2013/14 NBA Thread

[KRIT]

I like your thinking for tonight. I'm most likely going the same route.....OKC and Wizards. Pacers are dead, I think there is a decent chance they get swept by the Wiz.

OKC should bounce back. I expect a big game from KD, Thunder should roll.

GL today.

[Seto]

I like your thinking for tonight. I'm most likely going the same route.....OKC and Wizards. Pacers are dead, I think there is a decent chance they get swept by the Wiz.

OKC should bounce back. I expect a big game from KD, Thunder should roll.

GL today.

Thanks bro. Good luck as well

[Seto]

The way the Wizards are giving this game away down the stretch is absolutely disgraceful and disgusting.

What got into these braindead idiots seriously? John Wall shooting a 30-footer with 20 seconds on the shot clock? Wow.

[Seto]

What a fukking scrub John Wall is.

He has played 2 dreadful games.

Hope he plays better at home.

[t-wizzle]

The way the Wizards are giving this game away down the stretch is absolutely disgraceful and disgusting.

What got into these braindead idiots seriously? John Wall shooting a 30-footer with 20 seconds on the shot clock? Wow.

Yea that was really dumb but let's not forget how good Indiana is defensively.

Let's be honest - the writing was on the wall once late money was all over the Pacers.

[Seto]

What a lucky shot.

Indiana getting ALL the breaks down the stretch. I still think they suck. But the Wizards are making this very hard on themselves. These droughts they go through on offense should not happen as much at home thankfully.

[Seto]

Worst case scenario for me - they cover and lose. So I would be 2-0 had I just bet them game by game yet the series is tied.

These fukks better take care of homecourt.

[Seto]

Yea that was really dumb but let's not forget how good Indiana is defensively.

Let's be honest - the writing was on the wall once late money was all over the Pacers.

I'm not too sure that's what explains this Wizards meltdown - they just started thinking about tying the game every possession which is nonsensical. John Wall played dreadful.

I guess the split is ok. Probably would have taken that before the series. Over to DC now.

[t-wizzle]

Are you still convinced Wizards win that series?

Washington will be fine if they get out and run. They won't win a halfcourt series though and that's what playoff basketball is.

[Seto]

Are you still convinced Wizards win that series?

Washington will be fine if they get out and run. They won't win a halfcourt series though and that's what playoff basketball is.

Yes I am. I don't think they've even played well yet and they got the split.

Not concerned about Hibbert going off either in terms of offense. The bad thing about that is it makes him more engaged defensively which makes Indiana a tougher team but he can score 30 any night he wants if it prevents George and Stephenson from running the offense.

[Pauulzcappin]

t-wizzle don't be fooled by what you saw today. if washington executes in the last 2-3 minutes properly they might have stolen another one.

washington in game 3 is a strong play.

[Seto]

Today: 1-4, +0.67x
Total: 240-283-9, +32.74x

What a DISGUSTING loss on OKC-12.5. Even bypassing that they were up by 20 several times these fukking idiots were up by 15 with 40 seconds left. Figures fukking Big Baby makes a 22-footer. Absolutely disgusting.

[Pauulzcappin]

it was stupid, it's almost like they were trying to throw. Seto how much are we unloading on the wizards friday?

[Seto]

it was stupid, it's almost like they were trying to throw. Seto how much are we unloading on the wizards friday?

I may have to make a separate play there yeah. Wizards should go up 3-1 on these jokers.

[KRIT]

What do you guys think the line will be for gm3? Wiz -3.5?

[Pauulzcappin]

What do you guys think the line will be for gm3? Wiz -3.5?

Yep, I really don't think books trust Indy enough to put a soft line out. May be up to -4.5

[Seto]

I think it will open at 2.5 or 3 actually. Move up to -3.5 by gametime.

[Pauulzcappin]

I think it will open at 2.5 or 3 actually. Move up to -3.5 by gametime.

I really doubt they release a line that soft.

[Seto]

I really doubt they release a line that soft.

Does it really move 8 points though from 4.5 to 3.5 the other way unless the team at home is down 2-0 and desperate for a win? Usually in 1-1 series the move is a bit less, I could be wrong though especially if the books start reacting more to how bad Indiana looks.

[Pauulzcappin]

Does it really move 8 points though from 4.5 to 3.5 the other way unless the team at home is down 2-0 and desperate for a win? Usually in 1-1 series the move is a bit less, I could be wrong though especially if the books start reacting more to how bad Indiana looks.

Well, think a bit like the average joe here... indy best team in the east in the regular season just won and their center who was supposedly dead scored 30. if they release a 4 pt line they will get a lot of action on indy and i think that's what they are looking for.

[unitedlad]

Hey Seto. You got any feelings on the Thunder series price? 1.91 now. I think at that price, coming off that convincing performance last night, is good for a couple units.

[Seto]

Well, think a bit like the average joe here... indy best team in the east in the regular season just won and their center who was supposedly dead scored 30. if they release a 4 pt line they will get a lot of action on indy and i think that's what they are looking for.

You could be right yeah. Let's see what the books do.

[Seto]

Hey Seto. You got any feelings on the Thunder series price? 1.91 now. I think at that price, coming off that convincing performance last night, is good for a couple units.

This is a tough series. The reality is that both these teams have a lot of swings where they can look like a shoe-in for the title one second and look absolutely terrible the next (especially on defense).

The Thunder have experience going for them and have already proven to be able to beat good teams in the playoffs albeit with Harden. These Clippers have not convinced me yet although I do see them as dangerous, they are not yet a team I'm scared to fade so to speak... But they did get HCA back which is obviously a factor...

So all this to say, yeah, I don't really have a clue who wins this series at this point. I'm probably going to bet it game by game. As of now I lean Thunder for game 3 but really not sure yet.

Otoh I know I have those +333 Thunder West futures and I will be thinking over the next couple days whether I should ride out all 3 units or perhaps buy back a bit.

[Seto]

Thu 5/8		25203 Oklahoma City Thunder wins Western Conf		<input id="editx" name="M1_69" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +275
9:35PM		25204 Field wins Western Conference		<input id="editx" name="M2_69" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -325

Looks like can buy out as much as I want to at a profit with my +333. Just a matter of deciding if I want to and if so how much. 3 units seems to be a bit much on a relatively long shot future think I got a bit carried away there.

[Seto]

Thunder to win the West +333 (william hill) (risking 3x to win 10x)

Thunder to NOT win the West -325 (5dimes) (risking 6.5x to win 2x)

Total bet: Thunder to win the West +350 (william hill/5dimes) (risking 1x to win 3.5x)

Feel more comfy this way. No reason to have 3 units on that future.

[Seto]

Nets/Heat largest lead under 18 -120 (ladbrokes) (risking 2.02x to win 1.68x)

[Pauulzcappin]

Wizards opened at -3.5

seto books don't want indy action here.

[unitedlad]

Seriously tempted to put more on Wiz series. Especially considering it is 2.05 at paddypower and 1.85 are pinny, Already have 5u on it though.

[KRIT]

I think Wiz opened at -3 and got hit up to -3.5 right away. Take it now if you like it, Pinny's juice on Wiz is already -110, will likely move to 4.5 by tip.

[Pauulzcappin]

Got them at -3.5

already got a high ammount but thinking I should have put more

don't think it should matter though. might actually hit up a -8.5 alt line or something.

[Seto]

Wow yeah both Wiz and Clippers opened -3 but immediately hammered up to -4. Guess I was wrong thought they would'nt close higher than 3.5.

Not sure what to make of the movement but I know what my eyes are telling me and that's that the Wizards are the better team.

[Seto]

Wizards opened at -3.5

seto books don't want indy action here.

You mean they want Indy action right?

[Seto]

Seriously tempted to put more on Wiz series. Especially considering it is 2.05 at paddypower and 1.85 are pinny, Already have 5u on it though.

I have enough on the series myself... But I may consider a separate bet for this game. Or maybe just hit an alt line like in game 2 (but a little less of a long shot one).

[Seto]

Today: 1-0, +1.68x
Total: 241-283-9, +34.42x

Been a long time coming - finally up for the playoffs in pre-game plays at least.

Woulda put more on this but for ladbrokes limits, oh well. It could've lost had Miami taken over earlier but I didn't expect them to until the end. Easy as you like really, never threatened.

[Pauulzcappin]

Good play. Yeah I meant indy money. should we be worried if wiz goes back to -3.5 though?