How many units are u up with your paid picks John?
-
Comment -
For Wednesday 12-12. I really like Utah +4 over the Spurs.Comment -
nothing in College Hardwood action for 12-12/Comment -
badComment -
December 12
Utah +4 WIN
Season: 16-22-1 -8 unitsComment -
Tonight I like playing the UNDER in the Spurs-Trailbalzers game. BOL to all.Comment -
It is certainly with a heavy hearts that we have all learned of the horrific events in Newtown, CT. I personally have many close friends in that beautiful small town in CT. All are well fortunately. I am a father like many of you, and this news has been greatly upsetting to me to say the least. As President Obama stated, he was going to hug his children and hold them a bit tighter tonight and in the days ahead. I know I will.Comment -
December 13
Spurs/TrailBlazers UNDER 201.5 WIN
Season: 17-22-1 -7 unitsComment -
No NBA for Saturday....
what are you guys all playing?Comment -
What do you think about Clips -5 against Mil and Ind -2 against Detriot?Comment -
10* graded play on the Denver Nuggets as they take on the San Antonio Spurs set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will win this game by five or more points. I had the Thunder as a 25* Titan winner as they cruised to a 13 point win over the Spurs Monday. Now, the Spurs have had to travel to Denver and play on back-to-back nights. In recent years, there has been increased debate on the whether the lines are inflated because of a traveling team playing on consecutive days. I think, the bottom line is that it depends on the matchups. Fatigue becomes a greater factor after the 50th game, but the Spurs are hardly a young team and I believe it does impact these types of teams far earlier than the 50th game. Sim shows a high probability that Denver will get between 53 and 57 rebounds, will attempt a fast-paced 84 or more shots, and will have between four and nine more rebounds. In past games, the Spurs are just 49-78 ATS in road games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Meanwhile, Denver is a solid 41-26 ATS in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 3 seasons; 24-13 ATS when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 33-14 ATS when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 143-97 ATS when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Take the Denver Nuggets.Comment -
Brooklyn - 4 1/2Comment -
December 18
Denver -2.5 WIN
Brooklyn -4.5 LOSS
Season: 18-23-1 -7.1 unitsComment -
my bankroll is only $500, what do you suggest for unit size/bet-sizing?Comment -
I actually made a mistake with Brooklyn.. I don't know why i wrote that here. I was writing the line for the Denver game only, which was the ONLY play made. The Brooklyn game was actually a client pick. Perhasp we can remove that from the record.Comment -
I think I would bet no more than 25 dollars per play that i release here. That is 20 losses to lose the bankroll and even that is a bit agressive. But, given the $500 starting point, four straight winners produes a healthy 20% retunr on investment (ROI).Comment -
I like the OVER, coincidently in both TNT games tonight. I believe the dogs are going to come loaded for bear against these top-level teams. Minnesota knows, the Thunder are tired having played in Atlanta in last night.
OVER 199 1/2 Oklahoma City Thunder-Minnesota
OVER 200 1/2 Dallas-MiamiComment -
I like the under in bothComment -
December 20
Oklahoma City/Minnesota OVER 199.5 LOSS
Dallas/Miami OVER 200.5 WIN
Season: 19-24-1 -7.2 unitsComment -
Philadelphia +2 over the Atlanta Hawks for Friday action.Comment -
December 21
Philadelphia +2 WIN
Season: 20-24-1 -6.2 unitsComment -
Ryan hit the books hard Christmas Eve with his stunning play on SMU where he also stated that they would win the game as a +375 DOG and how to exploit that with a combination bet! He is hitting 64% ATS spanning his last 27 TOP RATED NBA Titans and he has THREE gifts for you Christmas Day.
MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!!! Play on the Denver Nuggets as they take on the Clippers in the second game to be held at the Staples Center set to start at 10:35 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by seven or fewer points. I also like playing this game as a combination bet using a 7* amount on the line and a 3* amount using the money line. The Clippers are a strong team, no doubt there, but did you know Denver is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) facing elite teams outscoring their opponents by 6+ points per game over the last two seasons; 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games facing excellent teams shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996. Take the Nuggets.Comment -
NBA for Wednesday 12-26
Philadelphia +9 against Memphis
Utah -4 over Golden State
Lakers + 3 1/2 over DenverComment -
December 25
Denver +7 LOSS
December 26
Philadelphia +9 WIN
Utah -4 LOSS
LA Lakers +3.5 LOSS
Season: 21-27-1 -8.5 unitsComment -
Man I wish I faded from the 7-2 start.Comment -
Just wanna give Alexknyc a hat tip for doing a consistent unit/record accounting for John's sports picks. Thanks.Comment -
Anyone like the Pacers +1.5 today?Comment -
Play on the Washington as they host Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than five points. Even when Brooklyn was the Nets, they did not do well against the weakest teams in the NBA. They have posted a 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) mark when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Moreover, the pace of play as projected by the total is not in Brooklyn’s favor noting they are just 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Washington has just four wins on the season, but they are starting to play better team basketball and have covered three of the last four games. Washington is a better rebounding team and this is a critical part of any home dog looking to get an upset win. Strong rebounding on the defensive end minimizes an opponent’s second chance scoring opportunities and this will be a major factor in Washington covering this spread.Comment -
January 4
Washington +6 WIN
Season: 22-27-1 -7.5 unitsComment -
Play UNDER Golden State-Clippers as they prepare to play at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. As Kobe Bryant stated, the Clippers are true contenders. The Clippers have formed a team that plays very well at both ends of the court. They rank eighth averaging 101.5 PPG and rank fourth allowing 93.2 PPG. This scoring differential ranks second best in the NBA. One of the fundamental reasons I like this UNDER is that GS plays solid paint defense. They rank ninth best allowing 39.8 points in the paint. The Clippers rank third averaging 46.8 points in the paint. Clips are also coming off a win against the rival Lakers and now have to play on back-to-back nights. I do expect them to be a bit flat and this give GS a chance to keep the game to a mostly half-court contested game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-23 mark for 72% winners since 2006. Play under with home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games and with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. Take the UNDER.Comment -
January 5
Clippers/Warriors UNDER 201 LOSS
Season: 22-28-1 -8.6 unitsComment -
10* graded play UNDER the posted total in the Orlando-Portland NBA matchup set to start at 10:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 188 points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-1 UNDER mark for 77% winners since 2006. Play Under with all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points after one or more consecutive overs and now facing an opponent after 5 or more consecutive overs. Sim shows a high probability that Orlando will make 32 to 38% of their three-point shot attempts. In past games, the Magic are 13-4 UNDER in road games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. other projections include that Orlando is 15-5 UNDER in road games when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons and Portland is 27-13 UNDER (+12.7 Units) when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. take the UNDER.Comment
