MICHIGAN--5mike5

**5mike5** · 08-14-12, 07:26 PM

wow

ballzy vegas

no H2H decisions for me yet

**Vegas39** · 08-14-12, 07:27 PM

Just a feeling and going with heart

**5mike5** · 08-14-12, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

Just a feeling and going with heart

sometimes u have to buddy

**Vegas39** · 08-14-12, 07:28 PM

And for the record qualifying Matchups suck

**MatI** · 08-14-12, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by Trident

Owen Kelly will practice & qualify for Kyle so he will be starting in the rear, might get a better price if you wait and bet him after qualifying.

Thanks for posting that Trident, i saw that news last night and decided to hold off until race day for the same reason. Thanks for the reminder though as I was going to post that on here.

On a side note, Owen Kelly did the same thing for Marcos last year at Montreal and it worked out well that time with a win. Might be a good omen for Kyle this weekend.

**MatI** · 08-14-12, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

Keslowski and Kurt only 1s in truck race

Depending on the odds it would be really hard to go against these two in the truck race I think. I really like Kurt, being in the #18.

**Vegas39** · 08-14-12, 08:11 PM

Like Kurt, brad can't seem to win in his own truck

**onlooker** · 08-14-12, 09:01 PM

Tony Stewart +800
Greg Biffle +1200
Carl Edwards +1800

Looking to add Jimmie and Kenseth, but waiting on WillHill LV to post odds.

**Vegas39** · 08-14-12, 09:32 PM

Edwards that's ballzy looker

**onlooker** · 08-14-12, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

Edwards that's ballzy looker

At 18/1, I had to with his past performance at Michigan. I was surprised as hell that Stations had it at +1800.

**Vegas39** · 08-14-12, 09:37 PM

Originally posted by onlooker

At 18/1, I had to with his past performance at Michigan. I was surprised as hell that Stations had it at +1800.

Gl with it

**onlooker** · 08-14-12, 09:39 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

Gl with it

Thanks.

The best Jimmie and Kenseth is out here is Jimmie +500 and Kenseth +800. Waiting on WillHill LV to post, to see what they open at.

**Trident** · 08-14-12, 11:03 PM

Originally posted by onlooker

Where do you go to see those?

NASCAR Notes

http://robertsnascarnotes.blogspot.com/

News and notes from each week of NASCAR racing using a Las Vegas oddsmaking perspective

This is Micah Roberts blog, he was the guy at Stations who did all the Auto Racing for them.

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 02:05 AM

Originally posted by Trident

http://robertsnascarnotes.blogspot.com/

This is Micah Roberts blog, he was the guy at Stations who did all the Auto Racing for them.

Thanks Trident. Mike linked me up this morning.

Just not sure why I never had this link before.

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 06:52 AM

will make final early plays in a few hours, a few i was looking t have got better now

17, 48, and 18 have all got alot worse

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 07:14 AM

Originally posted by onlooker

At 18/1, I had to with his past performance at Michigan. I was surprised as hell that Stations had it at +1800.

thats about where he should be everywhere imo

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 07:24 AM

took kennseth over smoke in qualifying (-115)

but just as 2nd of 3 slot parlay

no single bets on Qualifying so far

**Vegas39** · 08-15-12, 09:40 AM

Good luck on Q. Play

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by Vegas39

Good luck on Q. Play

thanks Vegas

dont like anything on qualifying enough to bet it big on a single play, so just did that and put on a Open 3-slot parlay i have going with +113 winner already

honestly dont like any H2H for the race yet either, i do like a few but just not enough to pull the trigger at early prices

they move the line 10- 20 cents, so by the time i bet it as many times as i do its moved up 20-40 cents usually so im just going to wait probably to make any decisions

unless i change my mind, like i usually do

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 10:01 AM

just havent found my fade of the week just yet....lol

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by onlooker

Tony Stewart +800
Greg Biffle +1200
Carl Edwards +1800

Looking to add Jimmie and Kenseth, but waiting on WillHill LV to post odds.

Matt Kenseth +1200

Looks like I'm going to have to see if Jimmie qualifies bad. WillHill LV opened at +450.

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 11:19 AM

Coast is absolute garbage for NASCAR. Look at their odds:

Jimmie +400
Stewart +500
Kyle +500
Dale Jr. +500
Kenseth +600
Biffle +600
Edwards +700

Fuking terrible.

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 11:20 AM

qualifying is irrelevant at MIS...u can pretty much win from any starting position

but it might make odds shift for u

but considering its jimmy ur wanting to get better price, not sure it will happen

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by 5mike5

qualifying is irrelevant at MIS...u can pretty much win from any starting position

but it might make odds shift for u

Just looking at odds to shift on Jimmie, so maybe he can slip up and qualify 30th.

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 11:22 AM

yeah those are definatley awful odds as a group

7 drivers between 4-1 and 7-1

ouch

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by onlooker

Just looking at odds to shift on Jimmie, so maybe he can slip up and qualify 30th.

that might get him to +550 or so

but its jimmy so...well...u know

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by 5mike5

yeah those are definatley awful odds as a group

7 drivers between 4-1 and 7-1

ouch

The last 3 weeks I have been paying attention to openers here and they have been real close to 5D, at WillHill LV and Stations anyway. Even beating 5D on some drivers.

Coast forget it.

So maybe it isn't so bad after all here. I hope it continues.

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 11:33 AM

WillHill LV moved Kenseth to +800.

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 11:36 AM

going to be a GREAT 2 weeks of races coming up

all 3 series in action this weekend....

all 3 series will be night racing at Bristol next week WED.(trucks)/fri/sat night races

gotta love a wednesday night race!

**DDT** · 08-15-12, 11:44 AM

**Trident** · 08-15-12, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by onlooker

Thanks Trident. Mike linked me up this morning.

Just not sure why I never had this link before.

Fred Crespi who was longtime Book Manager at Boulder Station and really sharp with NASCAR contributes some great articles on Micah's blog.

**Reno Paul** · 08-15-12, 11:47 AM

Fell asleep yesterday and woke up to take JJ +600 and Kenseth +950....still better than today's odds.....

**onlooker** · 08-15-12, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by Trident

Fred Crespi who was longtime Book Manager at Boulder Station and really sharp with NASCAR contributes some great articles on Micah's blog.

I have the blog bookmarked now, so I will be checking in on it every week.

I know we got off to a rough start, but I like your knowledge, so please post more often.

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by Reno Paul

Fell asleep yesterday and woke up to take JJ +600 and Kenseth +950....still better than today's odds.....

yep, a good bit better actually

**5mike5** · 08-15-12, 11:51 AM

been many many weeks since hes posted anything from Crespi for some reason