Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

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  • ender749
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-30-12
    • 71

    #1891
    LET'S DO THISSSSSSSSSSSSS
    Comment
    • Tim Gerry Mander
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-14-12
      • 869

      #1892
      One for the road Sando?

      Most Points - Kobe Bryant (LA) vs Carmelo Anthony (NY)

      • Carmelo Anthony (NY)
        [*=right](+1.5) 1.77



        [*=right]


      • Kobe Bryant (LA)
        [*=right](-1.5) 2.00

      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #1893
        Solid thread. BOL tonight.
        Comment
        • h3da
          SBR MVP
          • 05-10-10
          • 1331

          #1894
          Originally posted by Celtics08
          Knicks will win by exact 7 points tonight
          Knicks by 11+
          Comment
          • Celtics08
            SBR MVP
            • 12-04-10
            • 2397

            #1895
            Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
            One for the road Sando?

            Most Points - Kobe Bryant (LA) vs Carmelo Anthony (NY)

            • Carmelo Anthony (NY)
              [*=right](+1.5) 1.77


            • Kobe Bryant (LA)
              [*=right](-1.5) 2.00

            Kobe system
            Comment
            • Celtics08
              SBR MVP
              • 12-04-10
              • 2397

              #1896
              Originally posted by h3da
              Knicks by 11+
              Say exact number!! can't say X+
              Comment
              • MTM
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-28-12
                • 150

                #1897
                Kobe. Knicks have more scoring options. But don't really like that prop.

                Glad you like Knicks Sando, I was waiting for a reason to pull the trigger. I keep changing my mind with spurs blazers but leaning bobcats vs hawks...
                Comment
                • sando
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-30-12
                  • 3723

                  #1898
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  Solid thread. BOL tonight.
                  Thanks mate, much appreciated.


                  TGM - Kobe for sure at even money. Kobe loves MSG, also he has to carry a larger % of the scoring for his team than Carmello does (Meeks is no JR Smith).
                  Comment
                  • aussieH
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-04-11
                    • 1188

                    #1899
                    What was the second game?
                    Comment
                    • Raskal
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 11-18-12
                      • 27

                      #1900
                      Going with knicks as well thanks sando. Will see what your second pick is. Leaning towards spurs for now
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #1901
                        Originally posted by ender749
                        I think Aus win is still good value.
                        * SL have 0% chance to win (their bowling is the worst to reach the Australian shores imo).
                        * The SL batting is weak against fast bowling (they recently lost to NZ at home).
                        * Their record abroad is terrible - they are especially bad starters in seaming conditions - almost always losing the first test.
                        * SL have had only one three day warm up match here in Aus.
                        * The weather forecast is for showers / cloudy conditions - this is a double edged sword as it will make batting difficult but we will lose time obviously.
                        * Hobart pitch is extremely seam friendly - in the 3 Sheffield Shield games this season, the totals in the first innings for the team batting first have been 112, 95 and 67. It will be better than that for the test match but expect the ball to move around quite a bit. Also Hobart record in the last ten years has only produced two draws in 10 games.

                        I have put down the equivalent of 3 units on a Aus win - would put more but worried about weather. There is also a small chance that Sanga or Jayawardane hit a big one but unlikely given conditions.


                        PS I live in the UK but am originally from India and cricket is in my blood.
                        Dont want to hijack the thread, just curious whats up with the crazy increase in Australia' rates?
                        Comment
                        • ender749
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 11-30-12
                          • 71

                          #1902
                          weather is looking a bit better so that is why the odds are moving.
                          Comment
                          • sando
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-30-12
                            • 3723

                            #1903
                            Originally posted by aussieH
                            What was the second game?
                            Sorry mate, I have been holding out for updated injury info on Matthews and Batum, not as a factor in whether to play the Spurs or not, but simply to judge the strength of the play, I.e the unit size. Anyway I'm happy with reports now that Matthewsis doubtful and Batum is 50/50, so even if he plays will not be at 100%

                            Look for the Spurs 2nd string to do serious damage against Portland's (actually Portland barely have a 2nd string).

                            My boy Patty Mills looked great against the Jazz yesterday. Look for him to get some more playing time today as the Portland starters are unlikely to log heavy minutes.

                            *Pick Added.
                            Last edited by sando; 12-13-12, 06:10 PM.
                            Comment
                            • Celtics08
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-04-10
                              • 2397

                              #1904
                              Sando, what do you think about Over 201 Portland-Spurs?
                              Comment
                              • sando
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-30-12
                                • 3723

                                #1905
                                Originally posted by Celtics08
                                Sando, what do you think about Over 201 Portland-Spurs?
                                I have the O/U set at 201-202. Personally I think the books absolutely nailed this line and would recommend avoid.
                                Comment
                                • kenz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-12
                                  • 4879

                                  #1906
                                  Originally posted by ender749
                                  weather is looking a bit better so that is why the odds are moving.
                                  So you have confidence on 3 units on Aus
                                  Comment
                                  • fitguy67
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-13-11
                                    • 5082

                                    #1907
                                    bol sandman
                                    Comment
                                    • MTM
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-28-12
                                      • 150

                                      #1908
                                      Any reason the line moved to 5.5? Or just laker fans pounding it?
                                      Comment
                                      • Tim Gerry Mander
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-14-12
                                        • 869

                                        #1909
                                        Knicks into -5.5
                                        Comment
                                        • mvanja
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-17-11
                                          • 250

                                          #1910
                                          Originally posted by MTM
                                          Any reason the line moved to 5.5? Or just laker fans pounding it?
                                          12:22 PM: Sharp line move detected against New York
                                          12:25 PM: The smart money is coming on Los Angeles Lakers
                                          06:10 PM: Sharp line move detected against New York
                                          Comment
                                          • Byrone09
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-02-12
                                            • 184

                                            #1911
                                            5D has A. Horford Points+Rebounds Over 28 -105. I'm on it!

                                            Damn I should have waited on the Knicks line. People still pounding the Lakers despite how awful they have been...

                                            Throwing a parlay on the 3 favs tonight too.
                                            Last edited by Byrone09; 12-13-12, 06:46 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • sando
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-30-12
                                              • 3723

                                              #1912
                                              Yesterday's recap.

                                              Ok have to take my hat off to Mr. Seaweed . We went 1-2 against Seaweed nation yesterday, but hopefully we'll get them back next round.

                                              4-1 ATS
                                              0-3 O/U


                                              4-4 Today in the NBA -0.02 Units

                                              NBA YTD 104-73-8 (+37.7 Units) 58.8%

                                              (NBA ATS/ML 79-52-5 YTD) 60.3%


                                              (NBA totals 26-23-3 YTD) 53.1%

                                              Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-2


                                              All time SBR Picks

                                              Tennis 31-25-4
                                              (+17.16 Units)
                                              Rugby Union 7-7
                                              (+2.97 Units)
                                              Rugby Sevens 28
                                              -24-1 (+2.27 Units)
                                              MMA 3-0 (+20.23 Units)

                                              MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet

                                              **
                                              Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.
                                              Comment
                                              • yankeefan1024
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 12-02-12
                                                • 52

                                                #1913
                                                sando, i locked in on NYK at -5.5! SO PUMPED!
                                                Comment
                                                • sando
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-30-12
                                                  • 3723

                                                  #1914
                                                  From what I can gather there has been a consistent flow of money on the Lakers since the lines opened (54-60%) which would account for some of the line movement. As far as these sharp lines movements, well if the big boys are so "sharp" then why are they pounding the Lakers now at +6 when they could have gotten +7 earlier and surely would have forseen that the majority of the money flowing in on the Lakers?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Crowing Capers
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 03-30-12
                                                    • 295

                                                    #1915
                                                    BOL today Sando
                                                    Loving both plays
                                                    Feeling you crack 40 units profit NBA today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mvanja
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-17-11
                                                      • 250

                                                      #1916
                                                      Originally posted by sando
                                                      From what I can gather there has been a consistent flow of money on the Lakers since the lines opened (54-60%) which would account for some of the line movement. As far as these sharp lines movements, well if the big boys are so "sharp" then why are they pounding the Lakers now at +6 when they could have gotten +7 earlier and surely would have forseen that the majority of the money flowing in on the Lakers?
                                                      Is it possible that they are pounding on ML?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                        • 2342

                                                        #1917
                                                        It makes sense to see the line move by 2 points when you consider it's the only game everyone bets on today & there's the idea that Kobe will carry the Lakers to a win. I tend to think it'll fizzle out early and looking at the under instead.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-14-12
                                                          • 869

                                                          #1918
                                                          Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                          It makes sense to see the line move by 2 points when you consider it's the only game everyone bets on today & there's the idea that Kobe will carry the Lakers to a win. I tend to think it'll fizzle out early and looking at the under instead.
                                                          Just like the Melbourne Cup eh?

                                                          Only time people have a punt on the ponies!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sando
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-30-12
                                                            • 3723

                                                            #1919
                                                            Originally posted by mvanja
                                                            Is it possible that they are pounding on ML?
                                                            Not from what I can see. M/L is 27% Lakers 73% Knicks at Sportsbook Spy, which is about right although I would have expected a bit more money on the Lakers m/l as I expect them to either win outright or lose by 8+ (obviously I'm expecting the latter result). Lakers record in close games is atrocious. Games decided by 3 points or less Lakers are 0-3. Games decided by up to 10 points Lakers are 1-12. Hard to believe right?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ender749
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 11-30-12
                                                              • 71

                                                              #1920
                                                              great analysis on both picks today sando. now fingers crossed for thetoday. glgl.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mvanja
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-17-11
                                                                • 250

                                                                #1921
                                                                Originally posted by sando
                                                                Not from what I can see. M/L is 27% Lakers 73% Knicks at Sportsbook Spy, which is about right although I would have expected a bit more money on the Lakers m/l as I expect them to either win outright or lose by 8+ (obviously I'm expecting the latter result). Lakers record in close games is atrocious. Games decided by 3 points or less Lakers are 0-3. Games decided by up to 10 points Lakers are 1-12. Hard to believe right?
                                                                It is... Anyway I'm hopping U're right, played Knicks-6, Spurs -7, and parlay Knicks/Spurs ml.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mvanja
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-17-11
                                                                  • 250

                                                                  #1922
                                                                  Antony on fire
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • h3da
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-10-10
                                                                    • 1331

                                                                    #1923
                                                                    Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                    Just like the Melbourne Cup eh?

                                                                    Only time people have a punt on the ponies!
                                                                    Lol I bet on the horses.. It's actually easier than you think if you do place betting only.. Maybe working for Tabcorp and another Aussie bookie helps you in those departments
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-14-12
                                                                      • 869

                                                                      #1924
                                                                      Originally posted by h3da
                                                                      Lol I bet on the horses.. It's actually easier than you think if you do place betting only.. Maybe working for Tabcorp and another Aussie bookie helps you in those departments
                                                                      Be interesting to hear your thoughts....

                                                                      Isn't it a conflict of interest for you though?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Byrone09
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 11-02-12
                                                                        • 184

                                                                        #1925
                                                                        Wow. They are gonna put up 40 in the 1st! Gonna be major talk about crappy defense on the LA radio shows tomorrow. Coming from a Laker homer, I'm embarrassed for the Lakers.

                                                                        Is D12 even playing? I can't even tell... geez... This system is wrong for this team...
                                                                        Comment
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