FONTANA--5mike5

[5mike5]

If vickers ends up winning by some miracle and I disappear u need not wonder why. Just search in waterways under tall bridges

[avssakic]

Well he is up to +5500 now. Was at +2800 earlier. Top 3 price is nice

[5mike5]

I kinda liking Kenseth today...he qualified great which is nice from him..how has he looked n practices and stuff does he look like a legit contender and do like Stewart at those odds

yeah I didn't take him single but just in case my only parlay has any JGR car winning in it. Least I'd have a chance for a big score if any if them win. Just with 2 single digit drivers already from early bets (48/4) I knew from I wouldn't take him but he's gonna be good today

[5mike5]

I have him at +4000. Think there is some value in that

Even 50-1 now. I'm just finished and he has no value for me because I've already made all my plays and all he would do is eat away from others I like much better if they won.

but I agree no harm in taking him if he fits in ur gameplan

[milehigh]

I think there is more value at +1350 for a top 3 IMO. He's good here but the 48, 20, and 4 are going to be horses today I think.

[avssakic]

I mentioned vickers early in the week but didn't end up taking him. Talked myself out of it

I have him at +4000. Think there is some value in that

[WolverineFan]

I kinda liking Kenseth today...he qualified great which is nice from him..how has he looked n practices and stuff does he look like a legit contender and do like Stewart at those odds

[flyboy]

Carl Edwards +1550
Kevin Harvick +475
Matt Kenseth +850

[5mike5]

I just liked other choices. And I'm done with single plays just finishing a longshot parlay. Just liked other options better than playing him. But he's a big longshot so not like its gonna hurt u. Only real longer shots I liked is Larson and smoke. There's alot if value out there imo. Not with favs. I was lucky and bet harvick and Jimmie early.

[milehigh]

Tell me the conversation you had with yourself...I've yet to talk myself out of it.



Also, on 5Dimes there is a prop for Martin Truex Jr. v. Jamie McMurray listing Truex as the #56 car (which doesn't exist this year, right?) So, I'm assuming if I make a wager on that I'll still get action when the race starts?

[5mike5]

I mentioned vickers early in the week but didn't end up taking him. Talked myself out of it

[milehigh]

Also like yours GP...I actually added the 88 and 42 for top 3's but hadn't posted yet. Also have Harvick top 3 +165 to close out a parlay from yesterday.

Looking at Vickers top 3 at +1350. He ran really well at Michigan last year (different tracks, I know) and is one of those guys that can drive the high groove. Thoughts anyone?

[Royfus777]

Alot of value here today, hope it pans out! Ended up taking alot of under dogs gl everybody!

18 over 20 +105
20 over 4 +135
99 over 24 +120
99 over 15 EV
88 over 2 -130

[GP]

nice plays MileHigh.
i really like the Smoke prop.

mine so far
to win:
#20 +825
#11 +1360
#99 +1575
#5 +2000
#42 +8000

h2h:
#17 +110 > #3

top 3:
#88 +385
#42 +1900

group b:
#11 +350
#99 +375

Good luck!

[milehigh]

Took some picks early in the week--some have shot me in the foot but I still don't feel terrible about them:

To win:

Kenseth +875 (2 units)
Logano +1250 (1 unit)
T. Stewart +2750 (2 units)

Early H2H odds (Hamlin and K Busch hurt me!):

C. Edwards over R. Newman -115 (10 units)
D. Hamlin over J. Gordon -115 (3 units)
Kurt Busch over Bowyer -105 (3 units)
M. Ambrose over Almirola -120 (3 units)

Props:

T. Stewart finishing position UNDER 10.5 -115 (4 units closing parlay from Nationwide yesterday)

I've been doing well on the top 3 finishers bets but haven't done any yet...should have pounced on Harvick earlier as I knew he's good at this track and he's my horse to win the Championship this year. What else do we have out there???

[shaunovery]

Fontana

Jimmie +600
Harvick +900
Kyle +900

[hawk 5]

liking the 24 car. hes fast and knows how to take care of his car.

[Optional]

not sure how must trust anybody can have in stewart's health yet, but with him and #4 sharing everything, and him winning 2 of last 4 races here, tough to pass on him at those longer-shot odds he is at being in the 20s...

Hmmm. Maybe not a bad idea.

I saw him walking on TV yesterday... think its the first time Ive seen them show that this year. And I think there has been a media conspiracy to talk down the injury for months.

So that tv shot makes me think his health may be getting back to near an acceptable level.

[Optional]

First of all, ive never enjoyed a race more that i didnt win. Man that was exciting! Second why is joey going to a backup? I keep reading hes going to a back up but no where says why. Must have wrecked but i didnt see practice and would like to know what happened?

L ogano slide up n the wall late n practice ..think he cut a tire or something and he got up against the wall so he having go backup

Both Penske cars were blowing out left rear tires after about 10 laps. I mean constantly. Maybe 5 or 6 times between the two cars.

They kept increasing air pressure and trying again but kept not making more than 10-12 laps.

Logano actually blew a left front (not rear) just before practice ended and tagged the wall. Not badly by the looks.

There was a mention during practice they might be swapping the rear end housings on both cars before the race. Not sure if that sends them to the back anyway.

A lot of cars were having similar tread lifting issues, not all of them, but a lot of teams. But Penske was by far the biggest problem with the tires.

[JayHorne3]

Lot of concern about blown tires tomorrow. Not that this race will need anymore excitement but that could definitely be an x factor.

[5mike5]

not sure how must trust anybody can have in stewart's health yet, but with him and #4 sharing everything, and him winning 2 of last 4 races here, tough to pass on him at those longer-shot odds he is at being in the 20s...

[5mike5]

HARVICK got crushed from +975 early betting...now almost a jimmie type fav

harvick is deserving though imo, he might end up the race fav by closing time

its get those 2 early or not at all...geeeez

[5mike5]

this is just 1 of the best racetracks we go to all year long...

they can race anywhere

1/2 thru the race cars wake up that havent been up front all damn day

track changes when rubber'd in

tires are questionable it seems

I CANT WAIT....

[5mike5]

Has anyone else noticed the NASCAR guys kicking ass in the brackets contest?

yeah they been looking good including u pal

[Jmac926]

L ogano slide up n the wall late n practice ..think he cut a tire or something and he got up against the wall so he having go backup

Thanks. All these tire issues have me worried for tomorrow

[WolverineFan]

L ogano slide up n the wall late n practice ..think he cut a tire or something and he got up against the wall so he having go backup

[DDT]

Has anyone else noticed the NASCAR guys kicking ass in the brackets contest?

[Slimpickens]

Id need 12-1 to take Gordon. Maybe if one or 2 guys get crushed at dimes. We'll see.

[Jmac926]

First of all, ive never enjoyed a race more that i didnt win. Man that was exciting! Second why is joey going to a backup? I keep reading hes going to a back up but no where says why. Must have wrecked but i didnt see practice and would like to know what happened?

[5mike5]

yeah but he might get worse...never know at dimes odds will change a whole lot from when they open again til closer to racetime...

i dont see him getting alot of action, and at single digits its unbettable i agree...

maybe wrong but think he def sees double-digits odds again

[Slimpickens]

Keslowski's odds never should have been single digits either

hes never finished better than 18th at fontana

not all his fault but those were really low imo

Oh I agree. Dont know why he was taking so much action pre qualifying. kicking myself for not taking Jeff gordon pre qualifying. I believe he was approaching 20-1 at dimes. Just have to let him beat me now at the odds he will be.

[5mike5]

Keslowski's odds never should have been single digits either

hes never finished better than 18th at fontana

not all his fault but those were really low imo

[5mike5]

odds are gonna go all over the place in this 1 by racetime....

yeah logano going to Back-up car and rear of the field...his odds were shocking to me this week being so low

[Slimpickens]

I didnt get a chance to watch any of the Sprint Cup practice guess I missed alot. Logano must be going to a back up car?? I see he reopened at 25-1. Brad k up to 12-1?

[5mike5]

Sounds like I missed a good one.

best nascar race of any kind all year imo