CK Mafia Leans for 3/1/09..

vicmackey · 03-01-09, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by MindGames

Whats up Vicmackey.. thats cool man! Just out of curiousity did you take the FL -6 line as well? We both know Tennessee has a real hard time holding on to half time leads.

Hey Mind Games, No I did take Tenn +5. They screwed me all year and thought oh hell they owe me one. lol

Do you play poker? I'm off to play cards at the Knox poker room.

Vic Mackey

LUNT101 · 03-01-09, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

to be honest, i say we go back to our regularly scheduled program with ck leading the way with his heavy, pc etc plays...

Totally agree, but I feel like CK hasn't really taken NBA capping that seriously ever since he had that week over in the NCAA forums. Granted, I will be watching his March Madness picks very carefully, but I feel like he lost that NBA swagger that he had early on in the season. The last couple of weeks have been mostly quick picks by him with not alot of in depth analysis and then picks by other cappers. This is in no way a bash on CK, I just wish he would give NBA the time and attention he did earlier in the season because he's one of the best. I'm sure I speak for all of us when I say his opinion on these games are extremely valuable.

BCaldwell32 · 03-01-09, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

ya know gang, i've been around this block of this thing we do for a long time now and i've never seen so many bullshitters in my life. we have a handful here who actually know how and what it takes to cap a basketball game. most don't have a clue but they talk a good game.

well I agree with that, we just need to be able to recognize the pretenders

wangichu · 03-01-09, 06:41 PM

adding ATL +2 1st half. When they play big teams as dogs they do a good job of keeping the game tight quarter by quarter. Against boston i played them 1Q, 1Hf, and game, i'll lay off the 1Q here, because cavs are strong early, but i think that atlanta takes a lead into the half and worst case scenario, the hawks will cover at least one of half or game. Doing the same thing with IND in the first half.. they do a good job of starting out fast and both those 1st half lines are half or less of game total, even with more money on the favs at the half.

half size plays:

IND +1 1st half
ATL +2 1st half

regular plays:

ATL +4/ML
IND +2.5/ML

if these hit, i may go on GS tonight, but until then, i'm sitting on that game.

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 06:42 PM

DEX, a good capper will always have a bad run from time to time because we do this day after day, week after week, and year after year. what you went thru recently is very understandable.

peetlui · 03-01-09, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

jspec, where did you post all of that before tipoff?

Lol, Non if I was going hunting I'd want you to be my hound dog!!

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 06:44 PM

DEX, there's a few ppl on the consensus board that i've had pm's from asking for help. i know you've gotten some of the same pm's i've gotten.

jspectyper · 03-01-09, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

jspec, where did you post all of that before tipoff?

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/151414-parlays-today.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

Originally posted by jspectyper

Nash playing tonight

Anyone book la/pho under 238?

mb19 · 03-01-09, 06:45 PM

Tonight I like Jazz -4.5 and Maryland +4.5

Jazz one of the hottest and healthiest teams right now. GS is banged up.

jspectyper · 03-01-09, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

ya know gang, i've been around this block of this thing we do for a long time now and i've never seen so many bullshitters in my life. we have a handful here who actually know how and what it takes to cap a basketball game. most don't have a clue but they talk a good game.

I hope your not implying this post to me, I didn't confirm that I booked the la game but I did confirm I did the teaser. I don't bullshit if you think I am, what would I have to do take a screenshot of my bet history at bodog?

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by LUNT101

Totally agree, but I feel like CK hasn't really taken NBA capping that seriously ever since he had that week over in the NCAA forums. Granted, I will be watching his March Madness picks very carefully, but I feel like he lost that NBA swagger that he had early on in the season. The last couple of weeks have been mostly quick picks by him with not alot of in depth analysis and then picks by other cappers. This is in no way a bash on CK, I just wish he would give NBA the time and attention he did earlier in the season because he's one of the best. I'm sure I speak for all of us when I say his opinion on these games are extremely valuable.

lunt, to a decent capper, ck's opinion shouldn't matter. only the true tailers live for ck's opinion.

LUNT101 · 03-01-09, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

lunt, to a decent capper, ck's opinion shouldn't matter. only the true tailers live for ck's opinion.

There is some middle ground between living for CK's opinion and not caring at all about it. I consider myself a decent NBA capper but CK has much more experience with gambling in general than I do and I value his insight and information. Doesn't mean I "live" for his opinion, but I do like to hear what he is thinking when he is at the top of his game.

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 06:49 PM

jspec, not at al but if you don't post it here then don't bother mentioning when you win cuz no one will believe you. that's all. we get lots of ppl thru here that like to post-post wins. if you don't post before tipoff it don't mean shit. jmot

peetlui · 03-01-09, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

DEX, there's a few ppl on the consensus board that i've had pm's from asking for help. i know you've gotten some of the same pm's i've gotten.

Non, obviously they see value in your opinion. I'd take that as a feather in my cap..ping lol

jspectyper · 03-01-09, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by mb19

Tonight I like Jazz -4.5 and Maryland +4.5

Jazz one of the hottest and healthiest teams right now. GS is banged up.

Thinking about doing this and possibly cleveland but utahs not exactly the best team on the road but I'm feeling them.

jspectyper · 03-01-09, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

jspec, not at al but if you don't post it here then don't bother mentioning when you win cuz no one will believe you. that's all. we get lots of ppl thru here that like to post-post wins. if you don't post before tipoff it don't mean shit. jmot

Oh ok I hear ya, I did confirm the teaser though and even though I didn't say I booked it I did show how I was looking at the game

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 06:55 PM

peet, i don't want them to see value in my opinion. look what happened to ck when he went in a slump. the ppl that valued his opinion up to that point attacked the poor guy. i don't even need that shit.

peetlui · 03-01-09, 07:00 PM

I hear you non, you're always gonna have small people who can't see the big picture... but in the long run they let their own ignorance defeat them.

jspectyper · 03-01-09, 07:01 PM

just out of curiosity anybody bet on mma?

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 07:01 PM

ok now, let's get back to making some money the rest of the night.

Dexter · 03-01-09, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by LUNT101

Totally agree, but I feel like CK hasn't really taken NBA capping that seriously ever since he had that week over in the NCAA forums. Granted, I will be watching his March Madness picks very carefully, but I feel like he lost that NBA swagger that he had early on in the season. The last couple of weeks have been mostly quick picks by him with not alot of in depth analysis and then picks by other cappers. This is in no way a bash on CK, I just wish he would give NBA the time and attention he did earlier in the season because he's one of the best. I'm sure I speak for all of us when I say his opinion on these games are extremely valuable.

i agree, but i think hes trying to get ready for a huge march madness. both the nfl and ncaa post seasons - he was lights out.

Dexter · 03-01-09, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

DEX, a good capper will always have a bad run from time to time because we do this day after day, week after week, and year after year. what you went thru recently is very understandable.

its crazy to say this, but i lost more money this week then i won last week - and if you saw me here last sunday after the magic beat the heat - you know i cashed in a pretty penny. it is what it is, and im glad i took the day off today to get my head straight.

suckatmyjob · 03-01-09, 07:07 PM

i am not a capper or i dont think i am i'm a daytrader and I suck at it -- (do i make money **** yea but nearly as much as those that were in my office thus now I trade from home b/c it was ****ing depressing when you thought you killed it but others in the room made 10 times whwat you made)

I tail alot of people here and I learn a lot especially the ck SP plays, the JM plays, Formulawhiz, mainly those that list how they come up with it and then now I just do it on my own (schaapattack so far his picks has been really similar to mine and alot of mine does deal with RLM too

usually how i come up with how to bet what teams is usually the last 30 min change in lines i have 3 books offshore and 3 of what you would call local bookies so that's how I usually do my picks and once in a while you see me post it and sometimes you see me dont but i know for sure when I tried breaking down a game details by details and why i'm on it I totally lose that game hence the lakers 2 times haha

call me a tailer or a capper i only know one thing I'm a bettor and I try to make money and that's it i love this board and until CK or someone tells me to get the **** out i'm still going to stick around

how much do i bet some have ask? I use to bet as much as CK on his SP plays but then I stopped b/c it got out of hand and it was way too many bets and now betting has become like a 2nd job for me taking too much time but on hte under of the lakers game i liked it last minute and i did mention to parlay it with pho3nix picks so let's root for this

but man some great cappers here that I love to pick their brains and eventually one day do it all by myself

its like trading....there's so many ways to trade and everyone has their own way that you can add to your arsenel of knowledge to make more money and trust me when I daytrade out of an office I would tail alot of traders b/c we were all for the same goal to make money and when I do tail people I say thanks

vassman86 · 03-01-09, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by LUNT101

Totally agree, but I feel like CK hasn't really taken NBA capping that seriously ever since he had that week over in the NCAA forums. Granted, I will be watching his March Madness picks very carefully, but I feel like he lost that NBA swagger that he had early on in the season. The last couple of weeks have been mostly quick picks by him with not alot of in depth analysis and then picks by other cappers. This is in no way a bash on CK, I just wish he would give NBA the time and attention he did earlier in the season because he's one of the best. I'm sure I speak for all of us when I say his opinion on these games are extremely valuable.

Lunt, you're right. He hasn't been on top of his game since that brief stint in the NCAA forums, which is understandable. The way I see it, to be good at capping NBA games, you have to stay up to date with how teams are playing on a daily basis. You'll know which teams are struggling, where they're struggling, when they're hot, when they're cold, and the list goes on. That way, you'll have a good idea of what to expect from a team when you're betting on them or against them.

I agree with you as well that I appreciate getting feedback from CK because he has a lot more experience than many of us young cappers, and with that, he's able to help us figure out where we're going wrong.

peetlui · 03-01-09, 07:09 PM

Dex when people post their booked plays shoudn't they also post the line they locked in at? Just seems to legitimatize it alittle more....or does it matter?

Hue · 03-01-09, 07:09 PM

My best leans..
Ind +2, Hou -5.5,Atl +4, Dal -6.5, Utah -5

suckatmyjob · 03-01-09, 07:09 PM

oh wow i'm so way off on this college over under man its like make money in NBA give it back in CBB

shoebox · 03-01-09, 07:14 PM

You guys are making my head hurt.....

suckatmyjob · 03-01-09, 07:15 PM

shoebox i love that avatar b/c every time i see it and i'm down it does hurt haha

shoebox · 03-01-09, 07:22 PM

Alright people listen up......
Can you cap at 55% clip???
Can you tail at 55% clip???
Can you manage your money???
If you can you can win long term, if not get out. These are big boy games, not something to F around with. I dont want all you new guys to get burnt cause one capper or the another capper gets hot. I have seen people lose there house, families, life savings due to gambling. Now, I dont want to see this happen to anyone so if you think you found the golden key here you havent. If you can follow the 3? you belong. If not please move along to something else.

Dont play big boy games if you cant handle it.

shoebox · 03-01-09, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by suckatmyjob

shoebox i love that avatar b/c every time i see it and i'm down it does hurt haha

thanks, so many people want me to change it,some think its bad luck...

suckatmyjob · 03-01-09, 07:25 PM

shoebox summed it all up

Dexter · 03-01-09, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by peetlui

Dex when people post their booked plays shoudn't they also post the line they locked in at? Just seems to legitimatize it alittle more....or does it matter?

of course they should be posting their lines - but by not posting a line, that makes it easier to claim a win later if the final falls right around the number.

i always post a line and have never once made a change to it.

nonsense48 · 03-01-09, 07:29 PM

well said shoe and keep the av. it's you. i wouldn't recognize you without it.

suckatmyjob · 03-01-09, 07:30 PM

hey non i just realize alot of your picks are for the favorite