NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

[JMon]

What do you mean?

as a best bet player. not sure if Forty Six is playing

[dmitean]

I'm miles from you guys, as far as SDQL goes. I usually look for plays that I like and then simply try to play with SDQL to check if my thoughts have any back up numbers wise.
SDQL is just another tool that I use, I'm no where near a level of you, to use it as sole reason to bet.

[pip2]

7 plays found today -- think I'll go to Vegas to play some of these...

dal covers vs mn from hyahya O/U:103-60-0 (3.35, 63.2%)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011

lac/phx Over From nash13(eser orhan) O/U:83-48-5 (5.57, 63.4%)
HF and o:rest=0 and rest > 3

dal/mn Over from Nash O/U:103-60-0 (3.35, 63.2%)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011

bkn covers vs por from jmon ATS:14-36-0 (-5.22, 28.0%)
H and tA(FTA)<=21 and month=11 and F and -8.5<=line<=-3 and 2008<=season and rest<4 and o:rest<3 and losses>0 and o:wins<7 and o:losses<9

tor covers vs ut from b1Slickguy ATS: 101-77-3 (1.67, 56.7%)
p:HFL and op:W and site=home and -10<=t:line<-5 and 20051225<=date

atl covers vs cle from me ATS:140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%)
pu margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008

atl/cle Over From rcg O/U:281-197-6 (2.47, 58.8%)
p:dps>13 and op:dpa>13 and rest<=1 and o:rest<=1

[pip2]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 7:00am PST

Play Phoenix Suns/Los Angeles Clippers Over 209½ -105

SDQL:

HF and o:rest=0 and rest > 3

SDQL: English

Thanks Nash. Short and sweet. Well-rested home favorite pouncing on an un-rested opponent.

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 12-7 (+4.75)

Yesterday's recap 4-3 (+.85)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

1. JMon - 2-1 (+1.50)

2. pip2 - 1-1 (-.05)

3. nash13 - 2-0 (+2.00)

4. Ronald S. - 1-1 (-.05)

5. hyahya - 2-1 (+0.90)

6. Mako-SBR - 1-1 (-.10)

7. FlyinAir - 1-2 (-1.45)

8. Consigliere - 2-0 (+2.00)

9. Sports Mind - 0-0 (0.00)

10. Forty Six - 0-0 (0.00)

Three straight days of profits...keep up the good work!

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 7:00am PST

Play Phoenix Suns/Los Angeles Clippers Over 209½ -105

SDQL:

HF and o:rest=0 and rest > 3

SDQL: English

Thanks Nash. Short and sweet. Well-rested home favorite pouncing on an un-rested opponent.

Looks solid!

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 10:13a CT

Play ATL ML +245

SDQL:

pu margin > 10 and rest = 0 and P:L and season > 2008 and -1 > P:margin > -24 and conference = Eastern and line<11

SDQL English:

Since 2009, fade a Eastern conf. team (a line of no more than 10.5), on zero rest, following a high scoring game vs an oppt where they lost to by a margin of no more than 23 and no less than 2

[hyahya]

IND/CHI under
H and 102<=tA(points)<=110 and 93<=oA(ooints)<=96 and total<=193 and playoffs=0

IND/CHI over
A and p:HL and p:margin<-10 and op:ADW and WP<40

IND/CHI under
H and total < 190 and rest < 3 and o:rest = 0 and season > 2011 and conference = o:conference

MIN
line <= -11 and pooints <= 80 and opooints >= 110

MIN
p:margin>=25 and line>p:line and season>=2011

ATL/CLE under
208>=total>=201 and tS(ou margin, N=5)>=30 and 60>=WP>=51 and 2009<=season and site=home

ATL/CLE over
season >= 2008 and pu margin > 20 and opu margin > 20 and H

MIN/DAL over
H and po:turnovers - p:turnovers > 8 and ppo:turnovers - pp:turnovers > 8

PHO/LAC under
tA(points)>101 and p:TPA>25 and p:TPP<30 and season>2007 and p:FTA<25 and 210>total>200 and p:L

[SportsMind]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 11:13am MST

Play Phoenix Suns/Los Angeles Clippers Over 209 -102

SDQL:

HF and o:rest=0 and rest > 3

SDQL English:

Well rested favorite playing a team with no rest. Thanks Nash and pip2!!

[hyahya]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 12:13am PST

Play Atlanta Hawks +6.5 -110
pu margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008

Fading a team on a back2back where the previous game was much faster than expected and who lost to current opponent in previous encounter.

[hyahya]

p:AWD and rest=0 and AD and line>6 and season>2008 and 193>total

[Mako-SBR]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 12:45p PST

Play: Cleveland v. Atlanta, Under 207, -110

SDQL:

H and 60>= WP>=51 and tS(ou margin, N=5)>=18 and 198<=total<=207 and C and season>=2013

SDQL English:

Home team with a slightly better than .500 record, against a conference opponent, in a game where the total is set between 198 and 207, with said home team blowing away the over in recent previous games to the point where the line is now likely too high and the contrarian play is the right one.

NOTES:

Same one I lost with yesterday, and it's now lost 5 of it's last 6...despite being a dominant winner for nearly a decade straight. May be a perfect example of a "Lifetime" teenage-angst betting movie: "When Good Scenarios Go Bad!" but I'm sticking with it for now. Let's see if it rights itself the rest of the season.

[Mako-SBR]

hyahya, edit your posts to fix the smilies, just disable them via that checkbox underneath where you type.

[dmitean]

7 plays found today -- think I'll go to Vegas to play some of these...

dal covers vs mn from hyahya O/U:103-60-0 (3.35, 63.2%)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011

lac/phx Over From nash13(eser orhan) O/U:83-48-5 (5.57, 63.4%)
HF and o:rest=0 and rest > 3

dal/mn Over from Nash O/U:103-60-0 (3.35, 63.2%)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011

bkn covers vs por from jmon ATS:14-36-0 (-5.22, 28.0%)
H and tA(FTA)<=21 and month=11 and F and -8.5<=line<=-3 and 2008<=season and rest<4 and o:rest<3 and losses>0 and o:wins<7 and o:losses<9

tor covers vs ut from b1Slickguy ATS: 101-77-3 (1.67, 56.7%)
p:HFL and op:W and site=home and -10<=t:line<-5 and 20051225<=date

atl covers vs cle from me ATS:140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%)
pu margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008

atl/cle Over From rcg O/U:281-197-6 (2.47, 58.8%)
p:dps>13 and op:dpa>13 and rest<=1 and o:rest<=1

My thoughts if I may:
Wolves got whipped last night against NO. Sixers almost won in Houston, after 45 points loss to Dallas and Minny will fight for their pride.
I'm not saying that Dallas won't win ATS, but for me, ATS cover for Dallas is just as likely as Wolves ML here. Leaning Minny, but probably skipping this one, since you can never know how a team can react to such loss.
And the same for the Over - this game is too unexpected. I'm willing to bet a lot of money, that Dallas won't score 139+ points like Pelicans did. So how much will Minny score? Hard to tell.
I like the Over, because Dallas defense is much worse than Pelicans is and Minny still got some fire power, but Rubio was their floor general and their back court at the moment is a huge question mark.

Brooklyn can cover. They thought hard against both Suns and GSW and came up short. Tonight they play against Portland, a team that is missing 2 starters and has the highest starters usage in the league, because their bench compete with Memphis, for the worst bench in the league. Portland is a very tough place to play in, but still... If Nets set their mind right, they should win this one SU.

I like the Toronto bet, mostly because of the query - good team (big line indicates that), after home loss as favorites, against bad team that comes off a win.
We can add zero rest for the road team (if I did it correctly and get better results):
p:HFL and op:W and site=home and -10<=t:line<-5 and 20051225<=date and o:rest=0

one question though - it didn't give me Raptors game in the query... - how come?

I like Cleveland and Over in Cleveland - just the way Cleveland been playing so far - leads me to that - nothing to do with the Hawks, that I have zero opinion on them so far.

[dmitean]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 12:13am PST

Play Atlanta Hawks +6.5
pu margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008

Fading a team on a back2back where the previous game was much faster than expected and who lost to current opponent in previous encounter.

This is for me, a case, where you just can't look at such query. To compare Cleveland last season, without Bron, Love, Blatt (and all the others) and this one... zero logic in my eyes.

[Mako-SBR]

Nice dmitean, like the writeups in post 1764.

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 12:13am PST

Play Atlanta Hawks +6.5
pu margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008

Fading a team on a back2back where the previous game was much faster than expected and who lost to current opponent in previous encounter.

need your odds to make it official

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14

Plays - some maybe pending....

pip2 - PHX ov 209.5 (1.05 to win 1)

JMon- ATL ML (1 to win 2.45)

Sportsmind - PHX ov 209 (1.02 to win 1)

Mako-SBR - CLEV UN 207 (1.10 to win 1)

[nash13]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11:58 CET

Play: Bulls/Pacers Over 181.5 (-103)

Query: A and p:HL and p:margin<-10 and op:ADW and WP<40

SDQL English: Take a look at a match where the Away Team had a Home Loss in its previous game and the margin was less than -10. At the same time their opponent had a Win as a Away Underdog. The Winning Percentage must be lower than 40%. On this type of games we take the Over.

Line dropped right now. SDQL shows 183.5 but bookmakers are now down.

[Consigliere]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14 - 12:13am PST

Play Dallas/Minnesota O210 (-112)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011
Taking the over on a team coming off a game where there were lots of rebounds (missed shots) and not a lot of fouls. Playing contrarian here hoping the put the ball in the hoop this game.

[Ronald S.]

Will have a play on the clippers game for Best Bet. This trend came up with 2 good plays... will have to dig deeper to see which one is better.

27-13 (6.12, 67.5%) 11-26-3 (-3.61, 29.7%) avg line: -9.7 27-11-2 (5.12, 71.1%) avg total: 195.6

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-15-14

Plays - some maybe pending....

pip2 - PHX ov 209.5 (1.05 to win 1)

JMon- ATL ML (1 to win 2.45)

Sportsmind - PHX ov 209 (1.02 to win 1)

Mako-SBR - CLEV UN 207 (1.10 to win 1)

hyahya - ATL +6.5 (1.1 to win 1)

nash13 - CHI OV 181.5 (1.03 to win 1)

Consigliere - DAL OV 210 (1.12 to win 1)

[Ronald S.]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

LA Clippers/Phoenix Over 210.5 -105

H and line < -6.5 and p:quarter scores p:P4 <= 16 and season >= 2009 and rest >= 2
SU: 27-13 (6.12, 67.5%)
ATS: 11-26-3 (-3.61, 29.7%) avg line: -9.7
O/U: 27-11-2 (5.12, 71.1%) avg total: 195.6

Since 2009, games where the home team on 2+ days of rest who scored 16 points or fewer in the 4th quarter of their previous game have gone 27-11-2 with respect to O/U. 9-4-1 when the other team was on no rest.

[pip2]

7 plays found today -- think I'll go to Vegas to play some of these...

dal covers vs mn from hyahya O/U:103-60-0 (3.35, 63.2%)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011

lac/phx Over From nash13(eser orhan) O/U:83-48-5 (5.57, 63.4%)
HF and o:rest=0 and rest > 3

dal/mn Over from Nash O/U:103-60-0 (3.35, 63.2%)
p:defensive rebounds + poffensive rebounds > 52 and H and p:fouls <26 and season > 2011

bkn covers vs por from jmon ATS:14-36-0 (-5.22, 28.0%)
H and tA(FTA)<=21 and month=11 and F and -8.5<=line<=-3 and 2008<=season and rest<4 and o:rest<3 and losses>0 and o:wins<7 and o:losses<9

tor covers vs ut from b1Slickguy ATS: 101-77-3 (1.67, 56.7%)
p:HFL and op:W and site=home and -10<=t:line<-5 and 20051225<=date

atl covers vs cle from me ATS:140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%)
pu margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008

atl/cle Over From rcg O/U:281-197-6 (2.47, 58.8%)
p:dps>13 and op:dpa>13 and rest<=1 and o:rest<=1

1-0: hiyahya query showed dal covering vs mn
1-0: lac/phx over nash query
1-0: dal/mn over query by nash
0-1: jmon's query showing bkn covering vs por falls short
1-0: tor covers vs ut, b1slickguy's queries still work well
0-1: atl covers vs cle, lebron kind of defies the statistical
1-0: atl/cle Over rcg's query got it right

total: 5-2

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 17-10 62.9% (+6.55)

Yesterday's recap 5-3 (+1.80)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

1. JMon - 2-2 (+.50)

2. pip2 - 2-1 (+.95)

3. nash13 - 3-0 (+3.00)

4. Ronald S. - 2-1 (+.95)

5. hyahya - 2-2 (-.20)

6. Mako-SBR - 1-2 (-1.20)

7. FlyinAir - 1-2 (-1.45)

8. Consigliere - 3-0 (+3.00)

9. Sports Mind - 1-0 (+1.00)

10. Forty Six - 0-0 (0.00)

Four straight days of profits...keep up the good work!

[nash13]

No spam please!

[Consigliere]

No best bet for me today. Wondering on the best bet if we should also keep the record of unique picks records?

[nash13]

I will skip tonight too, there are only three trends active. Lakers/Warriors has them all, but nothing very strong.
Short question, NCAAB DB is on, but lines are not entered for Totals, should we skip NCAAB?

[JMon]

No spam please!

huh?

[JMon]

No best bet for me today. Wondering on the best bet if we should also keep the record of unique picks records?

Can you explain a little further what you mean by unique?

[JMon]

I will skip tonight too, there are only three trends active. Lakers/Warriors has them all, but nothing very strong.
Short question, NCAAB DB is on, but lines are not entered for Totals, should we skip NCAAB?

I rarely dive into NCAAB using SDQL, but that's me.

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-16-14 - 10:30a CT

Play OKC OV 193.5 -110
SDQL:

H and 199.5 >= total >= 192.5 and 10 - (rest + p:rest + pp:rest + ppp:rest + pppp:rest) >= 6 and p:HFL and 2007 <= season

SDQL English:

Since 2007 with a total of 192.5 to 199.5, play over a home team coming off a home loss as a favorite playing 6 or more in 10.

[nash13]

huh?

Nit you, there was a post for a paid blog after your post, glad the Mods deleted it.

[nash13]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-16-14 - 10:30a CT

Play OKC OV 193.5 -110
SDQL:

H and 199.5 >= total >= 192.5 and 10 - (rest + p:rest + pp:rest + ppp:rest + pppp:rest) >= 6 and p:HFL and 2007 <= season

SDQL English:

Since 2007 with a total of 192.5 to 199.5, play over a home team coming off a home loss as a favorite playing 6 or more in 10.

This looks very solid, I will take a look at line movement, and if the lines drop a bit, I will be with you, worked great for me on O/U bets so far.

[JMon]

Nit you, there was a post for a paid blog after your post, glad the Mods deleted it.

oh ok...I was wondering.

I put up a couple of solid NFL queries for those to look at and add if you wish as a contributor.