2013/14 NBA Thread

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by aznjeff07

Can i get your thought process on bkn?

Miami always went up 2-0 on KG and Pierce's Celtics then always got blasted in game 3 in Boston - I know it may seem dumb but I think it goes the same way tonight. Miami rarely brings desperation in these types of games.

Brooklyn has been great at home all season too - their guys will step up. You will see the best of the Nets in this game. I have been saying since day 1 not to overreact to this team's bad start and I'm still not certain they are done for the series either (in terms of making it a series, obviously they won't win but the whole talk now is does miami sweep or win in 5 - i think the nets will win today and then will be right there in game 4).

**aznjeff07** · 05-10-14, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Miami always went up 2-0 on KG and Pierce's Celtics then always got blasted in game 3 in Boston - I know it may seem dumb but I think it goes the same way tonight. Miami rarely brings desperation in these types of games.

Brooklyn has been great at home all season too - their guys will step up. You will see the best of the Nets in this game. I have been saying since day 1 not to overreact to this team's bad start and I'm still not certain they are done for the series either (in terms of making it a series, obviously they won't win but the whole talk now is does miami sweep or win in 5 - i think the nets will win today and then will be right there in game 4).

I just looked at game 3. The biggest factor I see is that bosh was inactive that game 3. KG also had a big game going 24-11. I just think miami is building momentum through every game and finding a way to win. Bkn has not impressed me yet throughout the playoffs, but what do i know? Thoughts?

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 05:15 PM

Nets+1 -108 (pinnacle) (risking 6.48x to win 6x)

If Miami wins by 1 I'm gonna go fukking mental lol.

**t-wizzle** · 05-10-14, 05:17 PM

Remember pal - if Blazers fall behind tonight, not to worry

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by aznjeff07

I just looked at game 3. The biggest factor I see is that bosh was inactive that game 3. KG also had a big game going 24-11. I just think miami is building momentum through every game and finding a way to win. Bkn has not impressed me yet throughout the playoffs, but what do i know? Thoughts?

Yeah obviously you can't compare those games that closely but I don't think Miami comes out desperate tonight. Now this is still a playoff game I don't expect a no-show from them but just not total effort like what you'll see from them in games to come.

Nets haven't been awesome but Toronto is an underrated team. That was not an easy series.

**t-wizzle** · 05-10-14, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Nets+1 -108 (pinnacle) (risking 6.48x to win 6x)

If Miami wins by 1 I'm gonna go fukking mental lol.

I took the +1 earlier also.

The ML was +102 and the +1 was -102 so it was a no brainer.

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Remember pal - if Blazers fall behind tonight, not to worry

I only took them 1Q and 1H for now - I'm actually considering just doing that for now, if I lose then I can get them +money for the 2H if I want it.

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I took the +1 earlier also.

The ML was +102 and the +1 was -102 so it was a no brainer.

It moved to +1.5 -109 at one point, I logged in immediately and it was down to +1 -107 - fukk me.

I shoulda known to lock it in yesterday but I hoped I might get +2 today.

**t-wizzle** · 05-10-14, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by Seto

It moved to +1.5 -109 at one point, I logged in immediately and it was down to +1 -107 - fukk me.

I shoulda known to lock it in yesterday but I hoped I might get +2 today.

Portland was the one I knew would move. I thought Nets would hang around +1.5.

**Goat Milk** · 05-10-14, 05:37 PM

Nets line should be +4.5ish. Line is way off.

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Nets line should be +4.5ish. Line is way off.

You think so? It's true Miami has gone up 2-0 without having to play great but they were only -7 or so at home. I don't doubt they will win this thing in 5 or 6 tops but I think they lose tonight. Don't like that you don't agree but I guess we'll see...

GL

**parexa** · 05-10-14, 06:19 PM

nets balled pretty hard in game 2, keeping it close midway through the 4th quarter. hopefully deron plays well today, chalmers is average at best PG

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by parexa

nets balled pretty hard in game 2, keeping it close midway through the 4th quarter. hopefully deron plays well today, chalmers is average at best PG

Yeah they just fell apart down the stretch and Miami stepped it up a gear.

He has to give us something. At least like 12 and 7 assists.

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 09:49 PM

Easy as ya like.

Now hopefully when I pound the Clippers for even more tomorrow it's as easy. lol.

**parexa** · 05-10-14, 09:51 PM

nets took care of business. think im rolling with the clippers too

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 09:58 PM

Originally posted by parexa

nets took care of business. think im rolling with the clippers too

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 10:20 PM

I wish someone would break that flopping piece of shit Ginobili's leg.

Such a fukking annoying player.

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 10:25 PM

Yesterday: 0-1, -2.02x
Today: 4-2, +9.13x

Total: 245-286-9, +41.53x

**Seto** · 05-10-14, 11:48 PM

Clippers ml -208 (pinnacle) (risking 20.8x to win 10x)
Clippers-5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 5.78x to win 5.5x)
Clippers-10.5 +220 (paddy power) (risking 2x to win 4.4x)

I think it's literally the first time of my life I bet an ml fave in the NBA but I just believe there's 0 chance they lose this game. We'll see.

**parexa** · 05-11-14, 01:00 AM

28,5 units?

6 points is hard to cover, why do you think they are going to dominate?

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-11-14, 01:33 AM

seto where do you think the clippers line is gonna go from now until gametime?

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-11-14, 02:06 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Clippers ml -208 (pinnacle) (risking 20.8x to win 10x)
Clippers-5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 5.78x to win 5.5x)
Clippers-10.5 +220 (paddy power) (risking 2x to win 4.4x)

I think it's literally the first time of my life I bet an ml fave in the NBA but I just believe there's 0 chance they lose this game. We'll see.

18 to win 8.9ish here on the ml
11.15 to win 10.65 at -5

probably adding more to ml if i get a good in game line

also 80% on thunder spread so clippers probably cover that also

**Seto** · 05-11-14, 02:28 AM

5 points is a lot but not a lot at the same time. Even more so when you factor in late game fouling etc.

But anyway I expect a blowout here. I posted thoughts in wizzle's thread yesterday iirc. Too lazy to rewrite, I'm posting from my phone on the road. I'm gonna miss the game smh. Hesitating whether to check scores on phone or watch it later w/o knowing the score. Not sure where the line is heading, but I didn't want to wait, -208 is already a lot, not sure if I could take much more. It could close at 5.5

**Seto** · 05-11-14, 02:29 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

18 to win 8.9ish here on the ml
11.15 to win 10.65 at -5

probably adding more to ml if i get a good in game line

also 80% on thunder spread so clippers probably cover that also

Good luck man let's.cash this. Hopefully these fukktard wizards come thru too or my futures are done for.

**WalkingLuckCharm** · 05-11-14, 05:01 AM

Uh uh. Clippers are not winning tomorrow!!

**twoods23** · 05-11-14, 02:48 PM

Why did I change my mind and take Clip, Chris Paul is not a winner. In the Melo category

**Seto** · 05-11-14, 05:24 PM

Today: 1-2, +2.22x
Total: 246-288-9, +43.75x

If they had pulled out the cover (why was OKC not fouling? unreal. although it proved to be a good strategy because blake griffin is a braindead idiot who doesn't understand clock management and what it means for a team not to have timeouts) this would have been the single best gambling moment of my life, never thought I'd say that after the Ray Allen episode last year. It still is right up there. Just wow.

The only time I've ever bet a fave ml in the nba in my life lmao. Some inspiration I had.

**Seto** · 05-11-14, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by twoods23

Why did I change my mind and take Clip, Chris Paul is not a winner. In the Melo category

I had so many bad things to say about these guys during the game

Matt Barnes - why are you still shooting when you're 0-62 and have one of the ugliest jumpers in basketball?
Blake Griffin - do you understand the concept of 6 fouls and you're out?
Chris Paul - why do you keep shooting 3's?
Doc Rivers - your team is down 29-7 and you've called ONE timeout? ONE? Rick Carlisle or Pop would probably have used like 4 by then.

Man oh man that was fukking crazy. Just a crazy game.

**unitedlad** · 05-11-14, 05:29 PM

Not sure if you were watching but when the ball was in the air for that last shot from Westbrook, I can't imagine how your ere feeling in them split seconds. From -30ish units to +2.22 is a pretty incredible swing in a matter of seconds lol. NBA is nuts

**unitedlad** · 05-11-14, 05:30 PM

So gutted Atl Madrid didn't win. Would have had a KILLER day if they could have found a winner. A ridiculous save from the Malaga keeper prevented the 3 points really late on as well!

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-11-14, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by unitedlad

Not sure if you were watching but when the ball was in the air for that last shot from Westbrook, I can't imagine how your ere feeling in them split seconds. From -30ish units to +2.22 is a pretty incredible swing in a matter of seconds lol. NBA is nuts

Shot looked way off right as it left his hands.

btw seto i pounded the fukk of these guys live, lol.

wizards win tonight if they hit their jumpers.

**twoods23** · 05-11-14, 05:31 PM

You think Doc figuring out to play the small line up will shift the series?

any thought on Wash and the over?

**unitedlad** · 05-11-14, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Shot looked way off right as it left his hands.

btw seto i pounded the fukk of these guys live, lol.

wizards win tonight if they hit their jumpers.

It wasn't way off AT ALL.

You need to watch it again to see how close that was to going in

**Seto** · 05-11-14, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by unitedlad

Not sure if you were watching but when the ball was in the air for that last shot from Westbrook, I can't imagine how your ere feeling in them split seconds. From -30ish units to +2.22 is a pretty incredible swing in a matter of seconds lol. NBA is nuts

I got home late in the 2nd quarter. Trip home from Cardiff went smoother than I thought. Also just a 15-minute service station break, usually it's longer, and I caught the train home by 1 minute. Really thought I'd miss the game.

My heart sank. I was about to book a flight to LA with the money I have left and kill Griffin for taking that shot wayyyy too early.

**Seto** · 05-11-14, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Shot looked way off right as it left his hands.

btw seto i pounded the fukk of these guys live, lol.

wizards win tonight if they hit their jumpers.

I thought about taking them live down 15 in the 3rd but I figured might as well not bury myself more. When they went back up by 16 in the 4th I figured I'd made the right move even though I never really lost hope. Usually when a team pisses me off as much as the Clippers were today I turn the game off and put it back on with 4 or 5 minutes to go but today I stuck by them lol.

I hope so. If they lose I 90% lose 17 units of futures so that's enough for me. If they win I may actually hedge part of my futures going into game 5. No reason to have so much at stake on these guys.

I think they come through. Preferably easily lol. Enough drama for the day, thanks.