2013/14 NBA Thread

[NBA Maniac]

Seto we need to play Dallas again.
Those guys are making Spurs sweat, and are 6-0 ATS, they are a must play at least for me, and i think for you too.

[t-wizzle]

Wow this guy truly is even more braindead than I thought. Sad.

At least run through the thread and try to figure that out.

If I "flat bet" 1 unit per play as retards like yourself do, well I'd probably be up too. Sorry, bitch.

Not to mention all the very small plays you make on exotics such as alternate spreads. Some guys just don't get it around here.

[NBA Maniac]

Not to mention all the very small plays you make on exotics such as alternate spreads. Some guys just don't get it around here.

i agree, those bets with extra value are (+EV)
But don't you worry, is all about Air around here
This year playoffs are beeing very Exciting

[Seto]

you hurting my feelings
btw live betting on this playoffs have been HUGE, so many runs, that we can profit a lot

lol to each his own, if flatbetting works for you stick with that. i've always seen gambling as a thing where you need to know when to go big. but there are no absolutes.

that guy is a fukking joke. if you want to play "sbr police", at least read through the fukking thread to find out why my record is 40 games under and I'm still up. on normal spreads i'm probably hitting like 52-55% or so. not that i care. You know what my lifetime record is? 2320.5-4314.5-92 (35%). Yet I'm up 11.5 grand. Go figure lol.

i love big +money, have always, and will always

and i win enough for it to be profitable

[Seto]

Seto we need to play Dallas again.
Those guys are making Spurs sweat, and are 6-0 ATS, they are a must play at least for me, and i think for you too.

[ATTACH]68281[/ATTACH]

I didn't bet either game today as I was telling Paul. This was what I thought the Spurs would do 2-3 times in the series before it started, not sure why it took till game 7. Either way, no complaints. Great season for my Mavs.

[Seto]

Not to mention all the very small plays you make on exotics such as alternate spreads. Some guys just don't get it around here.

Yeah I mean that's the main reason. I think I'm like 5-40 on +1000 and up plays, which is enough to be winning on them. That kinda destroys the whole record in terms of %, lol.

Anyway, we know it's about the big ones. The reason why I had such a bad start to the playoffs was I lost 3 big plays in a row or some shit. Happy to be back on track.

[Seto]

Wizards series +190 (paddy power) (risking 2.9x to win 5.51x)

This was the best price I could find so I bet the max but I am definitely adding more.

[Seto]

Wizards series+1.5 games -138 (paddy power) (risking 1.89x to win 1.37x)

[meyer0416]

seems like a trap, how can it be this easy? i see the wizards crushing as well...

[Seto]

seems like a trap, how can it be this easy? i see the wizards crushing as well...

how is this a trap? the line is fine.

we're talking about a 56-win team being just -172/+152 with homecourt (so probably about -105/-105 if all games were played on neutral court) against a 44-win team.

if anything the line says washington more than anything else. pacers "should" be favored by more.

[Seto]

Wizards series +190 (paddy power) (risking 2.9x to win 5.51x)

This was the best price I could find so I bet the max but I am definitely adding more.

Wizards series +170 (william hill) (risking 2.1x to win 3.57x)

Total bet: Wizards series +182 (paddy power/william hill) (risking 5x to win 9.08x)

[Seto]

Wizards series+1.5 games -138 (paddy power) (risking 1.89x to win 1.37x)

same bet at

-150 (paddy power) (risking 0.14x to win 0.09x)
-148 (5dimes) (risking 3.08x to win 2.08x)
-153 (5dimes) (risking 2.22x to win 1.45x)

Total bet: Wizards series+1.5 games -147 (paddy power/5dimes) (risking 7.33x to win 5x)

[Seto]

Wizards series+1 game -103 (5dimes) (risking 4.14x to win 4x) - bet split between -101 and -106 lines
Wizards to win series 4-0 +2650 (5dimes) (risking 0.5x to win 13.25x)

[NBA Maniac]

Seto i can see Indiana ending this 4-2, max, dont believe this goes to game 7, or even Wizards way....

[Seto]

Seto i can see Indiana ending this 4-2, max, dont believe this goes to game 7, or even Wizards way....

I think Wizards will destroy them. We'll see what happens.

[Seto]

Adding 1.06x to win 1x on the +1 series games won at 5D. So total bets read:


Wizards series+1.5 games -147 (paddy power/5dimes) (risking 7.33x to win 5x)
Wizards series+1 game -104 (5dimes) (risking 5.2x to win 5x)
Wizards series +182 (paddy power/william hill) (risking 5x to win 9.08x)
Wizards to win series 4-0 +2650 (5dimes) (risking 0.5x to win 13.25x)

[Pauulzcappin]

are you playing today's game or just going for the series bets?

I locked in 4.5 units and probably gonna add a few more for them to win the series straight up. I don't have the series handicap available... should probably send some money to 5dimes.

[Seto]

are you playing today's game or just going for the series bets?

I locked in 4.5 units and probably gonna add a few more for them to win the series straight up. I don't have the series handicap available... should probably send some money to 5dimes.

Nah just the series for now. I may play the next games, we'll see. Typically when I bet a series I don't tend to bet individual games much, which is kinda dumb, gotta stay open to everything. I missed out on an easy Spurs gm5 winner last year just cause I didn't want to go against my Heat series bet.

[Seto]

1 down 3 to go.

Go Wizards

[NBA Maniac]

Pinnacle only giving OKC (+4.5) LIVE with OKC down by 14 pts lol

[Tommy Karate]

Wizards series+1.5 games -138 (paddy power) (risking 1.89x to win 1.37x)

easy game 1 win.....on the series as well but just 2u. gonna have a tough time backing indy in game 2, but i have to.

what does this bet mean?

[NBA Maniac]

easy game 1 win.....on the series as well but just 2u. gonna have a tough time backing indy in game 2, but i have to.

what does this bet mean?

it is like handicap, Wizards can lose the series by 1 game, and he still wins the bet

[KRIT]

Wiz futures looking good. Lol paddy power, now that's a funny named book I've never heard of.

[Seto]

easy game 1 win.....on the series as well but just 2u. gonna have a tough time backing indy in game 2, but i have to.

what does this bet mean?

you didn't end up doing it in the end and i agree. this smells sweep to me.

it means if they lose the series 4-3 the bet cashes (they lose the series by 1 game)

[Seto]

Wiz futures looking good. Lol paddy power, now that's a funny named book I've never heard of.

irish book i think. they're actually pretty well known for doing dumb shit like once they paid out tiger woods futures before a golf tourney was over, he choked the final day (or got injured or whatever) and apparently it cost them £4 million

[t-wizzle]

Do Wizards win again?

[Seto]

Wizards-8.5 +500 (paddy power) (risking 0.33x to win 1.67x)
Wizards-20.5 +3500 (bet365) (risking 0.17x to win 5.83x)

The Wizards could of course come out flat and decide the split is good enough for them but this team looks hungry to me. They actually didn't play all that well in game 1, they had long droughts on both ends (I think they went like 7 minutes without a FG at one point in the 2nd half) and a lot of their stars had subpar nights shooting the ball. If they come out firing to make a statement, this Pacers team is subject to getting annihilated tonight in my mind. We'll see.

Thunder-12.5 +275 (paddy power) (risking 0.5x to win 1.38x)

Nothing fancy here. Just the good old zig zag. I will hit the normal spread as well just waiting to see if I can get -5.

[Seto]

Do Wizards win again?

I think they might hammer the Pacers tonight.

Just betting alt spreads though for fun, I have enough riding on the series price plus which I am a tad worried they could come out flat. And I know it's dumb but I hate backing a team that seems to have a long trend in their favor (Wiz 4-0 on the road since the start of the playoffs).

[Pauulzcappin]

I think the favs will win today. Wizards look really good but I think they got what they wanted. Indy has no business winning in DC.

[t-wizzle]

Wizards-8.5 +500 (paddy power) (risking 0.33x to win 1.67x)
Wizards-20.5 +3500 (bet365) (risking 0.17x to win 5.83x)

The Wizards could of course come out flat and decide the split is good enough for them but this team looks hungry to me. They actually didn't play all that well in game 1, they had long droughts on both ends (I think they went like 7 minutes without a FG at one point in the 2nd half) and a lot of their stars had subpar nights shooting the ball. If they come out firing to make a statement, this Pacers team is subject to getting annihilated tonight in my mind. We'll see.

Thunder-12.5 +375 (paddy power) (risking 0.5x to win 1.88x)

Nothing fancy here. Just the good old zig zag. I will hit the normal spread as well just waiting to see if I can get -5.

Good value bets there on Wiz.

Bro I really don't think Thunder cover this game. They might win but I think they're gonna have to fight tooth and nail.

[Seto]

Good value bets there on Wiz.

Bro I really don't think Thunder cover this game. They might win but I think they're gonna have to fight tooth and nail.

The main thing to me is I'm not sure the Clippers are this good yet. Not sure they really have what it takes to win both in OKC, and if they have a subpar night, they will get punished for sure, I'm not really worried about the Thunder playing better.

Are you thinking of the Boston/Orlando series where Boston started with 2 wins on the road? Maybe Doc has what it takes to get these guys to push for that 2-0 lead. Dunno.

Maybe I should bet live.

[Seto]

I think the favs will win today. Wizards look really good but I think they got what they wanted. Indy has no business winning in DC.

It could happen, I wouldn't be overly surprised. Indiana is just so bad right now that I can't help but think that if the Wizards come out it's theirs to take.

Plus which like I said apart from Ariza's 3s they didn't really play out of their minds in game 1, far from it. They just looked like the superior team.

[t-wizzle]

The main thing to me is I'm not sure the Clippers are this good yet. Not sure they really have what it takes to win both in OKC, and if they have a subpar night, they will get punished for sure, I'm not really worried about the Thunder playing better.

Are you thinking of the Boston/Orlando series where Boston started with 2 wins on the road? Maybe Doc has what it takes to get these guys to push for that 2-0 lead. Dunno.

Maybe I should bet live.

I was more just looking at this series on its own. The Thunder's flaws have been exposed now on 5 different occasions this postseason. I thought they turned the corner but in reality they really aren't good enough. Of course that's just my opinion.

I get the zigzag angle but I can't bet on that based alone. I think if they win tonight, they squeak it out. Then again I've been brutal so far.

[Seto]

I was more just looking at this series on its own. The Thunder's flaws have been exposed now on 5 different occasions this postseason. I thought they turned the corner but in reality they really aren't good enough. Of course that's just my opinion.

I get the zigzag angle but I can't bet on that based alone. I think if they win tonight, they squeak it out. Then again I've been brutal so far.

The big thing with them is their defense. I don't think there's another team in the league that has this much of a difference between their best defensive efforts and their worst ones. I expect them to pick that up a bit today. This is the game of the series where we should see the best of the Thunder because it's the one game they can't afford to lose.

I'm not quite sure I see it yet with these Clippers. I remember watching game 1 vs Golden State and thinking "same old Clippers" and then feeling that way again in the first half of game 7. Now of course those are isolated moments and Golden State is a decent team but I'm not convinced these guys are world beaters nor that they will bring their best effort tonight.

You just lost that 1 big play - which by the way I still think we were on the right side of. Shit just happens. If Wiz win the series on a personal level I'll actually be happy I lost that bet. lol.

[Seto]

Thunder-5.5 -102 (pinnacle) (risking 2.04x to win 2x)

Tired of waiting. If they win by 5 I will not be happy