MICHIGAN--5mike5

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51983

    #211
    Originally posted by Optional
    Yeah I saw. You did it right, but I was wrong about it showing up larger that way.

    You must be snapping extra small screenshots. Not sure how with Windows Snipping Tool though.
    yeah i dont know either, i just snip it around the odds and save it

    if u think of anything let me know
    Comment
    • Trident
      SBR MVP
      • 02-07-09
      • 2362

      #212
      Double file restarts started with the August 09 race, the winners came from 1-7-8-10-17-17

      Argue all you want but 4 of 6 started from the first five rows since they started double file restarts at Michigan.
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 51983

        #213
        all i said is its not a must...17th isnt starting "up front" to me

        its not an argument...

        i know u like to disagree with me, but its just a differnce of opinion
        Comment
        • Trident
          SBR MVP
          • 02-07-09
          • 2362

          #214
          I am not arguing with you I am stating a fact since the results speak for themselves, over half the winners at Michigan have come from the front two rows and two thirds of winners have come from the first ten starters.

          Most times when they do come from far back it's because they gambled on fuel mileage like Martin did in 09 when he started 32nd which is the farthest back a winner has come from.
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 51983

            #215
            i know who won, and when, and why... i do my homework or i wouldnt have results i do...17th isnt starting up front last 2 races and won

            lots have been won from teens here and further back

            thats not starting up front is all i said, u said its a "must" and its not( imo)

            u felt the need to comment on my post and im just giving my side..

            we just both look at it in different ways, not much else to say
            Last edited by 5mike5; 08-16-12, 11:40 PM.
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 51983

              #216
              Originally posted by swordsandtequila
              Staying on top of this thread this time Mike, losing out on all the cash!
              GL swords

              missed that u posted earlier buddy

              NFL player props right around the corner

              Comment
              • Trident
                SBR MVP
                • 02-07-09
                • 2362

                #217
                Originally posted by 5mike5

                17th isnt starting up front last 2 races and won
                But the four previous winners did start inside of the top ten but that doesn't count I guess.

                No matter what I say I am wrong and you are right even though history says otherwise.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 51983

                  #218
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 61396

                    #219
                    You two are just looking at the numbers form different angles. An average start of 10th since 09 doesn't sound like you need a great quali run, but saying 4 out of 6 have started top 10 does.
                    .
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 51983

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Optional
                      You two are just looking at the numbers form different angles. An average start of 10th since 09 doesn't sound like you need a great quali run, but saying 4 out of 6 have started top 10 does.
                      exactly my point
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 51983

                        #221
                        optional, are u taking truck winners early or waiting?
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61396

                          #222
                          1.5u on Kurt @ +385 and .5u on Kliggerman at +1700 so far.

                          Had any further thoughts on Peters or Beucsher?
                          .
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 51983

                            #223
                            Originally posted by Optional
                            1.5u on Kurt @ +385 and .5u on Kliggerman at +1700 so far.

                            Had any further thoughts on Peters or Beucsher?
                            was hoping u had some advice on that....

                            just wondering if those 2 will get better later, but both over 8-1 right now....might stick to 2 i have and just wait and see how odds move after sessions

                            not sure what im doing, wish they posted H2Hs....no idea why greek/dimes have stopped it with trucks and nationwide early??

                            last 2 weeks no lines til after sessions
                            Comment
                            • Trident
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-07-09
                              • 2362

                              #224
                              Originally posted by Optional
                              You two are just looking at the numbers form different angles. An average start of 10th since 09 doesn't sound like you need a great quali run, but saying 4 out of 6 have started top 10 does.
                              I am not looking at it in any angle I am looking at stone cold facts, I will take a 84 race sample over a two race sample till the cows come home. History says that 3/4 of the winners have started inside the top ten and that isn't a angle that's a fact.

                              The winner could very well start outside of the top 10 but history says that has only happened 20 times out of 86 races, if you start up front history says you have around a 75% chance of winning but if you start outside the top ten it drops to 25%, I don't know what you guys call that but I call it a must.
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 51983

                                #225
                                but its happened 7 of last 11 races winner has come from 10th or worse...and ill take recent winner starting positions til cows come home...

                                so no i wouldnt call it a must...

                                its always better to start up front at any track

                                there are different ways to look at it....
                                Last edited by 5mike5; 08-17-12, 12:38 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Trident
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-07-09
                                  • 2362

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                                  but its happened 7 of last 11 races winner has come from 10th or worse...and ill take recent winner starting positions til cows come home...
                                  So if you want to take recent winners then why not take 4 out of the last 6 then but I guess that wouldn't work since it would prove history has held up over the last six races.

                                  I could go back 10 races then you would go back 13 and on and on and on, all I know is if my drivers start in the top ten history says I have a 75% chance of cashing a ticket but if I don't it drops to 25%, spin it anyway you want but I will take 75% over 25% till the cows come home.
                                  Comment
                                  • 5mike5
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-21-11
                                    • 51983

                                    #227
                                    we just disagree, not why it bothers u so much what my opinions are?

                                    u sure arent going to change them or prove them wrong...if i need the help i would ask, but my results show i definatley dont need any help

                                    start ur own thread instead of proof-reading mine to look for things to disagree with me about...its wierd

                                    because this is not worth arguing with some1 who always thinks hes the smartest guy in the room.... but isnt
                                    Last edited by 5mike5; 08-17-12, 01:33 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • shaunovery
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-15-07
                                      • 18143

                                      #228
                                      Agree with mike we've been killing it recently

                                      Mikes the crew chief of our little team and were Definately top of the standings ahead of the chase
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 51983

                                        #229
                                        Opti, any truck decisions?

                                        odds going down in about 90 min.
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 51983

                                          #230
                                          smoke over kahne(-155), maxed for 3rd time
                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 61396

                                            #231
                                            Think I will just stick with Kurt as my main man until we see some track times.

                                            Peters has a good record on the track, and Beuscher hasnt started in a truck here, so guess I might lean Peters if forced to pick one before we see practice.

                                            I notice Jack Roush's name next to 3 of the last 4 or 5 winners here btw.
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 51983

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by Optional
                                              Think I will just stick with Kurt as my main man until we see some track times.

                                              Peters has a good record on the track, and Beuscher hasnt started in a truck here, so guess I might lean Peters if forced to pick one before we see practice.

                                              I notice Jack Roush's name next to 3 of the last 4 or 5 winners here btw.
                                              i think buescher finished 4th here last year, and 16th in 2010

                                              guess ill need to decide if ill just wait or go ahead with 1 of them
                                              Last edited by 5mike5; 08-17-12, 06:55 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Optional
                                                Administrator
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 61396

                                                #233
                                                Sorry about the wrong info Mike, I am not on top of it yet this week yet.
                                                .
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 51983

                                                  #234
                                                  dont think i am either actually
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 5mike5
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                    • 51983

                                                    #235
                                                    guess ill just wait until tomorrow morning b4 the truck race to decide anything else

                                                    really want to check out the H2Hs
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Optional
                                                      Administrator
                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                      • 61396

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                      guess ill just wait until tomorrow morning b4 the truck race to decide anything else

                                                      really want to check out the H2Hs
                                                      You're a damn action junkie.

                                                      Football will give you something to hit on days like this soon ;-)
                                                      .
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 51983

                                                        #237
                                                        lol...who me???

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Optional
                                                          Administrator
                                                          • 06-10-10
                                                          • 61396

                                                          #238
                                                          McDowell 3 or 4 10ths faster than the field in first laps off the truck in Montreal... beware team #18 again here.
                                                          .
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Optional
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 61396

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by Optional
                                                            McDowell 3 or 4 10ths faster than the field in first laps off the truck in Montreal... beware team #18 again here.
                                                            Oops... make that almost a second better with 2 fast laps on board.
                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 61396

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by Optional

                                                              Oops... make that almost a second better with 2 fast laps on board.
                                                              Oops again, the Cannucks Ville and Fellows outdo him on their 2nd laps. (damn it...was hoping he would have a real edge off truck)
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51983

                                                                #241
                                                                he was bet down to +700 this morning too

                                                                glad we got on that early
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61396

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                  he was bet down to +700 this morning too

                                                                  glad we got on that early
                                                                  Really? That's awesome.

                                                                  I'd like to know where he ended up at Bookmaker where I snagged him at +1500
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 51983

                                                                    #243
                                                                    he seems to be blistering the field in avg. lap speeds as well
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 5mike5
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                                      • 51983

                                                                      #244
                                                                      who is alex tagliani driving for this week, turner?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Optional
                                                                        Administrator
                                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                                        • 61396

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                        who is alex tagliani driving for this week, turner?
                                                                        Think so, #30 is their number.
                                                                        .
                                                                        Comment
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