T-Wizz 2014 NBA Playoffs

**nicholaswdy** · 05-03-14, 06:37 PM

Wizz, What you think about gsw/lac game total?

**Luckycharms2012** · 05-03-14, 06:46 PM

Indy showed up, can't win them all. Nice win Wizz.

**matt711** · 05-03-14, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Aye J Mac

Gsw game, okc ml and Atlanta game is what I got, so f u wiz

Who cares....

**t-wizzle** · 05-03-14, 07:00 PM

Added more to Grizz. No opinion on the total Nicolas. I would take under if anything.

**nicholaswdy** · 05-03-14, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Added more to Grizz. No opinion on the total Nicolas. I would take under if anything.

Ok, thx. I'm leaning to over, gonna lay off then. Thx for the Indy pick!!!

**mcdonae101** · 05-03-14, 08:27 PM

Twizz. The way the second quarter went, I'd think about betting okc second half

**BigDofBA** · 05-03-14, 08:29 PM

Not surprised Memphis is covering. Just because Randolph is out doesn't mean they're all of the sudden a bad team.

Way too many people on OKC.

**Vinnie Paz** · 05-03-14, 08:46 PM

Why no Clippers first half?

**Ebumdude** · 05-03-14, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Must still be bitter over the Broncos losing by 30 in the Superbowl.

Hahahaha

**t-wizzle** · 05-03-14, 10:08 PM

Clippers Live 1Q +165 (.5x)

Clippers Live 1H -115 (1.5x)

**t-wizzle** · 05-03-14, 10:21 PM

Clippers Live ML -125 (10x)

**KRIT** · 05-03-14, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Clippers Live ML -125 (10x)

Hit Clipps ML hard too at end of the 1q. Lets get it.

**Aye J Mac** · 05-03-14, 10:42 PM

Wiz setting u all up !!! Gsw will win this game

**James Marques** · 05-03-14, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Uh oh guys are getting mad about how much I bet.

I repeat... HOW MUCH I BET.

No, I'm simply pointing out how ridiculously bad your bankroll management strategy is. If you were betting real money, I doubt you'd be this loose with it. Especially after dropping six month's worth of "profit" on one game.

**Aye J Mac** · 05-03-14, 11:12 PM

Bye bye clippers and wiz!!! Warned you'll about wiz

**Allure** · 05-03-14, 11:12 PM

Sad

**h3da** · 05-03-14, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by Aye J Mac

Bye bye clippers and wiz!!! Warned you'll about wiz

gtfo

**t-wizzle** · 05-04-14, 12:38 AM

Unfukkingreal. 2 straight phantom calls ruin the cover. Fukking bullshit.

**ChiLLx** · 05-04-14, 12:45 AM

Steph Curry likes burring covers

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 01:06 AM

Sports betting is a grind, period. You CAN win, but not with these ridiculous unit bombs. Flat bet 2%, 4% absolute max, and if you know what you're doing, you'll always have vacation money.

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-04-14, 01:07 AM

nets tomorrow buddy.

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

nets tomorrow buddy.

I predict he will be on the Nets + with a ridiculous # of units. And I'll tell you right now, he'll lose. He's a lousy gambler, and lousy gamblers lose.

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-04-14, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by James Marques

I predict he will be on the Nets + with a ridiculous # of units. And I'll tell you right now, he'll lose. He's a lousy gambler, and lousy gamblers lose.

do you actually think the nets are the losing side or are you implying something else?

**mcdonae101** · 05-04-14, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

do you actually think the nets are the losing side or are you implying something else?

Dont entertain him, he's a fukin idiot

**Cuse0323** · 05-04-14, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

nets tomorrow buddy.

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 01:38 AM

I predict he's a bad gambler, and bad luck strikes bad gamblers. Risks ridiculous units that no right minded person would risk, yet I'm the idiot? No wonder this thread has so many tailers, a bunch of amateur gamblers. Hawks are my hometown favorite team, I love them... $3 grand? How do you not see this air bet bullshit and not think amateur?

**Goat Milk** · 05-04-14, 01:46 AM

James break down the toronto nets game for me. Please refer to previous game film and tell me the adjustments each coach will make in terms of schemes, matchups, and rotation. Thanks.

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 02:17 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

James break down the toronto nets game for me. Please refer to previous game film and tell me the adjustments each coach will make in terms of schemes, matchups, and rotation. Thanks.

I'd be happy to... The Toronto Raptors score 1.055 points per possession, a decent clip over the league average. The Brooklyn Nets give up 1.043 points per possession, just slightly worse than the league average of 1.040. Oh, and by the way, Toronto beats the league average of 1.024 def points per possession. So my math says.... Toronto by 5. In terms of scheme or rotation, I can't possibly predict any change in team philosophy. Who could? But here's my theory. If I'm Toronto, I pick up the pace significantly tomorrow. Much younger team running the floor, I can't imagine the Nets keeping up with high tempo. But this is just supposition. I'll put $100 on it - no 50 unit bombs for me. Best of luck.

**Seto** · 05-04-14, 08:36 AM

James it's interesting you bring up this 2% 4% BS, how do you know when Wiz bets 10, 15 units on a game if that's 0.2%, 2%, or 20% of his roll? And more importantly, why do you care?

Bad gambler - lol. Are bad gamblers usually up huge after 3-4 years of tracked plays in a sport?

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 09:07 AM

Originally posted by Seto

James it's interesting you bring up this 2% 4% BS, how do you know when Wiz bets 10, 15 units on a game if that's 0.2%, 2%, or 20% of his roll? And more importantly, why do you care?

Bad gambler - lol. Are bad gamblers usually up huge after 3-4 years of tracked plays in a sport?

Well according to said tracking, he lost half of a year's profit on one play. ONE PLAY. What does that tell you? You cannot have that kind of variance in your bankroll and be successful long-term. That's all I'm saying. I'm not saying the guy sucks at picking games, I don't think he does at all. I'm saying he's like a high school teenager at managing his money. How useful is one's ability to pick winners if he's already run out of money by the end of round 1 of the playoffs?

**t-wizzle** · 05-04-14, 10:01 AM

James just completely embarrassed himself with that "analysis."

Lol I can't believe he gave us a point per possession breakdown.

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

James just completely embarrassed himself with that "analysis."

Lol I can't believe he gave us a point per possession breakdown.

Well I mean I was never very good at throwing darts.....

I could bore you with DWill can't do this, Lowry will do that, Derozan this, Kidd that, KG and Pierce old, etc... but why bother? People just use that sort of "analysis" to confirm their own suppositions. That's called "confirmation bias" - you should look into it. For me, numbers make more sense. You bet the games however you want, I'm not challenging that. I'm challenging your risk of ruin - you might want to look that concept up as well.

**t-wizzle** · 05-04-14, 10:35 AM

By all means Jimmy. Bore away. And I'll be able to tell if you just regurgitate something you read off the Internet.

**t-wizzle** · 05-04-14, 10:50 AM

Nets +3 -109 (4x); ML +130 (2x)

**James Marques** · 05-04-14, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

By all means Jimmy. Bore away. And I'll be able to tell if you just regurgitate something you read off the Internet.

This Brooklyn team was assembled: they're like expensive Lego pieces. The goal? Beat the Heat. The problem with that logic is that Legos don't build strong houses: brick and mortar does. The Raptors have a lot of young talent, but most importantly they play well together. They all know their roles. Lowry is every bit the point guard that DWill is, at about 1/4 the price. Derozan has stepped up his game tremendously. The X-factor is Joe Johnson. If Toronto can keep him away from the basket, they'll be all set. I know enough about Joe Johnson from his years here in ATL to know that guy will gladly take forced, low percentage shots if that's all you give him. Toronto will not win this game inside: I'm sure we'd agree on that. Guard play will decide this game. You take experience. In this matchup, I'll take youth. Oh, and the home court. Enjoy your 50 unit bombs, and best of luck at learning how probability works.