Leans for Saturday 3/8/09

Portlander · 03-07-09, 11:54 PM

Welfare isn't free either, you have to loose your pride and live on dirt.

Portland wtf.. I would say 4th quarter will be off the hook. The T-wolves look like they really want it, but I think they are going to get tired. They have to right?

TheLemonDropKid · 03-07-09, 11:54 PM

UC Riverside +1 cashed for me.....

Portland Under is looking good.....there would need to be a 59 point 4th Q or OT to make me lose......anything is possible with my luck, but I'm feeling pretty good.

TheLemonDropKid · 03-07-09, 11:56 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

if you mean that you need to do the work to cap the games in order to win at gambling on the nba. still, no matter how great a capper one is, it still comes down to pure luck if you win at gambling of any sort.

Funny you should mention that Non.....the other night I was thinking to myself.......you know, as good as all these guys are at capping and all the hard work they put into it......they are still only 60-65% right at best........I wonder if you just flipped a coin for picks if you would be too far off that mark as well.....lol.

suckatmyjob · 03-07-09, 11:57 PM

ck, what do you mean by that.

nonsense48 · 03-07-09, 11:59 PM

let me give you a great for instance. there was a horserace in detroit better than 20 yrs. ago. the fix was in. every owner and jockey of every horse was in on it. the horse that was supposed to win went off at 55/1. he was tucked in at 3 with a 1/4 mile to go when he made his move and took the lead. ahead by 5 lenghts with 20 yrds to the finish he fell and broke his leg and DQ. now that's piss poor luck.

Portlander · 03-08-09, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

they are still only 60-65% right at best........I wonder if you just flipped a coin for picks if you would be too far off that mark as well.....lol.

60-65% consistantly and with single betting your could quit your day job. Any higher than that and I think guys in black suits show up from Vegas and escort you to your new job.

Most cappers eek out less than 55% which is why they have to be recreational bettors. (that would be me) Coin flippers are the Jamaican aid society. (if you are with the greek or betjam.

)

TheLemonDropKid · 03-08-09, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

let me give you a great for instance. there was a horserace in detroit better than 20 yrs. ago. the fix was in. every owner and jockey of every horse was in on it. the horse that was supposed to win went off at 55/1. he was tucked in at 3 with a 1/4 mile to go when he made his move and took the lead. ahead by 5 lenghts with 20 yrds to the finish he fell and broke his leg and DQ. now that's piss poor luck.

LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!! That sounds like the kinda shit I lose on!!! Damn....you got me laughing good at that one......better not make me wake up my daughter!

TheLemonDropKid · 03-08-09, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by Portlander

60-65% consistantly and with single betting your could quit your day job. Any higher than that and I think guys in black suits show up from Vegas and escort you to your new job.

Most cappers eek out less than 55% which is why they have to be recreational bettors. (that would be me)

There you go........makes you wonder why we put all this analysis into it then doesn't it?

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:03 AM

honest to GOD true story

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:05 AM

lemon,i think the majority of this shit is fixed. you just need to hope that you're on the right side.

TheLemonDropKid · 03-08-09, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

lemon,i think the majority of this shit is fixed. you just need to hope that you're on the right side.

I seriously wouldn't doubt it.......the way I've seen shit go down game after game after game......there's no other explanation.

cocknocker · 03-08-09, 12:08 AM

C'mon T-Wolves!

TheLemonDropKid · 03-08-09, 12:09 AM

Well.....think I'm gonna go curl up next to my lady and catch some zzzzzs.

Non.......let me know if you would prefer that I stay off your action tomorrow.......it won't hurt my feelings.....

See ya'll tomorrow.

Hopefully I will wake up with this Portland game having gone under 200.

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:09 AM

and it get worse as the season goes on. same in football. college is just as bad. these kids are all in some books' pocket.

cocknocker · 03-08-09, 12:09 AM

No free money means that nothing is as easy as it looks

Dexter · 03-08-09, 12:09 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

if you mean that you need to do the work to cap the games in order to win at gambling on the nba. still, no matter how great a capper one is, it still comes down to pure luck if you win at gambling of any sort.

totally disagree with this statement nonsense...

and being that you havent had a losing season in something like 15 years, you mean to tell us that your simply "lucky" all of these seasons?

BrandonLaz · 03-08-09, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

I seriously wouldn't doubt it.......the way I've seen shit go down game after game after game......there's no other explanation.

I just don't think it is fixed I mean honestly if it is fixed I would say the public favorite would win only about 10-20% of the time and cover. Instead the public favorite is probably more around 30-40% just saying we will never know. I am sure select games are fixed by refs and such, but who knows. I strive for my 53% or better and for the NBA and College basketball season altogether I am a little above 55%.

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:12 AM

look at chris webber. he was the most crooked bastard in basketball and was the reason the UofM is still recovering from the shit he pulled while in school. he should have been thrown out of basketball. now look at him. they give him a job at tnt as an on-air game anaylist. fu ck him

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:13 AM

yep, i'm sure tellin' you that DEX. the majority of it is luck.

Dexter · 03-08-09, 12:13 AM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

Funny you should mention that Non.....the other night I was thinking to myself.......you know, as good as all these guys are at capping and all the hard work they put into it......they are still only 60-65% right at best........I wonder if you just flipped a coin for picks if you would be too far off that mark as well.....lol.

are you for real with this comment? do you have any idea how much money you can win being a 60-65% handicapper?

i would quit my job tomorrow if i can be in the 60-65% range with the money management skills i have.

Dexter · 03-08-09, 12:15 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

yep, i'm sure tellin' you that DEX. the majority of it is luck.

well, then i guess you just have a rabbits tail up your ass year after year.

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:16 AM

brandon, if they let you win only 10-20% of the time then no one would gamble on this shit. the books make huge money even if it was 50/50

Smacksmiter · 03-08-09, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

yep, i'm sure tellin' you that DEX. the majority of it is luck.

Truth talking to power...its a wonderful world

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:17 AM

i'm just a lucky person and always have been. it has nothing to do with any rabbits foot.

Dexter · 03-08-09, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

lemon,i think the majority of this shit is fixed. you just need to hope that you're on the right side.

wow, another comment of yours that makes no sense to me. you being a long time gambler, please explain to me how a pro game can be fixed. other then the refs being in on it (which i would think is impossible now) explain to me how.

some college games are fixed, no doubt. but why would any nba player fix a game? these guys make a disgusting amount of cash.

cocknocker · 03-08-09, 12:19 AM

C'mon T-Wolves!

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:20 AM

DEX, you're a very good capper. how many games have you bet that you were almost positive were a sure bet and they lost bigtime outright

Dexter · 03-08-09, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

i'm just a lucky person and always have been. it has nothing to do with any rabbits foot.

thats shocking to me that you would attribute your gambling success to luck. being that you take pride in capping your own games.

see what im saying?

cocknocker · 03-08-09, 12:20 AM

College games are hella fixed....

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:21 AM

you don't think the refs fix games anymore because 1 or 2 got caught. so that ended it. bullshit.

nonsense48 · 03-08-09, 12:22 AM

i'm not saying that they're all fixed but a good portion of them are to be sure.

Smacksmiter · 03-08-09, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

you don't think the refs fix games anymore because 1 or 2 got caught. so that ended it. bullshit.

Go! Go! Go!

suckatmyjob · 03-08-09, 12:23 AM

I think everything is fixed.... haha college games more....

oh dont forget to change your clocks tonight

shoebox · 03-08-09, 12:24 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

i'm just a lucky person and always have been. it has nothing to do with any rabbits foot.

Come on non, luck only gets you so far thats BS

Dexter · 03-08-09, 12:24 AM

Originally posted by nonsense48

DEX, you're a very good capper. how many games have you bet that you were almost positive were a sure bet and they lost bigtime outright

by no means am i very good. i put the work in, but my results are still mixed. ive collected more consistently the past 3-5 years because ive simply taken advantage of situations where i was up. thats when it hit home a very large game. and on the flip side, ive been more disciplined when i was down. my money mgmt skills are what has saved me, cause by no means do i hit 65% of my games over a full season