5-1 (+23.705 units) so far in the WNBA Playoffs

[kneighfe]

PARLAY:

Los Angeles Sparks +9 @ 1.50
Connecticut Sun -1 @ 1.43
1 double @ 2.15 for 20 units

[bleek88]

that shit is gonna hit

[kneighfe]

that shit is gonna hit

I do hope it hits.

[ninos]

I hope con Covers this one. Since his handicap is much smaller. Cause last time they played that 73-67 win. Indiana's 3 key players didn't even play still they manage to have a run on the fourth. Since this will be the first game with indy being tired coming from a very physical series. I hope con will get them through. What worries me is that they get two days of rest compared to minny having one. Minny even played the second game. So much little rest. I'm not sure if they are looking forward to this game already that's why they were playing crap basketball.

[MrWD]

kneigfe,

Roxxy believes the Sparks are not too good on the road; what do you think of this? Do you think they will be able to cover if they really are not good enough on the road?

[kneighfe]

kneigfe,

Roxxy believes the Sparks are not too good on the road; what do you think of this? Do you think they will be able to cover if they really are not good enough on the road?

Yeah, saw Roxxy's post. The Sparks not good on the road? You can say that for the regular season, but it's now the playoffs. Great teams and great players up their games a notch higher in the playoffs. How did the Sparks get in the Conference Finals? By beating the Silver Stars ON THE ROAD!!! The Silver Stars are no push overs by the way.

I am not saying that the Sparks will win this game, I just think that they will not lose by 6 or more points. One more factor why it will be a close encounter is the status of Lindsay Whalen. Even if she plays, I don't think she will be 100% and her limits will be limited.

Who to tail between Roxxy and I? He's got the better overall record and shown expertise in WNBA and I have only posted a few picks. The best thing to do is for you to analyze the game and cap it yourself as we have different views of the game. Wherever you place your bets and whoever you tail, I wish you the best of luck. May we all profit in sports betting.

[MrWD]

Yeah, saw Roxxy's post. The Sparks not good on the road? You can say that for the regular season, but it's now the playoffs. Great teams and great players up their games a notch higher in the playoffs. How did the Sparks get in the Conference Finals? By beating the Silver Stars ON THE ROAD!!! The Silver Stars are no push overs by the way.

I am not saying that the Sparks will win this game, I just think that they will not lose by 6 or more points. One more factor why it will be a close encounter is the status of Lindsay Whalen. Even if she plays, I don't think she will be 100% and her limits will be limited.

Who to tail between Roxxy and I? He's got the better overall record and shown expertise in WNBA and I have only posted a few picks. The best thing to do is for you to analyze the game and cap it yourself as we have different views of the game. Wherever you place your bets and whoever you tail, I wish you the best of luck. May we all profit in sports betting.

Don't want to put pressure on you about who to tail. =]

I actually think it's interesting to read your insights on these games and learn a few things.

[kneighfe]

Don't want to put pressure on you about who to tail. =]

I actually think it's interesting to read your insights on these games and learn a few things.

Yep, no pressure at all. I used to tail Roxxy too and got inspired and challenged to do my best and be successful in doing capping on my own.

Again, best of luck to us all. More than an hour before game time.

[kneighfe]

WNBA CONFERENCE FINALS

Los Angeles Sparks - Minnesota Lynx

INJURY UPDATE:

Last Updated: October 3, 2012 4:43 14 AM
LA Sparks
06/13/12	G	Sharnee' Zoll	ACL	out indefinitely
Min Lynx
10/03/12	G	Lindsay Whalen	Wrist	injured last game, probable Thursday vs. LA Sparks

The top 2 teams in the WNBA in terms of scoring are facing each other in the Conference Finals. We can definitely expect a fast paced game here. Both teams have their respective Big 3 with the Lynx having Whalen, Augustus and Moore; while the Sparks have Ogumwike, Tolliver and Parker.

They split their 4 regular season meetings, all home wins and none less than by 6 points:
May 24, Target Center, Minneapolis, MN: Sparks 84, Lynx 92
July 5, Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA: Sparks 96, Lynx 90
September 4, Target Center, Minneapolis, MN: Sparks 77, Lynx 88
September 20, Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA: Sparks 92, Lynx 76

The game total for each of those games were no less than 165 points which is the game total line set by most bookies. With that, I am taking the over for this game.

Even though each team has covered during the regular season, this is the playoffs and with what Minnesota showed in their series with Seattle, it's pretty much safe to say that the Sparks can keep up with them and with Whalen injured, even if she plays, she cannot play 100% and will be limited and with that I am taking the points for the Sparks.

FINAL VERDICT:
Los Angeles Sparks +6 @ 1.862 for 10 units
Over 165.5 @ 1.900 for 10 units

Added 1 more play:
Los Angeles Sparks +6.5 @ 1.710 for 7 units

[kneighfe]

One intriguing factor is the 1st quarter. In their 4 meetings, WHOEVER IS AT HOME WINS THE 1ST QUARTER AND WINS THE GAME.

May 24 @ MIN: 1Q LAS 19, MIN 30; FT LAS 84, MIN 92
July 05 @ LAS: 1Q MIN 21, LAS 24; FT MIN 90, LAS 96
Sep 04 @ MIN: 1Q LAS 20, MIN 24; FT LAS 77, MIN 88
Sep 20 @ LAS: 1Q MIN 15, LAS 29; FT MIN 76, LAS 92

Average scoring per quarter in their 4 regular season meetings:
1Q: LAS 23.00, MIN 22.50 45.50
2Q: LAS 21.25, MIN 18.50 39.75
3Q: LAS 24.25, MIN 20.00 44.25
4Q: LAS 18.75, MIN 25.50 44.25

Average scoring per quarter @ MIN:
1Q: LAS 19.50, MIN 27.00 46.50
2Q: LAS 22.50, MIN 15.50 38.00
3Q: LAS 20.50, MIN 23.50 44.00
4Q: LAS 18.00, MIN 24.00 42.00

Average scoring per half:
1H: LAS 44.25, MIN 41.00 85.25
2H: LAS 43.00, MIN 45.50 88.50

Average scoring per half @ MIN:
1H: LAS 42.00, MIN 43.00 85.00
2H: LAS 38.50, MIN 47.50 86.00

1Q Money Line Minnesota Lynx @ 1.666 for 10 units (+6.66 units)
1Q Handicap Minnesota Lynx -1.5 @ 1.925 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
1Q Total Over 42 @ 1.952 for 10 units (-10.000 units)

[kneighfe]

PARLAY:

Los Angeles Sparks +9 @ 1.50
Connecticut Sun -1 @ 1.43
1 double @ 2.15 for 20 units
(-20.000 units)

ADDITIONAL PARLAY:

LA Sparks +9.5 @ 1.47
Over 161.0 @ 1.41
1 double @ 2.09 for 10 units (-10.000 units)

[chris440]

I'm on sparks +6 and the over also! good luck

[kneighfe]

Live Bet:
LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (1st Quarter - Handicap) MIN Lynx +2.5 @ 1.80 for 10 units (+8.000 units)

[kneighfe]

LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (2nd Quarter - Handicap) MIN Lynx -1.5 @ 1.86 for 10 units (+8.600 units)
LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (2nd Quarter - Handicap) MIN Lynx -2.5 @ 1.76 for 10 units (+7.600 units)

[kneighfe]

A pretty tough game to cap because the Lynx are rotating their players. With this in mind, I think they are going to go all out in the 4th quarter which is why they are pacing their starters.

[kneighfe]

LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (1st Half - Handicap) LA Sparks +12.5 @ 1.80 for 10 units (-10.000 units)

I think that in the 2 minute mark, bench players will come in for Minnesota giving the Sparks a chance to catch up.

[kneighfe]

LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (1st Half - Handicap) LA Sparks +12.5 @ 1.80 for 10 units

I think that in the 2 minute mark, bench players will come in for Minnesota giving the Sparks a chance to catch up.

Well, I'm wrong... Really, this is getting so difficult to cap.

[Roxxyfish]

dude not really when you followed whole season. Sparks are just a average team on the road.they panic very fast, you remember the 40 point blow out in atlanta?

[kneighfe]

dude not really when you followed whole season. Sparks are just a average team on the road.they panic very fast, you remember the 40 point blow out in atlanta?

Well, I think you're right about that but if they can just maintain their composure and stop turning the ball over, they can do better. The point guard position is very important in this series. Lindsay Whalen is very composed and has a high basketball IQ. The Sparks' backcourt will have to up their game.

[kneighfe]

LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (Point Spread In-Play) LA Sparks +15.5 @ 1.80 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
3Q Total Over 41.5 @ 1.800 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (Point Spread In-Play) LA Sparks +17.5 @ 1.90 for 10 units (+9.000 units)
LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (3rd Quarter - Handicap) LA Sparks +1.5 @ 1.90 for 10 units (+9.000 units)
LA Sparks @ MIN Lynx (Point Spread In-Play) LA Sparks +14.5 @ 1.90 for 10 units (-10.000 units)

[kneighfe]

bad day today!!! Anyway, tomorrow is another day for me.

current record: 31w - 14l +109.32 units

today's record: 7w - 10l -48.10 units

[kneighfe]

eastern conference finals

indiana fever - connecticut sun

the connecticut sun at home will go up against the indiana fever who came from a very tough series against the atlanta dream. With rest and home court advantage, i am leaning on the sun to win game 1 and cover the spread of -4.5.

They will also have the advantage inside as they have charles and jones. Although fever players, larkins and cathings dominated the boards in games 2 & 3 against the dream, they cannot do so here against the sun because the sun have a better, in fact, an all star frontline in jones & charles.

Regular season head to head:
June 8, bankers life fieldhouse, indianapolis, in: sun 89, fever 81
june 19, mohegan sun arena, uncasville, ct: sun 88, fever 85
june 21, bankers life fieldhouse, indianapolis, in: fever 95, sun 61
september 19, mohegan sun arena, uncasville, ct: sun 73, fever 67

final verdict:
Connecticut sun -4.5 @ 1.869 for 10 units (+8.690 units)

bump!

1Q Handicap Connecticut Sun -1 @ 2.010 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
1H Money Line Connecticut Sun @ 1.628 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun CON Sun @ 1.86 for 20 units (+17.200 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun CON Sun @ 1.90 for 100 units(+90.000 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun (Point Spread In-Play) CON Sun +1.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units (+16.000 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun (2nd Quarter - Handicap) CON Sun -2.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units (+16.000 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun (3rd Quarter - Handicap) CON Sun -1.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units (+16.000 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun (3rd Quarter - Winner (2-Way)) CON Sun @ 1.55 for 20 units (+11.000 units)
2H Handicap Connecticut Sun -3 @ 1.934 for 20 units (+18.680 units)
2H Money Line Connecticut Sun @ 1.584 for 100 units (+58.400 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun (4th Quarter - Handicap) CON Sun +1.5 @ 1.62 for 10 units (+6.200 units)

I'm very confident that the Sun will get back and win the game.
Please be reminded that my 1 unit is just 10 GBP, so 100 units are equivalent to 1,000 GBP.
2nd half has the Connecticut Sun written all over it. They are very well aware that they cannot afford to lose a home game because this is a short series and losing at home today will mean a doubly hard time of getting a win on Indiana's home turf.

[MrWD]

bump!

1Q Handicap Connecticut Sun -1 @ 2.010 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
1H Money Line Connecticut Sun @ 1.628 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
IND Fever @ CON Sun CON Sun @ 1.86 for 20 units
IND Fever @ CON Sun CON Sun @ 1.90 for 100 units
IND Fever @ CON Sun (Point Spread In-Play) CON Sun +1.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units
IND Fever @ CON Sun (2nd Quarter - Handicap) CON Sun -2.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units
IND Fever @ CON Sun (3rd Quarter - Handicap) CON Sun -1.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units

I'm very confident that the Sun will get back and win the game.
Please be reminded that my 1 unit is just 10 GBP, so 100 units are equivalent to 1,000 GBP.

Dang, 100 units!? Wow. With the way they are playing, it looks really risky!
Suns were barely rebounding defensively; Ind had 2 big girls picking rebounds.
Offensively, Suns had their star double-teamed while they struggled against Ind's good offensive players.

Let me know if you think differently. GLUCK!!! Hope you cash it!

[kneighfe]

Dang, 100 units!? Wow. With the way they are playing, it looks really risky!
Suns were barely rebounding defensively; Ind had 2 big girls picking rebounds.
Offensively, Suns had their star double-teamed while they struggled against Ind's good offensive players.

Let me know if you think differently. GLUCK!!! Hope you cash it!

The 2nd quarter was the preview of the 2nd half. The Sun in the 1st quarter were a bit surprised with how the Fever played them especially with Larkins now playing a significant role but as we've seen in the 2nd quarter, things changed and the Sun were able to make the necessary adjustments. Even holding down the Fever to just 8 points for the entire quarter.

[blackgolden]

2nd H play ?

[kneighfe]

bump!

1q handicap connecticut sun -1 @ 2.010 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
1h money line connecticut sun @ 1.628 for 10 units (-10.000 units)
ind fever @ con sun con sun @ 1.86 for 20 units
ind fever @ con sun con sun @ 1.90 for 100 units
ind fever @ con sun (point spread in-play) con sun +1.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units
ind fever @ con sun (2nd quarter - handicap) con sun -2.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units
ind fever @ con sun (3rd quarter - handicap) con sun -1.5 @ 1.80 for 20 units
ind fever @ con sun (3rd quarter - winner (2-way)) con sun @ 1.55 for 20 units
2h handicap connecticut sun -3 @ 1.934 for 20 units
2h money line connecticut sun @ 1.584 for 100 units

i'm very confident that the sun will get back and win the game.
Please be reminded that my 1 unit is just 10 gbp, so 100 units are equivalent to 1,000 gbp.
2nd half has the connecticut sun written all over it. They are very well aware that they cannot afford to lose a home game because this is a short series and losing at home today will mean a doubly hard time of getting a win on indiana's home turf.

bump!!!

[MrWD]

The 2nd quarter was the preview of the 2nd half. The Sun in the 1st quarter were a bit surprised with how the Fever played them especially with Larkins now playing a significant role but as we've seen in the 2nd quarter, things changed and the Sun were able to make the necessary adjustments. Even holding down the Fever to just 8 points for the entire quarter.

Ah, good call!

[kneighfe]

Keep on pounding them, Connecticut!!!
Though I lost 70 units because you did not win the 1st quarter, it was great that you lost it big because it paved the way for great lines!!! Awesome!!!
Now, you just have to keep on pounding and put the icing in the cake.

[MrWD]

Someone picked 1H under 74.5 and it easily cashed. Have you noticed anything particular about 1H unders for these games?

[kneighfe]

Someone picked 1H under 74.5 and it easily cashed. Have you noticed anything particular about 1H unders for these games?

I'm finding it pretty difficult to cap if the quarter/half/game will go either under or over because of the rotation. We are deep into the playoffs and players are tired especially the stars. Look at the Minny game, in the 1st half especially in the latter part of the 1st and the early part of the 2nd quarter, they already used their bench players to spell the stars some rest. If you want to bet on the over/under, better do it in-play so that you have an idea on how the game is going and how it will go.

Maybe the trend here is that the 4th quarter will most of the time go over, may the gap be too wide or even if the game is close. Reasoning? If the gap is wide, tendency for the team who is down and fighting for their lives will push the tempo to score more. If the game is close, tendency is that their will be more freethrows for the team who is behind to catch time.

[MrWD]

I'm finding it pretty difficult to cap if the quarter/half/game will go either under or over because of the rotation. We are deep into the playoffs and players are tired especially the stars. Look at the Minny game, in the 1st half especially in the latter part of the 1st and the early part of the 2nd quarter, they already used their bench players to spell the stars some rest. If you want to bet on the over/under, better do it in-play so that you have an idea on how the game is going and how it will go.

Maybe the trend here is that the 4th quarter will most of the time go over, may the gap be too wide or even if the game is close. Reasoning? If the gap is wide, tendency for the team who is down and fighting for their lives will push the tempo to score more. If the game is close, tendency is that their will be more freethrows for the team who is behind to catch time.

Hm, so if the stars are tired at this point in the season and they are warming up at the beginning of the game, I wonder if that is enough to assume that it will negatively affect the scoring?.

I have a feeling he is getting these picks from somewhere because he is betting all over the board tonight. CFB and CFL halves. Out of nowhere, just 1 WNBA 1H under. Nothing else on WNBA so far.

His picks are cashing. He's up 3.5 units this week; betting only 1 unit per bet (1 unit = $50 USD).

Congrats on the win btw!

[kneighfe]

current record: 41W - 16L +347.49 units

today's record: 10W - 2L +238.17 units

[kneighfe]

Hm, so if the stars are tired at this point in the season and they are warming up at the beginning of the game, I wonder if that is enough to assume that it will negatively affect the scoring?.

I have a feeling he is getting these picks from somewhere because he is betting all over the board tonight. CFB and CFL halves. Out of nowhere, just 1 WNBA 1H under. Nothing else on WNBA so far.

His picks are cashing. He's up 3.5 units this week; betting only 1 unit per bet (1 unit = $50 USD).

Congrats on the win btw!

We really can't tell how he is capping, I have also followed him before but decided to go on my own and see how I will fare.

If you really wanna bet on the over/under, it will be best to do it in the finals. There they will give it their all out.

I hope you tailed today. If you did, you're up a big sum.

[MrWD]

We really can't tell how he is capping, I have also followed him before but decided to go on my own and see how I will fare.

If you really wanna bet on the over/under, it will be best to do it in the finals. There they will give it their all out.

I hope you tailed today. If you did, you're up a big sum.

Yeah, I did tail. Thanks a lot!

Oh, I'm not talking about Roxxy. I'm talking about someone I know.
He just won another 1.5 units from the Pitts vs Syracuse game tonight; betting halves... wow...

[kneighfe]

Yeah, I did tail. Thanks a lot!

Oh, I'm not talking about Roxxy. I'm talking about someone I know.
He just won another 1.5 units from the Pitts vs Syracuse game tonight; betting halves... wow...

I know that you're referring to mybologne. Also tailed him before. Wait for my picks for the NCAAF, I will release it in maybe 7 hours as I have to get some sleep now. lol