrman,

I was thinking the same however what if it turns out to be Phoenix and NJ????

note in my statement i said you could REVERSE it... play it both ways you still come out ahead... in other words lac-gs and njn-phoenix.. if you play both parlays you come out 1 unit ahead... it is of course twice the risk

danrman · 03-15-09, 07:18 PM

ck got the 3 pter for the cold blooded moneyline play on the knicks at the half..... nice!!!!

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 07:20 PM

Yesh! A nice +200 payday for New York 2nd half moneyline!

showtime2000 · 03-15-09, 07:20 PM

Nice call CK on the Knicks 2nd half!

RoagBettor · 03-15-09, 07:21 PM

Teaser #2 for today hits as Cleveland covers. F'n Detroit cost me $220 though - ugh.

The_Kid · 03-15-09, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

hell.... what the hell is Sac doing in the 4th here ??? come on pull it together just need Sac+9 to hit here....

Kevin Martin has missed 3 FTs and he's an 87% shooter from the stripe.

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

man Sac looking good in the second half right now... and Orl too... looks like it will be a golden night... but what the hell is Cle doing today ? didnt they watch the Celtics early on ?

ck
what do you think about GS -1.5 tonight ?

I actually like the Sus in this game which is basically a pick em, as the movement reveals a shift from Golden State-2.5 down to -1.5 with 28% of bettors on the Warriors moneyline. Las Vegas will get a bigger payday if the Warriors lose because they have the higher moneyline.