Leans or Saturday 12/27/08

[Dexter]

final night plays-

cal -10
wizards -7 (pc play)
nets +2.5
magic -9.5
bucks -5.5 (large)
spurs -13
blazers -8

good luck everyone...

[nonsense48]

ck, i know exactly the piece you're looking for. turn it around stick a flower in it and no one is any the wiser.

[nonsense48]

dex, how large is large? what is "PC PLAY"? i like the magic large

[wangichu]

on the bucks for all the reasons mentioned so far, plus these pistons just aren't the same so i can ignore their history of winning and assume it means more so that milwaukee is poised for good revenge. Also the line movement SCREAMS milwaukee.

MIL -5

on NJ for home to home purposes, plus i'd prefer to play them on the road where they're some how a better team anyways.

NJ +3

I'll roll with the washington pick because it's a PC and because OKC is coming off an overperformance against a vulnerable piston squad and is due for a let down against a weaker wiz squad who knows this is a great opportunity for a solid blowout.

WAS -6 (line movement or buy back)

orlando is coming off a blowout and should be due for a little letdown. everyone thinks that the wolves blew their load getting a road win yesterday and i almost agreed, but they'll at least have momentum in the first half when the magic should be a little less dominant than usual. or at least the wolves should be able to keep it close. The t-wolves lost by 11 in orlando and now get to have their few home groupies to cheer for them in a revenge match. The magic have only been favored by 8+ on the road twice this year, once in memphis (SU loss) and the other time in OKC (an expected blowout 108-92), but the t-wolves are better than OKC and will ride some momentum into this game and should at least be able to stunt the pace of the magic. i highly doubt the wolves win SU, but they have enough youth to make the travel and back to back less important. Add to all that the weird movement by that line... it sat at -9 for a while, barely budged to -9.5, finally got up to -10, then just went back down to -9.5 with money on minny FINALLY getting into double digit percentages. This is the largest road spread the magic have attempted to cover this year, and my money says it doesn't happen. Spoon, I hope rule #1 can take a night off for me.

MIN +10 (get that hook back)

think i'll play the O/U in the NJ/CHAR game too... NJ scores more on the road for whatever reason and charlotte can match them at home...

[nonsense48]

i like det more without a.i. seems they play better without him. jmho

[nonsense48]

det local sports say a.i. doesn't play this eve. i guess we'll see. i think they win su if he's out

[ManBearPig]

I actually think the over in the MIL/DET game has a chance at 190.5. 3 out of the last 4 have gone over in MIL and the last 5 games these two have played have all had at least one team score in the 100's. All those games were over except one where MIL only scored 69 pts for the game. MIL is playing at a high level right now (for them) and putting up pts in the process. They are scoring over 100pts/gm in the last 5 and detroit is giving up just over 90. Of course with all these tale tale signs that the game will go over...it will prob go under. Looks like about 63% of the populous agrees on the over though.

[Dexter]

dex, how large is large? what is "PC PLAY"? i like the magic large

*large* just means i bet the game anywhere from 3-6 times my normal play (depending on how i'm doing that week). i took this one 5x my normal size. i always bet all games for roughly the same amount (never any teasers, parlays etc). but i do raise the size of my play for games i really like. i love betting large when i'm up - about even this week though.

PC plays are CK's top rated plays (personal circle) - i believe..

[Dexter]

caron butler OUT

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/wizardsinsider/2008/12/wizards_and_thunder.html?wprss=wizardsinsider

[nonsense48]

thanks dex. time to close up shop and go have some dinner. i'll be back in a couple of hrs. once i get home. GL everyone

[Dexter]

det local sports say a.i. doesn't play this eve. i guess we'll see. i think they win su if he's out

ive seen no news yet on AI, and show him listed as probable. line hasnt moved off 5.5, and without him, should go to 6.5/7.

i hear ya - iverson is a cancer for that team. such a dumb trade.

[Dexter]

thanks dex. time to close up shop and go have some dinner. i'll be back in a couple of hrs. once i get home. GL everyone

no prob...

[Dexter]

fsu defensive touchdown - speed killing it today...

[cocknocker]

I am dropping Orlando's team total and now i am taking Washington's team total. Oklahoma has given up 108.6 points per game on average in back ends of back to back games on the road.

Official play folks

Washington team total to go over 100.5

[cocknocker]

Oh well, the game is already on, and I was too late for the team total! Drat!

[cocknocker]

WTF happened with Caron Butler? Why wasn't he listed out before now?

[Dexter]

yeah, that news came out at 7:04....

see link above

[isiah121]

Anyone feeling Trailblazers/Raptors to go OVER 190? This is a revenge game for Raptors.

[cocknocker]

Laying of of Orlando team total today, with the Wizards not having Caron and my anger behind that late announcement.

I am still taking

Bucks-5.5 with a hook buy only

[cocknocker]

What a major piss off! That info was released too late for me to change my play. Caron Butler is te heart and soul of their team, we'll see how it turns out, but that dramatically changes how I am going to wager today. WOW!

[nonsense48]

ck, the late news sometimes works in your favor in that the opposing team wasn't prepared for him not to play

[Smacksmiter]

Are you saying you are going to make a halftime play to correct for that problem Ck?

[nonsense48]

my plays are as followsrl-9' det+5 utah+10 port-8 nickle each i didn't play the game i'm jusy sayin' it happens

[peterpan19]

F***
how can they do something like that ?? Go Was
looks ike nyj/char will go under again

lets hope for orl -9 now

[woodyman]

hi all, my first post, my plays are

Oklahoma +10
Bucks -6
nets +3.5
raptors +10

good luck to all today

[isiah121]

CK, you taking anyone 2nd half?

[cocknocker]

Never mind, I am laying off of everything until I see what happens with this Wizards game. I am pretty angry right now with the lateness of thate release fo Caron Butler not playing tonight. I have 3k on the line, and I am not going to budge on another wager until I see what happens with this wager in particular. man am i pissed off!

[Dexter]

What a major piss off! That info was released too late for me to change my play. Caron Butler is te heart and soul of their team, we'll see how it turns out, but that dramatically changes how I am going to wager today. WOW!

yeah, an * goes next to that pc play - butler means that much to the wizards.

[Dexter]

hi all, my first post, my plays are

Oklahoma +10
Bucks -6
nets +3.5
raptors +10

good luck to all today

welcome...

nets and okl games started an hour ago.

did you buy pts in the raptors game? its been a solid 8 for a while now, and opened at 9.

**i think it would be beneficial if members mentioned when they bought pts - reason being, i see someone mention a line like raptors +10, and my first instinct is that an injury was announced late etc..

[peterpan19]

I just hope okc comes outflat in the 2nd half (1k on the line here for me too)

nyj/char over could e close, nyj +3 could go either way

but look at orl up 15-2

[woodyman]

welcome...

nets and okl games started an hour ago.

did you buy pts in the raptors game? its been a solid 8 for a while now, and opened at 9.

**i think it would be beneficial if members mentioned when they bought pts - reason being, i see someone mention a line like raptors +10, and my first instinct is that an injury was announced late etc..

no worries thanks for the advise, i bought points in the raptors and okc games

[Dexter]

no worries thanks for the advise, i bought points in the raptors and okc games

good luck man...

[nonsense48]

i myself rarely buy points or play parlays or teasers

[peterpan19]

anyone praying with me for was to cover here ?
oh lord ....

[nonsense48]

ck, the designation under our names. ie:mvp,hustler,highroller,rookie. who and how is that determined?