nba chase 12/13

[Huego]

Orlando's roster is pathetic. How can a NBA roster be this bad?

They are playing at New York on Wednesday. The line better be +14 or better.

[dlunc3]

d bet on gs with possibly no curry tomorrow-- gonna be fun

[miczz14]

d bet on gs with possibly no curry tomorrow-- gonna be fun

what happened to curry?

[samrock67]

what happened to curry?

mild ankle sprain in the 3Q, did not return.

[Melda]

The Magic should be removed from all consideration of gambling on. They are the worst team I've seen play this year, next to the Suns

[samrock67]

The Magic should be removed from all consideration of gambling on. They are the worst team I've seen play this year, next to the Suns

Lakers, tho

[BSUWADDY]

As bad as ORL is, they were covering at the end of 3 quarters. Keep the faith. I know they suck but we've all made some good $$ on this thread backing some sh*t teams. They are actually 13-8 on the road ATS this season. In Stif we trust, or we can always find another system. Each of us controls our own bankroll.

[samrock67]

GS is 7-4 SU in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 6-5 ATS

Cle is 6-12 ATS at home while GS is 13-10-1 away

Early lines show GS at -1.5

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Indeed. Sad to see such a lack of a plan, discipline and self control.

We see someone writing how they will have no roll if a C or D bet dont come through on a weekly basis now. I guess this is how Vegas got built.

Seriously, Your bankroll should be able to handle (off the top of my head) AT LEAST 5, if not more, D Bets in ONE night!!! If a D bet is more than 20% of your bankroll, drop your units...it's a marathon. For me, a D bet is near 10% of my bankroll, give or take a good/bad night. I play at around 1.5% of my bankroll per unit.

[Grinder12000]

I would MUCH rather play a BAD team then a good team. Back door covers rule!! Books adjust the lines because no one wants to play bad teams!! No worries!! So quickly we go from stiffies to doom and gloom LOL

[noveggies]

WTH happened at the end of the denver game? I thought it was in OT and then somehow somebody got fouled with .4 seconds on the clock on an inbound pass?

[Wallco99]

WTH happened at the end of the denver game? I thought it was in OT and then somehow somebody got fouled with .4 seconds on the clock on an inbound pass?

I don't know, but I won!

[BuckeyeKaptn]

I would MUCH rather play a BAD team then a good team. Back door covers rule!! Books adjust the lines because no one wants to play bad teams!! No worries!! So quickly we go from stiffies to doom and gloom LOL

You gave Asset a stiffy with this post!!

[Asset]

You gave Asset a stiffy with this post!!

LMFAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

How can you tell?

But to be honest. In the gambling world, in my opinion. I think dogs > favs, well I think they have a higher percentage of wins than loss. But that's just my opinion and I could be wrong.

[J.M. Disciple]

I think Denver would of been a D bet today, which would of won. Just for record sake. Not sure if Stiff removed Denver from the team list or just avoided the series after A.

[baldur]

0-4. bad record. will we be able to bounce back?

[tr4sh]

0-4. bad record. will we be able to bounce back?

no, we will never be able to bounce back. we are doomed

[baldur]

no, we will never be able to bounce back. we are doomed

calm down baby, i just asked.

[Huego]

lol @ baby

[noveggies]

0-4. bad record. will we be able to bounce back?

[chimp]

lol it seems u guys are always worried about bouncing back and getting back all you lost. why not just stop chasing?

[baldur]

haha. best answer to me.

[ColdBeerHere]

[Stifler]

28.01.2013

S1

(B Bet) Tor: Toronto -5,5 1,10u | Toronto +1,5 2,31u
(A Bet) Den: Denver -5,5 1,10u

S2

(C Bet) Orl: Orlando +2 1,10u | Orlando +5,5 2,31u | Orlando +9,5 4,85u

S3

(A Bet) Char fade: Chicago -11,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 44 | L 2 (+ 7,10 units)
S2: W 21 | L 0 (+21,00 units)
S3: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S4: W 38 | L 1 (+21,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade

pending:
- S2 Cle fade, D Bet on 29.01.2013
- S2 Orl, D Bet on 30.01.2013
- S1 Tor, C Bet on 30.01.2013
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013
- S4 Atl fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013
- S3 Char fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013
- S1 Denver, B Bet on 30.01.2013



________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

29.01.2013

S2

(D Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee -4 4,85u | Golden State - waiting...
(A Bet) Cle: Cleveland -waiting on line movement


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[yelohell]

God bless the Cavs tomorrow!

[Nino7]

Seriously, Your bankroll should be able to handle (off the top of my head) AT LEAST 5, if not more, D Bets in ONE night!!! If a D bet is more than 20% of your bankroll, drop your units...it's a marathon. For me, a D bet is near 10% of my bankroll, give or take a good/bad night. I play at around 1.5% of my bankroll per unit.

If your unit size is arround 1,5% then a D bet alone would be 15.29 % and the total chase would put 27.68 % of your roll in line.No way you can handle 5 D bets in one night.

[Grinder12000]

S1A non fade are totally blowing hitting 41% but after S1A S1BCD are 75%

No way you can handle 5 D bets in one night.

Just thinking of 5 "D" bets in one nights makes the norovirus look tame.

Look at the bright side tonight - we can put a little less on the "D" game because of the S2A.

NOTE - Golden State is 42-26 in Back to back games in the last few years - are they an OLD team? Old teams do better in back to backs then young teams.

[Asset]

God bless the Cavs tomorrow!

God bless US with our "D bets" on today's game

[BuckeyeKaptn]

If your unit size is arround 1,5% then a D bet alone would be 15.29 % and the total chase would put 27.68 % of your roll in line.No way you can handle 5 D bets in one night.

First, I don't do the chase. I did for 3 systems and they went kaput! Followed them like a good little soldier. Then the kaput happened. I started making formulas in my spreadsheet, checking how the plays were doing. As an example, from when I started tailing Wallco's chase on the JM thread, it is 17w/23l...less than 50%. Should I keep playing them? Nope, I stopped, it's not even bad enough to fade. However, the following B bets, are 15w and 8l. There's the place to start. Except for S4 here and the V1 plays in the JM thread, I think it's foolish to play the A bets. and I don't. Second, I, now, do a modified labby. See no need to make a huge bet on a worthless team.
All that being said, for all the whining going on here and elsewhere, I was putting out there that quite a few should adjust their BRs accordingly. Make your unit size 1%, and leave it there until the end of the season, adjust it accordingly for next year or for MLB. You'll be able to handle the D bets then.

[Riceboi]

big day today and tomorrow for the system. Let's go system!

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Before you start your "I'm smarter than everyone else" attitude, Wallco, the numbers I posted are from MY bets, not Scores n Odds. I'm not going to wager on a series that I have already won when I got a better line then SnO posted. AND I'm not going to bet 3 times on a single game when 3 systems, or versions within a system have the Sacramento Kings going, like the other day.

[bigtymer56]

NOTE - Golden State is 42-26 in Back to back games in the last few years - are they an OLD team? Old teams do better in back to backs then young teams.

Nah, the warriors have been one of the youngest teams in the league for years now. They have a few veterans on the team this year, but I think Richard Jefferson still is the only player 30 or older.

[huntley]

Anybody know why the line just moved from GS-1.5 to GS+1.5?

[Zii]

Bogut - out, Curry - out