CK Mafia Leans for 3/1/09..

[nonsense48]

DEX, i just noticed that you started the thread today for our chinese buddy onehungover. great job.

[LUNT101]

i'm just mad at myself for pussin' out on indy in some of those big games earlier this year, they're doing just what ATL did last year as frequent home dogs. Now ATL has too much respect with the 4th best record in the east to catch points at home against anyone except the elite squads in the game, so i'm very happy to take them here. All in all, i just think that DEN -2 is the sucker bet of the day.

I agree. I think the fact that Denver and Cleveland are giving so few points speaks volumes about those games.

[ram1502]

Thank you wang for confirming my Atlanta and Indiana picks. Gives me nice peace of mind.

I actually had the Hawks and Pacers as early leans as well, but dropped them from my final plays as the Nuggets own the Pacers and the Cavs own the Hawks. Really hate going against recent history of a matchup.

[nonsense48]

lunt and wang, i have to disagree with you on both of those games and take the visitors both giving less than a handful of points. jmot

[BCaldwell32]

The 100 year old Shaq is playing like he is 20 years old again

[ram1502]

Jazz trends as road favorites

• Jazz are 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games as a road favorite.
• Jazz are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
• Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
• Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
• Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Warriors trends as home dogs

• Warriors are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• Warriors are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
• Warriors are 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 games as a home underdog.

I love this set up. And as you said, shoe, one of us will be very happy later tonight. GL my friend.

[BCaldwell32]

Jazz trends as road favorites

• Jazz are 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games as a road favorite.
• Jazz are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
• Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
• Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
• Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Warriors trends as home dogs

• Warriors are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• Warriors are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
• Warriors are 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 games as a home underdog.

I love this set up. And as you said, shoe, one of us will be very happy later tonight. GL my friend.

Do you not feel these trends for Utah are a little askewed with the fact that Kirilenko and Boozer have been out all year practically?? I think that is pretty important when weighing statistics and trends that 2 of your stars have been out, just my obvious opinion of the day.

[shoebox]

Ram,

Although trends are nice and good to follow, sometimes there irrelevant if the sky is blue and the flowers are blooming on wednesdays. The jazz just have the warriors #


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[moneygrip]

JOHNNY UNITS SUNDAY ATS:

UNDER 193 HORNETS@NETS - I think this game will be somewhat low scoring. Hornets refuse to go back to playing run n' gun and the Nets offense is a bit inconsistent.

OVER 215.5 DENVER@INDIANA- Pacers play fast paced basketball, Denver can score the rock. over

[repski]

who are these Lakers?
down 16 pts

[djpremier36]

Going with UTA, HOU, and POR

HOU -6 has had no problems against MIN(5-0 in last 5) when the Wolves had Al Jeff/KG in recent years. After coming off a heartbreaking meltdown, the Rockets will make mince meat from the T-Puppies. Yao has a field day no matter who guards him. MIN is 0-5 in last 5 , while HOU is soaring at 6-1 in it's last 7.

POR -3.5 is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. It's tough to go against SA any given day but w/ NO Manu and a wonky Duncan(doubt he plays) this game looks too good to pass up. Por is is also 5-2 ATS at home vs SA in the last 7.

UTA -4 historically plays so-so on the road. Oracle is historically a tough barn to get a road win. Problem is that the heart and sole of the GSW, S. Jackson, will not play. Biedrins is not 100% and Williams is starting to get unguardable. UTA is 6-1 in it's last 7 vs GSW and has won it's last 5 overall. Playing this game smaller than the other two.

GL MaFiA!

[BCaldwell32]

Oh and also the fact that Don Nelson has showed that he has given up this year and are giving bench players more minutes now?

[shoebox]

Oh and also the fact that Don Nelson has showed that he has given up this year and are giving bench players more minutes now?

X2

[ram1502]

Do you not feel these trends for Utah are a little askewed with the fact that Kirilenko and Boozer have been out all year practically?? I think that is pretty important when weighing statistics and trends that 2 of your stars have been out, just my obvious opinion of the day.

These numbers are not skewed in the least bit. They were getting tiny lines to cover while Boozer and Kirilenko were out. The books knew full and well their stars were out and adjusted the lines accordingly.

[LUNT101]

I actually had the Hawks and Pacers as early leans as well, but dropped them from my final plays as the Nuggets own the Pacers and the Cavs own the Hawks. Really hate going against recent history of a matchup.

How do the Nuggets own the Pacers? Indiana is a much better team at home and the last time they played in Indiana was the 1st half of last season and both teams were completely different.

As far as Cleveland and Atlanta, I love that Horford is playing extremely well and Ben Wallace is out, plus the fact that after Boston loses on a given day, it has become a trend where Cleveland doesn't play as well. Not to mention that 2 months ago, Cleveland was a 4 point favorite in Atlanta with almost an identical total as well and lost the game SU.

[The_Kid]

Whoever had the OVER 1H between the Suns and Lakers just got a huge break. There was 1 minute left and it was 61-49. Halftime score is 66-56. That's 12 points in a minute.

[BCaldwell32]

lol ok you win, I guess you are just not understanding.

[repski]

WVU..not the same teak on the road..

[BCaldwell32]

booked Phoenix +7 2nd half.

[ram1502]

How do the Nuggets own the Pacers? Indiana is a much better team and home and the last time they played in Indiana was the 1st half of last season and both teams were completely different.

As far as Cleveland and Atlanta, I love that Horford is playing extremely well and Ben Wallace is out, plus the fact that after Boston loses on a given day, it has become a trend where Cleveland doesn't play as well. Not to mention that 2 months ago, Cleveland was a 4 point spread in Atlanta with almost an identical total as well and lost the game SU.

Well, as far as I'm concerned, 8-1 SU & ATS in the last 9 regardless of venue is pretty much ownage. Correct me if I'm wrong.

[The_Kid]

booked Phoenix +7 2nd half.

BC, you're not concerned with Phoenix shooting almost 60% from the field and their lead is only 10?

[nonsense48]

lunt, i have to agree with ram. numbers don't lie. plus i have both cle and den bet. so i guess you could say i'm just alittle bias.

[jspectyper]

Hopefully la plays better defense and slows things down to their pace this second half.

[wangichu]

Well, as far as I'm concerned, 8-1 SU & ATS in the last 9 regardless of venue is pretty much ownage. Correct me if I'm wrong.

if that's the case, how come they are only laying two? smells fishy to me, and lunt picked up on that same scent, that's all i'm saying

[cocknocker]

West Virginia-7 -105 2nd half

[Dexter]

@ DEX, there have now been 2 plays for the Warriors. Does this nullify the Jazz play on the big board or not? I'm not sure, I just don't want anybody to lose money if it's not a consensus pick.

2 for GS, 4 for utah...

[wangichu]

lakers -7 2nd half... that's more than the game spread and i'm calling shennanegins... lakers are just too good to get pounded like that. I still don't even think the suns win this one... remember what happened when cleveland took a double digit lead into the half

[The_Kid]

Prop Bet of the Day

Troy Murphy -5.5 Points + Rebounds OVER Nene Hilario

Nene is still under 100% with that bruised knee he suffered against Milwaukee the other day. He played limited minutes against the Lakers and I would think the Nuggets will monitor his minutes again today. Murphy has just been a double double machine all season long.

[djpremier36]

I love the idea of having a consensus on the big board.

It organizes everybody's picks and makes things easier for the average viewer.

Hopefully it sticks around!!!

[ram1502]

What is shocking to me is earlier this season when the Cavs were in Atlanta, the line was Cavs -4 and they were without Ilgauskus. Now they are fully healthy, with Z and Delonte back and the line is Cavs -4 again. Very strange to me. Makes me think the Hawks are the play, but I really can't bet against Lebron with this revenge angle.

[BCaldwell32]

BC, you're not concerned with Phoenix shooting almost 60% from the field and their lead is only 10?

Not in this case, because they will continue to get it into Shaq qho cannot be guarded by Gasol.

[nonsense48]

zactly ram

[Dexter]

What's up with Phoenix being offered at +6 at the greek all of a sudden? I'm gonna have to take that and add a hook to it and take them at +6.5

Dropping my mneyline play though! I d othink the lakers will win, but just not cover playig their 4th game in 5 nights

you had me nervous for a second - this wasnt the 4th game in 5 nights for the lakers (3rd in 4 nights).

[Dexter]

and the lakers take the lead just like that

[shoebox]

@ DEX, there have now been 2 plays for the Warriors. Does this nullify the Jazz play on the big board or not? I'm not sure, I just don't want anybody to lose money if it's not a consensus pick.

You dont want anyone to lose money?? Wow you must have some inside info, guess I already lost this one. So much for my Utah pick X5 I better fade myself fast since you dont want anyone losing money......