Leans or Saturday 12/27/08

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #141
    final night plays-

    cal -10
    wizards -7 (pc play)
    nets +2.5
    magic -9.5
    bucks -5.5 (large)
    spurs -13
    blazers -8

    good luck everyone...
    Comment
    • nonsense48
      SBR MVP
      • 12-15-08
      • 2927

      #142
      ck, i know exactly the piece you're looking for. turn it around stick a flower in it and no one is any the wiser.
      Comment
      • nonsense48
        SBR MVP
        • 12-15-08
        • 2927

        #143
        dex, how large is large? what is "PC PLAY"? i like the magic large
        Comment
        • wangichu
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-07-08
          • 946

          #144
          on the bucks for all the reasons mentioned so far, plus these pistons just aren't the same so i can ignore their history of winning and assume it means more so that milwaukee is poised for good revenge. Also the line movement SCREAMS milwaukee.

          MIL -5

          on NJ for home to home purposes, plus i'd prefer to play them on the road where they're some how a better team anyways.

          NJ +3

          I'll roll with the washington pick because it's a PC and because OKC is coming off an overperformance against a vulnerable piston squad and is due for a let down against a weaker wiz squad who knows this is a great opportunity for a solid blowout.

          WAS -6 (line movement or buy back)

          orlando is coming off a blowout and should be due for a little letdown. everyone thinks that the wolves blew their load getting a road win yesterday and i almost agreed, but they'll at least have momentum in the first half when the magic should be a little less dominant than usual. or at least the wolves should be able to keep it close. The t-wolves lost by 11 in orlando and now get to have their few home groupies to cheer for them in a revenge match. The magic have only been favored by 8+ on the road twice this year, once in memphis (SU loss) and the other time in OKC (an expected blowout 108-92), but the t-wolves are better than OKC and will ride some momentum into this game and should at least be able to stunt the pace of the magic. i highly doubt the wolves win SU, but they have enough youth to make the travel and back to back less important. Add to all that the weird movement by that line... it sat at -9 for a while, barely budged to -9.5, finally got up to -10, then just went back down to -9.5 with money on minny FINALLY getting into double digit percentages. This is the largest road spread the magic have attempted to cover this year, and my money says it doesn't happen. Spoon, I hope rule #1 can take a night off for me.

          MIN +10 (get that hook back)

          think i'll play the O/U in the NJ/CHAR game too... NJ scores more on the road for whatever reason and charlotte can match them at home...
          Comment
          • nonsense48
            SBR MVP
            • 12-15-08
            • 2927

            #145
            i like det more without a.i. seems they play better without him. jmho
            Comment
            • nonsense48
              SBR MVP
              • 12-15-08
              • 2927

              #146
              det local sports say a.i. doesn't play this eve. i guess we'll see. i think they win su if he's out
              Comment
              • ManBearPig
                SBR MVP
                • 12-04-08
                • 2473

                #147
                I actually think the over in the MIL/DET game has a chance at 190.5. 3 out of the last 4 have gone over in MIL and the last 5 games these two have played have all had at least one team score in the 100's. All those games were over except one where MIL only scored 69 pts for the game. MIL is playing at a high level right now (for them) and putting up pts in the process. They are scoring over 100pts/gm in the last 5 and detroit is giving up just over 90. Of course with all these tale tale signs that the game will go over...it will prob go under. Looks like about 63% of the populous agrees on the over though.
                Comment
                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #148
                  Originally posted by nonsense48
                  dex, how large is large? what is "PC PLAY"? i like the magic large
                  *large* just means i bet the game anywhere from 3-6 times my normal play (depending on how i'm doing that week). i took this one 5x my normal size. i always bet all games for roughly the same amount (never any teasers, parlays etc). but i do raise the size of my play for games i really like. i love betting large when i'm up - about even this week though.

                  PC plays are CK's top rated plays (personal circle) - i believe..
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #149
                    caron butler OUT

                    Comment
                    • nonsense48
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-15-08
                      • 2927

                      #150
                      thanks dex. time to close up shop and go have some dinner. i'll be back in a couple of hrs. once i get home. GL everyone
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #151
                        Originally posted by nonsense48
                        det local sports say a.i. doesn't play this eve. i guess we'll see. i think they win su if he's out
                        ive seen no news yet on AI, and show him listed as probable. line hasnt moved off 5.5, and without him, should go to 6.5/7.

                        i hear ya - iverson is a cancer for that team. such a dumb trade.
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #152
                          Originally posted by nonsense48
                          thanks dex. time to close up shop and go have some dinner. i'll be back in a couple of hrs. once i get home. GL everyone
                          no prob...
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #153
                            fsu defensive touchdown - speed killing it today...
                            Comment
                            • cocknocker
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 8001

                              #154
                              I am dropping Orlando's team total and now i am taking Washington's team total. Oklahoma has given up 108.6 points per game on average in back ends of back to back games on the road.

                              Official play folks

                              Washington team total to go over 100.5
                              Comment
                              • cocknocker
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-06-08
                                • 8001

                                #155
                                Oh well, the game is already on, and I was too late for the team total! Drat!
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #156
                                  WTF happened with Caron Butler? Why wasn't he listed out before now?
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #157
                                    yeah, that news came out at 7:04....

                                    see link above
                                    Comment
                                    • isiah121
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-04-08
                                      • 313

                                      #158
                                      Anyone feeling Trailblazers/Raptors to go OVER 190? This is a revenge game for Raptors.
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #159
                                        Laying of of Orlando team total today, with the Wizards not having Caron and my anger behind that late announcement.

                                        I am still taking

                                        Bucks-5.5 with a hook buy only
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #160
                                          What a major piss off! That info was released too late for me to change my play. Caron Butler is te heart and soul of their team, we'll see how it turns out, but that dramatically changes how I am going to wager today. WOW!
                                          Comment
                                          • nonsense48
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-15-08
                                            • 2927

                                            #161
                                            ck, the late news sometimes works in your favor in that the opposing team wasn't prepared for him not to play
                                            Comment
                                            • Smacksmiter
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-20-08
                                              • 1169

                                              #162
                                              Are you saying you are going to make a halftime play to correct for that problem Ck?
                                              Comment
                                              • nonsense48
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-15-08
                                                • 2927

                                                #163
                                                my plays are as followsrl-9' det+5 utah+10 port-8 nickle each i didn't play the game i'm jusy sayin' it happens
                                                Comment
                                                • peterpan19
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-02-08
                                                  • 3377

                                                  #164
                                                  F***
                                                  how can they do something like that ?? Go Was
                                                  looks ike nyj/char will go under again

                                                  lets hope for orl -9 now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • woodyman
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-27-08
                                                    • 389

                                                    #165
                                                    hi all, my first post, my plays are

                                                    Oklahoma +10
                                                    Bucks -6
                                                    nets +3.5
                                                    raptors +10

                                                    good luck to all today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • isiah121
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-04-08
                                                      • 313

                                                      #166
                                                      CK, you taking anyone 2nd half?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #167
                                                        Never mind, I am laying off of everything until I see what happens with this Wizards game. I am pretty angry right now with the lateness of thate release fo Caron Butler not playing tonight. I have 3k on the line, and I am not going to budge on another wager until I see what happens with this wager in particular. man am i pissed off!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                          What a major piss off! That info was released too late for me to change my play. Caron Butler is te heart and soul of their team, we'll see how it turns out, but that dramatically changes how I am going to wager today. WOW!
                                                          yeah, an * goes next to that pc play - butler means that much to the wizards.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by woodyman
                                                            hi all, my first post, my plays are

                                                            Oklahoma +10
                                                            Bucks -6
                                                            nets +3.5
                                                            raptors +10

                                                            good luck to all today
                                                            welcome...

                                                            nets and okl games started an hour ago.

                                                            did you buy pts in the raptors game? its been a solid 8 for a while now, and opened at 9.

                                                            **i think it would be beneficial if members mentioned when they bought pts - reason being, i see someone mention a line like raptors +10, and my first instinct is that an injury was announced late etc..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • peterpan19
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-02-08
                                                              • 3377

                                                              #170
                                                              I just hope okc comes outflat in the 2nd half (1k on the line here for me too)

                                                              nyj/char over could e close, nyj +3 could go either way

                                                              but look at orl up 15-2
                                                              Comment
                                                              • woodyman
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-27-08
                                                                • 389

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                welcome...

                                                                nets and okl games started an hour ago.

                                                                did you buy pts in the raptors game? its been a solid 8 for a while now, and opened at 9.

                                                                **i think it would be beneficial if members mentioned when they bought pts - reason being, i see someone mention a line like raptors +10, and my first instinct is that an injury was announced late etc..
                                                                no worries thanks for the advise, i bought points in the raptors and okc games
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dexter
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                                  • 25829

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by woodyman
                                                                  no worries thanks for the advise, i bought points in the raptors and okc games
                                                                  good luck man...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nonsense48
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-15-08
                                                                    • 2927

                                                                    #173
                                                                    i myself rarely buy points or play parlays or teasers
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • peterpan19
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-02-08
                                                                      • 3377

                                                                      #174
                                                                      anyone praying with me for was to cover here ?
                                                                      oh lord ....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • nonsense48
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-15-08
                                                                        • 2927

                                                                        #175
                                                                        ck, the designation under our names. ie:mvp,hustler,highroller,rookie. who and how is that determined?
                                                                        Comment
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